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Author Topic: 🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread  (Read 4977 times)
LTU_btc
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January 15, 2024, 08:43:14 PM
 #461

Cape Verde aren't no weak team. Infact,  they play better football than most of the supposed favourites.  Like Egypt and Co. Remember Cape Verde borders with Portugal and some of their players are of Portuguese desert.
For me it looks strange that Cape Verde is understimated so much. Yeah, they're not powerhouse, they don't have stars, but it's good level mediacore team, definitely not one of weakest in Africa.
BTW, surprised to see Bebe in their squad, one of worst signings of MU in SAF era. Always thought that he is from Portugal.

At his point, I just need to look forward to round 2 and hope it turns out better than this round. I expected Cameroon to draw today, they have not been in very good form, but yet I hesitated to take the chance.

Hopefully the next round goes according to the expected plan.

- Jay -
I haven't checked table until now - didn't thought that I'm doing so bad. Now only way is up Cheesy.

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January 15, 2024, 08:47:13 PM
 #462

Nigeria should get an easy win against Equatorial Guinea today, I'm quite certain, and I've backing the ~1.50 Odds ML here, the group stage should be an easy path for the Super Eagles, I have absolutely no doubt on that, my concern was about heading the deep into the competition and possibly triumphing all the way, easier said than done right ?

Wasn't easy as you expected but the comeback was super fast by Osimhen, he did justice to that equalized goal that was scored by Equatorial Guinea under a minutes and that was how Super Eagles were save from that shameful defenders. I think we lack defenders, even though we lack good midfielders, the back defenders are weak but I'm satisfied with the striking position, I just hope he doesn't get any injury as we continue else we are doom.Grin Grin

We have two games left for the group stage and what we need now is one win and 1 draw or win the two and get qualified for the next stage. How we are going to deliver that between Ivory Coast and Guinea Bissau but I'm confidence that Nigeria will give Guinea Bissau a straight win and either win or draw with Ivory coast because I was impress by their first round but Nigeria can do more on them by the time they meet.
The super Eagles lack everything as it stands now in this Afcon. They are just same, old pattern of play and mentality in totality.
I placed a bet on the winning straight up, only to see them trying to equalize a lone goal.
I don't pray anything like injury happens to Osimhen because it would be of ripple effect to Napoli and the super Eagles chances of qualifying out of the group stages.

L. Camara was the star in Senegal's encounter against Gambia. Sadio mane was also of good performance and even made an assist. With this result today, am certain that Senegal may make it to the finals.
Well, we await the results of other group matches to know who might make it the finals.

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January 15, 2024, 09:27:03 PM
Merited by darxiaomi (1)
 #463

You're too kind. But I get it, the date was close and network wasn't friendly. I'm always happy to help out in future with fronting people too, in case you stragglers don't want to overburden the Tro Wink
I know you are always ready to help and even though about switching a few to you but it would just complicate things. This way I am hoping I will be able to keep track of everything.



Preliminary rewards, could be changes since the pool is still open. Not gonna add into the OP until it is final.
We should have at least 68 mBTC (50 mBTC sponsorship + 18 buy ins) and roughly 220$ (5 buy ins) in the pool by the time Round one is over.
1. Place - 30 mBTC
2. Place - 15 mBTC
3. Place - 10 mBTC
4. Place -  8 mBTC
5. Place -  4 mBTC

Best overall yellow cap - whole $ fund, so around 220$

That comes to 67 mBTC and we have 1 mBTC for tx fees. If something is left or missing it will be added or taken from 1.place. Least impact on reward. I will pay generous tx fee for confirmation inside 5 blocks or so as always.

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January 15, 2024, 11:10:21 PM
 #464

Trofo is the biggest smile I would say, he took 2 exact scores, a lot of us totally got stunned by Cape Verde, supposedly one of the weakest teams in Africa according to Igebotz I remember hehe.
Whenever Igebotz says something I like to triple check that  Grin This time I just looked at past games. Cape Verde not loosing a competitive game for a long time, I think 12 games and then Nigeria loosing points to all kinds of teams, like Lesoto. Only game that Nigeria won with more than a goal difference recently came against São Tomé and Príncipe. Had to google them to find exactly where they are and by the way they have about 150k people in total so definitely not a big footballing nation  Grin

Don't allow the shocker against Ghana fool you into thinking Cape Verde is a top footballing country; I can easily claim a team that debuted in the 2013 AFCON is a weak team and be right. A country with no football tradition.  BTW, Ghana and Nigeria are both overrated shitholes in West Africa. Osimhem should have done better.

Too many draws this round. Missed up real bad.

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cryptofrka
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January 16, 2024, 09:41:53 AM
 #465

P.S. Guess Salah wants to come back to Liverpool early, huh? Endo not so much =D

Then he should have missed that penalty, eh?

____________________________

Not the best of starts for me, but AFCON is the one I'm always shitty at. I mostly pick the favorites and they often disappoint - which was the case again.
Might go with a bit more risk in the next rounds, but I don't really follow these teams so it's hard to go against the bookies.

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January 16, 2024, 11:09:40 AM
 #466

Might go with a bit more risk in the next rounds, but I don't really follow these teams so it's hard to go against the bookies.
The next rounds may be better for those watching the tournament. They have gotten to see all the teams play and get a glimpse of the strength and weakness of the different teams.

Form hardly changes during tournaments.

- Jay -

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January 16, 2024, 03:05:20 PM
 #467

Burkina Faso nil, Mauritania nil, I smell something in 2nd half.

P.S. Guess Salah wants to come back to Liverpool early, huh? Endo not so much =D

Then he should have missed that penalty, eh?
~
Might go with a bit more risk in the next rounds, but I don't really follow these teams so it's hard to go against the bookies.

He doesn't have to do it SO obviously haha. Crazy he needs 2 goal involvements to earn a point for his shoddy team. Problem wth bookie odds is that I actually bet on qualifiers (both AFC and AFCON) and the odds are usually right. I think group games tend to be too careful, and then panic happens when a goal's allowed (as with Egypt).


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January 16, 2024, 04:10:05 PM
 #468

Trofo is the biggest smile I would say, he took 2 exact scores, a lot of us totally got stunned by Cape Verde, supposedly one of the weakest teams in Africa according to Igebotz I remember hehe.
Whenever Igebotz says something I like to triple check that  Grin

Don't allow the shocker against Ghana fool you into thinking Cape Verde is a top footballing country;

Cape Verde debuted correct but also impressed in qualifiers the last AFCON according to news, so not a weak footballing country but not top either. I still think they were the weaker team in this meet but I was very sure not bottom of the pile.

Ghana gave birth to best footballer before, how far they are now, but Osimhen shouldn't take responsibility for everything just like Salah shouldn't.

Cape Verde aren't no weak team. Infact,  they play better football than most of the supposed favourites.  Like Egypt and Co. Remember Cape Verde borders with Portugal and some of their players are of Portuguese desert.

I knew about the borders, but I had no idea it was that close to Portugal. I mean, we share border with more than 2 countries but have almost no relation with 1 or 2, except very close to border, but they tend to stay there and not really mix into the general pop. Or at least, they wouldn't be recognizable. I guess Portugal was a former colonist of Cape Verde? Makes sense like in South America.

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January 16, 2024, 04:20:53 PM
 #469

Burkina Faso nil, Mauritania nil, I smell something in 2nd half.
Sixth sense I guess, and Burkina Faso after being outplayed stole the game with maximum 3 points thanks to late penalty  Cool


Just paid for woodie and Chi20. Tx id: 31abb0f1191f995f50fbdb3835fcb92edf66e8caf8023f1d559887de094413ad
Missed this announcement, thanks for the buyin Smiley


Finally we getting winners in this tournament after several unforseen 1-1 draws of which I haven't caught any yet  Roll Eyes and going forward am not playing the favourite card as the draw seems to be unpopular and high rewarding, but going for the draw at this point looking like the best option going forward looking at how results have being coming...

R


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January 16, 2024, 04:21:05 PM
 #470

Burkina Faso win it at the death. Not much goals in this match but i have to admit it was a good watch, better than most of the other matches.
The debates will rage on if that was a pen or not.

and going forward am not playing the favourite card as the draw seems to be unpopular and high rewarding, but going for the draw at this point looking like the best option going forward looking at how results have being coming...
ssshhsh... Do not spill the tip.

- Jay -

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January 16, 2024, 09:15:40 PM
 #471

At this stage I was expecting the so called favourites to be more serious with getting results after several upsets... and today we saw Tunisia face the game with a laissez-faire attitude which they were made to pay for with a loss at the hands of an awesome Namibian performance...

Now watching the Mali game and it's already looking like a boredraw thanks to a missed penalty that should have changed the outcome of this game...

Edit:

Is that a penalty???

R


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January 16, 2024, 10:10:36 PM
 #472

You're too kind. But I get it, the date was close and network wasn't friendly. I'm always happy to help out in future with fronting people too, in case you stragglers don't want to overburden the Tro Wink
I know you are always ready to help and even though about switching a few to you but it would just complicate things. This way I am hoping I will be able to keep track of everything.



Preliminary rewards, could be changes since the pool is still open. Not gonna add into the OP until it is final.
We should have at least 68 mBTC (50 mBTC sponsorship + 18 buy ins) and roughly 220$ (5 buy ins) in the pool by the time Round one is over.
1. Place - 30 mBTC
2. Place - 15 mBTC
3. Place - 10 mBTC
4. Place -  8 mBTC
5. Place -  4 mBTC

Best overall yellow cap - whole $ fund, so around 220$

Nice prizes as always thank you and SB for that.

About this cup we are having some surprises in so few games.

And trofo in flames right now, what a start for you man!. Do you have some scouts in Africa bringing fresh info to you?  Cheesy

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January 17, 2024, 02:44:29 PM
 #473

^^ Yeah I lost a pretty acca that was just waiting for RSA to win (4/1 odds), everything else hit easily and I had to put up with the missed penalty and actually dominant first half from the S Africans. Damned idiots. Even my draw on Superbru didn't work out.

P.S. Superbru been down for me the whole day, you guys experiencing the same? Need to enter picks for tomorrow's matches onwards.

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January 17, 2024, 04:07:10 PM
 #474

The super Eagles lack everything as it stands now in this Afcon. They are just same, old pattern of play and mentality in totality.
I placed a bet on the winning straight up, only to see them trying to equalize a lone goal.

Nigeria's problem is solely a management problem. The management never gets the right coach for the job. This present Nigerian coach is not good enough IMO. I know Nigeria has chances that should have given them the lead and they failed but with the way they play, it's obvious they lack a good coach.

Also, so far only Senegal has been convincing in the tournament. All the other big teams struggled. Tunisia and Ghana even lost. This will tell you that it's going to be a very interesting tournament, not a tournament where the favorites just trample on the lesser teams.
Let's wait and see if Morocco can announce itself well today or if Tanzania has a surprise for us.

R


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January 17, 2024, 06:39:45 PM
 #475

^^ Yeah I lost a pretty acca that was just waiting for RSA to win (4/1 odds), everything else hit easily and I had to put up with the missed penalty and actually dominant first half from the S Africans. Damned idiots. Even my draw on Superbru didn't work out.

P.S. Superbru been down for me the whole day, you guys experiencing the same? Need to enter picks for tomorrow's matches onwards.

Tac is S.A legend and that penalty kick may have changed the outcome of the game because they were the better team in the first half, had the opportunity to kill the game, and wasted it. The best thing is that Ghanaians and South Africans started trolling Nigerians on Twitter after we lost two points, and both ended up losing three.

Mohamed Amoura was suspended for yesterday's game. We missed that part of the news. Bet void, you lucky bastard. Keep your 1 mBTC.

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January 17, 2024, 07:29:36 PM
Merited by Trofo (1)
 #476

Superbru solved. Hate doing picks on last day, I know I'll forget tomorrow. Morocco finally get a statement win. AFCON is flowing this edition huh?

Confirming 1 mbtc each with Igebotz and Trofo against Amoura to score vs Angola. To be clear, if he doesn't score a goal (own goal doesn't count), I owe each 1 mbtc.

Guys, it turns out Amoura didn't even feature in the line up, apparently suspension from a much earlier game I wasn't even aware about until AFTER the game. It's so hard to follow team lineups haha.

You guys want to be kind to me and accept that a book would void this if he didn't even have a chance to play? Or you want to carry it forward to Algeria's next game vs Burkina Faso on Saturday?

I'm, of course, happy to honour my sidebets as it's my fault for not checking so properly.

Edit: I see Trofo's post above, which somehow I only saw when trying to post this. Voided it is! Heh heh. I'm lucky.

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January 18, 2024, 08:00:02 AM
 #477

late catch on a shared yellow cap, with a Congo-Zambia draw
if you didn't take a look on Kangwa goal to put Zambia on the lead, these type of goals could be seen on AFCON only

let's get going into next round, Nigeria is on the brink today, lose could mean a fast comeback home, can you win @Igebotz @Harkorede
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January 18, 2024, 02:57:14 PM
 #478

Ok guys, GW1 is over and that means our AFCON pool is officially closed. Rewards are as follows.

We have 68 mBTC (50 mBTC sponsorship + 18 buy ins) and roughly 224$ (5 buy ins) in the pool. 23 players in total.
1. Place - 30 mBTC
2. Place - 15 mBTC
3. Place - 10 mBTC
4. Place -  8 mBTC
5. Place -  4 mBTC

Best overall yellow cap - whole $ fund, so 224$ minus any tx fees.

That comes to 67 mBTC and we have 1 mBTC for tx fees. If something is left or missing it will be added or taken from 1st place. Least impact on reward. I will pay generous tx fee for confirmation inside 5 blocks or so as always.

We will use Superbru tie breakers to settle any ties if possible. If it is all the same then prize will be shared.

For example in this first round 3 of us had exactly the same points and while we all have the same points and it seems that we are tied under all rules we actually aren't. Elche and casperBGD are sharing the first spot while I have 3rd. We all got yellow cap though. If the pool was over today we would all share yellow cap reward while I wouldn't get the share of 1st place and other 2 guys would split 30+15 equally. Not sure if it is the bug or some tie breaker I can't find when taking a quick look but we will use Superbru and abide by their decision no matter what. Probably not gonna matter when we get few more games under the belt.





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January 18, 2024, 03:37:42 PM
 #479

late catch on a shared yellow cap, with a Congo-Zambia draw
if you didn't take a look on Kangwa goal to put Zambia on the lead, these type of goals could be seen on AFCON only

let's get going into next round, Nigeria is on the brink today, lose could mean a fast comeback home, can you win @Igebotz @Harkorede

If I were you, I wouldn't trust or have high hopes for Nigeria because I don't - just a day before our first game Sadiq Umar was deemed injured and unfit and thrown out of the camp, replaced With another striker, Sadiq Umar returned to his club and was declared fit to play, Sadiq Umar played 30mins for Real Sociedal last night. So either the Nigerian medical staff took bride and forced him out of the team or he faked an injury to pull out. There are so many questions because he was the only competent Osimhem backup after Boniface suffered a hamstring injury before the competition.

We always perform better in important matches and today could be another day.

BreakingNews: Ivory coast President declared today as public holiday to allow students attend the game against Nigeria.

You guys want to be kind to me and accept that a book would void this if he didn't even have a chance to play? Or you want to carry it forward to Algeria's next game vs Burkina Faso on Saturday?
Agreed on my side.

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January 18, 2024, 03:44:32 PM
 #480

Ok guys, GW1 is over and that means our AFCON pool is officially closed. Rewards are as follows.

We have 68 mBTC (50 mBTC sponsorship + 18 buy ins) and roughly 224$ (5 buy ins) in the pool. 23 players in total.
1. Place - 30 mBTC
2. Place - 15 mBTC
3. Place - 10 mBTC
4. Place -  8 mBTC
5. Place -  4 mBTC

Best overall yellow cap - whole $ fund, so 224$ minus any tx fees.

That comes to 67 mBTC and we have 1 mBTC for tx fees. If something is left or missing it will be added or taken from 1st place. Least impact on reward. I will pay generous tx fee for confirmation inside 5 blocks or so as always.

We will use Superbru tie breakers to settle any ties if possible. If it is all the same then prize will be shared.

For example in this first round 3 of us had exactly the same points and while we all have the same points and it seems that we are tied under all rules we actually aren't. Elche and casperBGD are sharing the first spot while I have 3rd. We all got yellow cap though. If the pool was over today we would all share yellow cap reward while I wouldn't get the share of 1st place and other 2 guys would split 30+15 equally. Not sure if it is the bug or some tie breaker I can't find when taking a quick look but we will use Superbru and abide by their decision no matter what. Probably not gonna matter when we get few more games under the belt.





well playi'g Trofo, bravo
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