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13981  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Serious qestions about CEX.io and other cloud mining services on: November 25, 2013, 06:14:52 AM
Some people cannot afford to buy equipment, or cannot run the equipment for one reason or another.  It is more expensive to cloud hash, but depending on the price of BTC versus the cost it can be profitable.

Really? I don't think it can, because you can't pay in anything other than BTC, so I don't see why it has anything to do with the BTC/USD rate.  I am saying that if you put X BTC into cex.io and simply cloud mine, there is no chance of ever getting X out, and definitely not more than X.  If that was made clear to users (again, who are not interested in spec trading GHS v BTC) then no one would sign up.  Currently the site seems extremely dishonest about what is going on.

You can get more out if the difficulty goes down (or goes up less). That is the gamble.


I think the lowering of difficulty (or even the lowering in the speed of increase) is very very unlikely.

New ASIC technologies are just going to break the roof.

Just for the record, I don't disagree, and I don't recommend buying hash power on CEX. I'm just saying that if you buy hash power on CEX with the intention for holding it for mining profits you are implicitly expecting difficultly to stagnate or fall.

So if the question is "are hash shares on CEX overvalued" my answer would be yes and your answer would be yes, but isn't a logical certainty.

The one thing that would likely put a damper on difficulty would be a big crash in the price of BTC. So in a way you could look at CEX as being a short on BTC.


13982  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Serious qestions about CEX.io and other cloud mining services on: November 25, 2013, 05:54:15 AM
Some people cannot afford to buy equipment, or cannot run the equipment for one reason or another.  It is more expensive to cloud hash, but depending on the price of BTC versus the cost it can be profitable.

Really? I don't think it can, because you can't pay in anything other than BTC, so I don't see why it has anything to do with the BTC/USD rate.  I am saying that if you put X BTC into cex.io and simply cloud mine, there is no chance of ever getting X out, and definitely not more than X.  If that was made clear to users (again, who are not interested in spec trading GHS v BTC) then no one would sign up.  Currently the site seems extremely dishonest about what is going on.

You can get more out if the difficulty goes down (or goes up less). That is the gamble.
13983  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [OPEN] R18x: 1 TH/s Bitmine Rig, $70 = 10-15GH/s. Jan. '14 + DZ MC Bonuses on: November 25, 2013, 01:59:43 AM
There will  be more we are just waiting on exactly how many modules we can offer.
as someone who bought shares in R18B I have a dumb question:

Why invest in more modules of R18B (10~15GH per share) if only a month after that you are launching R17 (40GB per share)
are you assuming that the difficulty will rise 400% in one month?
What does that say for the ROI of R10B?

It's more than a month. This one is promised for mid January, the other one for late February. Figure three difficulty jumps, and these shares are $70 instead of $110.

It seems fairly close, depending on exactly the trajectory you expect difficulty to take (it isn't and never has been a uniform rise per jump, despite what calculators assume).

13984  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Coinbase withdrawal delays thread [Please add ACH delay reports to this thread] on: November 23, 2013, 08:01:30 AM
New oddity.

I sold some bitcoins the other day but now the sell transaction is gone, and the coins are back in my account.

No email or other notification.

In place of where the sale used to be in my history, it says "You sent bitcoin to Coinbase" 11/19 and then today "You purchased bitcoins" (I didn't) on 11/22 for the same amount.

I guess I shouldn't really complain because the price is higher than when I sold, but this kind of weird stuff happening in my account does not inspire confidence in their service.

What's going on?

13985  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [OPEN] ASICMiner Blades 10.7gh - .39 BTC - Free Ship - Pre-made power connectors on: November 23, 2013, 04:00:11 AM
any blades/backplanes ordered

Price of backplanes (no other mention of them in this thread but for the comment above)?  Thanks

In the OP it says you get a free backplane with 7+ blades.
13986  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [OPEN] ASICMiner Blades 10.7gh - .39 BTC - Free Ship - Pre-made power connectors on: November 23, 2013, 01:46:54 AM
Congrats. PM and payment sent. Looking forward to the blades.
13987  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Coinbase withdrawal delays thread [Please add ACH delay reports to this thread] on: November 23, 2013, 12:10:40 AM
I got a small ACH yesterday that had been delayed a couple of days. I was thinking about doing a larger one with them but I think I'll wait until this is cleared up.

13988  Economy / Securities / Re: distributions / transaction fees on: November 22, 2013, 11:44:55 PM
We're already at the point where reliably spending the distributions involves prohibitive transaction fees. For someone with one seat the latest distribution is 0.00018967. The standard transaction fee is 0.0001 per KB and pulling the output of a transaction into a new one takes about 1/4 a KB. So spending the distributions will cost roughly 12%.

I disagree with this logic and I see this as the reason why dust is considered so evil. It is not. The main problem is bitcoin clients do not handle dust correctly. This is why I modify my bitcoind to handle dust without problems. I have communicated these changes to Bitcoin devs.

Your solution only works when the dust coins are a small part of the value, but you have some bigger coins to spend. If someone is getting their coins by receiving small distributions from Nasty Fans, modest-hashrate pool payouts, etc. their entire wallet will be "dust"

Also, I'm not sure if this is a solution long term. There is an actual cost per KB to miners of including transactions (that is vaguely close to the current fees). Your suggestion increases their actual (average) cost per KB, so fees in that case would probably go up.

Another suggestion. Offer the option to take (small) distributions in a lower-value altcoin.
13989  Economy / Securities / Re: distributions / transaction fees on: November 22, 2013, 11:02:36 PM
We're already at the point where reliably spending the distributions involves prohibitive transaction fees. For someone with one seat the latest distribution is 0.00018967. The standard transaction fee is 0.0001 per KB and pulling the output of a transaction into a new one takes about 1/4 a KB. So spending the distributions will cost roughly 12%.  Of course you can gamble on not including a fee and hope your transaction goes through, but that's not really a solution.

Something needs to be done, maybe just include a check box for people to voluntarily put their seats into probation status?

Doesnt the tx fee lower when it ages?

Essentially no.

A transaction will be processed without fee (given sufficient block space, but that's becoming an issue) if it is "high priority" (and some other conditions, see link below). That requires a 1 BTC transaction that is only a day old or some equivalent combination of size and age. A transaction of 0.00018967 would need to be over 5000 days old to make it. Even then a combination of enough of these (~40) would fail because that would be >10000 bytes.

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Transaction_fees

13990  Economy / Securities / distributions / transaction fees on: November 22, 2013, 10:37:54 PM
We're already at the point where reliably spending the distributions involves prohibitive transaction fees. For someone with one seat the latest distribution is 0.00018967. The standard transaction fee is 0.0001 per KB and pulling the output of a transaction into a new one takes about 1/4 a KB. So spending the distributions will cost roughly 12%.  Of course you can gamble on not including a fee and hope your transaction goes through, but that's not really a solution.

Something needs to be done, maybe just include a check box for people to voluntarily put their seats into probation status?
13991  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [OPEN] R18x: 1 TH/s Bitmine Rig, $70 = 10-15GH/s. Jan. '14 + DZ MC Bonuses on: November 22, 2013, 08:48:13 PM
18 is open? Doesn't show available on the web site.
13992  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Review of my experience with Coinbase.com on: November 22, 2013, 08:31:40 PM
Anybody have any issues selling bitcoins through them, particularly larger amounts? I theoretically have a 50 BTC/day selling limit. I wonder what would happen if I tried to do that?

13993  Economy / Securities / Re: [NastyFans.org] NASTY MINING | NASTY POOL on: November 21, 2013, 10:49:54 AM
Maybe let people set their own payment schedule? There is already a mechanism to hold the donations for probation accounts. That could be extended to all accounts.

I like this idea. But it must be limited to choice. Maybe 1-week/2-week/4-week/8-week. Batch payments must happen to save tx fees.

Also realize that donation distributions do not care about auction. Who has the seat on the distribution gets all donations for that seat. If you use 8-week donation distribution and sell a seat 1 day before distribution all 8 week donations go to new owner. I will not implement logic so 7.2359 weeks donations go to old owner and 0.7641 weeks donations go to new owner. Such a feature introduces many complexity and corner cases. As example a seat changing owners many times within 1 week or old owners no longer members.

How about any unpaid distributions (just fully credited, but not yet paid, NOT partial weeks) associated with a seat are added to the sale price.

Example, you accept an offer to sell a seat for 0.05 but the seat has 0.001 of unpaid distributions from previous weeks. You have to pay 0.501 to buy the seat. The new owner inherits the 0.001 accrual so the net price paid is 0.05.

I'd rather see a system in place where the user could set a minimum payout threshold.

Yes that seems simpler.
13994  Economy / Securities / Re: [NastyFans.org] NASTY MINING | NASTY POOL on: November 21, 2013, 01:31:58 AM
If we switch to 50 or 75% won't that put the weekly seat distribution pretty close to the dust level (obviously depending on how many seats one owns)? If so maybe we should consider switching to a bi-weekly or more payout schedule.

Good point - if we move to a vote to raise the percentage and it's passed this should go up for a poll vote as well, if anything should save us some on the transaction fees.

Maybe let people set their own payment schedule? There is already a mechanism to hold the donations for probation accounts. That could be extended to all accounts.

13995  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [CLOSED]R13x: Black Arrow Bullet Run, Nov. + DZ MC Bonuses on: November 20, 2013, 03:08:43 AM
Refund received. Thanks!
13996  Economy / Securities / Re: [NastyFans.org] NASTY MINING | NASTY POOL on: November 19, 2013, 10:17:20 PM
Saving is good to be nimble. In any business sometimes opportunities arise that don't allow enough time for fundraising. Savings isn't that useful to take advantage of BTC price increases or to support seat values for its own sake because members could do that on their own. I'd rather see money in excess of reasonable working capital needs be distributed. (We're a long way from that of course.)

Also, forgive me if this has already been brought up (the thread is pretty long and I only joined recently) but how about an option to reinvest distributions by automatically buying seats on the auction (check box to enable plus a maximum price per seat to be paid)? This would provide some better liquidity for the seats, since it presently isn't possible to have any kind of standing buy order (only sell orders).
13997  Economy / Securities / Re: [NastyFans.org] NASTY MINING | NASTY POOL on: November 19, 2013, 07:15:16 PM
I'd point out that the amount of debt may seem large but it is only 0.0114 BTC per seat (using nominal 25,000 seats). At current seat prices this is a very reasonable debt to equity ratio. As I said before, mining is a competitive low margin business and if you are good at it some leverage is appropriate and useful.

I voted against the change but going to 50% would be okay.

I think the biggest reason the share price is dropping is concern over the delivery dates for the next gen ASICs, especially BFL.
13998  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Now Vetted by DZ] 5 Terraminer IV's-10% Deposit Bonus-Escrow with SebatianJu on: November 19, 2013, 04:02:16 AM
If its such a great deal why don't you just do a standard group buy?

Maybe you have great ideas for innovative mining business models but you really need to get a loyal following before you can pull that off. Otherwise it is a bit much to ask for people who don't know you to wrap their head around your "big ideas." Start out with something more familar then do the innovative stuff later. My 2c.
I agree, that's why I created the BROI ROO HPC,

Facepalm.


13999  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: BitBurner Fury IN STOCK MAJOR PRICE CUT on: November 19, 2013, 03:33:22 AM
Question, if these boards are 50-75W then why is a 650W power supply needed for 1-2 boards and 1050W for 5-6 boards. That's almost 200W per board.

https://www.asic-hardware.com/product-category/accessory/


Could be the quality of the power supply.  Zefir reported even though 8 boards only pulled 750W from the wall with a meter he had to upgrade from a 850W supply to a larger one to get it stable @ 50GH per board.  Perhaps some quick transient power spikes or something?  Not really sure. 

Plus the power supplies are always most efficient at 50% load, and many PSUs are of questionable quality to begin with so really better safe than sorry!

Decent supplies like 80 Gold are usually at least 87-88% even close to 100% load (up to about 90% at 40-50%), though they do usually run the fan harder at the high end. 750 W isn't too bad for 8 boards but is still a lot more than the 50-75 W/board being advertised.
14000  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Now Vetted by DZ] 5 Terraminer IV's-10% Deposit Bonus-Escrow with SebatianJu on: November 19, 2013, 03:27:22 AM
If its such a great deal why don't you just do a standard group buy?

Maybe you have great ideas for innovative mining business models but you really need to get a loyal following before you can pull that off. Otherwise it is a bit much to ask for people who don't know you to wrap their head around your "big ideas." Start out with something more familar then do the innovative stuff later. My 2c.
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