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2161  Other / Meta / Re: The first post ever. on: May 06, 2014, 08:24:23 PM
satoshi
Founder
Sr. Member

You could actually talk to Satoshi; is he still active in the community but doesn't want to say he is satoshi not to influence it too much, did he disappear? Or was he a group of persons? I bet for the first choice.

He hasn't posted in 3.5 years.

It is most likely that he has another account that he uses to check on his 'child' , but I'd not bet on him still using his account.

He can check the posts without logging to his satoshi's account

Can a moderator tell us if satoshi logged in in the last 3.5years?

2162  Other / Off-topic / Re: Your time machine is here...what year would you like? on: May 06, 2014, 08:21:53 PM
I need to go to 2009 I need talk to my younger self and give him some usb miner.  Smiley

You don't want to tell him anything ? Just give him a usb miner?
2163  Economy / Economics / Re: Inflation and Deflation of Price and Money Supply on: May 06, 2014, 08:17:31 PM
If everyone hoarded bitcoins.
Bitcoins will end up up up.


Each time the price goes down it shakes out the weak hands and more btc end up with the hoarders and users
2164  Economy / Economics / Re: The solution is obvious on: May 06, 2014, 08:15:04 PM

It is a lot about calculating more easily for the average bitcoiner as well

0.000367390-0.00002 require more time in average than 367,390-200,000 when you are not good in mental calculations

Good point. That's one more reason to use whole number units.

The fact that we can add a comma "," after every 3 numbers in the sequence greatly reduces confusion. Having 0.000,02 or 0.000,367,390 really doesn't make sense to anybody.

Basically, we take advantage of the comma in separating numbers. It's already used internationally for scientific or accounting purposes to speed up reading numbers so it may be a good idea to apply it in bitcoin too.

You can use the coma for thousands of bitcoins but being able to use it for thousands of bits would help

Btw not every county use the coma for thousands
2165  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.99% Edge - Instant Cashout - Invest - Referral - Mobile - Fair on: May 06, 2014, 08:09:40 PM
A new leader on top for the giveaway!

Congratulation for GeoRW!! Smiley Seems that he patiently waited until 1DiCe1's wagering calculation is over Cheesy

#   User   Total Wagered
GeoRW   45.09671300
2   mephy   15.73284070
3   Shadow   11.75589400
4   anderst610   10.50828786
5   1DiCe1   9.10914904
6   P-2959   7.08100000
7   holdaaja   6.35780000
8   P-2970   5.20801694
9   badjacks99   2.83791016
10   P-2519   1.77395540

Being first now seem easier
What about giving a 0.001 to 2th-9th, that should induce some betting Smiley

You need to update your list, though GeoRW is still on top, mephy is very close to him.

I see that!

#   User   Total Wagered
GeoRW   45.09671300
2   mephy   42.32464070
3   Shadow   11.75589400
4   anderst610   10.50828786
5   1DiCe1   9.10914904
6   P-2959   7.08100000
7   holdaaja   6.35780000
8   P-2970   5.20801694
9   badjacks99   2.83791016
10   P-2519   1.77395540

My list was accurate when I posted Grin

I hope PD3 will have top wagered lists as well
2166  Economy / Gambling / Re: Listing Betting Sites Total # Of Bets on: May 06, 2014, 08:06:00 PM
This idea is interesting but the "total number of bets" needs to be put in perspective.  I think most money wagered is more accurate for how popular a site is. I mean if you're wagering .01 cent per bet and have 1 million bets, or you can have 100 bets of $1,000 each, and the "million bets" will show way higher on your list vs the 100 bets but is that site more popular?


i agree thats why i have coins wager and USD amount of those coins. im sticking with what works and people like the total # of bets.


I also have this list which weeds out the low amount sites


http://cryptobettingindex.com/top-75-coins-wagered/


thank you for your feedback

It could be nice to have a list of the top 20 monthly betting sites and an estimation at the amount wagered on the non public casinos from their blockchain adresses
2167  Other / Off-topic / Re: If 1 BTC = $10,000 in 2014..... I will treat you guys to something . on: May 06, 2014, 07:55:10 PM
it is very unlikely we will attein 10,000$/btc this year but a lot of members are waiting for a price of a few thousands
2168  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 06, 2014, 07:47:07 PM
429$, will it go up or down?

To clarify, your models suggest that:
1) BTC will bottom out in the period you have suggested (shortly after the China deadline, as it happens)
2) The US stock market is due for a downturn later this year (pointing to an economic downturn a few months later?)
3) Therefore Bitcoin 'outperforming' in this context could mean no growth at all, while the stock markets dip

What are your models' track records?

Correct.  The broad market model gives me roughly an 12% edge on directional r2k futures positions over 1 month.  The BTC model is not mature enough to measure accurately.  The more parameters in your model, the more data you need to avoid overfit.  BTC doesn't have enough history to provide useful quality metrics on a scale more than a few hours, for models of this complexity.  I've tried to use some tricks to avoid overfit, but I can't yet quantify my success or failure in that regard, for the current model, with a usable p value.

Thanks. So another way of putting this might be:
"Not sure about bitcoin. By the way, recession in 12 months."

A recession is much overdue
2169  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: May 06, 2014, 01:23:09 PM
LOL. And bump for the great thread.

$438 support broken, $425 probably, too - where is the next stop?
$410-400, followed by $360, I should think Smiley

Or we will stop the trend and come back up

There will be ton of support at 420-360 even if the sentiment will get even worse and some will panic sell
2170  Economy / Economics / Re: The solution is obvious on: May 06, 2014, 01:21:24 PM
Anyone would feel richer if he/she had a bed of a million  $1-dollar notes than a single $1m dollar note.

I think it's a good idea to make people feel richer even if the they are practically the same value.

I don't want to own "a piece" of something. I'd rather own something that I can imagine as a whole.

Manipulation of perception, it's very important in marketing...

It is a lot about calculating more easily for the average bitcoiner as well

0.000367390-0.00002 require more time in average than 367,390-200,000 when you are not good in mental calculations
2171  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 1,000,000 bits = 1 bitcoin. Future-proofing Bitcoin for common usage? VOTE on: May 06, 2014, 01:19:48 PM
Yeah really it's obvious, just shift the damn comma. Everybody's always like "oh no, that would be too confusing".

The thing is: Any other proposed solution is at least as if not more confusing!

I don't agree, I think 1bitcoin=100,000,000satoshis should be kept and using bits with 1bitcoin=1,000,000 is less confusing
2172  Economy / Gambling / Re: What is the best bitcoin casino? on: May 06, 2014, 01:18:28 PM
PD is the best! It is the second biggest bicoin casino!

Lb is fun

JD is liked
2173  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.99% Edge - Instant Cashout - Invest - Referral - Mobile - Fair on: May 06, 2014, 01:17:11 PM
A new leader on top for the giveaway!

Congratulation for GeoRW!! Smiley Seems that he patiently waited until 1DiCe1's wagering calculation is over Cheesy

#   User   Total Wagered
GeoRW   45.09671300
2   mephy   15.73284070
3   Shadow   11.75589400
4   anderst610   10.50828786
5   1DiCe1   9.10914904
6   P-2959   7.08100000
7   holdaaja   6.35780000
8   P-2970   5.20801694
9   badjacks99   2.83791016
10   P-2519   1.77395540

Being first now seem easier
What about giving a 0.001 to 2th-9th, that should induce some betting Smiley
2174  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: ★★ LuckyBit May 8th CRAZY HOUR ★ 9pm->10pm ★ Win a 1 BTC bonus! ★★ on: May 06, 2014, 01:14:40 PM
There is no minimum bet to get the 0.05?

No, the bet must be valid that's all.


So the minimum bet is 0.0005

If someone bet 2.51 and someone bet 2.5 who will win the 1B considering the max bet is suppose to be 2.5?
2175  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: May 06, 2014, 01:13:14 PM
Yes, but the point of this thread is to ask questions and not to get the opinions of others, isn't it?

Unless I am mistaken, I am asking questions, am I not?

Wasn't it you who said that a question mark at the end of a sentence was all it took for it to be a question?

I think that the information in this link;

http://www.grammar.cl/Intermediate/Question_Tags.htm

should answer all your questions about question formation and would that not be a good thing?

I think LostDutchman is posting 50% of the posts on this thread, isn't he? Wink
2176  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game on: May 06, 2014, 01:11:45 PM
1.  There is no need to advertise - People who own BTC know of JD - Let the new btc holders find it, they will
2.  You want more play at JD - Kill off DogeDice - killing off DogeDice helps lower the price and demand for the DogeShitCoin because 2 Billion of the 75 Billion minted coins are there.  Play will increase at JD.  (Maybe not whale play yet)
3.  Absolutely USD price average influences BTC wagered, also right now we are in a a holding pattern and most Bitcoiners are awaiting on the coming jump in price in next few months that could give us a new ATH of $3,600 a coin, therefore people are not gambling there BTC as much right now.


If you want to see the real numbers of JD chart USD wagered from day 1 with BTC price (noting Nakowa's few big days)



You forgot the link, I think you were referring to this page https://just-dice.com/wagered.txt

There is graphs in the blog as well

If the price goes up, bitcoiners are more wealthy so they may indulge themselves in spending some of their wealth so the USD wagered will increase of JD
2177  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Free or cheap advertising service on: May 06, 2014, 01:07:47 PM
Traffic went up a bit, so i've decided to add the AdSlot24 section: http://stealthepixels.com/your-ad-here/
from which you can buy the ad slot on the bottom and place your banner (728x90, 468x60 or 300x100).

Rates are as low as 0.18$ CPM which should be perfect even for non-business people Smiley

What do you think about it?



2014-05-05   7292   1277   34
2014-05-04   6129   1193   30
2014-05-03   6913   1170   20
2014-05-02   5788   1186   21
2014-05-01   5687   1127   28
2014-04-30   5875   1034   25
2014-04-29   5527   1093   19

It seems the traffic has been increasing a bit, what do you do to increase traffic?
2178  Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: Le bitcoin devrait remonter on: May 06, 2014, 01:04:53 PM
Un bitcoin papier permettrait

ça n'a aucun intérêt avec les téléphones ... même ceux qui ont 4 ans maintenant !

Accepter les paiements mobiles ne nécessite pas une infrastructure chère dc ça ne devrait pas poser de pbs; on peut même imaginer payer au supermarché en scanant directement les articles avec son téléphone puis sortir sans passer par les caisses
2179  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: The Lucky Bit regulars betting pools - Bonus Round - Red pool now open! on: May 06, 2014, 11:56:31 AM
Green big-bet pool round 47 bet 0.051BTC and hit x0.4.

Payout tx e5f36ce97d3a262da5758c0f36370e05eea93722eb5f56daee0545f83e4defbb

Crazy Hour is coming!

Green pool has the goal raised all the way to the max. Whatever we have (or 2.5BTC, if we get that much) will be bet on May 8, near 21:10 Lucky Bit time to attempt to win the Crazy Hour Fact #3 Prize of 1BTC!

Chip in everything you can and get your slice of a huge bonus prize!

It seems there is 0.52 so far, can you confirm?  https://blockchain.info/address/1LBregs3t4goLpvBghbJbFLoyt1rPL3jJh

Can we send any amount to participate and we will get a fair share?
2180  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: ★★ LuckyBit May 8th CRAZY HOUR ★ 9pm->10pm ★ Win a 1 BTC bonus! ★★ on: May 06, 2014, 11:51:19 AM
There is no minimum bet to get the 0.05?

Last time high roller winner : Winner of fact #3
Max amount played is 0.965 BTC (3 times, all same address)
Winner is 1LBregs3t4goLpvBghbJbFLoyt1rPL3jJh
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