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841  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Ron Paul Cheering Entrance California on: October 04, 2011, 06:42:20 PM
I believe most of the US's failing (and strengths) are cultural. It is a known fact that children of less educated parents will be less educated themselves relative to their peers. There is good evidence to suggest that student performance is directly related to parental involvement. In many more culturally homogeneous nations, policy takes average parental responsibility as a given. If as is the case in Latin America education is a lower priority than for example Northern Europe or East Asia (regardless of CPI) then focusing on averages is good government policy, while in higher achieving countries, focusing on the top is better policy. The United States has no such norms. It has an inconsistent mix of over- and under- achievers (greater standard deviation from manically diligent to morbidly lazy). If you reward parental responsibility or student performance the result will be stratification. If you reward the median then the best will be handicapped. I believe this problem is most pronounced in the United States than any other nation in which I have lived.

Personally, I think the federation is too big to be governed. Policy from high is irrelevant to the majority. Let the states compete. If they want to teach creationism in Indian or that God decreed pi to be precisely three in Alabama, then we should allow their GDP to fall and the intelligent to flee. Maybe after a generation they'll be smart enough to remodel their education system on successful States.

He just wants to get the federal government out of public education, which it should be. If the states want to run and fund public education, they'll have a lot more $$$ to do so once the federal government isn't stealing so much of our money and spending it on war. And they'll do a much better job - the more locally organized your education system is, the more control the people who are actually affected by it have. They're the ones with a vested interest in making sure it's being done efficiently and effectively.
842  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: October 04, 2011, 06:07:00 PM

In this , I would have assigned you and cypherdoc and was afraid I'd get .
843  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally is starting on: October 04, 2011, 06:01:19 PM
Right, and the same thing will happen to btc betties that happened to the franc.  If a lot of people start using them as a hedge, the price will rise. Then people will be wanting to hold betty not only because they have a stable value...but because they have a rising value!   ralley.

A betty is the BTC:USD pair? I don't follow what you're saying, the Bitcoin central bank will peg the BTC to the Euro? Or you mean before Zurich threw the wrench into the rally? Yes, this would be an ideal scenario, if it's easy to sell your european currency (euro, kroner, swissy) for btc (because it's seemingly pegged to the dollar) then it will appreciate even against the dollar. This would be an excellent development ahead of a Greek default.
844  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally is starting on: October 04, 2011, 05:16:23 PM
Actually the MtGox price seems to be lagging atm. Even some of Gox's own currency markets are out performing the USD/BTC rates. To say nothing of quite a few other markets around the world.

With the dollar appreciating and flight from the euro, a stable USD/BTC might be an attractive hedge.
845  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Is American Debt default really possible?? on: October 04, 2011, 04:42:03 PM
There's nothing holy about 100% debt/GDP, it's only psychological, because debt is in absolute terms while GDP is annual. I would suggest rate of change of deficit/GDP as a more telling statistic. But even that is misleading because as GDP goes down so does tax revenue, all else being equal, deficits will necessarily go up. What should scare the shit out of Americans and all major economies is that the ratio of welfare recipients (old people) to welfare payers (young people) is rapidly expanding and will continue to do so for at least a generation. US budgets:

2011 revenue:$2.17    expen:$3.82    deficit:$1.65 trillion

2010 revenue:$2.381    expen:$3.552    deficit:$1.171 trillion

2009 revenue:$2.7    expen:$3.107    deficit:$1.4 trillion

2008 revenue:$2.7    expen:$2.9    deficit:$0.4548 trillion

2007 revenue:$2.57    expen:$2.73    deficit:$0.161 trillion

2006 revenue:$2.41    expen:$2.66    deficit:$0.2482 trillion



Source Wikipedia and http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2010/03/the-2009-index-of-dependence-on-government
846  Economy / Goods / Re: Tea from Mae Salong Thailand on: October 04, 2011, 04:02:00 AM
Are you from the region? I stayed in a small Shan village southwest of Chiang Rai, called Mae Lana, years ago while Thaksin had a bounty on drug dealers' heads which turned into an excuse for gang warfare. If I had known about the Taiwanese tea culture, I would have spent more time in Santikhiri, rather than swimming in tea on the wrong side of the Mekong.

WTF ? ? ?

Google tells me you have bold leaf, ruan zhi, jade, gue fei and da hong pao. Do the gardens sell directly? Does for example 101 also sell teas from Nantou? I'd be interested in purchasing a dozen 20g samples of pure oolongs. I tend toward darker caramels but am curious about all the oolongs in the region.
847  Other / Politics & Society / Re: We will break the history cycle? on: October 04, 2011, 01:36:00 AM

Nice. Should we watch part 1 and 2 first?
848  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Ron Paul Cheering Entrance California on: October 04, 2011, 01:31:00 AM
Taking 'Jesus 101' and 'The History of the Earth, According to the Bible 200' would have been much easier than the math and science classes I took.

I suggest you support a state religion. Look at the apathy toward religion in educated societies where religion is state sponsored as opposed to the cultish fervor in nations with rampant unrestrained religious freedom marketing.
849  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Ron Paul Cheering Entrance California on: October 04, 2011, 01:26:28 AM
I've been predicting a federal European state for a decade and have always received a sort of "your nuts" reaction. The EU was founded on a very similar structure as the United States. The central government received power from the individual states. State power and voting rights were based proportionally to both discreet states and population size (in the US, 2 senators and congressmen proportional to population). Both systems solidify more central power during times of conflict and crisis until the states lose all sovereignty. It's a slow and seemingly inevitable process. The United States is on a path toward Empire, the Zenith before the fall. Ron Paul uniquely tries to turn the wheel back. Europe would be lucky to have such an knowledgeable, intuitive and noble politician.
850  Other / Off-topic / Re: So I might be a narcissist... on: October 04, 2011, 01:02:48 AM
So if you buy a ticket on that train of thought, 'lying' a new persona to satisfy others admits a respect for your audience over yourself. Acting in order to gain an advantage will likely put the spot light on your flaccid standing. Do you respect yourself?

I would say one should try to be sincerely humble, not for the sake of others, but for oneself. Recognize that you are not superior in most things, you have much to learn, and ignorance of your own ignorance is greater than all of your knowledge and ability.

Oh and smoke a spliff, get some pussy, travel, breath the air, is good advice. I'd throw a little acid in the mix as well.
851  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally is starting on: October 04, 2011, 12:38:45 AM
Depends on the region.. In the Mt. Everest region, you'll need a few...

I've got muskox wool (Qiviuq). You'll only need one pair and your neighbors will be warm.
852  Economy / Goods / Re: Tea from Mae Salong Thailand on: October 04, 2011, 12:11:51 AM
TyGrr, do you know anything about tea in general or the tea you are considering selling specifically?

Hello David, In the distant past, I had been willing to exchange bitcoins not for cash, but for confirmed tea orders from your competitor in Milwuakee, Rishi Tea. I am not in any way recommending this backward method. My only point is that as a bitcoin believer, tea junkie, and non-US resident, I have no reason to touch dollars but would make you bitcoin rich with my oolong habit.
853  Other / Off-topic / Re: So I might be a narcissist... on: October 04, 2011, 12:05:40 AM
Hey Atlas, didn't Ayn Rand have a few words on this topic? For example, she attributed lying to a greater respect for others' impressions than respect for oneself.
854  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: October 03, 2011, 07:39:23 PM
It seems to me that while Asia or Europe might dream that their own currencies reach reserve status, they are so mortally dependent upon the relative strength of USD, that all major economies will conspire to prop USD up at nearly any cost. The US has plenty of wiggle room to continue monetizing its own debt in relation to the vast majority of other fiat currencies.

For the past ten years, gold has risen under the radar, primarily because there were other assets that consistently out performed. However, if gold continued and accelerated its trajectory throughout the last three years it would both signify and cause the destruction of USD and the major economies.

It follows therefor that the major economies would have every incentive to collude in the suppression of the price of gold if necessary. At less than $10 trillion (13 zeros, 15% gross global product), I think this game can be played for a very long time. After all, gold does not have its own military. This is not to say gold can not go higher, but I wouldn't count on its price reflecting fiat monetary inflation.

Cypherdoc's point, that deleveraging of the past three years overwhelms base USD supply, is undeniable. Even if southern Europe implodes orders of magnitude greater than Lehman, to where will Europeans flee, where are they already running? Perhaps this is precisely why gold just tanked. I have personally suggested that my friends and family in Europe buy up metal since July. They won't, but USD and American assets, sure.
855  Economy / Speculation / Re: $/BTC Time Series (Probability) Analysis on: October 03, 2011, 02:25:06 AM
I don't think there's anything significant one can say about volume. USD volume / BTC volume = USD/BTC price.
USD:
BTC:
856  Economy / Speculation / Re: $/BTC Time Series (Probability) Analysis on: October 03, 2011, 01:43:18 AM

Someone is determined to keep the price at $5 give or take 2%.
857  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Anyone interested in an ncurses bitcoind fronted? on: October 03, 2011, 12:07:42 AM
I'd like to see a little microlinux server with ncurses client packed into 10 mb + (well, we need to do something about this blockchain)
858  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: October 03, 2011, 12:02:28 AM
859  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FirstBits.com - remember and share Bitcoin addresses on: October 02, 2011, 11:36:22 PM
I like this neat idea. Is there a chance that somebody write patch for official client?

+1 .. I think it's inevitable: multiple implementations, expanding user base, simple proven algorithm, it'll happen. I expect firstbits could help condense the local block chain. There need only be one instance of each (firstbits key, address) tuple and all other instances of the address can be reduced about 80%.
860  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Is American Debt default really possible?? on: October 02, 2011, 07:03:27 PM
At nearly 0% interest, UST's are free money for the US gov. When interest rates are forced to rise, I think defaulting on UST would be a fascinating play. By the time that might be considered, investors the world over won't know which direction is up.
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