^ Weren't you going to try to save more souls? Did you lose your soul to greed already? : / And only virgins reach $666 so you would need more than 100 souls to cover your living cost, I think. xD What are your current stock?
Do you have any more to sell?
I still feel bad about the one I was not able to save.
But now I have bitcoins again, and a little more saving power.
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@onewiseguy I don't think banning account selling and buying helps. : /
Anyone that wanted to do it could go on other sites. Like this at least everyone knows it happens, and some accounts are easy to see that were sold.
But I think sellers should help prevent scams from accounts they sold, or be held accountable to some degree as you say.
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I might sign up for one of these
I'll be waiting  Well I want to but how do I? If you want to join bit-x, you can go to their thread and read what you need to do to join there https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=877765.0But there are campaigns that pay more, if you don't post much. Like the one I'm in for example. xD See the first page to know where to go for all campaigns. @Muhammed Zakir isn't he talking about the campaigns? lol Tell me the one you are in then please and how to sign up  The one I'm in is from Coinichiwa, but is not taking more people for now. But there are others that pay the same or more per post and are open, like the ones from mbit or the one that was just posted from bitbingo lol. But you have to go to their threads and read the rules and how to join. To join it is usually just making a post in their thread with your post count and your bitcoin address and using their signature, but some ask for more things. |
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@(oYo) I'm not going to insist more after this, but let me just say this: you can't see the problem as being separate in before and after the host opens the doors. If you do it's like you're starting the game at that time. But you didn't, you have to start when you choose the first door. And you have to see that the host doesn't choose 2 random doors. He chooses your door to leave closed and another one that has the prize if you missed. Your door here has 33% chance of having the prize. So when the host opens the empty door, you are right in saying that it has 0% chance of having the prize. But you don't distribute its probability equally to the 2 doors remaining. You add it to the other door the host chose. That door has 66% chance of having the prize, not 50%. The one you chose has only 33% as before. If it isn't like this, then how do you explain the image that was posted above and that others talked about already? That's very clever thanks for sharing this quiz . On the Wikipedia link you've shared this graphic explains it well:  I can actually understand how it works now  . Like this you win in 2 out of 3 situations if you change to the other door. So if the position of the car is always random you have a 66% chance of winning. @criptix ah sorry, I misunderstood what you were saying. |
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I might sign up for one of these
I'll be waiting Well I want to but how do I? If you want to join bit-x, you can go to their thread and read what you need to do to join there https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=877765.0But there are campaigns that pay more, if you don't post much. Like the one I'm in for example. xD See the first page to know where to go for all campaigns. Wasn't he telling about buying BIT-X debit card?  LOL I just edited my post to ask the same! xD I don't know. Maybe he will tell us lol. |
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I might sign up for one of these
I'll be waiting Well I want to but how do I? If you want to join bit-x, you can go to their thread and read what you need to do to join there https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=877765.0But there are campaigns that pay more, if you don't post much. Like the one I'm in for example. xD See the first page to know where to go for all campaigns. @Muhammed Zakir isn't he talking about the campaigns? lol |
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^ I thought with more doors would be more intuitive. : /
With 1000 doors, when you choose a door in the beginning you only have 0.1% probability of choosing the right one. The game host knows where the prize is and opens every door except the one you choose and another one.
But your choice was still made with a 0.1% chance. It doesn't change to 50% now, because that would be losing information. You could only say it was 50% chance if you started from 2 doors, not 1000.
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Sounds fishy, would not recommend.
Yes it does lol why would anyone sell bitcoins for $200 when they are at $250 now? I never used cex.io before but maybe he can't take the bitcoins from there for some reason, and wants to sell everything including the account? If it's not something like that then it's probably a scam, I think. : / |
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I would agree that oYo. I have to agree with this analysis. Once you know that one of the other doors is worthless you have a 50% chance of having picked the right door. Just like if or when you find out you lost, you can say you have a 0% chance of having picked the right door, regardless of how good your chances were when you didn't have that knowledge.
In other words, it doesn't matter whether you switch or not.
sdp
Lol. Maybe this is better to help see why that is wrong: imagine you have 1000 doors instead of 3. You pick 1 out of 1000, and the host opens 998 doors that don't have the prize. Would you change to the door he left then or keep the same? xD |
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That's not bad, but I like this one more:  xD |
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^ lol and how many centuries later was that? xD Israel still has a lot of time then if that is your view. I think it's impossible for there to be peace. Both sides claim the land, both sides are willing to kill to have it, and both sides claim their right to the land is from their god. The problem is, there were people living there before Judaism and Islam became prominent, so I don't recognize either of them as having a more legitimate claim to the land over the other, and even less so when their justification is "because my god said so."
I don't think the problem is they claim the right to the land comes from somewhere else. The problem is people already live in the land of the occupied territories and Israel keeps building more settlements there and expelling the Palestinians. And I think the official position of the Palestinians is they accept the two state solution, but Israel doesn't and doesn't give any alternative. They just say they are negotiating, and keep on building more settlements and making the situation worse. : / Perhaps I am mistaken, but my understanding was that Israel was "the promised land" that their god promised his "chosen people." That is how they justify the expelling of the Palestinians in 1947. Correct me if I do not have this correct. Maybe that is the way they justified it at the time, but the truth is they also need a land to live in, and they have other concerns too like security. I don't think it means there can't be peace and that someone must be expelled, but I think other problems are the source and not religion. |
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I think it's impossible for there to be peace. Both sides claim the land, both sides are willing to kill to have it, and both sides claim their right to the land is from their god. The problem is, there were people living there before Judaism and Islam became prominent, so I don't recognize either of them as having a more legitimate claim to the land over the other, and even less so when their justification is "because my god said so."
I don't think the problem is they claim the right to the land comes from somewhere else. The problem is people already live in the land of the occupied territories and Israel keeps building more settlements there and expelling the Palestinians. And I think the official position of the Palestinians is they accept the two state solution, but Israel doesn't and doesn't give any alternative. They just say they are negotiating, and keep on building more settlements and making the situation worse. : / |
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the zionists must be the only people on earth who could settle in someone else's country and create a jewish majority country by expelling most of the original inhabitants and successfully fool much of the civilized world into calling those people terrorists when they try and defend themselves
Lol, no they aren't the only ones. The United States, Canada, Australia, and in part South Africa did the same. : / @redsn0w it's hard to blame them but it would be better if the Palestinians found a way to resist that didn't include violence. And I think they are now moving more in that direction, by joining the ICC, etc. I hope they manage to have their own state or at least that they are accepted with equal rights into Israel. |
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Continue guessing guys, I'm rather busy now, but I'll update the guesses tomorrow. Sorry. Why has no one made a post with a list of all the numbers that start with 14,39X,XXX? It's only 10000 numbers xD Who will be the first to do it? You may be want to put a rule against that lol. |
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My initial choice has a 33% chance of being right. (You could also say there's a 66% chance of choosing the wrong door.) That's a gimme, since there are initially 3 doors to choose from. If one of the doors (which I didn't choose) is revealed to be a poor choice and subsequently removed from the equation, that leaves 2 doors to choose from, ergo there's a 50% chance now of choosing the right (or wrong) one. Since both of the remaining doors now have an equal chance of being the right (or better) choice, this also means that my odds of having already chosen the right door just shot up from 33% to 50%. Another way of looking at it is that my odds of choosing the wrong door went down from 66% to 50%. Hence there's absolutely no advantage (or disadvantage) to switching to the other door. This 'brain teaser' feels somewhat like that joke where the three guys get a rebate on their hotel room and you are misdirected to account for a missing dollar.  You should switch to the other door. xD I don't want to spoil but you can't ignore the 33% chance you had in the beginning. That didn't change to 50%. Those are different things. OyO is wrong, the chances of winning are 66% if you switch, it has been explained already with this example: If the red door is the good door you have 3 possibilities: 1 pick red door and lose if you switch 2 pick yellow door and win if you switch 3 pick green door and win if you switch Win 2/3 and lose 1/3 so 66% Yes and that explanation was posted before his answer and he didn't read it or didn't care lol. So I was using his answer to explain where he went wrong. By the way, is Bardman your alt account then? xD |
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^ lol. Aren't you ban evading then? xD I like this one. If not, then a pair of Great Tits. But no one is going to understand what they mean lol. |
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My initial choice has a 33% chance of being right. (You could also say there's a 66% chance of choosing the wrong door.) That's a gimme, since there are initially 3 doors to choose from. If one of the doors (which I didn't choose) is revealed to be a poor choice and subsequently removed from the equation, that leaves 2 doors to choose from, ergo there's a 50% chance now of choosing the right (or wrong) one. Since both of the remaining doors now have an equal chance of being the right (or better) choice, this also means that my odds of having already chosen the right door just shot up from 33% to 50%. Another way of looking at it is that my odds of choosing the wrong door went down from 66% to 50%. Hence there's absolutely no advantage (or disadvantage) to switching to the other door. This 'brain teaser' feels somewhat like that joke where the three guys get a rebate on their hotel room and you are misdirected to account for a missing dollar. You should switch to the other door. xD I don't want to spoil but you can't ignore the 33% chance you had in the beginning. That didn't change to 50%. Those are different things. |
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 This could be more interesting if the image we post needed to have something in common with the last one. It would make it more difficult too. |
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^ Just a negative house edge wouldn't work, but if you change the house edge I think it can work. The casino would have to change it depending on the profit it made so far.
For example if profit was below some value, the house edge would be positive to help the house win more. When profit was above some value, the house edge would go lower to reduce the profit lol. Hopefully that brings in more players. xD
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The us won't attack Iran, I think. They know it can cause too many problems in the middle east, and they could lose control of the region. And there is no public support for another large war. I don't know much about the attack on yemen, but I heard Iran was arming the rebels there, and the previous government wasn't as friendly to them as the rebels. So maybe this was more Iran trying to gain more influence there? |
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