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1301  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 02:54:44 PM
Well as i still live with my parents and go to school 2 coins is a lot to me.
Then you're better off not trading.

Buy coins. Put them in cold storage. Come back in a year and check on them.

It's a lot less stressful that way and you can devote your attention to more productive things.

You've already got more bitcoins than most of humanity will ever own.
1302  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 02:41:41 PM
Goddamnit! I'm panic buying back my 2 coins!
I spent more than 2 coins on vet bills last month.
1303  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Satoshi Nakamoto be world's first trillionaire ? on: July 28, 2014, 02:39:56 PM
The common concept of a trillionaire is to have trillion USD. Neither trillion zimbabwean dollar nor trillion euro.
Not quite.

The common concept of a trillionaire is to have the equivalent purchasing power of 1 trillion contemporary US Dollars. (or Euros, or any other currency within the same order of magnitude).

It's important to always reference purchasing power, since the USD could go full Weimar at any time.
1304  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who's brave enough to invest their life savings into Bitcoin? on: July 28, 2014, 07:18:02 AM
Investing your life savings into Bitcoin is borderline retarded and indicative of a low financial intelligence.
Or it's a moral and political statement, something more significant than merely a financial investment.
1305  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin May One Day Split Into Black and White Coins on: July 28, 2014, 06:55:59 AM
Read this, then consider that whitelisted btc is just as vulnerable to speculative attack as fiat currencies:

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/speculative-attack/
1306  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 06:38:37 AM
For everybody who thinks Bitcoin is some kind of knitting circle, or similarly useless social club:

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/b-money/

Quote from: Wei Dai
I am fascinated by Tim May's crypto-anarchy. Unlike the communities traditionally associated with the word "anarchy", in a crypto-anarchy the government is not temporarily destroyed but permanently forbidden and permanently unnecessary. It's a community where the threat of violence is impotent because violence is impossible, and violence is impossible because its participants cannot be linked to their true names or physical locations.

Until now it's not clear, even theoretically, how such a community could operate. A community is defined by the cooperation of its participants, and efficient cooperation requires a medium of exchange (money) and a way to enforce contracts. Traditionally these services have been provided by the government or government sponsored institutions and only to legal entities. In this article I describe a protocol by which these services can be provided to and by untraceable entities.
1307  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Mt. Gox: A Case of Asset Stripping on: July 28, 2014, 06:15:51 AM
If these purchases were never paid for, essentially purchased on credit (perhaps extended involuntarily by Mt. Gox), and the BTC subsequently sold elsewhere, it would produce exactly the kind of fractional reserve and short squeeze mentioned.
That would be the largest USD double spend to have ever effected the Bitcoin ecosystem.
1308  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Satoshi Nakamoto be world's first trillionaire ? on: July 28, 2014, 06:07:06 AM
the only possible way this could happen is if Bitcoin completely replaced all the world's fiat.
That has always been the plan, going back from before Bitcoin was invented.

You could say that's the endgame of cryptoanarchism.
1309  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 05:55:05 AM
go buy one bitcoin, tell us few minutes/hours later see if you lose or gain
Easy question:

Anyone who buys 1 bitcoin has gained... exactly 1 bitcoin.
1310  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 05:36:19 AM
Price isn't boring any more, and all the trolls are coming out of the woodwork.
1311  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 04:48:52 AM
There has only ever been 1 all time high
Congratulations, you win today's "missing the forest for the trees" award.
1312  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 28, 2014, 03:44:23 AM
but when we had all the great news rolling in lately, you would think we'd be going up.
The longest Bitcoin has ever gone between all time highs was 21 months - from the summer of 2011 until spring of 2013.

There was a lot of good news in 2012 too, with little-to-no price action.

We're only 7 months past an ATH now.
1313  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 27, 2014, 10:32:01 PM
I think we may never see < 7777 pages of posts in this thread again.
1314  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [2014-07-17] Bitcoin regulation in state of New York is announced. on: July 27, 2014, 06:15:54 PM
Standard Charter NY is the correspondent bank for almost every worldwide bank and remittance corp dealing in USD I could see them reaching in there and freezing transfers even if you never sell or buy a coin in NY state.
Great point. They should totally do this.

It will help more businesses and individuals realize that a bank account is a liability, not an asset.

1315  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Rule 30 automaton as hash function on: July 27, 2014, 04:25:36 PM
Tell me I'm not the only one who initially misread this headline and imagined something completely different...
1316  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [2014-07-17] Bitcoin regulation in state of New York is announced. on: July 27, 2014, 02:26:28 PM
"Yes, I would like to buy your product. Do you take unregistered bitcoins through Darkwallet and Tor? You do? Thank you, you're under arrest."
The simple solution to this is for vendors to not offer products and services to unvetted customers so they are never exposed to that risk.

A suitably-designed web of trust could makes the process of distributed vetting reasonably effective.
1317  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2014-07-26] Why Bitcoin May One Day Split Into Black and White Coins on: July 26, 2014, 04:42:22 PM
People would shop with the local currency and save with Bitcoin. I'm not saying they are right to do this, that's just how they roll.
That's what a naive interpretation of Gresham's Law would suggest, sure.
1318  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2014-07-26] Why Bitcoin May One Day Split Into Black and White Coins on: July 26, 2014, 04:31:19 PM
There's a kind of static thinking that leads its practitioners into logical errors, such as assuming that punishment works to create compliance.

In all cases punishment creates fake compliance in the moment, followed by more sophisticated circumvention in the long term.

This is why punishment is a self-defeating strategy - all it leads to is infinite escalation.
1319  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2014-07-26] Why Bitcoin May One Day Split Into Black and White Coins on: July 26, 2014, 04:23:53 PM
"I would like to buy your product. Do you take Black Coins? You do? You are under arrest."
There's a technological solution for that.

But even without it the empirical evidence is that sting operations have limited effectiveness once disobedience reaches a critical mass.

They could be arresting everybody who operates of the Blue Dollar exchange rate in Argentina, but it wouldn't work. They'd have to arrest the entire population, and before that happened the cops would just start disappearing on the job.
1320  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2014-07-26] Why Bitcoin May One Day Split Into Black and White Coins on: July 26, 2014, 04:05:55 PM
Quote
Black coins would be the remaining bitcoins that don't fall into this loop—the unregistered coins operating free outside the system. As the theory goes, these black coins would be harder to maintain and more versatile to use, and could grow more valuable than their traditional counterparts over time.
...which is exactly why such a scheme won't last.

The increasingly restricted govcoins will be effectively be removed from the supply of actual Bitcoins, causing an exchange rate between then that will become increasingly unfavourable to govcoin holders.

You'll see a situation in the US like there is with Argentina - where there is an official (fabricated) USD-ARS exchange rate which virtually nobody uses, and the real market rate which you can only get in the black market. Media scare stories notwithstanding, regular people have no aversion to operating in the black market when it's favourable to do so.

Regulated Bitcoin businesses will whither and die, while their black market counterparts will flourish.

Eventually the institutions holding the govcoins will get increasingly desperate to get the higher black market exchange rate for their coins, so they'll arrange for them to be "stolen" by Chinese/Russian/Martian hackers.
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