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1121  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 25, 2022, 09:32:27 PM
Interesting, Russia is sending T-62s.... this is a tank from 1961. It can only serve for the most basic occupation and civil containment tasks  (sending it to fight may also be possible if you want to keep killing your own soldiers). One would thing that "your brothers" are reluctant to be Putinified.

T62s don't have autoloaders, so this is going to be interesting indeed. The rate of killing their own soldiers may go up by 33% - crew of 4 instead of 3.

Also... T62s use 115mm rounds (as opposed to 125mm in T-64/72/etc), which are probably between non-existent and 20+ years old by now. So maybe they won't be firing at all, just used as "live recon" that Russians are famous for.

All they really need is a couple TI-85s to stop the death by miscalculation problem.
1122  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stake.com - The Leading Crypto Casino - 🦉 Drake, UFC, Watford Main Partner ⚽ 🥊 on: May 25, 2022, 02:49:19 PM
Just checked out the NBA bet builder and I can only say, classic stake.

They cut a big part of the original odds, MUCH higher than on other sites.

The bets I have tried ( over on points and rebounds for Al Horford ) , bet builder odds 2,94 while when you "would" bet and combine them normal (what not possible, I know) its 3,65 .

Ok they have to cut something but this big is just robbery.



They aren't independent events so you can't really compare them as if they are.  There should be scenarios where the bet builder odds are actually greater than if it were a parlay of independent events.

In your example, if a player gets more than X rebounds, he's obviously more likely to score more than X points.

If you were to bet a player gets more than X rebounds and scores 0 points, you should see a better price than the parlay  you can't bet would offer.



Say what? You have no clue wtf you are talking about, as usual.
I showed how the odds are much smaller when you use bet builder than when they actually are.

And what is this crap: "If you were to bet a player gets more than X rebounds and scores 0 points, you should see a better price than the parlay  you can't bet would offer." even supposed to mean. Just shut up and dont try to talk about stuff you have 0 clue about u clown.

The reason you aren't allowed to parlay bets on the same match is because they aren't independent events.  One outcome will influence the chances of the other happening.

With independent events, like the outcome of two separate matches, you just multiply the two to figure out the chances of both happening.  

Here's a very simple example:

If Team A has a 50% chance to beat Team B and Team C has a 50% chance to beat Team D.  .5 * .5 = .25, so there's a 25% chance that both Team A and Team C will win.

Now let's say a team has a 50% chance to be winning at halftime, and a 50% chance to win the match.  You can't just do the same math and figure that there's a 25% chance the team will be winning at half time and win the match since if they're winning at half time they're more likely to win the match.  The actual number should be somewhere between 26% and 49% depending on the nature of the game and players.

And it goes both way.  If you bet on a team to be losing at the half and then go on to win the game, the chances of that happening should be less than the 25% (in most cases).  

In your example, with total points and total rebounds, it's the same thing as the first example.  The more rebounds a player makes, the more points they are likely to score.  They aren't independent events.

1123  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 25, 2022, 10:07:50 AM
Russia sent a tiny fraction of what it would take to control Kiev,


Yeah.  They overestimated their abilities and underestimated Ukraine.

and they pulled them out overnight when their diversion action was complete.

You're doing that thing you do where you just make shit up that you want to be true.  Like when you were trying to argue that global cooling is the real threat to the planet.  Come back from fantasy land.

Feb 24 - Putin orders invasion.  Kiev is attacked.

- Bunch of embarrassing losses for Russia. -
- Massive convoy slowly moves towards Kiev, but keeps stalling due to lack of supplies and their tanks keep exploding. (massive waste of resources to end up turning around) -


March 29 - Russia announces "drastic reduction of military activity" around Kiev.

March 31 - About 20% of the forces begin to withdraw.

April 2 - Russian retreat from Kyiev is complete.





1124  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stake.com - The Leading Crypto Casino - 🦉 Drake, UFC, Watford Main Partner ⚽ 🥊 on: May 25, 2022, 09:32:41 AM
Just checked out the NBA bet builder and I can only say, classic stake.

They cut a big part of the original odds, MUCH higher than on other sites.

The bets I have tried ( over on points and rebounds for Al Horford ) , bet builder odds 2,94 while when you "would" bet and combine them normal (what not possible, I know) its 3,65 .

Ok they have to cut something but this big is just robbery.



They aren't independent events so you can't really compare them as if they are.  There should be scenarios where the bet builder odds are actually greater than if it were a parlay of independent events.

In your example, if a player gets more than X rebounds, he's obviously more likely to score more than X points.

If you were to bet a player gets more than X rebounds and scores 0 points, you should see a better price than the parlay  you can't bet would offer.

1125  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 25, 2022, 06:19:43 AM
Ukraine has no chance against Russia and never had. Even with general mobilization and unprecedented support from the West, Ukraine is losing to Russia's peacetime armies. If you think otherwise, stop taking hard drugs during daylight hours.

Reminds me of your past analysis.

Kyiv was surrounded only from three sides, and they are waiting for civilians to get out of the city to the maximum in order to minimize losses among civilians. All who do not lay down their arms will be destroyed - and it is foolish not to understand this.

In Kyiv on May 9 2022, a traditional parade will be held in honor of the victory of the USSR over Nazi Germany. It is naive and foolish to doubt it.

Zelensky and Boris take a liesurely stroll through Kiev.  date: sometime after be.open's posts

What happend to helmets and pulled proof vests in active war zones? Are they now longer fashionable?

Russia lost the Battle of Kiev and were forced to retreat.  This is old news.
1126  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 25, 2022, 12:04:20 AM
Ukraine has no chance against Russia and never had. Even with general mobilization and unprecedented support from the West, Ukraine is losing to Russia's peacetime armies. If you think otherwise, stop taking hard drugs during daylight hours.

Reminds me of your past analysis.

Kyiv was surrounded only from three sides, and they are waiting for civilians to get out of the city to the maximum in order to minimize losses among civilians. All who do not lay down their arms will be destroyed - and it is foolish not to understand this.

In Kyiv on May 9 2022, a traditional parade will be held in honor of the victory of the USSR over Nazi Germany. It is naive and foolish to doubt it.

Zelensky and Boris take a liesurely stroll through Kiev.  date: sometime after be.open's posts
1127  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 24, 2022, 06:59:28 PM


Russia’s Shrinking War
The goals of Russia’s invasion keep getting smaller. But its depleted military is still failing to make major advances, and time is on Ukraine’s side.
1128  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 24, 2022, 06:35:00 AM

Donbas defence falling apart
https://youtu.be/AjbyYtbTuO0

This group of Russian Nationalists don't think so.

Quote
Russian nationalist figures are increasingly criticizing the failures of Russia’s “special military operation” in Ukraine and are calling for further mobilization that the Kremlin likely remains unwilling and unable to pursue in the short term. The All-Russian Officers Assembly, an independent pro-Russian veterans’ association that seeks to reform Russian military strategy, called for Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin to declare war on Ukraine and introduce partial mobilization in Russia on May 19.[1] The Assembly said that Russia’s “special military operation” failed to achieve its goals in three months, especially after the failed Siverskyi Donets River crossings. ISW previously assessed that the destruction of nearly an entire Russian battalion tactical group (BTG) during a failed river crossing on May 11 shocked Russian military observers and prompted them to question Russian competence.[2] The Assembly’s appeal called on Putin to recognize that Russian forces are no longer only “denazifying” Ukraine but are fighting a war for Russia’s historic territories and existence in the world order. The officers demanded that the Kremlin mobilize all regions bordering NATO countries (including Ukraine), form territorial defense squads, extend standard military service terms from one year to two, and form new supreme wartime administrations over Russia, the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DNR and LNR), and newly occupied Ukrainian settlements. The officers also demanded the death penalty for deserters.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-23
1129  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 24, 2022, 04:40:33 AM
For anyone still supporting Putler


How have I not heard this before. 


I like it.

1130  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 24, 2022, 01:18:41 AM
Today, we will expose war crimes supporter

BRANKO

for his repeated support of Putin's war crimes!!!




BRANKO has caught our attention when he shilled FRAUD and SHITCOINS. Branko supported Ripple's XRP, a known fraud from Brad Garlingcrook. Ripple was exposed multiple times and Branko was exposed for supporting it:


Wrong thread.  Open a scam accusation if he's a scammer. Plenty of scammers support the West, and plenty of scammers have been brain washed by Putin.
1131  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 23, 2022, 08:38:27 PM
Thanks to Patrick Lancaster

Always impressed with your standards when it comes to media sources.

NY Times - ❌
BBC - ❌
RT - ✅
Putin - ✅
Youtube conspiracy blogger - ✅
...

You are not paying much attention I guess.  I use NYT, BBC, and other mainstream media only to inform you knot-heads that even your side is admitting something that they were lying about before if you don't seem to be getting it.

No I get it.  I don't mean you never use them, just that you don't consider them credible.  Whether something is "main stream" or not, from your perspective, determines whether or not you believe it.

No doubt if you lived in Russia where Putin and RT are main stream, you'd be a champion for the west, probably have Hillary posters on your bedroom wall if you weren't already in prison or dead.


to TwitchySeal

Yoohoo, Putin isn't invading Ukraine because of Nazis.  The whole Nazi thing is just an excuse.  

"Just an excuse", you say?

Yes.  Literally just an excuse.
1132  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 23, 2022, 08:45:52 AM
Azov practicing for next Eurovision (or is it donetsk people's republic court )
https://youtu.be/kVsViHlzXgw

Oh Tash... you are always giving more and more incentives to the Ukrainian army to treat POWs with decency and kindness. I am sure all the captured Russian soldiers are now thanking you for this.

For me, this is not a surprise. Putin already sacrificed a full submarine crew just to avoid asking for help. Why don't you go die for him?

Quote
MOSCOW -- In August 2000, the nuclear submarine Kursk left a port above Russia’s Arctic Circle for naval exercises on the Barents Sea. Not long after departure, one of the torpedoes on board the vessel exploded in its hatch, killing most of the 118 crew members and sending the wreck, along with 23 survivors, hurtling to the seafloor.

The blast was picked up on seismographs across Europe, but the Russian Navy made no public acknowledgement of the catastrophe. President Vladimir Putin, then just over three months into his first Kremlin term, continued vacationing on the Black Sea and made no statement about the Kursk for more than a week until his reluctant return to Moscow.

Quote
The Norwegians and others were calling in with offers of help. But he did not want them to uncover that everyone was dead, and so he just refused the help -- which, of course, made everything worse.”

Also seems pretty likely he's responsible for bombing a bunch of apartment building in Russia that killed 300 Russians so that he had an excuse to attack Chechnya.  We would have more information on it, but those who tried to investigate it kept ending up dead.  Same goes for those who tried to investigate how those investigators ended up dead....
1133  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 23, 2022, 07:58:04 AM
Thanks to Patrick Lancaster

Always impressed with your standards when it comes to media sources.

NY Times - ❌
BBC - ❌
RT - ✅
Putin - ✅
Youtube conspiracy blogger - ✅



How a former US Navy sailor became a Putin propagandist

1134  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Joe Biden is a senile, old Bitch on: May 22, 2022, 05:40:27 PM
Biden approval rating plummets to 39%, down 24 points from last year

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-approval-rating-plummets-down-24-points-last-year

Pretty bad.  Pretty much tied with Trumps rating at the same point (which was before Covid or War in Ukraine).

1135  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 22, 2022, 12:30:50 AM
Rumor has it Russia is facing the possibility of losing Crimea.
Russia Could Actually Lose Territory Amid Ukraine War Disaster
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-kyiv-crimea-putin-zelensky-donbas-1708149

This is an illusion, and a very dangerous one for all parties.
Ukraine will not be able to regain Crimea under any circumstances, since Russia's nuclear doctrine states that it will use nuclear weapons if the Kremlin decides that the existence of the state will be threatened.

A few months ago we all thought we'd be waking up to news of Zelensky dead and Kyiev occupied by Russian forces.  At the time, Russian failure and retreat within a few weeks seemed much less likely than Ukraine ultimately regaining some of it's land that was seized in 2014 today.
1136  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 21, 2022, 09:59:39 PM
Your loaded question on "rusophobia" aside, "examples of" is not equal to a widespread adoption of nazi ideology. Nazi/fascist elements can be found in any society that has a certain degree of freedom of speech. Only a few countries - Russia is among them, Ukraine is not - have adopted fascism as a policy.


Source

Stop engaging in demagogy. The Ukrainian Azov Battalion was recognized as a neo-Nazi group by the US Congress. 40 congressmen wanted it to be also considered a terrorist entity, but this initiative didn't pass then. Azov is officially part of the National Guard of Ukraine. What other countries have Nazis officially in the army, if you know of such examples?

Yoohoo, Putin isn't invading Ukraine because of Nazis.  The whole Nazi thing is just an excuse. 

Think about it, Putin is an Ethno Nationalist and a fascist.  Why would he have a problem with Nazis?  He doesn't.  He's just calling Ukrainians Nazis to get all the boomers and Russians that want it to be true so bad they are blinded to support him.

And for every Nazi in Ukraine there are hundreds, maybe thousands of Stalin supporters in Russia, which is just as bad. 
1137  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 21, 2022, 03:32:43 AM
Not sure if this is spontaneous or somehow organized, but it defies the typical excuses that nothing can be done in protest against Putin's regime. Apparently some things can be done and are being done.

Silver lining to dictator cracking down on dissent is the creative ways to protest.

Like switching price tags in the grocery store, or hacking the TV guide:



1138  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 21, 2022, 12:35:46 AM
Secretly forcing your citizens to fight a war has it's consequences. 

Quote
Unknown Russian perpetrators conducted a series of Molotov cocktail attacks on Russian military commissariats throughout the country in May, likely in protest of covert mobilization. Russian media and local Telegram channels reported deliberate acts of arson against military commissariats in three Moscow Oblast settlements—Omsk, Volgograd, Ryazan Oblast, and Khanty-Mansi Autonomous District—between May 4 and May 18.[5] Ukrainian General Staff Main Operations Deputy Chief Oleksiy Gromov said that there were at least 12 cases of deliberate arson against military commissariats in total and five last week.[6] Russian officials caught two 16-year-olds in the act in one Moscow Oblast settlement, which suggests that Russian citizens are likely responsible for the attacks on military commissariats.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-19
1139  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 20, 2022, 08:53:04 PM
Rumor has it

Rumor has it Russia is facing the possibility of losing Crimea.


Russia Could Actually Lose Territory Amid Ukraine War Disaster
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-kyiv-crimea-putin-zelensky-donbas-1708149
1140  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 20, 2022, 05:51:00 PM
Many nationalists worship bandera in Ukraine today and yes he was a nazi collaborator and war criminal who murdered Jews and other ethnic minorities.

Many nationalists worship Stalin (arguably more evil than Hitler) in Russia today and yes he was a nazi collaborator and war criminal who murdered Jews and other ethnic minorities. 

Stalin More Popular Than Putin in Russia These Days
https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/articles/2019-05-09/stalin-is-more-popular-than-ever-in-russia-survey-shows

(from 2019)

But so what.  That wouldn't justify any country attempt to stop Russia from existing as a country.
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