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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1811506 times)
jwzguy
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September 11, 2012, 11:10:47 PM
 #2541

OMG WHAT IS HAPPENING
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Each block is stacked on top of the previous one. Adding another block to the top makes all lower blocks more difficult to remove: there is more "weight" above each block. A transaction in a block 6 blocks deep (6 confirmations) will be very difficult to remove.
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adamstgBit (OP)
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September 11, 2012, 11:18:29 PM
 #2542

After the crash last month from 15.XX USD and just before Pirate officially defaulted, about 100k BTC in SELL orders were placed (and most still are) spread out from 10$ to 13$. You can still see those in the order book.
This could be the same guy (Arrrrrh) trying to entice people to buy up his orders already, so that he can repeat.
Just a thought.

I'm not sure what he could "repeat"

if that wall does in fact belong to pirate then that means he's pretty much done cashing out.

one last manipulative wall to get his last few orders bought into, then he will cash out for good?  (that or actually try to buy back ~2 million dollars in bitcoin)

yogi
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September 11, 2012, 11:23:59 PM
 #2543

can't sleep  Cheesy

no one ever does in Bitcoin World.

Yesterday, my girlfriend told me I was talking about Bitcoin in sleep the other night  Cheesy

I had a dream the other night. It was dark and a terrible storm was raging, out at sea was the darkest most sinister looking pirate ship I had ever seen.

Do you think that had something to do with bitcoin?

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September 11, 2012, 11:25:00 PM
 #2544

Larry flynt must have recvd proof...
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September 11, 2012, 11:26:23 PM
 #2545

OMG WHAT IS HAPPENING


LOL. Brilliant. Tip sent to your signature address.

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September 11, 2012, 11:27:22 PM
 #2546

OMG WHAT IS HAPPENING


I LOL'd... this is awesome.
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September 11, 2012, 11:29:36 PM
 #2547

After the crash last month from 15.XX USD and just before Pirate officially defaulted, about 100k BTC in SELL orders were placed (and most still are) spread out from 10$ to 13$. You can still see those in the order book.
This could be the same guy (Arrrrrh) trying to entice people to buy up his orders already, so that he can repeat.
Just a thought.

I'm not sure what he could "repeat"

if that wall does in fact belong to pirate then that means he's pretty much done cashing out.

one last manipulative wall to get his last few orders bought into, then he will cash out for good?  (that or actually try to buy back ~2 million dollars in bitcoin)

If he really had those 500k BTC when he "defaulted", at only 10$/BTC that would equal 5M $ in total. Right now, he seems to have aquired 1.7M USD. He could have changed 170k BTC for ~10$/BTC after the crash. If he sells another 100k BTC (which are lined up on the way to 13$ in the order book) @ on average 12$/BTC, he would have around 1.7M USD + 1.2M USD = 2.9M USD.
Still 230k BTC left in his wallets.
adamstgBit (OP)
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September 11, 2012, 11:32:26 PM
 #2548

After the crash last month from 15.XX USD and just before Pirate officially defaulted, about 100k BTC in SELL orders were placed (and most still are) spread out from 10$ to 13$. You can still see those in the order book.
This could be the same guy (Arrrrrh) trying to entice people to buy up his orders already, so that he can repeat.
Just a thought.

I'm not sure what he could "repeat"

if that wall does in fact belong to pirate then that means he's pretty much done cashing out.

one last manipulative wall to get his last few orders bought into, then he will cash out for good?  (that or actually try to buy back ~2 million dollars in bitcoin)

If he really had those 500k BTC when he "defaulted", at only 10$/BTC that would equal 5M $ in total. Right now, he seems to have aquired 1.7M USD. He could have changed 170k BTC for ~10$/BTC after the crash. If he sells another 100k BTC (which are lined up on the way to 13$ in the order book) @ on average 12$/BTC, he would have around 1.7M USD + 1.2M USD = 2.9M USD.
Still 230k BTC left in his wallets.

yes your right.

if this is right, and it seems like the most logical assumption.
Gox could tie a real world identity to Pirate.

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September 11, 2012, 11:33:32 PM
 #2549

OMG WHAT IS HAPPENING


LOL. Brilliant. Tip sent to your signature address.

So whose giant COCK-WALL is that?

I LOLed


wow what a "pump"  Cheesy

███████████████████████████████████████

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jwzguy
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September 11, 2012, 11:36:42 PM
 #2550

OMG WHAT IS HAPPENING


LOL. Brilliant. Tip sent to your signature address.

So whose giant COCK-WALL is that?

I LOLed


wow what a "pump"  Cheesy
Clearly belongs to our reptilian overlords.

Asks...it's what's for dinner.
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September 11, 2012, 11:50:15 PM
 #2551

This is driving me nuts, why isn't this showing up on the bitcoincharts order book.

It shows up in the http api too, is there a quick way to check the websockets api? If bitcoincharts doesn't show it because of a bug that would be hell of a coincidence. They are refreshing the prices for sure.
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September 11, 2012, 11:55:01 PM
 #2552

If all the money in that bid got really hungry and suddenly decided to go market, where would that take price?

up?
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September 11, 2012, 11:55:46 PM
 #2553

bpd: ;;market buy 160000
[4:55pm] gribble: A market order to buy 160000 bitcoins right now would take 2245529.3385 USD and would take the last price up to 24.2000 USD, resulting in an average price of 14.0346 USD/BTC.
jwzguy
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September 11, 2012, 11:56:37 PM
 #2554

LOL. Brilliant. Tip sent to your signature address.
Thanks!!
adamstgBit (OP)
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September 11, 2012, 11:57:19 PM
 #2555

If all the money in that bid got really hungry and suddenly decided to go market, where would that take price?

up?

never gana happen....

your looking at pirate's wall thinking hes going to buy coins???


streblo
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September 11, 2012, 11:58:17 PM
 #2556

bpd: ;;market buy 160000
[4:55pm] gribble: A market order to buy 160000 bitcoins right now would take 2245529.3385 USD and would take the last price up to 24.2000 USD, resulting in an average price of 14.0346 USD/BTC.
I think setting the amount of USD constant is correct:

;;market buy --usd 1800000
<gribble> A market order to buy 1800000.0000 USD worth of bitcoins right now would buy 137491.04 bitcoins and would take the last price up to 17.0000 USD, resulting in an average price of 13.0918 USD/BTC.
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September 11, 2012, 11:59:41 PM
 #2557

Yep, my bad. Didn't know how to do the USD option.
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September 12, 2012, 12:06:08 AM
 #2558

This is driving me nuts, why isn't this showing up on the bitcoincharts order book.

It shows up in the http api too, is there a quick way to check the websockets api? If bitcoincharts doesn't show it because of a bug that would be hell of a coincidence. They are refreshing the prices for sure.

I just realized, bitcoincharts.com order book locked up before that giant wall was placed. Look a best BID and ASK prices, something like 11.09$/BTC and 11.19$/BTC! Thats why its not showing.
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September 12, 2012, 12:08:40 AM
 #2559

Since it doesn't look that this wall gonna be sold into how long do you think it will last? When will it get pulled?
A day? A week?

This is driving me nuts, why isn't this showing up on the bitcoincharts order book.

It shows up in the http api too, is there a quick way to check the websockets api? If bitcoincharts doesn't show it because of a bug that would be hell of a coincidence. They are refreshing the prices for sure.

I just realized, bitcoincharts.com order book locked up before that giant wall was placed. Look a best BID and ASK prices, something like 11.09$/BTC and 11.19$/BTC! Thats why its not showing.

Yes I've seen that, this is very suspicious timing.
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September 12, 2012, 12:14:51 AM
 #2560

Since it doesn't look that this wall gonna be sold into how long do you think it will last? When will it get pulled?
A day? A week?

This is driving me nuts, why isn't this showing up on the bitcoincharts order book.

It shows up in the http api too, is there a quick way to check the websockets api? If bitcoincharts doesn't show it because of a bug that would be hell of a coincidence. They are refreshing the prices for sure.

I just realized, bitcoincharts.com order book locked up before that giant wall was placed. Look a best BID and ASK prices, something like 11.09$/BTC and 11.19$/BTC! Thats why its not showing.

Yes I've seen that, this is very suspicious timing.

I suspect at some point the person will get impatient and will end up buying.

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     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
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           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.                  History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS.
 
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