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61  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Risk management is very essential during this post-halving season on: April 22, 2024, 02:09:58 PM
You must have plans for your investment, start with what is your capital source for investment. Next, risk management such as where to store your bitcoins and what will you do with your bitcoin: holding, trading and if trading, will it be Spot, Margin or Futures.

The market is always here, pre- or post-halving, it is here and there are times it is more volatile than usual. If a person use leverages, when market is more volatile than usual, leveraged positions will be liquidated.

Advice, in general, not only post-halving:

Check these ones
62  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Focus on knowledge, build up belief, then investment plan, success will come. on: April 21, 2024, 05:08:33 PM
Luck will also play a role however investment is different from gambling wherein one's decision making determines profit or success. Decision making on the other hand can be improved through learning or having knowledge of what investment you will be engaging yourself with.
Learning to gain knowledge, practice to gain experience. Together they will help an investor to have better understanding about the market, price cycle, psychology cycle and fud cycle so that they will become stronger with time. When they have these factors better, they will be less likely vulnerable to fud and will feel more comfortable with investment in Bitcoin.

Important to note that they must have good financial and capital management for their investment and their life beyond investment too.

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In Bitcoin, volatility is obviously present.
Volatility is what traders and investors need. Without volatility, we have a dead market.
63  Economy / Gambling / Re: MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino on: April 21, 2024, 04:39:35 PM
The best advertisement in the forum is through siggy camp. They can run a promotion as well but as we have seen in some of the promotions from other casinos especially not a paid one, only few really would join. This is just my personal observation, but I maybe wrong.
If look at advertisement types on the forum, what is a most common type, you can conclude that signature campaign is a most favorite advertisement type for many companies, not only gambling sites. So naively we can say it is a most cost-benefit efficient type for companies.

I agree with you too because signature campaigns can provide highest exposures to forum members through many posts that can spread in many boards inside the forum. Other types like advertisement banner (that is suspended many months ago), contests, events are like supplemental advertisement types only. Companies barely run those advertisement types but don't run a signature campaign.
64  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✨ Shuffle.com | The next generation of crypto casinos | Sports, Casino + token on: April 21, 2024, 04:32:57 PM
What's that casinos actual monthly revenue? If you could answer that, you could answer how much is being bought and being burned.
A big casino with big business and good profit will be able to assign part of their profit for buy back and burn program. They need to have good profit, then make decision to assign some percent of profit for this program. Big or small fund for buy back and burn program mainly depends on their business income and profit.

If Shuffle can provide their users information, like you are discussing, on their user dashboard, it will be very helpful. I don't know Shuffle team have this information for users to access publicly with their accounts and dashboards or only release this information in regular report like weekly, monthly or quarterly.

The best is allow user to have it anytime, permissionless through a dash board. If they don't have it at the moment, they can consider to build it.
65  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Need Advice for Cheap Swapping on ETH on: April 21, 2024, 02:30:21 AM
The only thing is that the fees through uniswap are really high, which are like 150-170$ on a 60k swap from eth to usdt on both ways.
You only can wait for cheaper transaction fee.

Read these insightful articles and make your plans for on-chain transactions and swaps on DEX with Ethereum blockchain.

66  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: April 21, 2024, 02:19:50 AM
The burning strategy doesn't work, because the amount of burned tokens is too small compared to the total supply available on the market. If they want to make FUN more valuable, they have to make it scarce, besides developing new usecases for it
Use case and utility of a token are main factors to make its value. Buy back and burn the token is only kind of spices but not main components for a token value.

Because we can see that Bitcoin, Ethereum don't have buy back and burn but they still have very high value. Ethereum only began their Burn program some years ago (since the last bull market), not since its blockchain and ETH main net launch.

Regarding to potential effects from Buy back and Burn program, it will depend on budget for the program, how long will it run and so on. Because it needs time to make exposure to community about the program, then big budget decides how many tokens will be burned. We need both to have good effects from Buy back and Burn, and obviously marketing is another important factor.
67  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 21, 2024, 02:14:37 AM
Even though it's not final yet, based on the articles I read, it looks like Serie A will definitely get 5 slots next season. Italy leads the coefficient list with 19,428 points, followed by Germany in second place and England in third place.

Both are still competing with 17 points but I am sure Germany will get 5 slots because Leverkusen, Dortmund and Munich still have matches in the UCL and UEL while all the English representatives have been eliminated. Tell me if I'm wrong.
Chance for Premier League to beat Bundesliga and get a second position is like chance for Bayern Munich to win against Leverkusen in Bundesliga weeks ago and finally we saw Leverkusen already officially become a new champion of Bundesliga.

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So I think Roma and Dortmund will qualify for the Champions League next season. Their points are far enough to be overtaken by the team ranked 6th in the standings.
Dortmund look to be safe with their fifth position but Roma are unsafe in Serie A. There is still pressure from Atalanta and if Roma won't play carefully, they can lose the fifth position to Atalanta and if they end this season like that, success of Serie A won't be helpful for Roma's chance to appear in Champions League.

But still, basically even if one league gets more slots to play in the Champions League, but the fact remains that there is no guarantee that Serie A teamswill manage to win the Champions League trophy.
At highest levels like Champions League, a match then a battle can change a lot by very minor differences. Getting five spots for Champions League will help clubs in a league have very good opportunity to play there and also improve their finance.

This is big opportunity that is wanted by many clubs so I don't underestimate importance of the fifth spot for Serie A, Bundesliga or Premier League. This new term of UEFA will force clubs in big leagues, have to be more seriously with every of their matches in European tournaments. Because if they get bad results, it will affect their league ranking and their club's chance to join European tournaments in future seasons.
68  Economy / Gambling / Re: MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino on: April 21, 2024, 02:01:33 AM
I hope they'll run some exclusive contests on this forum because they are super in it. I don't mind copying some of their tweets here but I sometimes don't do that because I don't know if they'll like that from me.
I can not say on behalf of MetaWin team but I believe they will feel good if any forum members go ahead and share their posts on Twitter. It is free advertisement for MetaWin team on Bitcointalk so they will not feel serious and be against this support from community.

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Btw you did it well, every crypto casino lover should bookmark their Twitter page. They have amazing contests and giveaways.
If you have a Twitter account, follow MetaWin account on Twitter for their posts on products, promotions and events.

If you don't want to use Twitter, you can simply bookmark their account on Twitter but my choice will be the first solution. Even you don't use your Twitter account to post, have one is good in cryptocurrency market. You can have more convenient to follow platforms you are interested in but of course, be aware of noise and biased information on social media.
69  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Spot ETF Tracker on: April 20, 2024, 04:22:28 PM
Glassnode Insights released its report, Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Their Impacts.

Trading capital and volume from Bitcoin Spot ETFs are going to OTC markets then Spot markets and they are here to stay in Bitcoin market. Weak Bitcoin Spot ETFs will have to stop their services but strongest ones will continue for a long time. Effects from new capital from Bitcoin Spot ETFs sooner or later will be reflected on price. It will be like domino effects and when a domino starts to fall, we will witness massive price impacts.

Quote from: Glassnode Insights
In fact, spot Bitcoin ETFs have quickly grown to become one of the major drivers of market dynamics that traders need to take into account in their strategies.

  • The combined AUM for these ETFs has reached a staggering 851k BTC, which represents approximately 4.3% of the total circulating Bitcoin supply. This significant concentration of Bitcoin under management by ETFs highlights their growing influence on the market.
  • Throughout the first quarter following their introduction, weekly inflows into Bitcoin ETFs ranged impressively from $1.2 billion to as high as $2.5 billion. However, there has been a noticeable slowdown in these inflows since late March, suggesting a potential stabilization or even a shift in investor sentiment towards these products.

Conclusions and Implications for Market Participants

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs has significantly altered Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics, making it crucial for market participants to consistently monitor ETF inflows and outflows. These ETFs not only help increase price levels by reducing available supply but also can greatly influence or even dictate major market movements due to their substantial market presence. This significant impact of ETFs on market dynamics means that careful observation and strategic planning are essential for investors aiming to leverage these changes effectively.


I quote theymos too.
IIRC, in last halvings there was lull in the price for some time after the halving before the effect of the reduced supply really started to be felt. I wonder if that'll happen this time.
70  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Focus on knowledge, build up belief, then investment plan, success will come. on: April 20, 2024, 03:01:30 PM
But the importance of luck can't be denied.

"Focus on knowledge, build up belief, then investment plan, and pray for luck success will come."
Luck is always important for anything, not only for Bitcoin.

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All the "intelligent knowledge and decisions for investments" of a "intelligent investors" is to buy bitcoin (not necessarily at the lowest price in the last period), and "good capital management" is just to "just hodl". I'm exaggerating a little, but don't exaggerate the importance of investing in an asset that is constantly growing (in the long term), as if it were an extremely complex action. Even a schoolboy can handle this.
Buy and sell within a range of price, you will invest well by buying around bottom range and taking profit around peak range.

If you approach the market like this for your investment, you will feel less stress and headache. You will not feel regret by missing a bottom price or an all time high because what you aim at is a range for entry and take profit.

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These are not brave investors, but greedy ones. Their greed overshadows their fear.
If you spend money to invest, to get profit, you are greedy. It's clear but being greedy must co-exist with safety for your capital. If you can not keep your capital safe, reduce risk to lose it, you will end with empty hands and nothing to do after that.

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Isn't bitcoin volatile? What's been going on in the last week, huh?
Did you read carefully?

I did not say Bitcoin is not volatile but I only wanted to say that even gold is volatile, 40% correction is not small but gold price changes slowly and people did not realize it. Crash in Covid-19 announcement is another example on volatility of gold. Stocks are volatile too but if people say Bitcoin is volatile but don't say the same for gold or stocks, they want to mislead newbies.
71  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 20, 2024, 02:42:32 PM


Good news has come to the serie a. The league will get 5 UCL spots starting from the upcoming season. Lazio has a chance to qualify for the europa league this season since it needs to finish at the 6th place in order to secure a spot participate in the europa league. Lazio was winning the game by acquiring one goal through luis alberto.
Next two days, there is an important match for Roma and Bologna. They will meet each other and Roma will be the host for an important direct match between to competitor for a fourth position.

It will be a chance for Roma to take over a fourth position from Bologna if they can beat the guest, difference will become 1 point. Later if Roma beat Udinese in 20 last minutes of a suspended match because of Ndicka's health issue, they will take the fourth position from Bologna.

Serie A will very likely get 5 spots in Champions League next season but it does not finalize yet, so Roma will try to get a fourth position if possible. Difference between Roma and Bologna is not big and Roma also have to secure a fifth position against Atalanta.
72  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club on: April 20, 2024, 02:19:46 AM
You did see the 2 games they played in the group stage right?
Also, Dortmund became first in the group in front of PSG. In my opinion PSG is definitely doable for Dortmund if they have 2 good nights
Dortmund and PSG had two matches in group stage and from results, we can say Dortmund got better results after two group-stage matches. The next two semi final matches between them will be different because many things changed in both clubs recent months. They can become stronger or weaker, probably fixed some of their weakness, had some improvements. Their understandings about each other from previous matches, will affect their approaches in two semi final matches as well.

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PSG is nothing to be afraid of in my opinion. Mbappe is a big danger of course, but the rest is not at the same level in my opinion.

Sure they can destroy Dortmund on a good night but this could also happen the other way around. Dortmund is the most unpredictable teams of all the teams left in the competition. They have the least money of the 4 teams left but the best fans and (at least sometimes) the biggest heart.
PSG have a good squad and one of most dangerous attacking players, Mbappe but they are not a team that can create fear for opponents. In two quarter final matches with Barcelona, PSG did not show that they are actually stronger than Barcelona and if Araújo did not make that foul, got a red card, the second quarter final match would have been a nightmare for PSG.

Dortmund have nothing to feel fearful when facing PSG in semi finals.
73  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🔥🔥 HugeWin.com Presents Mega Jackpot and Bonus Deals for Casino Lovers 🔥🔥 on: April 20, 2024, 02:13:56 AM
Hmmm that's something to take note of, speedy withdraw is also one of the features to look out when wanting to use a casino and it's seem hugewin.com covers that criteria and this will certainly increase the population of customer gambling there although since their promotion is still on the primary level seeing more active competition and bonus offers will also go along way towards their stay and also gathering crowd of gambling in the community.
Seamless experience is what people expect with blockchains and a platform that can provide seamless experience to user, will be very attractive and favorite platform to use.

This shared experience with quick approval and processing for withdrawal from icopress means that Withdrawal approval on HugeWin is automatic, not manual. I know there will be cases with which platforms will do manual review and processing but such cases are not regularly seen.

Generally with quick withdrawal progress like this, HugeWin provides a good service for their users.
74  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Happy 4th Bitcoin Halving on: April 20, 2024, 02:08:31 AM
Happy Bitcoin's 4th halving!

I am happy that I have witnessed 3 Bitcoin halvings so far. Time flies so fast.

Some information for Bitcoin price, last 3 halvings. I plot the bar chart with the fourth halving price too. If people see this chart, zoom out, they will see nothing bearish with Bitcoin over many years.

One more thing to say, halving is a beginning, not the end.

75  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Where best to enjoy this forum... on: April 20, 2024, 01:42:08 AM
When writing or reading I guess you know how it is with your android....
It is always inconvenient and uncomfortable when you use your mobile devices for typing. For reading, no big problem with mobile devices.

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I didn't try it until reluctantly I decided to open bitcointalk.org on a computer system. Over there the difference was alarming compared to using your phone...
Generally mobile devices like your phones, are unsecured and less secured than your desktop computers or laptops. For important things, don't do it on your mobile devices.

It's for your OPSEC.

You can use your mobile devices for reading posts in forum or even for posting, but for your forum account security, it's better if you log in your account on desktop computer or laptop, with better security.

Use strong passwords and turn on 2FA (it is only an option).

[GUIDE] How to Create a Strong/Secure Password
Are your passwords in the green?
2FA added
A concise 2FA/TOTP implementation (SMF patch)
76  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club on: April 19, 2024, 03:28:33 PM
This one now though is more interesting? Leverkusen actually if everyone remembers struggled very badly against lousy teams in Europa League. Atalanta, Roma, and Marseille are quite good teams, and the odds are more tempting, I think these are too much in favor of Leverkusen.



https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/soccer/international-clubs/uefa-europa-league/uefa-europa-league-23-24-64f4621a49a19800014d7fef
Leverkusen and Roma are strongest teams in Europa League semi finals but unfortunately, they will have to fight each other to find a winner for the final match. The odds is for Leverkusen as best winner candidate, next is for Atalanta and third is for Roma. It's not because Roma are weaker than Atalanta but only because Roma will have to beat Leverkusen to go to a final match.

Atalanta will have easier task, beating Marseille and have a final match. Leverkusen with their unbeaten record and Bundesliga title, are not an easy opponent for Roma and De Rossi to beat. Either Leverkuse or Roma win in semi finals, they will be considered as an upper team in the final match against either Atalanta or Marseille.
77  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Benefit of non additional charge on: April 19, 2024, 03:20:23 PM
Was this an internal transfer between two Coinbase accounts or were you sending BTC to your brother's wallet?
If it is an internal transfer between two Coinbase accounts, it can be completed very quickly. It can be done shortly after Coinbase approve that internal transfer. In fact, more correctly, there is no transfer, it's just a credit from one account to another account with approval internally from Coinbase.

If it is an on chain transaction, it will be between to wallets and this will require on chain transaction fee.

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The confirmation time for on-chain transactions can vary from practically instant (if you are lucky enough to have sent the transaction at the right moment), and you can wait 1 hour regardless of whether you have paid the priority fee.
It depends on network status, mempool condition, used fee rate for that transaction like high or low and depends on a luck factor too. If you are lucky, you can broadcast your transaction and some seconds later, a new block will be found and your transaction can be confirmed with that block.

Time gaps between blocks has information on it.
78  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Focus on knowledge, build up belief, then investment plan, success will come. on: April 19, 2024, 03:08:02 PM
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People say Bitcoin is too volatile..
We know who .. Cheesy

Well, Kudos to Bitcoin Maxis like Natalie Brunell ..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PViqK_N2qIM

Gemini Summarization:

“This video is a debate between Natalie Brunell, a Bitcoin enthusiast, and Peter Schiff, an economist who argues for gold. The debate is about whether Bitcoin or gold is a better investment.
Peter Schiff is funny with his words in the debate on television and he is one of pro-anti-Bitcoin. After many years, many chances missed, he still is very anti-Bitcoin. Does he regret anything, only he knows about it.

I argue with people who use the word lucky for early bitcoin investors or any bitcoin investor at all who has accumulated a lot of bitcoin over the years
Luckiness has its role but is not decisive. If years ago like in 2009, 2010 or 2011, you knew about Bitcoin by any chance, it is lucky. Not all people were lucky enough to be exposed to Bitcoin in its early years.

However what you do after first exposure, is no longer luckiness but it depends on your thinking, belief in future of Bitcoin and your investment action to turn it to profit or fortune years later.

We all just know we can make money from the crypto market, but we don't know how to react according to the market. Without proper knowledge and research, we can't realise the scope of bitcoin investment.
From knowing about strategy to get profit to actually apply that strategy with good discipline and harvest profit for your investment, there are many barriers a long the adventure.

With people who invested in Bitcoin, gambled in Bitcoin in early years, they need to have very strong belief to hold their bitcoins many years. They need to learn fundamentals about Bitcoin private key and are carefully enough to do good and usable backups.
79  Other / Meta / Re: Merit source observations on: April 18, 2024, 05:52:37 PM
Update the stats list for merit source and smerit numbers as well as two charts.

Note
  • Dates and stats presented here are on dates I randomly check and see changes. Actual changes probably happen on other days.


Code:
     +-------------------------------+
     |      date   merits~e   smerit |
     |-------------------------------|
  1. | 24jan2018         35     8125 |
  2. | 26jan2018         49     9025 |
  3. | 01mar2018         57    11975 |
  4. | 12mar2018         77    17650 |
  5. | 22mar2018         80    17800 |
     |-------------------------------|
  6. | 18may2018         80    18500 |
  7. | 06jul2018         82    18900 |
  8. | 11jul2018         83    19100 |
  9. | 17sep2018        120    23045 |
 10. | 17nov2018        119    22045 |
     |-------------------------------|
 11. | 22dec2018        120    22055 |
 12. | 05jan2019        123    20735 |
 13. | 06feb2019        122    20835 |
 14. | 15mar2019        130    20605 |
 15. | 27jun2019        131    21045 |
     |-------------------------------|
 16. | 30oct2019        130    20895 |
 17. | 14nov2019         90    18821 |
 18. | 15nov2019         98    21671 |
 19. | 28jun2020         97    21171 |
 20. | 06jul2021        111    34139 |
     |-------------------------------|
 21. | 11jul2022        110    33989 |
 22. | 31jul2023        109    33940 |
 23. | 28nov2023        109    33140 |
 24. | 22mar2024        108    32890 |
     +-------------------------------+
80  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Short-term holders now have about ~1.8M BTC on: April 18, 2024, 05:24:14 PM
I agree with the op that a very high amount of BTC in the hands of short-term holders is a positive thing for BTC price. Some might worry that it's a bad sign because if people aren't hodling long-term, they can as easily sell their BTC as they bought it and drive the price down. But, actually, short-term holding means that there's high liquidity, and that people are willing to exchange BTC. Because hodling is good for hodlers, but not good for a currency itself, as low liquidity would make the price artificial.
Are they worry opposite to what can cause a market dump?

Market will be dumped with massive selling pressure from whales, institutional investors, not from retail investors that are mostly short term holders. I understand that inexperienced people have many uncertainty and they can feel fearful with many things. This one is one of their wrong thinking and bad fear on things which are not too much important.

If they zoom out and discover that long term investors get very high ROI with investment in Bitcoin and holding it for years [1], they will no longer be fearful with short term holders.

[1] https://casebitcoin.com/charts
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