Chances are, probably not. Simply because he/she/they don't have any reason to. I literally don't see a single pro besides the fact that the mystery is finally unveiled. As for the biggest con, almost any information about Satoshi being revealed is a con. Satoshi's Chinese? "ChiNa OwNs BiTcOiN". Satoshi's a Trump/Biden supporter? "BiTcOiN iS fOr LeFt-WiNg/RiGhT-WiNg" or whatever. The list goes on.
I totally agree with you. The disappearance of satoshi was one of the most important events in the history of bitcoin, and after years I'm sure that it was a good move for BTC. Having no centralized identity that you can target hate on is great. The appearance of satoshi will definitely have a negative impact on the btc price. @OP To be hones i think that satoshi is dead. Died in a car accident or other sudden death situation. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3;sa=showPostsHe was posting almost every day. Few posts daily and than disappeared. He didn't even say goodbye. He did not write that he was abandoning the project because BTC is ready enough for that. He just disappeared. |
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Does anyone make good profit from Last market crash when CAKE was below $10? Did you bought it? Have you sell it or still stake it on PANCAKESWAP? if you bought it, you have made 100% easily only with HOLDING
Cake was under 10$ for about 30 min out of last 2.5 months. Buying there was extremely hard. Who would have thought that cake will dump 80% in 28 days. Every falling knives buyer already bought at 30$ (you suggested that too). So dont call it "100% easily only with HOLDING". Its 100% thanks to super luck not to holding. Its like calling winning in a lottery "super lucky, you only had to buy winning ticked and HOLDING it". you should be more modest at this point because you've shilled cake at $ 30-40 CAKE is very cheap now guys. Only traded around 26-28 bucks, when it ATH was 44 bucks. Don't regret once it goes to 100 bucks
CAKE could be drop more than now, i'm not saying $35 is lowest price, but it's damn cheap.
Now CAKE is on correction. It currently around $36-$37 and would a good choice to buy some with your money right now. Buy more when it goes down to $30 or below and then HODL until it reached $100.
Taking average of prices on which you call "good price to buy" we will end up at ~30$ per cake. -30% to current price. Not "100% easily only with HOLDING"   In short term chart does not look bad. Bounce back to 30$ is possible but it will be last chance to "take profit" IF thats the end of current bull market for whole crypto industry which i give like 70:30.If its not the end of bull run for whole crypto industry even your 100$ target is possible but its like betting all your money on 00 in roulette. Its possible to win ... but not probable ... and reward is not worth the risk. Making long term investments today is not investing. Its gambling. |
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To me when hundred are starting to shout about stopping the FUD that's a clear indicator people are panicking for real.
I agree. Those that scream at dumpers calling them panic sellers, calling everything FUD, creating topic like OP .. are in fact the biggest panic hodlers. People that are too scared to make financail decision. In the end of the day not doing anything FUD has become the perfect excuse, everything is good for crypto, anything that is not good is FUD.
There is no such thing bad news, there is no problem, everything is FUD!
Are you bothered by high fees? You FUDist, just wait one month and look, fees are low again., it was FUD!
We've arrived at a point when pointing even one tiny flow makes you an enemy, a spreader of FUD, grab the pitchfork and hang him!
I have a feeling that all those people that dismiss everything as FUD are actually the most scared of those facts been actually real and are already pissing their pants.
That's scary that the crypto church is growin so fast, turning investors into believers. Because that's what you just said desciribe a member of a sect or cult rather than rational investors. |
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Re: Stop the FUD! Enough is enough!
Why such frustration? BTC need to shake out weak hands... In current situations you have 2 options: 1- cry and beg to stop FUD 2- if you are so sure about "People selling now to the FUD are going to regret it later" wait for the dip and buy more Every price action is an opportunity either for accumulation or distribution. |
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My answer is simple. No, it can't. None of the governments would be eager to use a completely volatile currency. And they are right to think like that also. Why would I want to risk my economy in the end? Bitcoin is already a very good alternative option and it should stay like that.
BTC is so volatile because of low dept of market, high percentage of inexperienced traders, low amount of big market makers. With every step BTC makes this numbers change. Its not like BTC will become a world reserve currency staying at 50k price with current price behaviour... I doubt it will happened but if it will happened BTC will pump to like 50 mln $ and volume will pump from 40B$ to few trillions and huge market makers will bring liquidity that will reduce volatility. |
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This may surprise you but China IS A COUNTRY. Not a single person. I can go even further with your logic. 51% is bullshit because 100% of bitcoin hashing power is controlled by single planet called EARTH. Earth can do 51% attack on BTC anytime. BTC is doomed. Sell you BTC and run away to $$ that increased its supply by 25% in last year. How can idiots post without even checking out the linked article? You can clearly see from the graph, that +90% of all BTC is mined in CHINA.
60% |
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What else should we expect? Crypto community also skyrocked in last years. Its hard to expect that same amount of crimes will be made in 1000 people community and 100 000 people community. Question is if the percentage of crimes vs number of people rised? I guess not
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1. Whales holding 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoins sold some Bitcoin, after Tesla's announcement. Meanwhile , shark holding 100 - 1,000 Bitcoin increased sharply.
Or maybe 1 mln BTC whale decided to split his coins from 100 wallets 10k BTC each to 1000 wallets 1k BTC each? How poeple know that those people were selling? Thats just a number of wallets not number of coins inside of them. And its just a number of wallets it does not say where BTCs were transferred. It does not say if they were sold after transfer. It also does not show whales that hold their BTCs on exchanges or are not moving coins from cold wallets but are heading their bag using futures... I think this information has 0 value. |
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Tether is full of controversies over the years but still it remained as the most trusted, most traded, and most utilized stablecoin. But there are now other options. So if you think Tether is risky enough, then you may choose USDC or BUSD.
Its not the most trusted stable coin. Its the most traded ... yes but its only because of its position, which was built years ago, when there were not yet so many alternatives. But it is visible that USDT is slowly losing battle. In fact USDT already lost on all platworms except centralized exchanges. Biggest pool on uniswap is ETH/USDC not USDT. USDT/ETH volume is 4 times lower than USDC/ETH on DEX. It proofs that people are not holding USDT anymore. They are using it only to trade on CEX. |
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"Warning: Cardano can drops to 0.5$ and Ethereum to $800"
Cardano can drop to 0.0001$ - around 5 mln $ marketcap because that's the true value of startup with unfinished product that did not deliver anything in past 4 years while whole market was push forward dramatically. Everyone develop and deliver great stuff. Cardano is busy making promises.
Someone once said that in crypto it is better to not deliver stuff, because a promise is worth here more than product because if you see a product and its user base, you are able to estimate value, if you dont see product and its user base you tend to overestimate its future value.
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On the market there is no free money. He leaves such luxury life style thanks to us. Late adopters that pay 10-50k for BTC. What Lesson? One rabbi will say “Hodl BTC”; another rabbi will say “If BTC already created bunch of crypto billionaire that luxury life style only because of small purchase 8 years ago what are the chances that it will create new once from today's investors?”
I was thinking a lot about dumping some on my BTC at 50-60k range and around 45-50k during dump. But ... I believe in BTC more than i believe in $$ XD I just dont want to hodl $$ or any other fiats these days.
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Why should this analysis work?
Because investors likes to compare projects. Especially if they have similar tech. Its not regular stock where you can compare P/E or price to book value. Most new projects wont make it to the top10 of coins.
There are 20k projects and only 10 projects are in top 10 so yea. Most wont be there XD And its not about tech YET. Its about hype. |
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Now when analyzing new projects if we think that the project is good and promising could we estimate the ATH of that project when it matures by assigning it to one of theses intervals, I mean if this project has a max supply of 45B which is huge could we says that we estimate its ATH to be between 2 and 5 like ADA? In the other hand it it has only 1B max supply could we predict its ATH to be around 43 euros like Link? Does this make sense as an analysis? Am I missing some parameters?
This is correct as far as this asset will be as popular as the one that you took as parameter and will take part in alt seazon as strong as the one we have seen recently - marketcap of all altcoins (total market capitalization excluding bitcoin) did x20 in last year. Shiba and all meme coins proved that fundamental does not matter at the top of mania. And the top of mania is the moment when we see ATH prices being reached - prices that you refer to. You are also refering to ADA ... ADA is a phenomenon on a global scale - shouldn't be used as indicator. They are close to devlivering something that they call huge ... for last 4 years. When I was researching ADA in 2017 It was promising project. It is promising project in 2021 ... nothing changed except that 4 years have passet and still no one is using ADA because of now working product. And that's enough to be evaluated at 47 billion $! |
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Przeszłe wyniki nie są gwarancją przyszłych czy jak to tam szło.  Racja Cena za długo szła bokiem stąd pozornie sam jeden tweet tyle zrobił. Basic income w USA się kończy, kraje się otwierają (przynajmniej te ~50 bogatszych), będzie więcej okazji do wychodzenia z domu i wydawania pieniędzy, więc i popyt na BTC/kryptowaluty powinien spadać.
Powiem ci szczerze, że daleki jestem od stwierdzeń, że za pompą na wszystkim (złoto +50%, SP500 +40%, DAX +40%, BTC +300% nawet WIG20 +35%, SWIG80 +70%! w rok) stoją socjale rozdawane ludziom. Że to ludzie, którzy zwykle żyją od czeku do czeku nagle biorą 1000$ i inwestują w zaawansowane instrumenty, ktorych nie rozumieją. Raczej w większości kupują większy telewizor, nową pralkę, lepszy smartfon, remontują łazienkę, albo przejadają bo stracili pracę. W końcu rok temu mówiliście tu wszyscy o spadkach, bo ludzie tracą pracę i nie będą mieli za co jeść a co dopiero inwestować w BTC. Będą sprzedawać BTC by mieć co na tależ położyć. A teraz znów mowa o spadkach tylko tym razem z powodu odzyskania pracy? A co stoi za wzrostami? Moim zdaniem duża niepewność co do przyszłości dolara. Fakt, że dolara przybyło 25% w ciągu ostatniego roku, że dług do PKB w USA wynosi już 130% (dla porównania w Polsce 65%), że jedyny instrument walki z rosnącą inflacją jest podniesienie stóp procentowych (co przy długu jaki ma USA jest bardzo trudne, bo rosną koszty rolowania długu - stopy na 5% i 7% PKB idzie na samo rolowanie długu). Ten sam problem ma cały świat, bo wszyscy drukują? No niby tak ale dolar dodatkowo ma presję podażową związana z rekordowym deficytem handlowym USA (więcej importują niż eksportują). Strach potęguje też to, co jest największym towarem eksportowym USA - dollar. Że w normalnym kraju waluty jest tyle ile potrzebuje dany kraj. Dolara jest tyle ile potrzebuje cały świat - bo jest on walutą rezerwową, oraz walutą przy użyciu której dochodzi do większości wymian handlowaych. Handlujesz ropą, złotem - potrzebujesz dolara. Nawet my, spekulując na BTC, trzymamy i wyceniamy naszą wartość przy użyciu dolara. Szczypta zwątpienia, inflacja na dolarze na poziomie 5-10% i nagle wszyscy zaczną wywalać. A zmuszeni do trzymania (w celu handlowania) będą hedgingować swoje pozycje dolarowe do innych walut. Dolar może wtedy się zawalić szybciej niż papierowa marka niemiecka po WW1 a cały świat finansów wywali się na plecy a z kapitałem wyjdą ci, co w momencie zawirowań będą trzymali wartość a nie papier (SWIG80 +70%, złoto +50%) ... i tu uwaga naciągany fragment wypowiedzi - łatwo podzielny, płynny, środek wymiany pozbawiony scentralizowanego ośrodka - BTC. |
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If you understand this picture, congratulations, if you don’t , then you don’t understand money , no matter how much you have in the bank.
#Bitcoin is down 4% today. But next few months BTC could pump 400%. Pump or dump, storing your money in crypto beats saving up in the bank.
"Gold is good store of value, so buy bitcoin" That's what you just said  Good picture:  In term of store of value - I can't imagine a rational,experienced investor that go all in Bitcoin to "store value of his money". But I do understand a rational investor that puts 10% of his money into bitcoin, and the rest in gold, silver, value stocks, reits, real estate. Thats the true bulletproof portfolio for inflation hedge. |
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Looking at the past financial crises that happened, they all seem to have a few things in common, such as the mass adoption of a new financial product or technology (e.g. mortgage backed securities in 2008, dotcom boom in 2000). Given the extent to which institutions (and some influential figures) have been manipulating crypto recently, do you guys think this narrative is likely?
You confuse financial crisis with market crash. Those are 2 separate things. And crypto is too small. Way to small to matter. Whole crypto industry is as big as Apple company. You could as well ask "will we see next financial crisis because of bad sale of the new IMac pro" ? Next financial crisis already have its "sponsor". Its depth bubble, QE bubble. |
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tylko kupuje na dołkach i sprzedaje na szczytach.
Eeee bez sensu ... nie słyszałeś o innowacyjnych strategiach inwestycyjnych? Lepiej postępować według 3 zasad:  |
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In my opinion, I think we could be facing a promising scenario. However, I don't see Bitcoin with the strength to rise as it did in the past. I think it will be a much more gradual rise and not as strong. There is a possibility of correcting a bit more now that we seem to have entered a Bear market. How do you see it?
Everything mentioned above might be already priced-in. Market always measures (evaluate) the future, not the present. So people were betting (buying) based on this scenario in 2018-2020. Now the question is - what will be the economical situation in 2023-2025 - thats what we are doing right now on the market. Buying/selling based on our prediction on economic condition of 2023-2025. Will it be better? Will the US raise interest rates or maybe it will continue to print. Will $$ remain as global reserve currency or will crash? |
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What many people forget is that many bitcoins were already lost, some aren't mined yet and others will be lost in the future.
So scarcity is a great factor, but 21M Bitcoins is not even the true number, we will probably never have more than 17M active coins at a given time for >8 billion people! Imagine what owning 1 single BTC will mean in the next years, owning a single Bitcoin will mean a lot, it's gonna be huge. There are >51M people who are millionaires right now, they won't even be able to own 1 BTC each. So having values like $500K per BTC will seem pretty normal, people will dream for $40K per BTC in the future.
Considering bitcoins that are being lost day by day I assume that BTC is already a deflationary asset. Every 5 seconds someone in the world dies ... "Today, more than 21.2 million adults, or about 14% of the U.S population, own cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin or Ethereum" https://finance.yahoo.com/news/study-reveals-crypto-biggest-investors-132102315.htmlIt means that every hour 120 people who owns crypto dies ... Well maybe less than that because of determinants of age groups. How many of them didn't tell their relatives priv keys to every single wallet they own? I feel like most of them. Does your wife, parents, kids have access to all your hot/cold wallets? I think that every single crypto owner takes a little bit of crypto with him to the other world. This numbers are huge. |
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Well lets see..im still in profit,
I dont think thats a bear market. Its just a trap. And everyone now knows about enviromental issues of crypto...so...wich one will pump more when the trap ends? Guess so.
Lot of room down, lot of room up, i dont buy your thoughts.
Lets see what happen. Who is wright and who wrong.
I may be wrong but it does not look like a trap to me ... well maybe in a 3-5 year perspecitve it is a trap but i dont expect 2021 to be bullish anymore. Its just so much easier for price to go down now. We crashed all bullish indicators. Supports, trend lines, MA200. Every technical trader will short every possible bounce. Every price recovery will be hit by short positions. We will need super strong buy pressure that we do not observe here. And if we are talking about 3-5 year perspective ... why should we invest in altcoins now? In 3-5 years there might be better technologies developed. Better opportunities. |
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