What time frame? 1 month, 1 year, 10 years?

Out of those 2 wallets I would definitely chose wallet 2 because there is at least 1000$ in valuable project (ETH) that I know will survive bear market that we are in (most likely). So in long way wallet 1 will lose 99% in value in next few years, while wallet 2 will lose 95%.

Investing in shiba inu? XD man its not 2020-2021. Meme coins train is already gone. This joke is not funny anymore.
SOL, AVAX, ATOM - do you think they will survive after ETV v2 launch? All faster and cheaper ETH alternatives are good only because Eth is expensice ... for now.
SAND and MANA - they are evaluated so high compared to user base they have. Whole metaverse is too much hyped right now. Of course its a big thing. Of course whole industry will grow 1000x ... but not in 2022, not in 2025. Until then most of most hyped projects that we see now will die. Metaverse will be a big thing after Neuralink success. Maybe in 2030. And I doubt that someone who will deliver brain implants (neuralink or its successor) will not create a metaverse game for it and let other projects eat cake.


50% bitcoin, 20%BNB, 20% ETH, 10% microcaps (below top 500 cmc) to have exposure to positive black swans.

Most likely its the reason why you are not able to sell your coins:

source: https://www.reddit.com/r/UniSwap/comments/jkxd6z/nonsellable_tokens_on_uniswap_how_to_recognize/



You should be able to read contract using any etherum explorer - (Compilation) What is the best Ethereum explorer? (Poll added!!!)

Read this before next "investment" on dexes:

https://coinmarketcap.com/alexandria/article/how-to-identify-and-avoid-uniswap-scams

2 years of successes for your friend? Well we bull market for last 2 years so it was quite easy to profit when almost all coins pump 5-100x in that period and whole market pumped from $150B to $2.9T (20x) (total marketcap of all coins including bitcoin). I'm not surprised at all that you have a rough experience now when whole market dumped from 2.9T$ to 1.8T$ in last 5 months and some projects dumped 80% already. Its hard time even for experienced traders.

if you are just starting ... limit your entry to minimum. Like 10$ per trade. This will limit your learning cost because most likely you will wipe out your portfolio many times. Especially during bear market.

4 - FED is rising interest rates, price of assets are falling down, GDP is falling down, recession is starting. FED throws down the towel and reduce interest rates to zero and than below zero (there are signs of that in option market - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bs_XwgDguB8&ab_channel=GeorgeGammon). FED starts to print as much as it is possible as long as dollar has any value. Bitcoin is going to 1 mln $ but $ have 1/5 of current purchasing power. And I think its the most possible scenario for long term.


In 3 months? i think that bear trap with dump to 29k is possible looking at how chart is acting now. Locking all bear below support and than push up.

I think there is a misconception that everyone is repeating. Bitcoin is producing 0 CO2 or close to 0 because Bitcoin is not a power station. Its only a client of power station like McDonald, supermarkets, banks and everyone else. How about we calculate how much electricity are shopping centres consuming and force them to go green by placing solar farms in the place of parking spots to make them more green... Or close all of them down because we can buy online. Power plants should go green not bitcoin should stop using electricity from power stations.

There is a complite guide of how to import your seed from BRD to Electrum here on forum. I think fillippone did great job with it.

link:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5204223.0

Znaczy, ale jak mam zainwestować? Przy dziennym wolumenie 150$ muaiłbym akumulowac tygodniomi by nie wyrwać ceny w górę o 100%. A jak potem wyjść? Kolejne tygodnie, czy pogodzić się ze stratą 50%? To wszystko przy ryzyku exitscamu kiepskiej giełdy.

Co do projektu to super, że robią go od 4 lat ... coś co do dziś jest "forkiem bitcoina". Forka bitcoina się robi 15 min i jest ich 105 - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5221882.msg53737261#msg53737261 - a przynajmniej tyle było w 2020. teraz pewnie już z 500

Do tego "low fees" i " Truly Anonymous Transactions" ma monero. Do tego ma płynność, markę, test w boju i w miarę stabilną cenę.  

Ciekawe co z tymi, od których skarbówka wymuszała podatek PCC (1%) od każdej transakcji .... bo z tego co wiem, to były takie przypadki. Gdzie trader robił kilka transakcji dziennie a potem się okazało, że podatku jest więcej niż było pieniędzy w obrocie

Ale cieszę się, że taki wyrok. Co prawda za 1-2 lata temat staje się przedawniony. Jak kogoś do dziś nie złapali za transakcje sprzed 2018 to pewnie już nie złapią.

Elon w nazwie mówi wszystko o tym projecie. Jeszcze tylko brakuje końcówki INU


Nazwa "bitcoin 2", a tak się chyba nazywa projekt z syngaturki, sprawia, że już dalej nie muszę sprawdzać Chociaż kurs wygląda ciekawie. Twardo siedzi w okolicach wsparcia od 1.5 roku. Może dlatego, że tym się nie da handlować? 150$ dziennego wolumenu i giełdy którym nie zaufałbym centa.

No to powiem szczerze, że tym bardziej rośnie we mnie przekonanie, że Salwador jest odpowiedzialny za większość wzrostu liczby transakcji. Obecnie nie ma ekonomicznego powodu używania lightning (fascynacja technologią i rozwijanie technologi na przyszłość to obecnie jedyne powody używania). Obecnie sieć jest prawie pusta. Przechodzą transakcje z 2 sat/vbyte czyli 11 centów! To taniej niż transakcje po tronie. Taniej niż BSC. Nie mówiąc już o ETH (10$) Jedyny powód używania lighning dla zwykłego użytkownika, nie nerda, to właśnie mikropłatności. Chleb za 0.5$. Ale żeby wykonywać takie transakcje, to trzeba mieć do tego odbiorcę takiej płatności. A to mamy chyba tylko w Salwadorze.

Chodziło mi o dodatkowe użyteczności. Np lepsze wyszukiwanie postów, lepsze powiadomienia itp. Ale masz rację. System merit był dodatkową użytecznością która odmieniła forum poprzez głównie redukcję spamu i nadanie sensu rangom. Wcześniej im większy i dłużej działający spamer tym wyższa ranga.

Wracając do tematu phishingu to pozwolę sobie podlinkować ten wątek:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5122515.0

To be honest i think that not many people are looking at indicators around ATH. They are too focused on finding the best looking yacht that they will buy with their paper gains ...if we will do another X10


We hit new ATH by few %. We were not hiting new high after high. It was only a bull trap. I'm talking about situation when whole market is on fire. Just like during 2017 bubble or Jan-May 2021. And this indicator was quite good:



Not the perfect indicator, I agree. But it helps to spot when massive wave of retail investors have just found out about bitcoin. Definitely helpful.

"What Is the Average Salary of a Software Developer in Ukraine? In Ukraine, the average salary for a senior software developer is $51K a year or around $4,250 a month."
https://www.daxx.com/blog/outsourcing-ukraine/what-average-salaries-for-developers-in-ukraine

And
"How much money do you need to live comfortably in Ukraine?
Family of four estimated monthly costs are 1,437$"
https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/country_result.jsp?country=Ukraine

So if you are a team of programmers "we have skills" it shoudl be possible for you to earn or borrow such money. And to be honest I don't know from where you took those numbers.


Big money creates more money by market manipulation and social engineering.

There is a technical indicator that helps to set price targets above ATH. Its fibonacci retracements (1.618, 2.618 3.618 and 4.236 levels). Same with ATL. But for me the best indicator that helps to spot market top for bitcoin when we are above ATH is google trends. Simply how many people are searching phrases like "how to buy bitcoin" "what is bitcoin" or simple "bitcoin". If we are at historical high ... most likely we are at the market top too.

In fact it is. Starting from Jan 2021:

$45B of USDC was printed (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/usd-coin/), and around $55B in usdt(https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/tether/). Total $100B. While m2 money suppply of USD pumped from $19.4T to $21.8t - $2 400B
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

So only 4% of newly printed money went to stable coins. Assuming that none on existing USD were converted into stable coins (which is not correct)

And thats USD only. Other countries were printing too. for example ECB.
So OP is wrong. Only small fraction was converted to USDC and USDT.

Just start development and show working product man. Why in 2022 people need millions to start coding ... Did satoshi need advisors and investors with millions to start working on bitcoin? Same with Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Google, Harley Davison and Disney. They all started in garages. Create product that everyone wants to use and then monetize it like uniswap or 1inch exchange did. ICOs spoiled people in crypto showing them than all you need to be rich is a desire to make a copy of something someone might do someday. We have 18 000 such projects in crypto. Its not like that anymore. At least i hope so.

Its a meme bro. This law is a meme and always was:

"
Academic and scientific views
According to Richard Dawkins, so-called laws like Murphy's law and Sod's law are nonsense because they require inanimate objects to have desires of their own, or else to react according to one's own desires. Dawkins points out that a certain class of events may occur all the time, but are only noticed when they become a nuisance. He gives as an example aircraft noise interfering with filming. Aircraft are in the sky all the time, but are only taken note of when they cause a problem. This is a form of confirmation bias whereby the investigator seeks out evidence to confirm his already formed ideas, but does not look for evidence that contradicts them.[18]

Similarly, David Hand, emeritus professor of mathematics and senior research investigator at Imperial College London, points out that the law of truly large numbers should lead one to expect the kind of events predicted by Murphy's law to occur occasionally. Selection bias will ensure that those ones are remembered and the many times Murphy's law was not true are forgotten.[19]

There have been persistent references to Murphy's law associating it with the laws of thermodynamics from early on (see the quotation from Anne Roe's book above).[13] In particular, Murphy's law is often cited as a form of the second law of thermodynamics (the law of entropy) because both are predicting a tendency to a more disorganised state.[20] Atanu Chatterjee investigated this idea by formally stating Murphy's law in mathematical terms. Chatterjee found that Murphy's law so stated could be disproved using the principle of least action.[21]"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murphy%27s_law

Back to your story. Its sad to hear that but I think we will see more and more of this in the future. Almost the entire world is struggling with high inflation and the Russian war is not helping at all. In some countries it can be enough to cause hyperinflation and punish actions (jail for crypt, jail for gold) will be on regular basis. And people will not protest because most will be glad that the trickster has been caught. Tricksters that are not losing when everyone else is losing. Adam Fergusson in his book "When Money Dies" (germany during hiperinflation after WW1) - cites a newspaper article in which the editor complains about low penalties for people who traded ... flour ... illegally. Because after being released from prison, they go back to "crime". Police patrols caught people and ordered them to show their wallets to seize all foreign currencies.
In 1933 we had US gold confiscation where you were forced to give back your gold or you go to jail.

If I was you I would do anything I can to leave your country but its possible that country you will escape to will introduce similar laws in next few years.

There is one thing that many people seams to not take into consideration. The fact that futures market is more and more popular. The fact that current daily volume on binance futures btc/usd trading pair is $5B while on spot $600M. You don't need transfer your BTC to exchange to sell it. For whale its easier to hedge it on leverage on binance futures using much bigger liquidity than transfer coins from cold wallet and sell it on less liquid market.

Such data can also be highly manipulated. People say that thanks to blockchain such data is possible to get and its super valuable. While BTC withdrawal from exchange cost 25$... so such manipulation is very cheap. Even exchange can tranfer founds form known cold wallet to unknown cold wallet to manipulate "coins on exchanges" chart.

Rozumiem podejście. Sporo osób tak robi. Może dlatego idena stoi w miejscu, bo nie przekazuje w prost tego na czym powinna się skupić. Albo może dlatego, że rynek zepsuty jest obietnicami. Trudno wygrać wybory będąc szczerym, gdy opozycja obiecuje gruszki na wierzbie. Trudno znaleźć inwestora będąc jednym z najbardziej innowacyjnych projektów, gdy inni obiecują staking 500% ROI i ma psa w nazwie.

Na pewno dalej niż miesiąc temu.


I jak to działa bez otwierania kanałów i problemu płynności na nich? Wydaje mi się, że jedyna opcja to taka, że portfel jest scentralizowany, nie mamy kluczy i trzymając tam środki nie jesteśmy ich włascicielami.