hdbuck
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November 10, 2015, 03:47:18 PM |
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Meh it broke downwards :-(
meh. EW.
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RyNinDaCleM
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Legen -wait for it- dary
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November 10, 2015, 05:10:23 PM |
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Meh it broke downwards :-(
Don't fret! That just means it'll all be over sooner ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
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btc4lifer
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November 10, 2015, 06:43:55 PM |
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At this point in time the triangle seems to have taken aim to the upside. good form. This might not be the beginning of bullish continuation but bullish none the less.
img removed
Chestnut called the triangle end before it ended!
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pontikis13
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November 10, 2015, 07:07:29 PM |
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Meh it broke downwards :-(
Don't fret! That just means it'll all be over sooner ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) What exactly do you mean?
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RoadTrain
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November 10, 2015, 09:36:17 PM |
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I guess something subtle has changed in Bitcoin trading mechanics, and chessnut hasn't adjusted yet. I believe that even with all the proper TA, there's still some intuition attached to determining probabilities of various outcomes.
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Afrikoin
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alan watts is all you need
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November 10, 2015, 09:55:33 PM |
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I guess something subtle has changed in Bitcoin trading mechanics, and chessnut hasn't adjusted yet. I believe that even with all the proper TA, there's still some intuition attached to determining probabilities of various outcomes.
Please elaborate on (bold)
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fortif78
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November 10, 2015, 10:31:22 PM |
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I guess something subtle has changed in Bitcoin trading mechanics, and chessnut hasn't adjusted yet. I believe that even with all the proper TA, there's still some intuition attached to determining probabilities of various outcomes.
Please elaborate on (bold) What's there to elaborate? He just means being in tune with the market.
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"In the land of the blind, the man with one eye is king."
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meh32123
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November 10, 2015, 10:41:21 PM |
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How about this EW analysis: Grand scheme of things ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2FFMoJcHdY%2F&t=665&c=2mfqriRDEqUy6g) And a more close look: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2FUdHRwPqg%2F&t=665&c=G6LZHRmpoRRNjw) Looking forward to your comments :-)
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RyNinDaCleM
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Legen -wait for it- dary
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November 10, 2015, 10:47:25 PM |
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Meh it broke downwards :-(
Don't fret! That just means it'll all be over sooner ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) What exactly do you mean? Instead of up then down before up, we go down then get the up sooner. Notice his chart showed a corrective move heading up, implying that more down would come after. However, as we see, it is just going down now, and since this whole movement off $5xx is more of the corrective nature, there should be more up once this finishes. Of course this can all change if we get enough down to make larger moves out of it, but it doesn't seem to be the case yet. For now, I'll say to be happy if we find good support at/above $300 and begin to move up from there in an impulsive fashion
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RyNinDaCleM
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Legen -wait for it- dary
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November 10, 2015, 10:54:52 PM |
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How about this EW analysis: Grand scheme of things ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2FFMoJcHdY%2F&t=665&c=2mfqriRDEqUy6g) And a more close look: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2FUdHRwPqg%2F&t=665&c=G6LZHRmpoRRNjw) Looking forward to your comments :-) How would you count that blue I? Typically, what happens is a declining volume throughout the correction, however, impulsive moves (C-waves included) will always have a rising volume, so a blanket statement like "B has declining volume" isn't exactly right. There is also another variable here. Time frame, or the scale of data being analyzed. This (what I still believe to be) B is a much larger scale than the one you have in your box, so the time frame must also change to accommodate it. Over all, everything since January has been declining volume with a spike in the last rise for a potential C. I also think there is a good chance it was only 3 of C, hence the large spike in volume, and we'll see more upside with a lower volume for a divergence signalling the top. Lets wait and see how things go in this down tick before I say moon
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RoadTrain
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November 10, 2015, 11:00:16 PM |
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I guess something subtle has changed in Bitcoin trading mechanics, and chessnut hasn't adjusted yet. I believe that even with all the proper TA, there's still some intuition attached to determining probabilities of various outcomes.
Please elaborate on (bold) Nevermind, I guess fortif78 has formulated it better. Anyway, I'm not very sure I'm right ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Gotta get some sleep.
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chessnut (OP)
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November 12, 2015, 06:59:44 AM |
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Clearly this was an abc, either wave II species or wave B species. It may carve further lows but once broken out it should retrace at least 62% of the decline. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2Fl6zatQ6P%2F&t=665&c=jp3RmaZbJTnpng)
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windjc
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November 12, 2015, 07:59:10 AM |
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Clearly this was an abc, either wave II species or wave B species. It may carve further lows but once broken out it should retrace at least 62% of the decline. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2Fl6zatQ6P%2F&t=665&c=jp3RmaZbJTnpng) Is your confirmation of "broken out" that trendline in your chart?
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chessnut (OP)
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November 14, 2015, 06:49:42 AM |
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Intermediate abc seems to be building with Okcoin positioning net long by 59% ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2FAYvoDsk7%2F&t=665&c=O4IeD5DELgyGwQ)
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Afrikoin
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alan watts is all you need
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November 14, 2015, 03:36:25 PM |
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Intermediate abc seems to be building with Okcoin positioning net long by 59%
good call. looks like below $300 will work well to shake out weak ones. edit would it be correct to conclude bitcoin takes a double dip to properly rebound of a bottom?
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chessnut (OP)
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November 14, 2015, 07:42:39 PM |
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looking impartial at present. Its hard to say which way this triangle should go but the form is getting better.
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Tzupy
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November 15, 2015, 11:31:17 AM |
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Intermediate abc seems to be building with Okcoin positioning net long by 59% ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradingview.com%2Fx%2FAYvoDsk7%2F&t=665&c=O4IeD5DELgyGwQ) Shouldn't this have broken by now?
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Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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ssmc2
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November 15, 2015, 02:00:07 PM |
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Just did
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hdbuck
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November 15, 2015, 02:14:16 PM |
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Just did
im not buying anything until it goes below 300. 280 is a good threshold imo.
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ssmc2
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November 15, 2015, 02:16:55 PM |
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Just did
im not buying anything until it goes below 300. 280 is a good threshold imo. I think that's what most people are thinking. Which probably means we won't see sub-300, or if we do, it will be an instant rebound back up.
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