Mandei minha bola de cristal para o conserto, então fica difícil te dar uma resposta. Puro exercício de adivinhação. Na minha vida já vi empresas de vários ramos se recuperarem de grandes problemas e também vi empresas quebrarem por causa de pequenos problemas. Então não tem como dar uma resposta sobre sua pergunta.
você pode simplesmente chutar dizem que existe uma sabedoria em tirar a média dos chutes das massas algo sobre o conhecimento estar distribuído na sociedade e a média de nossas opiniões ser mais precisa que opiniões sozinhas.
mas como sabemos que tudo que desce, sobe um dia e tudo que sobe, desce. Uma hora a indústria se reergue e a tecnologia só tem um ponto de chegada: mais alto.
O que está acontecendo com a Binance nos últimos meses é o mais saudável para o mercado todo, e quem sabe pra ela mesmo, parece que perdeu um bom espaço nesse tempo, tendo que sair de alguns países e tendo alguns serviços interrompidos em outros. Como eu disse, talvez seja bom para que a Binance não tenha o domínio absoluto que vinha alcançando e não prejudicar o mercado todo em caso de algo ruim Num cenário ideal a Binance perde força e fica equivalente às outras exchanges do mercado (Coinbase, Kraken, Kucoin, e aqui no BR a Foxbit entre outras) Vou até responder sua pergunta também, se a Binance somente acabar, não iria retroceder em nada o mercado, mas se sofresse um hack ou desse um exit scam ou ainda algum escândalo igual da FTX, aí sim iria prejudicar muito. acho que já pressupus que um possível fim da binance seria por hack, escândalo ou ação governamental, por isso o teor fatalista do post. agora, pra binance ter o mesmo peso que as corretoras nacionais o povo daqui vai ter que correr muito e baixar bem as taxas, né? Pra mim não vai acontecer nada a longo prazo. Quando eu entrei, a maior exchange era a poloniex, tudo mundo usava lá. Todo mundo ficava esperando as moedas serem lançadas lá esperando um pump. O volume era muito bom em qualquer moeda, tinha margin trade e tudo. Hoje ninguém nem fala mais dela.
A segunda alternativa era a Bittrex, tinha mais moedas mas também tinha um bom volume, entrei algum tempo atrás e ela está praticamente morta, tem moeda que não movimenta nem 10k dol por dia.
Se a binance cair vai sugir uma outra que vai dominar, simples assim. Vai ter uns dumps com FUD da galera mas depois tudo volta ao normal.
também acho que no longo prazo tudo seguiria tranquilo |
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valeu pelos parabéns pessoal
acho que existe um equilíbrio sutil entre deixar a coisa simples demais ou complexa demais
gosto dessa ideia do Ninja de que cada merit pode ter um peso de 30% e cada tópico de 70%
única coisa é que isso geraria um número quebrado pro peso/tickets de cada user, não?
imagino que não seja de grande importância.
Gosto de como os modelos e incentivos jogam nessa situação
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snip
1. always set a budget for playing slots and stick to it. do not chase losses or try to win back what you have lost by playing more.
2. if a slot machine does not hit in 7-10 spins, consider trying a different machine. this can help you avoid getting stuck on a losing streak and losing more money.
3. if you have been playing a slot machine for 50 spins and have not gotten any free spins or big wins, consider switching to a different machine.
this can help you avoid wasting money on a machine that is unlikely to pay out.
4. avoid playing slots from Pragmatic and Gamomat as they tend to have low payout percentages and are not as likely to result in big wins.
5. be careful when playing slots from Belatra and Spinomenal as they can be unpredictable and may not always pay out as expected.
6. if you do hit a big win, consider tipping any nearby players who may have been unlucky or busting. This can help spread good karma and keep the atmosphere positive.
7. avoid getting "slot psychosis" where you get stuck on one machine for too long. remember that slots are based on random chance and there is no guaranteed way to win.
so, take breaks, switch machines and remember to have fun!
8. first check the RTP (reward to player) and RTP should between 96%-100%
Thank you OP, the information you provide is very useful, i have also heard from several traditional slot players that playing on just one slot machine will only make us lose more, not more wins, some traditional casino slot machines are designed not to lose. i also tried playing pragmatic slot games several times and the result was that my winnings were very low (this is the main reason why i haven't played slots anymore in the last few years), regarding giving a little tip to losing players when we win is good advice, ready know that the small amount of money you give can make him return the capital he has lost. that's really interesting with the tips and all how does RTP works? is it usually an information that is available for everyone to check? how to access it? it's the first time I hear about reward to player % |
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some people will get addicted faster to some things than other people (and other things)
if an individual is really sensitive to addictions the best thing to do it probably to just stay away of this things and focus on what brings him/her good experiences and feelings in the world
easier said than done sometimes but necessary.
That's very true because each person does not have good self-control, so many people will become addicted to gambling faster than others. They must really learn self-control so that they don't become addicted to gambling and won't be too interested in continuing to gamble, especially if they have won previously. what do you think is the solution to get help to these people? are you more into the individualistic side with a "too each their own" approach where there's some kind of natural selection and some will fatally lose anyway or do you take a more collectivist approach thinking that we should take care of all humans and get the person some support and network if they don't have the means to help themselves? really curious on these possible points of view |
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The competition became more tighter to many good artist show some skills and became more competitive since they see a lot of artist now is improving .
HAHA!! Exactly what I thought right now. Other members who have always participated in monthly art contests, especially in the digital category, have improved a LOT! Seriously, they've become more meticulous, adding intricate details to their artworks. The story of their concept has improved, as well as their choice of colors and the proportionality of Mr. Roo and other fancy add-on characters! It makes me wonder how I can keep up with these people when I get busy with my day job. You see, creating artworks during school hours is much easier than in the office. That the reason why its hard to speculate on who will win each round since artist became more better. Unlike before that its little like we have idea on who might gonna win this round since all of the art you submit on the contest is really a winning piece. But now to many people choose to upgrade their skills and became more competitive that's why for sure it gives headache for the judges of this contest to select on who will be the winners of the current round. For so many time you have been declared as a winner in roobet art contest for sure you have an idea on how to deal with those competitive guys and you need to watch their arts submitted so that you can do a counter action and create good piece than them. I know that its not hard for you can keep up with those guys since I'm sure that your talent to create good art is already gives you huge advantage and you just need time to think about good concept on your next art piece. imagine people creating prediction markets on polymarket or something like that to bet on who would be the winner? probably not the best idea since it could affect judges decisions and influence them but definitely a curious thing to think about. could happen. |
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DOGE, PEPE e outras memecoins não são scams, só entram na ideia de ser algo "retardado/tosco"
talvez eu poderia ter escrito melhor separando a ideia dos 'maiores scams serem os que mais pumpam", pq esse era o sentido que eu queria trazer
uma coisa os scams
outra coisa as memecoins
sobre o dinheiro fluir para as mãos dos devs, passa pelo que o Ninja falou
e também pelo fato de que saber codar em crypto e trabalhar rápido te dá uma vantagem absurda em termos de lucratividade, seja fazendo coisas éticas (o que gostaria que a maioria se interessasse mais, por exemplo aproveitar fair launches, criar estratégias de trading mais eficientes) quanto fazendo coisas anti-éticas (explorar exploits em protocolos, hackear outros usuários.. etc)
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The problem will be resolved if the source of the problem is clear from the duelbits side. Duelbits is not a casino that was born yesterday. Building trust with a good reputation is not an easy job and takes a long time. Duelbits has done well from the start until Duelbits 3.0 was launched. The launch of 3.0 is a sign that duelbits will not stop in its commitment to maintaining and caring for everything it has done. Enjoy various new things.
Don't forget the giveaway provided.
Yes talking about the launch of 3.0, if Duelbits is reading this post then hoping that Duelbits will soon launch a party for the users on the occasion of Halloween. Maybe an artwork contest just like another casino or maybe something else or unique that Duelbits has to offer us. There was one contest that I participated in a long back ago but it was then shut down and never came back. I think we also need to activate the games and rounds section one more time for the competition of “highest multiplier”. That would be fun to see in play. Also I’m getting tired of reading the same thing about the peeps not getting their money or they complaining about identity verification. I think it’s best we divert to new topics such as contests. :-) art contest higher multipliers on the 31st maybe some themed games for halloween (everybody loves pumpkins!) are all cool things that I'd love to see on duelbits by the end of the month regarding the scam accusations maybe duelbits could create a costumer support topic here in the forum separate from this one but not sure if this would work |
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Nunca pensou em desenvolver uma ferramenta para os gerentes de campanha? Talvez tenha uma demanda por tal serviço (não sei se já existe algum)..
Já sim, inclusive sempre achei isso um desafio divertido, mas nunca comecei o projeto. Vi que o Loyce também lançou um dele. Para mim está ótimo, talvez uma cor vermelha para chamar atenção fosse interessante.
Boa, também vou botar um negrito. Parabéns @Lucasgabd, nunca imaginaria que você seria o vencedor...   acho que seria legal no post final constar o número de tickets de cada participante e a % de chance de vitória comparado ao total de tickets muito difícil implementar? pro post de aviso não sinto falta de nada talvez um emoji pra deixar mais divertido hahaha po, com 19 entradas para um total de 61 minha chance nesse era 31.14% menos que o anterior. gracias pela oportunidade ladies and gentlemen.
Esse sorteio está mais que manjado. Basta escrever dezenas de tópicos que a chance é enorme de ganhar. Mas não tem problema. Pelo menos pagou todo o trabalho que o @Lucasgabd teve em escrever tanta coisa. Tem tópico de tudo um pouco. Uma boa variedade de assuntos. Principalmente em assuntos sobre a crise existencial dos 30 anos. Ou também chamada de crise dos Balzaquianos. Hahhahaha
bom, esse é o pecado desse sorteio né, acaba prezando mais por quantidade. mas tento trazer quantidade e qualidade. sobre a crise existencial dos 30 anos, nem me fala hahahaha
Parabéns Lucasgabd ganhador do segundo sorteio, se fosse para apostar eu apostaria que você não seria o vencedor novamente afinal de contas mesmo com boa chance ao seu favor ganhar 2x na sequencia também exige sorte. Depois me avisa se quer receber o premio no mesmo endereço do anterior ou quer mudar e em seguida já vou gerar a transação. Voce poderia ter participado sim, porem perdeu o data/horario limite para inscrição que era as 12 horas e por isso não entrou para o sorteio. Mas logo aparece outro, tem que ficar atento nisso. sim! também participei sem expectativa de ganhar, só usando a motivação para criar mais tópicos mas em paz com o que quer que acontecesse, legal que rolou mais uma vez. pode mandar no mesmo endereço que da outra vez sim!  só me manda o tx id inbox quando enviar por favor Esse sorteio está mais que manjado. Basta escrever dezenas de tópicos que a chance é enorme de ganhar. Mas não tem problema. Pelo menos pagou todo o trabalho que o @Lucasgabd teve em escrever tanta coisa. Tem tópico de tudo um pouco. Uma boa variedade de assuntos. Principalmente em assuntos sobre a crise existencial dos 30 anos. Ou também chamada de crise dos Balzaquianos. Hahhahaha
Pode dar outra sugestão também.  Talvez cada merit recebido no período = 1 ticket? Considerando apenas os posts do nosso board, claro. No final das contas o intuito é esse mesmo. Mais tópicos = mais assunto = mais atividade. ideia interessante, os merits + a quantidade de posts talvez equalizem nesse sentido de quantidade x qualidade acho que melhoraria o sistema. |
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I agree with you, if at that time we win then the next step is to stop first and not place any more bets, because if we gamble again we will not necessarily win, on the contrary we will experience defeat. I like your statement "don't think that gambling is a way for people to quickly get rich" because gambling is luck and has been arranged or specifically designed to determine the outcome of winning or losing in gambling.
Of course, friends, if someone cannot control themselves in gambling then they must be prepared to bear all the risks, win a little and lose a lot, and immediately lose their money.
Stopping gambling must be done by gamblers who have been gambling for a while because by stopping gambling, they can calm themselves about the results they obtained previously and think about what they should do. If their previous results were losing, it might be a good time to stop gambling and leave the casino. And if their previous result was a loss, they also have to stop immediately because continuing to gamble will only trigger their emotions to increase and there will be thoughts of getting the next win. For this reason, a person must be able to control himself during and after gambling to see that he has had enough gambling. That will prevent him from experiencing more losses and also prevent him from developing a gambling addiction. some people will get addicted faster to some things than other people (and other things) if an individual is really sensitive to addictions the best thing to do it probably to just stay away of this things and focus on what brings him/her good experiences and feelings in the world easier said than done sometimes but necessary. |
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I'd say it depends, I saw this guy who did a model that removes all bias from decision, only uses data and the model is overall profitable, I think he's up more than 70% in some months or something like that so, there are ways to do it without emotion/human decisions. That's what I thought. It's all about a perfectly written prompt, right? My failed experiments with AI predicting outcomes don't prove anything. This was only a first try and I didn't think of a good prompt that much, I just wrote the first thing that came to mind. Yes, AI was wrong 8 times out of 10, but the same AI helped me to win 22x of my bet  I think I will be experimenting more with it. Maybe AI plus with some human corrections is the answer. what makes you think this wasn't just luck but something taht is replicable and you can implement in a profitable way over time? congratulations on the win and I'd be really happy to lose 8 out of 10 if my 2 wins got me a huge multiplier like that, but remember this could have been just luck, like a complex looking RNG asnwer created by an advanced LLM, but still no different than throwing dice. |
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Vamos supor que a binance quebra
algo que parece altamente improvável agora mas quando a FTX quebrou ninguém esperava também.
O que vocês esperam que aconteça?
eu imagino caos e gritos de "crypto está morta! é o fim!" para todos os lados
fogo e sangue nas ruas
famílias destruídas
mas como sabemos que tudo que desce, sobe um dia e tudo que sobe, desce. Uma hora a indústria se reergue e a tecnologia só tem um ponto de chegada: mais alto.
Quantos anos de atraso acreditam que uma quebra da binance traria?
imagino que uns 4 ou 8 mas talvez menos.
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Me lembro de um tópico sobre as "regras não escritas do malabarismo" que li no facebook, muitos anos atrás e era interessantíssimo
Ele numerava as regras que acontecem mas que não costumamos falar sobre.
consigo pensar em algumas em crypto, trago o assunto para conversarmos sobre.
- O dinheiro flui para as mãos dos devs.
Não é díficil de perceber essa, a posição mais bem paga no mercado de criptomoedas atualmente é a de dev, devs assalariados já conseguiriam faturar 500k brl ou mais ao ano trabalhando para um protocolo, devs fundadores podem sair de um lançamento multi milionários inclusive na casa dos altos 8 dígitos (40 mi brl para mais).
- Vibe e comunidade contam mais que soluções reais
Como ainda estamos numa fase muito especulativa da adoção a vibe, o sentimento da comunidade, acaba pesando muito mais para a adoção e crescimento de preço do que propor soluções práticas reais.
- O Resultado pode ser mais retardado do que você imagina (Stupid games, stupid rewards)
Com frequência lemos que "os maiores scams pumpam mais", a DOGE e a PEPE estão aí para provar que tem muito dinheiro para ser feito se você souber entrar e sair bem de lançamentos meme hypados.
O que mais?
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yes Shamm
I think chess is also a lot about understanding the attack and defense lines on the board and knowing what is the position you want to arrive at or you want your enemy to be
it's a cool game
even though life is more like poker than like chess, I do enjoy playing it
.chess is like a puzzle cause you need to watch every move of your opponent in order to analyze the possible sulution of that play. And before you can solve the puzzle and win the match you need to defense first in order to have the momentum cause once you are not aware of every trap of your opponent theres a chance that you will be loss. So chess is very hard game even though your physical body are only setting on the chair but your mind takes all tye pressure. oh, yes, I did some light chess championships with 1 hour games (30 minutes for each) and in the end I was more tired than if I was dancing for 2 hours a different kind of tired, not so much physical but in a way that your mind makes your body tired of so much time concentrating. |
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mas tem alguma diferença em relação às EVMs?
se não é só um:
"bora deixar o bitcoin mais caro para fazer pior algo que a ethereum já faz?"
correria aqui mas vou dar uma olhadinha na parte técnica
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Gambling, gambling!!! O mundo é uma festa, vamos nos divertir e jogar dinheiro fora enquanto ainda estamos vivos Sinceramente, nunca fui muito fã das abas internacionais, apesar de saber ler tudo em Inglês e dar uns tropeços na escrita, prefiro ficar por aqui mesmo bom português. Teve uma época em que eu tentei ser mais ativo na aba de Collectibes, Beginners e também Technicals... mas a preguiça dentro de mim foi mais forte O que deu certo mesmo foi a aba de Gambling, devido à obrigatoriedade da minha campanha de asssinatura, mas acabou se tornando um passa-tempo legal porque eu geralmente comento sobre futebol ou F1 que é algo que eu já gostava antes mesmo de começar a postar por lá. Então uni o necessário ao agradável e tem dado muito certo. haha é a única aba em inglês em que eu posto com frequência não curtia no começo mas agora até desfruto do processo gosto dos posts sobre teoria dos jogos e psicologia envolvida em apostas, mais do que alguns outros quais as abas que vocês postam mais fora daqui da nossa bola lusófona?
tópico rápído mas direto ao ponto
Eu gosto da beginners and help, e as duas technical discussion. As vezes tem algo bom na economics também.. beginners and help, interessante, não esperava por essa gosta de ajudar a galera que está iniciando por lá? meio off em relação ao assunto do tópico mas vocês viram que algumas campanhas de assinatura estão parando de aceitar posts após a página 15 em alguns tópicos? novas estratégias o do brasileirão já está na página 10 agora. hahhaa |
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~snip~
there are card games like blackjack, poker, so forth and so on
I think these are the only hope for those who want to have an edge
and on online casinos there's sports betting, you can probably have an edge with these too.
Yeah, those games are as close to parity to the casino as possible, but still, there is an edge for the casino, even if it's a small one it will make a difference. Sports betting might eventually show sometimes an advantageous bet for the skilled and knowledgeable gambler, but it will probably only work from time to time, not in reliable way for the long term. for sports betting I've seen some profitable stories that sounds more convincing than slots where it's more mathematical and odds are always against you sports are more dynamic but still quite hard and stressfull market, probably better to earn your bread doing other things. |
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morando numa grande capital vc consegue dirigindo pro uber ganhar 6k líquidos por mês, talvez mais.
Converso com frequência com os motoristas.
pra isso você só precisa saber dirigir, querer trabalhar sentado dirigindo várias horas por dia e querer lidar com pessoas.
Muito mais simples do que estudar por 4 anos, apesar de provavelmente pior no longo prazo.
Com novos trabalhos assim surgindo e com o fato de que cada vez mais gente pode aprender coisas pela internet sem a necessidade de uma faculdade, a notícia não me surpreende tanto.
Agora, isso é para todos os cursos? imagino que para alguns mais do que pra outros, médicos, engenheiros e advogados não vão aprender seus ofícios pela internet... haha
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I think for most games the dopamine hit will determine how much people keep on playing or not
if it's really addictive, has intermittent rewards and is a bit unpredictable without being too hard it has some of the important ingredients to hook people
besides crash which other games do you think have it too?
Slots have it too especially when the gambler hits the bonus round and the bonus round delivers, the gambler would have been highly excited on how high would be the result of the bonus games is. Aside from that slots also have the feature of being unpredictable, with different variations of rewards ranging from nothing to massive wins that keep people in playing the game. Well, I can't deny that things are about making the best game that Determines the Greatest flow of dopamine, if it is the crash and the Tragedy , at one point the Crash can be One of the games that best have Additivity, because a person Betting 4x and Getting out is Enoug , and if You have Bet an Amount like 10usd or More , then what you win is Enough. On the other Hand , trams are Games that will always give us the best Way to have the best Environment of this , only that Things with Slots you have to know how to play. When a person Plays Slot Machines , they May like one of the More Combinations and earn some money, so this makes the person playing feel more attracted and start playing more by putting more money into it, which can sometimes he has a very Strong losing streak, in view of This if the Player decides to put in more money and wins, he can win free spins , with More or Not it is 20 or 30 free Spins, a player is happy, because he knows that in those Spins the Illusion that I Can win More , I have won with little money, with less than 10usd more than 400usd , But of course later it turned out that I couldn't get it because over time that casino became a lie , a Scam , Among other Things , but The truth is , in my personal opinion, these turns go Away very Quickly because the emotion is increasingly stronger, and by doing so the Amount of money that is Produced is a Lot. In this order of Ideas, I would say that now the slot machines do this effect better, why? When compared to poker lovers, casinos have Determined for some Time that people Prefer Poker much more than poker itself, where poker is, it would be Better for casinos to have poker as the best option to win. I am one of the people who will always be Able to Generate many more things related to casinos, for that reason it is because in casinos , as a Player , you must take care of your Money. some say that the most addicting drugs are the ones that you feel the hit closer to the moment you take it hit > reward pathway is shorter I wonder if this happens to games too and I'd guess that this it probably true. what do you think? I believe that gambling addiction is something different from drug and alcohol addiction. for example, a person creates an account on Roobet.com and plays any game that is on Roobet.com and that person loses money, so that person starts to look at Roobet.com as an enemy that he needs to beat, that person who lost money starts to look at Roobet.com as an opponent who took all his money and for that reason he needs to put more money into Roobet.com and play the same game to beat Roobet.com, and when that person loses more money again he will be angry with Roobet.com and his anger against Roobet.com will start to affect him very psychologically, the person will not sleep well, the person will not eat well, the person will not focus on anything in real life Even at work, the person will not be focused, the person will even start not paying attention to their family and the responsibilities they have at home, all the person will be thinking about is that they need money and strategy to beat Roobet.com. The gambling addict looks at the casino and the game he lost as a great enemy that he needs to overcome to recover the money he lost. while the drug addict needs drugs to have pleasure for a few minutes, this for him is a way to escape the problems of the real world for alcohol addicts it is also the same thing with drug addicts, alcohol addicts drink a lot of alcohol so that many hours they are unaware of the problems in the real world, and that is why many people who are addicted to alcohol There are problems in the real world that they cannot solve and they use alcohol to forget about these problems. Drug and alcohol addiction harms mental and physical health and is difficult to cure completely without leaving some type of sequelae. while gambling addiction causes consequences on the psychological side only it depends because you can also get addicted to winning let's say you start playing and got +50% in some games or bets, after 3 days you calculate and think "woah, this could be enough for me to live out of it" you start to bet more no risk management at all you win 1 more 2 more 3 more than loose everything you say you'll take a break but deposit more on the next days the thing goes on and you don't even track deposits sometimes you win, sometimes you lose you probably lose more than win but you don't keep track so you don't know it gives you a thrill, some emotions that maybe you don't have from day to day dopamine I could bet many users are like that. |
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Gambling is very addictive but don't know why people don't notice quickly. It will start gradually before progressing to something you can't handle. Someone addictive to gambling can go to any lent in order to achieve his aim either by using all his saved money, school fees, and other Money kept for necessary things.
I thank God for removing the addictiveness of gambling in me, I remember those days I used all my money to gamble to the extent I have to use my school fees and at the end it was a sad story (I lost the game with just one cutting it)
The best advice is to go far away from gambling, once you are into it you can't have money to do other things except gambling. Though some people make money out of it but only few,
most addictions start slow like that and need at least some months to reach a serious problem grade it's not something overnight if you have a support network with friends and family maybe someone can notice or you can share if a thing starts to get out of control too |
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