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961  Economy / Economics / Re: Surprisingly, Elon's Tesla is not so keen on hodling BTC anymore on: August 04, 2022, 08:59:44 AM
Not surprised by the steps he took because this action is almost the same as the steps of everyone who has a lot of bitcoins, namely taking profits, he should even do it when the price is still higher than he sells these bitcoins, especially as an entrepreneur he will be profit-oriented and maybe cash becomes the reason he ended up selling bitcoin.
Tesla bought bitcoin last January when it was priced between $30,000 and $35,000 and sold it for $29,000. That is, one and a half billion dollars were in bitcoins for more than a year, after which they were sold at a decent loss for the company. To take such a step, you need to have information either that bitcoin will continue to fall in price for a long time, or that the crypto winter will last for a very long time, and therefore it is unprofitable to keep such an amount idle.
But it is still difficult to understand their contradictory and illogical actions with bitcoins.
962  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: August 03, 2022, 12:42:46 PM
Although Russia did plan to attack Ukraine for many years, it cannot be said that it was well prepared for the introduction of international sanctions against it. First of all, this can be seen from the fact that almost half of Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves, which is about 300 billion dollars, ended up in foreign banks and any operations on them were immediately suspended. Also, Russia was not ready to live in international isolation: it still depends on the supply of electronics and many parts in the industry. Machine-building, the aircraft industry and many other industries are suffering especially now.
The only way to stop this war is to stop the aggression against Ukraine and get out of its territory. Otherwise, no matter how much they sit down at the negotiating table, there will be no result. In Ukraine, they are determined to destroy all invaders and do not agree to cede even a part of their territory to the aggressor.

LOL.. it is not all black and white as it sounds. If Russia is dependent on electronic and high-tech parts from the West, then the latter also benefited from the sale revenues. Russians are not going to sit idle. Either they may manufacture these goods within Russia, or they will source them from countries such as China and India. Do you really believe that no high-tech products are available in countries such as North Korea and Iran, which are under sanctions for many years? And forget about Russia ceding any of the territory it captured. Just not possible.
In Russia, during the war with Ukraine, factories for the production of tanks stop. They also cannot produce high-precision missiles there, for this they lack certain components. On the verge of collapse of their domestic automotive industry. Airports are closing because there are no spare parts for aircraft maintenance. The situation is similar in almost every industry.

Ukraine will not ask Russia if it will withdraw its troops from the occupied territories of Ukraine. They will simply be killed there and knocked out of their land. Now in the Kherson region on the right bank of the Dnieper, after the attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on three bridges, along which the Russians could still retreat, a very interesting situation has developed. There, it was planned to encircle the units of the 49th Russian army, numbering about 15,000 soldiers. Instead of retreating from southern Ukraine, Putin, on the contrary, deployed additional units, removing them from the Donetsk and Izyum directions, and increased the number of troops in a potential mousetrap to 25,000. The Ukrainian military forces will only have to finally destroy the bridges, including the pontoon, which the Russians built near the destroyed Andrew's bridge across the Dnieper, and this group of troops will be without supply routes, under constant shelling of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. For the Russians, it was also “impossible” to retreat, the ambition did not allow. In two or three weeks we will see what remains of this group of Russians.
963  Economy / Economics / Re: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy on: August 03, 2022, 12:04:17 PM
Countries that had stable economy over the years started to suffer out of the pandemic. Continued by the war have caused a big impact over different country's economy. With perfect plans many countries have overcome it and were on the edge. Even the grown countries suffered big out of it. Slowly one by one getting exploded. Initially Sri Lanka have got exploded and now it is said that Pakistan is in a very critical situation.

Stronger economies can withstand the impact for a longer duration. In countries such as Pakistan and Sri Lanka, the economy was in a perilous situation to begin with. And the sudden hike in oil and gas prices resulted in economic meltdown. As the war continues well in to the winter, we will see similar meltdowns from many other countries. Already inflation is in double-digits in many of the Eurozone nations. Citizens are fed up with sky high energy bills. To complicate things further, manufacturing units are closing down due to the shortage of natural gas.
Indeed, Sri Lanka, a country of 22 million people, is experiencing its worst economic crisis since 1948, when the country got out of British control. There is not enough fuel, which the state cannot buy due to rising prices on the world market and the lack of necessary funds. Last week, authorities banned the sale of fuel for all means of transportation except public transport. The country's external debt is more than $50 billion, and there is no more currency in the state reserve. Last month, inflation in the country exceeded 50%, according to the BBC.

The UN states that Sri Lanka is experiencing a "desperate humanitarian crisis." Schools are closed, cancer treatment and other routine medical procedures have been halted, and many families are struggling to get one meal a day.

According to the press service of the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine, in the first half of last year, trade between Ukraine and Sri Lanka amounted to $28.5 million. The basis of Ukraine's exports to the island was agricultural products - vegetables, grains, oilseeds.

Naturally, after the blocking of Ukrainian ports by Russia, the export of Ukrainian products ceased. A month ago, Sri Lanka changed its prime minister. Ranil Wikramasinghe began to negotiate with non-state structures of the Russian Federation in order to buy oil and grain there. In an interview with AP, he said that they are forced to take this step because they believe that the crisis with Ukraine will drag on until 2024. Apparently, the deal never went through.
So the food riots started there. This morning in the capital of Sri Lanka, Colombo, thousands of protesters broke through the police and entered the presidential residence. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa left the residence on Friday and, according to some reports, is trying to fly out of Colombo. The prime minister of the country himself resigned. More than 50 wounded, including policemen, have been admitted to hospitals in Sri Lanka. It is not yet known how this will all end.
964  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: ATH for ETH on: August 02, 2022, 02:04:14 AM
...I doubt that we will see a new ATH for ETH with the merge as the price needs to more than double for that.

Nothing is impossible in the cryptocurrency market) And if we previously saw how the price of ETH decreased by 3 times, then why can't it increase by the same value? Ethereum after the upgrade will significantly increase throughput and scalability, which will allow you to abandon most of the L2 solutions, which will undoubtedly attract more users to this blockchain. The main thing is that this update should not be postponed to a later date.
Of course, after a successful merger on the Ethereum mainnet, there will be some price gains for this coin. But it cannot be expected that this will happen quickly and in a short period. A good price effect can only be linked to a general rise in prices in the market. We see that in recent weeks, the price of ethereum has risen quite well even in comparison with bitcoin. Therefore, there will be a positive effect from the successful completion of the ETH refresh, but it is unlikely to lead to a quick new ATH.
965  Economy / Economics / Re: The current crypto bear could end the market. on: August 02, 2022, 01:50:58 AM
The bear market could end at any moment but it could also last for another year. Nothing is set in stone here.
It's easy to turn BTC price up side down because of low market liquidity even further decreased by large outflows from exchanges. It seems that we're at record all time low of coins held on exchanges which means that if a big enough buyer shows up the price will skyrocket. Will he show up though?
It cannot be said that the current situation in the cryptocurrency market is very bad. Yes, the bearish period has dragged on, but this state of affairs is quite normal for this market. Especially since it's the second half of summer. It's time for mass holidays and a decrease in business activity in all markets. During such a period, there was almost never a good price increase. Therefore, you need to wait for autumn. Right now, there is almost no bad news regarding cryptocurrencies, which means that the time will come when the cryptocurrencies will get bullish momentum again.
966  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: August 02, 2022, 01:35:20 AM
There is no deny in the fact that EU will be lose more then Russia in case they go on with Russia gas boycott. While LNG supply from USA to EU has been trippled to avoid inconvenience in winter according to above article. USA is earning through supply of LNG to EU.

Russia have planned this invasion for years and their economy has been built to withstand sanctions. But the reality now is that they never expected that the war would last for this long, hence gradually the effect of the cost of the war and sanctions have started hitting the economy negatively. The truth now is that both Russia and Europe are suffering the effect greatly and both of them are heading for a difficult economic downturn if this war is not stopped. This war is a problem to both of them and they must workout ways of restoring peace in Europe. Both China, India and the US are core beneficiaries of this way and they would want this war to continue.
Although Russia did plan to attack Ukraine for many years, it cannot be said that it was well prepared for the introduction of international sanctions against it. First of all, this can be seen from the fact that almost half of Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves, which is about 300 billion dollars, ended up in foreign banks and any operations on them were immediately suspended. Also, Russia was not ready to live in international isolation: it still depends on the supply of electronics and many parts in the industry. Machine-building, the aircraft industry and many other industries are suffering especially now.
The only way to stop this war is to stop the aggression against Ukraine and get out of its territory. Otherwise, no matter how much they sit down at the negotiating table, there will be no result. In Ukraine, they are determined to destroy all invaders and do not agree to cede even a part of their territory to the aggressor.
967  Economy / Economics / Re: Why is crypto going up after the news of being in a recession? on: August 01, 2022, 12:43:36 PM
In general, this is how it should be. After all, the cryptocurrency was created as an alternative means of payment for the current payment system of states, which is subject to periodic inflation. Cryptocurrency is not tied to the fiat of states, although it has a price in fiat. Therefore, it would be quite reasonable if, with inflation rising, as it is now, people turn to cryptocurrencies to protect their savings.
It is possible that a small increase in cryptocurrency is provoked by an increase in inflation in most states. How sustainable this trend will be remains to be seen.
968  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanction isn't the right option on: July 31, 2022, 07:25:58 AM
I have never seen that sanctions will be able to influence the decision of a country that invasion, precisely sanctions will cause major humanitarian problems in the long run, it is time for the world to think that without sanctions can stop the war.
Sanctions are essentially very mild pressure on the aggressor. In fact, in this case, the states tell the aggressor country that you are doing bad things, and therefore we will not trade with you and have other common affairs. The meaning of the sanctions is that, by voluntarily giving up part of their profits, many countries cause serious economic damage to a country that violates the established general norms of behavior.

Another form of effective public response to the fact of an attack like that made by Russia could be to come together and launch a common military strike against the aggressor. True, there is also a third option: not to notice the fact of aggression. But everyone understands: today they attacked a neighbor, and tomorrow they will attack you, and no one will intervene. Therefore, you need to choose between the first and second option.

The Putin regime tried to avoid these variants of public reaction by seizing the territory of Ukraine in 3-5 days at lightning speed and forcing its political leadership to sign extremely unfavorable conditions and abandoning any claims against the aggressor. But Ukraine, through a stubborn struggle for its independence, violated these plans. Therefore, the first option is still working in the form of sanctions and all kinds of assistance to Ukraine, except for the participation of its troops in this war.
969  Economy / Economics / Re: Huge bounty is placed on Russians politicians crypto info on: July 31, 2022, 06:23:34 AM
Each state on whose territory a cryptocurrency exchange is registered can instruct  to help Ukraine in this regard, and the exchanges will be forced to do so. Another question is how Ukraine will be able to convince itself and how will it convince others that these wallets belong to Russian politicians?

That's what the bounty's for. Ukraine presumably is not going to offer funds for worthless information that's unverifiable. Russians are already having their assets seized but I have not inquired as to how Ukraine plans to seize crypto wallets unless they're tied to exchanges or other centralized banking platforms. It's not good for crypto exchanges to be attaching themselves as the moral arbiters, but perhaps it's their fault if they choose to keep funds on centralized platforms. Tough luck.
In any case, Ukraine is trying to do everything possible to punish the aggressor by any means. This should be done at least so that the citizens of the country, whose leaders will try to solve problems with other states by force in the future, understand that they will not be able to dissociate themselves from their leaders and that all citizens of this country will be responsible for their actions. This is very important, because some raise the issue that some Russians do not support the war and therefore it is impossible to punish everyone indiscriminately. All citizens of Russia are more to blame than those Ukrainians who have been under constant bombardment and artillery and rocket attacks all over Ukraine for the sixth month.
970  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Bounties (Altcoins) / Re: [BOUNTY] AfterBurner.Finance | DeFi 3.0 Redesigned | Sig/Twit/Red |$10k ~ 4 week on: July 31, 2022, 04:52:06 AM
#PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Username: Argoo
Profile: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1053354
Telegram username: @argo12
Compaign: Signature
BEP20 Address: 0x33fc5780f8C79dA95812667368aBFB5cf269dD74
971  Economy / Economics / Re: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy on: July 26, 2022, 06:39:39 PM
Of course, the ongoing six-month war between Ukraine and Russia will have serious consequences for the global economy. First of all, there is a redistribution of spheres of influence both in the sphere of politics and in the sphere of economy. Russia is gradually losing the European market, where it primarily supplied coal, oil and gas in significant quantities. Now, as a result of Russia's blackmailing of the EU countries and the sanctions imposed on Russia, which unleashed a war of conquest in the center of Europe, the latter have set a course for the fastest possible rejection of these Russian energy sources. Europe is looking for and finding other suppliers, and will also gradually switch to alternative energy sources. For some time there will be confusion, so for some time the prices for these energy carriers will jump, but then everything will calm down. But Russia will lose big in the long run.

In addition, Russia, as an aggressor country, will increasingly isolate itself from civilized states, and from such isolation and international sanctions, its economy will collapse, and it will itself lose its current status of a superstate, if it does not fall apart into many separate republics. As a result, our world is in for a big change.
972  Economy / Economics / Re: The Russian Federation may be about to make a "Corralito" on: July 25, 2022, 05:42:03 PM
If you think that Ukrainians are killed by Putin, you are greatly mistaken! Kills, rapes, marauders, destroys everything that the Ukrainians created - namely the Russian people! It was he who created such an idol for himself as Putin, it is they who do not want to build a good life for themselves, but want to prevent others from living better than them. Well, or try to get hold of a little at the expense of the occupied territories! You have no idea how many ordinary Russians stole and took out of Ukraine to impoverished Russia, toilet bowls (for them, this is apparently a deficit or an inaccessible luxury), washing machines, electric kettles (although they stole, as a rule, without a stand, because they don’t know how it works electric kettle), TVs and even used delicate linen! It seems that this cannot be the case in the 21st century, but this is a fact, and hundreds and thousands of similar stories have been recorded in reality. So the problem is not in Putin ...

It is strange that you refuse to answer one of my questions despite me repeating it many times. All the time you are blaming Russia. But what about the Ukrainian citizens, who are fighting on the other side? At this point, more than half of the casualties on the "Russian" side comprise of Ukrainian (or former Ukrainian citizens). You have never mentioned about them. According to conservative estimates, Russians have lost some 8,000 men. This may be an undercount, but from the available data more than 50% of these deaths come from the national militias of Donestk and Lugansk Republics. Russian citizens comprise less than half of the deaths on the "Russian" side. What if I claim that the war is between two factions within Ukraine, with external parties supporting either of the sides (Russia and Belarus supporting the rebels, and NATO supporting Kiev)?
Yes, 8,000 dead Russians, these figures are too low. Such Russian losses were only in the first week of their attack on Ukraine. According to the latest intra-staff report of the Russian Ministry of Defense, which is not made public, the losses alone by dead russiass military  amount to about 74,200 people. About 100,000 Ukrainians were also mobilized on the territory of the DPR and LPR, most of them were caught on the streets, in public transport, door-to-door, and without training and proper equipment were thrown to the front line ahead of the Russian military. Therefore, the losses there are also significant - about 23,000 people. For the most part, having no military experience, they could not even surrender, because both the Ukrainians, defending their front, and the Russians fired when they saw those who surrendered.
Now the Russians are also trying to do the same in part of the occupied territories of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. By bribery and threats, they try to force men to obtain a Russian passport and mobilize them into their army. The Nazis didn't think of that. Many interesting things will be made public in the international tribunal when Putin's criminal regime is tried.
973  Economy / Economics / Re: Surprisingly, Elon's Tesla is not so keen on hodling BTC anymore on: July 25, 2022, 01:34:50 PM
Since cryptocurrencies are currently in a period of decline, it is normal for such a situation to follow. if he sold more than $29k worth of bitcoin, he has made a profit now. Elon Musk is an ambitious and strong man. I think he make a lot of money from this market. That's why he never leaves the market. After the values of crypto currencies drop a little more, he will start buying again.
It is still difficult to say whether Tesla profit from the sale of its 75 percent of bitcoins will receive a profit, or will ultimately suffer losses. Bitcoins were purchased by this company in January 2021, when their price was on average from 30,000 to 35,000 dollars. They were sold at a price of $ 29,000. That is, in fact, such a deal was in a result. But everything will depend on how to do it further and whether the Bitcoin course will fall. Even if Tesla will again buy bitcoins at the current price just below $ 22,000, then on each bitcoin they will earn about $ 7,000. And we are talking, in my opinion, about 54,000 bitcoins. But we do not know Tesla's plans for bitcoins. Let's see what will happen next.
974  Other / Politics & Society / Re: US Gas sales to China dries up as Ukraine war halts Energy trade on: July 24, 2022, 01:13:40 PM
Haven't laughed so hard in a long time Smiley
Iran has uranium enrichment centrifuges, but that doesn't mean they have ballistic missiles.
Why you speak about things you have no knowledge of is beyond me.
Iran has the largest and most diverse number of missiles and unmanned vehicles (UAVs, UUVs, UGVs, etc.) in the world. The military technologies are so advanced that we are literary defining what modern warfare is. In fact the "unconventional" warfare Ukrainians are using against Russia is copied from us. But of course just like altcoins, it is a poor copy of the original. Add to that the lack of independence and you can see why Russia is still progressing instead of having been defeated a long time ago.
An unconventional, that is, a hybrid war in Ukraine was just unleashed by Russia by attacking this country. Russia at first denied the fact that their military had seized the Crimean peninsula, but then they had to admit it only for the reason that there was nowhere to go. But the occupation of part of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions was brazenly denied for eight years, until they made an obvious large-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Russia does not progress in the war with Ukraine, its military power and equipment are destroyed in Ukraine, and the soldiers are completely demoralized and try to desert from the army by any means and often injure themselves for this purpose. During the five months of the war, Russia has lost about 70 percent of its army and armored vehicles and is now unable to attack and is gradually moving to the defensive. Its military defeat in this war is obvious.
975  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: ETH is leading the market to a monthly high... on: July 23, 2022, 06:26:46 AM
$1000 to $1400+ in 5 days.  Shocked
Let's just say it will be expected to be done this year instead of confirming exact dates.
As I checked different sources some say September 19th but there is no finalization about it. I am expecting they will keep on moving the date just to be sure it will be perfect.
Demand is soaring but I am not riding it anymore. I am glad about what I have. FOMO for new investors.
The price of ethereum continues to rise and is now at $1,580, up 30 percent in the last week. Bitcoin has grown by only 11 percent during this time. Therefore, it is not entirely important whether the merger occurs on September 19 or a month or several months later. Most importantly, investors understand that this coin will be updated very profitably in the near future and will grow well in price.
976  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: July 23, 2022, 06:10:01 AM
Gas becomes a Russian political force to make Europe unable to do much, Russia understands that to make a gas pipeline it takes a large cost and a long time, even very difficult to find gas reserves because global gas consumption continues to increase.
The big is seen from a distance. I would like to look at the situation with Russian oil and gas supplies at least in two or three years. When the countries of Europe will almost completely abandon these energy sources from Russia and how this will affect Russia itself. Russia spent a long time and expensively building Nord Stream 2 in order to bypass Ukraine in their transportation if the opportunity arises. Now this is an empty expense. But the main thing is that Europe FOREVER refuses Russian oil and gas and Russia will lose the possibility of eternal pressure and blackmail of European countries. These are big problems, first of all, for Russia itself. Europe will find where to buy them and how to replace them. Moreover, they set a course for their gradual replacement with alternative energy sources even before the war unleashed by Russia in Ukraine. But Russia cannot stop oil and gas production, and their reduction will lead to big losses for Russia itself. Therefore, Russia will definitely lose here in the future ...
977  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: July 22, 2022, 03:29:58 AM


@be.open. It is a little strange that you need to prove something that is not disputed even now by the highest political and military leadership of Russia. In social networks, there is also a lot of evidence from the Russian army that before the invasion of Ukraine they were told that the people of Ukraine would meet them as liberators with flowers and that this "special operation" would take several days, and therefore they were provided with dry rations for three days . (True, these dry rations had an expired shelf life of several years). In addition, the military leadership of Russia did not worry about organizing the food for its troops during the seizure of Ukraine. Already when the Russian troops met a worthy rebuff from the Armed Forces of Ukraine and got bogged down in protracted battles in Ukraine, an order was issued for the invaders to provide themselves with food, that is, to rob shops and the population in Ukraine.

Russian intelligence was very wrong about the resistance of the Ukrainians because the Kremlin generously funded the subversive work in Ukraine. Only to one of the leaders of the opposition party in Ukraine, Medvedchuk, the Putin regime allocated about five billion dollars for the corresponding work on the unhindered occupation of Ukraine. This money was appropriated, and in return, cheerful reports were sent to Russia about the success of the work done. This was also the basis for Putin's subsequent decision to attack Ukraine.

And now Putin does not know how to end the war he unleashed, because he is suffering a military defeat in it. By the way, Russian troops did not capture Kyiv. They reached the suburbs of Kyiv, but soon they were defeated there and expelled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Russia now explains the shameful escape from the central and northern regions of Ukraine as a gesture of goodwill. As well as the flight from the captured Zmeiny Island after the sinking of the flagship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet "Moskva" and several smaller ships and boats. It seems that the Kremlin will also explain the flight from all over Ukraine as a gesture of goodwill.
978  Economy / Economics / Re: Surprisingly, Elon's Tesla is not so keen on hodling BTC anymore on: July 22, 2022, 02:12:49 AM
If the decline has to be sharp first because of the sale of 75% of Testa's ownership, then why not? we prefer Bitcoin split in the hands of small traders or investors who still believe in Bitcoin. Companies like Tesla can do whatever they want to sell whenever they want without needing to make a statement in the media. How about Tesla loudly announcing that he has sold 75% of his Bitcoins? Isn't this a game? imagine Elon now in the long case about Twitter, and Tesla selling Bitcoin. It could be that all have a connection that Elon's finances are at stake. Being exposed to liquidity on a loan doesn't mean it's impossible.
I just don't see the point of Elon Musk's Tesla selling 75 percent of its bitcoins for such a low price of $29,000 when those bitcoins were purchased at a much higher price earlier. These are hundreds of millions of dollars in losses. Does Elon Musk no longer believe that the price of bitcoin will rise much higher over time? Or did he urgently need large sums of money? I don’t think that the company’s financial affairs are so bad that the only way out was to sell bitcoins. I would like to hear his comments on the bitcoin sale.
979  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: July 20, 2022, 07:29:50 AM
@be.open. By heavy losses on the part of Ukraine, I primarily meant the heavy losses of the civilian population and the destruction of civilian infrastructure, which the Russians are deliberately destroying in this war. Having failed to destroy the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Russian invaders began to systematically destroy the civilian population, including the elderly, women and children, especially pro-Ukrainian ones, in order to simply intimidate the Ukrainians and break their will to resist. These are purely fascist methods ...

Now about the successes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. On February 24, Russia, without declaring war, attacked the northern, eastern and southern parts of Ukraine, including from Belarus, with the forces of eight of its most prepared armies for the attack, totaling up to 200,000 soldiers and officers. Moreover, all this army moved to Ukraine with endless columns of armored troops and other military special equipment. The calculation was for a quick, within 3-5 days, the capture of the main territory of Ukraine and a violent change of power in Ukraine. But a month later, Russian troops suffered a significant defeat in manpower and equipment and were forced to flee from the central and northern regions of Ukraine so as not to be completely defeated. Thus ended the first stage of this war, and this was the undoubted success of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and all Ukrainians.

After that, having received a good rebuff and realizing that they could not capture all of Ukraine, the Putin regime concentrated the main blow on the eastern and southern parts of Ukraine in order to first of all completely capture the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine and, if possible, build a land corridor not only to the occupied since 2014 Crimea, but also Transnistria. But Russia has not yet fulfilled these already limited goals. Now Ukraine has a front with a total length of 2,450 kilometers, and the "second army of the world" has lost almost all of its elite troops and the best military equipment in Ukraine. We can say that the Russian offensive has almost run out of steam. The shortage in Russia is felt both in manpower and in technology. Russia has already thrown almost all of its reserves into Ukraine, while exposing all its regions militarily, and they are being successfully crushed by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Russia removes from conservation and throws into Ukraine even the old T-62 tanks, which have been in service since the 50s of the last century, and is arming the new replenishment with Mosin rifles of the 1891 model.

During the five months of the war, Russia was unable to achieve any significant success at the front. Of the 25 regional centers of Ukraine, Russian troops only in the first days of a large-scale offensive were able to capture, with little or no resistance, only the regional center Kherson, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine are going to liberate in the near future.

During this time, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia lost 38,550 of its soldiers and officers alone in the dead. According to Russia itself, which is not made public, such losses amount to more than 54,000, and taking into account the wounded, this figure has already exceeded one hundred thousand people. At the same time, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 1,691 Russian tanks, 3,892 armored vehicles, 220 aircraft, 188 helicopters, 831 artillery systems, 249 MLRS, 113 air defense systems, 2,767 military vehicles, 693 UAVs, 15 ships and boats were destroyed.

And this is just the beginning. After receiving only a dozen HIMARS MLRS from the United States, over the past two weeks, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have destroyed over 20 different Russian ammunition depots. Because of this, the Russian ammunition depots are removed from the front line by 90 km, which greatly complicates their delivery to the front line, which is why they experience significant difficulties and their offensive is almost bogged down.
Let's see what happens in another two or three months.
980  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: July 19, 2022, 07:51:18 PM
I think the war is coming to an end within the next few months. Germany and other European countries are fearing shortages of gas supply this winter. I really think they are trying hard to persuade Zelensky and top Ukrainian officials to just give up Crimea and the rebel regions of Donbas and Luhansk in exchange for something like membership in the EU right away and committing billions of euros to rebuild its country. Russia needs to play its cards very well in the next few months if it wants to secure its primary objectives in Ukraine (e.g., Crimea, Donbas, Luhansk, and NATO ban on Ukraine). Russia needs to end this quickly before western Europe can find alternatives for their food, gas, and oil supplies. Food especially wheat maybe difficult to find and expensive nowadays but there will be some countries that can take advantage of this like Australia boosting its wheat supply. Oil and gas are everywhere, it only needs time to construct more ports and tunnels into Europe.
Recently, European countries have been looking for and successfully finding suppliers for their countries of oil and gas, so as not to buy them in Russia. These are Azerbaijan, USA, UAE, Egypt, Norway and other countries. There is really a lot of oil and gas in other countries besides Russia. Europe is now realizing what a mistake they made by becoming dependent on their supplies from Russia, and therefore they are looking for other options, even if they temporarily suffer losses.
In addition, Europe also understands that it is no longer possible to give in to Putin, otherwise, after Ukraine, they may already be subjected to military aggression. Therefore, although they are not quite friendly, they still strive to provide all possible military assistance to Ukraine in order to stop Putin with the hands of Ukrainians. At the cost of heavy losses, Ukraine succeeds, and Russia's military power is steadily approaching its collapse. No one is pressing Ukraine to make concessions to Putin's regime. These conclusions are incorrect.
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