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1181  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: ASIC Testing? Some interesting activity... on: October 05, 2012, 02:34:20 AM
Is it just me or is this address (mtLDA41NWe9rLm7nuMvAnTs2SbP49cz1ZR) producing block very quickly on the test net. I'm not 100% with these calculations, but I'm sure someone will correct me soon enough Smiley  (please do)

According to: https://blockexplorer.com/testnet/q/hashestowin
it takes an average of 866076851417 hashes to win

According to: https://blockexplorer.com/testnet/address/mtLDA41NWe9rLm7nuMvAnTs2SbP49cz1ZR
this address is producing a block about every 10 minutes (this is complete estimation, by all means run the timestamps for me if you desire).

(866076851417 hashes/block) / [(10 minutes/block)*(60 seconds/minute)] = 1443461419.03 hashes/second

= 1.443 THash/s

Makes sense to me. They could be finishing up the testing on the Mini Rigs...if you have a Rig working, chances are all the other products work as well (since it's just a heap of all the other products in one big case). Hopefully in the next few weeks we'll have some definitive evidence.
1182  Economy / Securities / Re: GLBSE is offline We will update our users on Saturday. on: October 05, 2012, 01:39:27 AM
I've been contemplating taking the LTC-GLOBAL code and putting up a bitcoin version.  I have a few major features I'd like to finish first.  (1 week of dev work?)  Swapping out some text, the css, the litecoind for a bitcoind, and the header/footer would be easy.

Another option I've been thinking about is finishing up the major features, then putting up the code for sale along with a single-use (restricted to bitcoin) license. 

I suspect the shareholders of LTC-GLOBAL would be happy with either option.  Both would be a nice payday for shareholders.

That would be awesome...do it! Cheesy
1183  Economy / Securities / Re: GLBSE is offline We will update our users on Saturday. on: October 04, 2012, 10:38:32 PM
Maybe I'm naive, but I think investing is a noble thing to do.

Damn straight. Real world economies would have a little less trouble these days if the ultra-wealthy of the world actually moved that money around rather than sit on it.

Investing does actually have economic benefits..assuming we're talking long term investments versus day trading the shit out of a stock. Just like here in the community and under our own exchanges, investing allows the community to support various business ventures, which in turn helps to expand and promote not only the business, but bitcoin as well.
1184  Economy / Securities / Re: GLBSE is offline We will update our users on Saturday. on: October 04, 2012, 10:35:15 PM
I agree with others that the lack of advance notice and the vagueness of the announcement suggests legal issues.  I suspect that if GLBSE comes back online in the near future, those legal issues will be reflected in how it operates from now on and that people probably aren't going to like any changes Nefario makes to keep the service operating.

I hate to say it, but you're probably right. The reason I went to GLBSE in the first place was not only for it's attractiveness, ease of use (compared to other exchanges), and popularity, but also because you could work on your business / IPO without the red tape found under normal, real world, government regulated exchanges. To bring in the FSA and UK laws means that, sure, there won't be any more scams (or at least harder to spot), but there would be increased fees and a lot more time and BS to wade through.

Makes me wonder if it's a better option to drop $350 and work with MPEx or figure out some feasible way to work with LitecoinGlobal....
1185  Economy / Securities / Re: [ASICMining.B] ASIC Investments - Establishing my Investment Firm, Part 1 on: October 04, 2012, 09:52:51 PM
I thought of three years, because Moore's law until now has been 24 months (number of transistors doubles ~24 months), and this will most likely change to 36 months soon for the most recent technologies.
Due to frequency increases accouring at the same time, computing power roughly has doubled every 18 months.

Bitcoin ASICs are currently based on conservative node sizes, therefore I think we could see a doubling of hashing power every 18 months, for some years at least.
Therefore after 36 months computing power should have quadrupled.

In relation this means, there would be only 25 % of bitcoin production capacity left (if difficulty increases accordingly), compared to the beginning. This will most probably not allow any additional economically reasonable generation of bitcoins, leaving the Hardware worthless as a production asset.

You bring up a good point. Ideally I would participate in BFL's trade-in programs for future generations of ASIC devices (they've already hinted at this) in order to keep up with the change in technology.

Aside from generating blocks, mining equipment generates revenue through network transaction fees. If my plan works out, I would seek to maintain my position as one of the top miners, not only now, but in the future as well. This would mean that even though we'll eventually reach the point where each block generates 0 new coins (or fractions close enough to 0) I should theoretically still be able to turn a profit through network transaction fees only. But this is many years away, so it's 100% speculation at this point.


@bobitza
When you use BTC to balance assets that would make things easier.
Though you may have to do extraordinary depreciation on mining-hardware, when new mining hardware is available for a substiantial lower price e. g. due to USD/BTC price rise.

We want to have accounting in BTC, as BTC are our common value, not USD, not EUR.
But he has to provide accounting in USD for taxation purposes.

Right on track here. Once everything is rolling, there would be two sets of accounting information. One is done 100% in BTC to show revenue generated by the equipment and my expenses paying back bondholders / Coupon Rates. The other done in USD for tax purposes.

You can easily value your assets in USD, but what is with liabilites in BTC
If BTC/USD price jumps you will have to book a massive expense for currency translation adjustments, because you need more USD to pay the bonds back.
This may lead to a insolvency.

If BTC/USD will fall, this should be no problem.
Bonds are now less worth in USD, this will give you a revenue from currency translation adjustments.

Currency translation adjustments on mining revenue shouldn't be a problem.

Ah I understand now...and I actually think I mislead you (or any other readers) before when I noted I'd be creating revenue for my company via Bonds. Though this is technically true to begin with, it is far from the 5,000 BTC I estimated for 12 months.

Here's more or less how it would work over 12 months: Out of, say, those "5,000 BTC", 90% (4500) would be generated from mining and converted to USD. The remaining 10% (500) comes from the Bonds at the very beginning to get everything started (initial payments to datacenter, office rent, etc etc). Those 500 coins are currently backed 100% by me, so should anything happen I can cover the Bondholders. This helps to limit liability and avoid issues with the exchange rate. Naturally, this is just a guess as to what I'll need. The numbers I chose where just for an easy example.

Doing this stuff is passion of mine, so I'd hate to see it go insolvent Cheesy
1186  Economy / Securities / Re: GLBSE is offline We will update our users on Saturday. on: October 04, 2012, 06:08:57 PM
Each equity should have its own separate website where users can buy and sell the security.

I think a whitelabel site would be a great idea.  git clone, bootstrap and configure, and go from there.  Account management would be tough unless there was federation, but underwriters could choose with whom they would federate for quick transfers.  If they don't trust or even like you, you don't get to participate in the StarCoin Alliance.

You could rapidly define and ensure a minimum level of security including cold wallets, openid or certificate based auth, a simple accounting backend, etc. by making them out of the box.

Mind starting a thread on features and prioritizing functionality into "can't do without", "important to have", and "wouldn't it be nice?"

That would be super cool and fantastically easier to manage from my point of view...or at least organized a bit better.

People need to calm down geeze lol

Easier said than done. Many people have quite a bit of money tied up here, and even though the page states not to worry about their coins there's still quite a bit of uncertainty that has a lot of people second guessing themselves. Historically, if someone says "Don't Panic" it's usually the time when panicking is a good option.
1187  Economy / Securities / Re: [ASICMining.B] ASIC Investments - Establishing my Investment Firm, Part 1 on: October 04, 2012, 04:54:11 PM
Depreciation should be pretty straight forward, because the conversion from BTC to USD is already done, and those assets will be listed with their USD value, (how else would you be able to file your income report for taxation)

The time frame is more interesting. Do you think 3 years will work?

You're exactly right, and I thought about that after my reply but didn't update it. The equipment would be taken at purchased value and probably depreciated at the same rate as normal computer/server hardware.

For the time frame, 12-24 months should be all that's needed. Why come up with 3 years?


Though your liabilities (BONDs) will be in USD too.
I fear the following scenario:

Dec-1st:
Total capital: 30,000 USD
Liabilites through bonds: 2,000 BTC @ 10.00 USD/BTC spotprice = 20,000 USD
Net equity: 10,000 USD

Now lets assume you were able to generate a net income of 1,000 USD for that month (before CTA)
then on Dec-31:
Total capital: 31,000 USD
Now the spotprice has changed and may be 16.00 USD/BTC

Liabilities through bonds: 2,000 BTC @ 16.00 USD/BTC = 32,000 USD
Meaning there would be an additional expense as a currency translation adjustment with 12,000 USD.

Net equity: (1,000) USD

Does GAAP differ here?
Unless bond-holders waive, wouldn't that mean, that the LLC would be insolvent.

What is the main reason for those bonds? Do you want to leverage the shareholders capital, or do you want to offer investors an instrument with garantueed payback?

Unfortunately I'm not entirely sure I'm following here. Are you referring to the revenue converted from BTC to USD, which would technically need to be converted back to BTC at a later date?
1188  Economy / Securities / Re: GLBSE is offline We will update our users on Saturday. on: October 04, 2012, 04:44:18 PM
Lack of explanation implies lawyers got involved. Wait and see what happens.

Unfortunately, in my experience, you're right. Whenever something or someone goes 100% quiet it means they're involved with lawyers/lawsuits/courts/etc
1189  Economy / Securities / Re: GLBSE is offline We will update our users on Saturday. on: October 04, 2012, 04:22:15 PM
I don't know anything about this. I am extremely irritated with Nefario.

Welcome to the club Sad
1190  Economy / Securities / Re: Standard accounting procedure on: October 04, 2012, 03:46:24 PM
The best type of accounting is easy accounting.

The best type of account is accurate, not easy accounting  Wink

NO.

We should be using GAAP or IAS.

Coming up with our own standards will undoubtedly lead to confusion, scamming, and any number of other bad things.

Couldn't have said it better myself.

If you're new to account, take a look at these example financial sheets to get an idea of what it might look like. Organization is absolutely key in your statements.
1191  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE][ASICMining.B] ASIC Investments - Establishing my Investment Firm, Part 1 on: October 04, 2012, 01:51:41 PM
So you want to start an official business (LLC), which means you would have to do accounting in USD?
 (Which regulation would apply for a small business? Cash or accrual accounting / double bookkeeping? )

There has to be a substiantial amount of net equitiy before you can raise USD liquidity through BTC bonds/debt,
because you have to do currency transaction adjustments, to reflect the liabilities in BTC,
which may lead to unforeseen expenses, resulting in a negative net equity?

Precisely, but the business would be (initially) supported by revenue that I've converted from BTC (so about 5,000BTC over 12 months, just as an estimate for now). So out of that revenue each month comes all of my real-world business expenses, such as equipment insurance, office/datacenter rent, electricity, bandwidth, and anything else I can't think of.
The remainder after all this would be taxed as income at either a Single-Member LLC tax rate (essentially the profit is recorded on my personal tax documents and I'm taxed as such), or I can elect to have it taxed as a Corporation (which is more likely, since as an LLC under $50,000 profit my rate would only be 15%).

The tricky part (which I think you touched on) is noting a the depreciation of the mining equipment in USD when it was purchased in BTC. Other than that, as long as I maintain a clear boundary between the BTC world and the USD world, the accounting should be pretty straightforward.

Of course, this is all based on my experience with Financial and Managerial accounting...I'm going to consult with a CPA when this gets off the ground.
1192  Economy / Securities / Re: [ASICMining.B] ASIC Investments - Establishing my Investment Firm, Part 1 on: October 04, 2012, 01:36:21 PM
Personally I dont think the "bonds" on glbse should be called that since they lose your principal and are mostly perpetual.

When is the IPO ? Might be a good place to park some excess coin for a few months.

If all went perfectly, the IPO was September 1st (I had everything submitted and paid for during the last week in August). Then Nefario froze all IPOs as they worked on GLBSE, so I reworked everything for October 1st.
In a PM back on Sept. 25th, Nefario noted he would be submitting the contract for review so he could pass the IPO...but no one has heard from him (or ColdHardMetal) since over last week.

I guess at this point it's just "play it by ear" Sad
1193  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL ASIC is bogus on: October 04, 2012, 01:26:19 PM
I have mined 25+ thousand BTC the last 2 years. I couldn't care less of the comparatively tiny financial profits of this bet.

Pics or it didn't happen

Can I interest you in a fully insured no risk 7% ROI per week investment opportunity?

haha +1 Cheesy
1194  Other / Off-topic / Re: Let's Count to 21 Million with Images on: October 04, 2012, 02:28:00 AM
1195  Other / Off-topic / Re: Let's Count to 21 Million with Images on: October 04, 2012, 02:27:25 AM
1196  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Future Hash Rate Poll 1/2013 on: October 03, 2012, 09:11:43 PM
it is all estimate because it all has to be calculated on the theory that asic systems bring what is promised [...]

Quite right. But there's a difference between "pooping out random numbers on paper" and "backing your estimate with a well thought out analysis consisting of arithmetic and statistics".

[...] and they could just suddenly adjust there specs 2 mnd before shipments ... nobody knows.

Unlikely for first generation ASIC chips. They (meaning all known ASIC companies) low-balled it before to make sure they could all meet their original specs. Turns out, the chips can perform quite a bit better with some tweaking, so everyone adjusted their specs to properly compete with one another.
1197  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The man with no identity on: October 03, 2012, 09:04:29 PM

He didn't kill anyone.

How do you know?  Grin Grin Grin

Because I read the article...but I suppose there is the chance that this man could have taken a life at some point and the FBI is none the wiser Tongue
1198  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The man with no identity on: October 03, 2012, 07:51:50 PM
A perfect spokesperson for bitcoin. lol  No, we should find out who he killed 23 years ago first.

He didn't kill anyone..he broke into the guy's car 22 years ago and stole his wallet...
1199  Other / Off-topic / Re: [GUIDE] [FIREFOX] How to Change the Adress Bar Search Engine on: October 03, 2012, 05:29:52 PM
[GUIDE] [CHROME] How to Change the Adress Bar Search Engine

1. Right click Adress bar
2. Select "Edit Search Engines"
3. Select from a list of more than 100 search engines.


Lol +1 for Chrome Tongue

I'm actually surprised Firefox doesn't have a similar option...and I'd check, but I haven't used FF in over a year.
1200  Other / Off-topic / Re: What did the Islamic Civilization ever do for us ? on: October 03, 2012, 05:28:11 PM
@korbman

in that video he mentions arabic numerals, astrolabe , algebra/algorithm from arabic but i didn't know so many stars have arabic star names

at school when learning algebra i didnt know it was from islamic world , i thought its something western i dont remember any school books mentioning any islamic scientist

Sounds like we should head over and post in the "What we've learnt today" [https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=65853.0] section  Cheesy
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