no it is not.
just because some people who have no experience in trading turn to their emotions for solace doesn't mean trading is emotion driven! it just means those people have no idea what they are doing.

understanding the importance of something is not the same as knowing how to do it right!

these are good suggestions.

I don't know what you mean by the last part about company but I disagree with not using automation. it is not necessary and a beginner should NOT use it as his first step but using bots and generally automation is great.

I strongly disagree with this one.
you should use 100% of your balance but you should not deposit 100% of your money on exchanges in first place!
you deposit what you can afford to lose and then you work wit all of it, not deposit a lot and then work with a small portion!
additionally percentages depend on how much you have invested. for example if you are starting with 0.001BTC then 3% of it is too small to be worth anything, it may not even cover the fees.

there is no "formula" in trading!

as it has always been the case with altcoins during times like these, they don't do much specially if they are big and on top of the lists which means coins like litecoin are not going to see any pumps for a very long time. these coins will get possible pumps after bitcoin had its rises. of course LTC is one of the exceptions that it sometimes gets pumped when bitcoin rises.

during times like this (bitcoin is stable) small altcoins have "best weeks" because they are the ones that will get big pumps as traders move to them for profit.

that is also another exaggeration in my opinion!
I mean staying at $3k for a whole year and not just that, you should know that this is not the start, this is after more than a year of drop! so basically this is predicting one of the longest down trends in bitcoin history which would be more than 2 years if it came true. and I can't see how that is a possibility!

I think the accumulation power and the power to keep the price down at this level for some more time is more powerful than any other effect that a news like the Brexit's fate can have on the market and as a result bitcoin price should not even change and continue staying like this for some more time, unfortunately we have endure that before the rises start.
if this news came out a little bit later when we were on the rise it could have had a nice impact though.

you are using the term "cryptocurrency(ies)" where in fact you are talking about bitcoin!
Bitpay's stats for payments that they have processed for merchants are from bitcoin not "cryptocurrencies"! it is bitcoin that 99.9% of the merchants are accepting and it is bitcoin that users are paying them not other altcoins.

so when people say "cryptocurrencies" are not reliable ways of payment they are correct because they are talking about 2500 altcoins not only 1 bitcoin!

these methods aren't only meant for disaster cases! these methods are partly meant for cases where there is some sort of censorship. for example the great firewall of China can start blocking anything bitcoin related! or even shut down the internet and cut off the connection to the world. in which case you can still use other ways to "connect to the grid" like what is being discussed here.

unfortunately there has always been a lot of misinformation on social media on every single one of them partly because a lot of newbies try to spread what they think is their "knowledge" but also partly because a lot of times (like these days) people want lower prices for bitcoin so that they can fill their pockets with more amount of bitcoin whilst investing the same amount of money so they spread FUD about bitcoin.

ETF in US which is determined by US-SEC is the most hyped up thing in bitcoin world otherwise ETF itself means nothing at all. if you do some search you can clearly see that other countries have already approved some ETFs for instance I know of Japan which already have approved an ETF, there is Canada, and if I am not mistaken Sweden already has it or were considering its approval and was very close.

this is a key point I don't know why some people get stuck in certain trends and want them to last long! we have already had over a year of drops with months of stable accumulation. but still some people think price should continue declining and reach ridiculously lower prices like $1000 again!!!!

you are confusing "bull run" with the ending "bubble". they are different.
the "bull run" in a way started in 2014ish and lasted about 3 years. but technically you can call the 2017 the bulk of that bull run since the biggest rises occurred in that year.
the "bubble" on the other had was the final step which only took less than 1 month where price went from $9000ish to $20000 and that was the bubble which caused the bubble burst and the corresponding bear market that has lasted this long.

Veriblock  that was mentioned above is most probably the main reason for the spike in number of transactions but lets not forget that in the same time frame (meaning during February) we had a big price rise which brought bitcoin out of a stable phase around $3100 and took the price up to $4100 which is a $1000 rise and as it has always been the case with every single price rise in history they are all accompanied by a big spike in number of on chain transactions (some people are transferring their coins on exchanges to sell and some are buying these coins and transferring them out to their wallets). and now that the price has stabilized again around $3800 we see the drop.

I agree that we can't speculate only based on past performance but that was not exactly what I had in mind. I am also taking into consideration how the conditions in the past that has led to those performances have not changed for example adoption is still happening with the same rate as before with the same acceleration too.

I also agree with the S curve theory of how bitcoin price is going to be like. but again the speculation is based on IF the conditions don't change. for instance back in 2016 I was predicting price to be at least $2k in a year (it was around $600-$700 at the time) based on the performance of that time. I had no way of foreseeing the big adoption that happened in 2017 and certainly no way of predicting the end of the 4 year long scaling debate to happen in 2017! both of which contributed to that rise.

in the near future we can have similar cases. for example something unlikely like Amazon accepting bitcoin or better yet doing it through LN is going to shoot the price up at least 500%

true but we also have a queue of people that want to get in at the bottom but scared because they think this (or the lowest price got that was around $3200) is not the bottom. these people would want to jump on board as the rising signals start showing themselves

remember that it only takes a small rise for all hell to break loose and we see one of those famous green candles worth $2000 on the chart...

"during ATH" usually refers to the time close to $20k or at least from $15k up. to get your initial investment back by only selling 50% suggests you only started buying when price was between $8k and $10k!!! if that is true then why did you wait that long to invest in bitcoin in first place considering you are an old member?

regarding Wozniac I have seen news sites twist his words so many times that unless I hear him clearly state what he has done with his coins I wouldn't believe what I read on these news sites!

let me give you an example for easier understanding when you want to buy something like a game that is worth $9.99 saying it costs BTC0.00049950 is hard, you can't even read that without saying zero point zero zero,.... but reading 49,950 is easier (that value is with bitcoin's ATH at $20k) now when price rises more you have to say it costs something like BTC0.00000499 which is even harder to comprehend but saying 499 satoshi is much easier. and having a unit instead of the word "satoshi" makes it even more compact.

next bubble is going to be $300,000 ($300k) and it will happen in 2021.

why? because that is the trend that bitcoin has always been on if you zoom out. a solid rise of about 2-3x per year then when the rise and profit is seen a lot of newbies rush in and drive the price up into a bubble. we are now on the groundfloor of that upcoming bubble. the solid rises will start this year and price will reach probably lower but close to $10k and then in 2020 as the halving hype and a bunch of others start the rises become faster and as $20k is reached the FOMO buys are going to start and the launch to the moon will start. eventually end up with a big bubble above $100k, I chose $300k because I would be a much smaller version of 2017 rise so I gave you an under-speculation to have a better chance of being correct.

there is no guarantee and there is no faith. they are both extreme sides of the same coin.
what we have is speculation. bitcoin has been performing very well in the past 10 years with a solid adoption growth that has led to a constant growth of it which is partially visible on the price charts and if you ignore the overly excited parts which lead to bubbles and then bubble burst bear market dumps, you can clearly see the solid rise over time which is similar to an exponential rise that is speeding up.

I am always having a hard time trusting others specially in-laws so your method is never going to work for me. I am not married so I don't have a family yet to give them anything. so far I am only responsible for the coins that I own and I don't think this is going to change any time soon! so in case of my death bitcoin is going to become a little bit more scarce

nothing about what you just explained has any beauty in it and it is NOT called volatile but instead what you are explaining is called pump and dump because it is not natural for price to go down 50% and get pumped 100% within a short time!
volatility is when you see daily fluctuations as big as 8-9% and you call it "normal" because it is volatile.

let me be blunt. NO you can not. because you are putting yourself under a lot of pressure and as a trader you will not be able to cope, and that means making bad decisions one after another and the result is even more disaster and more debt. so try to stay away as long as you are in this state of mind and financial state.

additionally success in trading requires tremendous amount of experience, I don't know you but I am going to guess that based on your posts here you have no experience which is another strong reason why you are going to fail if you start trading.

don't worry this market is not going anywhere. go deal with your debt and other problems and then come back and start building your life from scratch and start small. you can double your capital eventually but not like this.

the rise is inevitable but I agree that we can see multiple tests of the resistance at $4000-$4200 before it breaks out. but the thing about bitcoin price rises is that usually they break all expectations. for example at this point the market is so ready for a big rise to happen, there are literary thousands of people waiting with their money ready to jump back in and they area only waiting for some sort of signal. a small "ignition" can kick start the rocket and we can see $5500 in 1 day.