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1421  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 09, 2021, 04:28:01 PM

There are professional for the custody (want a name? checksig.io).
This doesn’t make a lesser bitcoiner if you give your coins to someone that knows how to store them (definitely, not an exchange).



You are kidding me, right? Worst advise ever. This is how fools and their bitcoins are parted since the genesis block.

Quote
How does the deposit process work?

Send us a request and we will reply with a destination address using both email and a fully encrypted chat (WhatsApp, Telegram, or Signal). You can then transfer your Bitcoin to that address, and we’ll send you a formal deposit receipt when the transaction is confirmed.

If needed, our team can also assist you, in person or videoconference, in a simple step-by-step process to send your Bitcoin to our address.

I would be VERY uncomfortable storing significant wealth with a full custody custodian.  ESPECIALLY when it's Bitcoin.  Just the regulatory and counter party risks together are enough to scare me pretty badly.  And I do not really see a difference between these and an exchange. NYKNYC plain and simple.

But I also understand that keeping your bitcoin in you "coinbase wallet" is about as much as many people can handle.  And self custody is too complex AND risky for the masses.

So we have (still) a real conundrum here.  What are the safest ways for a person to store their bitcoin in a way that they retain control, but is also simple enough for the masses and protects adequately against all the "foot guns".

Personally I think the best middlegrounds currently for Bitcoin custody are the multisig setups like:

https://keys.casa
https://unchained.com

But these are still kind of complicated.  And currently I think that is because all the options are still fairly black and white.

I also think there some interesting possibilities that might emerge from 2nd layers.  Liquid's federated model allows for introducing amounts of trust somewhere between all and nothing.  So I think it will be interesting to see what that company works on as I think they are a little ahead of the curve in regards to trust models.  I also think we might see some creative things around lightning where trust can also possibly introduced in pieces.

In the end, Joe Sixpack is going to need someone to hold his hand.  It might be a custodian, or exchange, or maybe it's Brother-in-law Billy.

I actually thing there is a lot of opportunity for business to be developed in this area.  And to that point I do not think Blockstream's recent funding infusion is surprising.  They are probably the furthest out in development of the sorts of products and systems many are going to need.
1422  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 09, 2021, 03:13:58 PM
I will receive hell for this, but...

I read Bob's comments about his Lightning Node, and I wonder...

Is a Lightning Node a Black Hole for corn?  Shocked

Sheeeeeit!

Remember, these are dee InterToobz, and this was meant as a semi-joke, but to also raise an ant-flag about LN's efficiency.



Kind of.  Locking Bitcoin into LN channels is a sort of complex bargain.  But it enables you to use Bitcoin as a means of exchange with instant settlement and finality.  It's not going to be a good lace to put ALL your bitcoin.

The more I think about it the more the checking account analogy works.  You keep an amount of money that you need to be liquid in this account.  You might even take your paycheck there.  Pay for your groceries from there. But if you are a saver, and you spend less then you make, then eventually you will also want to move some of that value into savings on the base layer where it is more safe, and less mobile.
1423  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 09, 2021, 05:54:20 AM
Bitcoin breaks the game.  That threatens their systems.  NOT their riches.  The path to maintaining their wealth in a world in which Bitcoin becomes important is elementary for people who HEDGE for a living. Lol.

So they do not want their systems broken which have allowed them to profit on the backs of the rest of us.  

Bitcoin only breaks the game for one main reason, and one reason ONLY: 90+% of bitcoin is not owned and controlled by these people. That's why they hate it.

If it were, we'd all be in the same boat as the Precious Metal investors....frustrated as hell rn.

While I do believe you have pinpointed the primary reason, Bitcoin also has other properties that stop it from being like gold in that regard.

Gold's weaknesses allow an exploitable attack surface that they have learned to use.

How do you "hold" 100 kg of gold.  It requires trusted third parties.  This means gold certificates, notes, etc.  And we know where all that ends up.

Where IS most of the gold anyway?
1424  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Lightning Network Observer on: October 08, 2021, 08:52:25 PM
Thanks for that Arcane Tech link fillippone.  This is good stuff.

I have been thinking a lot about the clustering idea and where it will lead, and what it's natural balances are.


A lot of the clustering debate originated from this paper I might have already posted it here?

Lightning Network: a second path towards centralisation of the Bitcoin economy

Maybe you could find useful insight, even if I am afraid the taxonomy of the network has changed a lot since the publication of the paper.

I have read this one back around the time it came out.

I think the LN is going to evolve in a way MUCH like the internet.  Is the internet centralized or not?

Yes.
1425  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 08, 2021, 08:35:58 PM
New poll incoming. Old poll results:



Hmm.  This poll made me realize I am probably an idiot.  Because I would not sell any of them.  But I most certainly would gather together some USD to buy coins during the massacre.

But I will not sell.

Some of my UTXOs date to 2011, or at least are only a handful of transactions away from the time I first got them.  Though I do think Bitcoin is fundamentally moderately fungible (another whole conversation), I do not see a reason I would give these up.
1426  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 08, 2021, 02:56:58 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Briefly touched $56k before returning to the $54xxx range... currently $54668USD/$68340CAD (Bitcoinaverage).

Catching our breath before continuing on upward.

Go Bitcoin go.

Pfft left and right nowadays are just two sides of the same coin. They both want to limit individual freedom, one wants big government the other big corporations to govern us.

Bingo.

I will take it one step further.

The illusion that there are these two competing paths is a way they can control the masses by making them side with one choice or the other.

It is crystal clear at this point that the WAY big government is "governing" us is VIA big corporations.

Fooling us into "choosing" the lesser of two evils, when in reality they are one and the same.

For them it's not even win/win.  It's just WIN.
1427  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 08, 2021, 02:36:18 PM


Hedge fund billionaire Ken Griffin slams crypto as a 'jihadist call' against the dollar — and says regulation will oust those looking to make a quick buck

Lol… only weapon against so called jihadist call he got is “regulations” lol.


Read - billionaire Ken Griffin is getting very worried about his Hedge Fund's short position in Bitcoin.

In other words: we will get to 100k thanks to that whale position popping.

10k green dildo
Oh my god they killed Kenny
Says the bitcoiner



#haiku

These guys...  Billionaires in the current system.  Particularly the ones who play games with ledgers to make their wealth.

They either got there by luck, or by smarts.  I think it is impossible for it to be luck.  Because wolves smarter than them would take any lucky money they make.

So it's knowledge.  And on this level it's knowledge of how the game works.

Bitcoin breaks the game.  That threatens their systems.  NOT their riches.  The path to maintaining their wealth in a world in which Bitcoin becomes important is elementary for people who HEDGE for a living. Lol.

So they do not want their systems broken which have allowed them to profit on the backs of the rest of us. 

I do not take issue with their profit.  I take issue with the fact they want to maintain systems that enslave the majority for the benefit of themselves.

In my opinion Ken Griffin has proved he is EVIL.

I HOPE he has a short position against Bitcoin.  And I would like to think it is the pupusa dealers in El Salvador who are beginning to store their pennies in Bitcoin who make his positions get liquidated.  And I LOVE that his loss will flow directly into the value of those pupusa seller's satoshis.

Selah.  Amen.
1428  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 08, 2021, 02:19:00 AM
Lightning node operators need to patch some vulnerabilities ... now  Cry
https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/lightning-dev/2021-October/003264.html

FTCVE:

> Lightning commitment transaction with one of its outputs below the dust
> limit would fail to relay and thus jeopardizes funds safety.


* BobLawblaw looks through his routing logs
* BobLawblaw begins cursing like a fucking sailor
* BobLawblaw shakes angry fist at the fucker that pulled me back into this shit

EDIT: At least Umbrel released a patch. Updating now.
EDIT2: ... and yes, sounding like a melodramatic bitch, my logs show many transfers below the dust limit, FWIW. Not sure what this means to my balance, as everything in the Lightning channels seems to be in some fucked up quantum state.

You are almost certainly fine!  (How much did you commit into channels)- (How much have you spent with your node) = Your outbound liquidity number.  The only bit that changes this is the fees you have paid/taken in.  You are fine!  I am sure.
1429  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 08, 2021, 02:07:10 AM
Lightning node operators need to patch some vulnerabilities ... now  Cry

https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/lightning-dev/2021-October/003264.html

Thanks mOFa.  I do try to keep mine on the tip more or less...  I expect we will see more of this.  Reckless.
1430  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 06, 2021, 05:14:16 PM
So..  Seems to me, unless this is a head fake this solidly brings us into that next range (not marked on my screengrab) between what... 49-51.5?

And then it's probably not a terribly hard push back to the high 50s.

As usual... what I am seeing missing is any inspiring volume.  But it is also Sunday.  If the markets like this for another bull flag forming I think we see another push into tomorrow, and then range in that above area to paint the flag part...




Well then...

It was a second bull flag, and we either consolidate ~53k for a while, or we run up to the 56k realm where there is a little resistance... that is the question right now.

FWIW We have made a new high since Mid May at this point... very bullish scenario in my humble opinion.
1431  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Lightning Network Observer on: October 06, 2021, 03:27:04 PM
Thanks for that Arcane Tech link fillippone.  This is good stuff.

I have been thinking a lot about the clustering idea and where it will lead, and what it's natural balances are.

So far the LN is an open protocol that anyone can join and there are different costs and incentives for joining different ways.  As a custodial service customer to a profit seeking node.  But there are also lots of service provider roles we are seeing appear as the network matures.

Take Strike.  They are a service provider that uses the LN as the backbone for really a traditional finance product they offer.  So their incentives for running nodes on the network are different than, say, WoS, Fold, or your average tinkerer like me.  Yet what they do potentially benefits the network. 

It is also possible nodes like Strike's could do net damage to the network (I am not seeing this happening now/yet).    They could sequester traffic or deny traffic etc.

So I am thinking through all the incentive theory etc that we are seeing appear.  I am not sure there has ever been a network like the LN where nodes can benefit from simply participating.  Even the base layer of Bitcoin is much different in it's incentive structure.

But it is natural in systems like this one that traffic (read: information) is going to find the most efficient routes to flow, and the network as a whole will determine what is and is not really advantageous. 

SUPER interesting stuff in my opinion.  I think the LN as a business is where bitcoin mining was before say, Asics.  What i mean is back then mining was unfolding and moving from CPUs to graphics cards, and owning a mining business was an interesting and constantly changing game.  The LN is not the same as this at all... but it's evolution will follow a path, and we are very early still.  What will be the big game changers on this path like ASICS were for the base layer nodes?  What incentives will appear and change for the LN? 

These are the questions that are interesting, and possibly profitable, right now!
1432  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 06, 2021, 01:38:58 PM
So, a nice altcoin slaughtering bull in Bitcoin.

And I am starting to get used to the pattern where we see 5%-20% drops in the major alts during these but little monero finds a floor basically. 

I expect it to likely drop more against Bitcoin if this trend continues, but there is a constant demand for monero, and it has actually become a unit of account arguably as much or more than Bitcoin.  I would say more for sure, but El Salvador is making that false.  Still Monero has carved out a are in which it is being used to price many goods...  And I think that dampens the pullback on days like this...

Oh, and screw Doge, lol... seriously.  Still a clown world, mostly.

1433  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 07:16:01 PM


https://usdsat.com/

Note, that's a logarithmic scale!

I've started to think of satoshis in terms of being .1 cents when trying to calculate value. That is how much they will be worth when the price is $100k.

I spent a few years thinking of BTC in terms of $1k/BTC when the ATH was $260. I knew it would reach that number and when spending or buying BTC I thought of it in those terms. I recall reading a reddit thread of someone doing the same thing.

So now I am treating BTC as being worth at least $100k and acting accordingly. When I have to sell to pay for something I am keeping in the back of my mind that I'm selling at 50% off at these low prices.

At $100k/BTC 1k satoshis is one dollar. I'm fine with adopting sats as the standard with that in mind. $10 is 10k sats, a $25 meal is 25k sats.

Your idea is fine, but your maths and science suck. #justsaying

Might need to go to proudhon maths and sciences school

If it currently costs more than 2k satoshis to get a dollar, then it is going to cost a wee bit less than 1k satoshis at $100k, and 100 satoshis at $1million.  In other words, we need to get to around $100million per BTC for a satoshi to be worth $1 and 100x that for a satoshi to be worth a penny, so around $10billion per BTC we will have satoshis equal to a penny-ish.

Am I wrong in my maths and sciences?  or do we get to a dollar per satoshi when we get to $100k.. a mere doubling causes a 2,000x increase in price?

You math is on but your eyeballs are off.  He tricked me too.
Quote
I've started to think of satoshis in terms of being .1 cents

That is, at 100k sats are a tenth of a cent. Or $0.001
1434  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 07:13:33 PM

Usually that trick does not work on me.. But this time I was like.. Wait a minute, no, wait.  That does not make sen... oh I get it.
1435  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 06:49:08 PM
So..  Seems to me, unless this is a head fake this solidly brings us into that next range (not marked on my screengrab) between what... 49-51.5?

And then it's probably not a terribly hard push back to the high 50s.

As usual... what I am seeing missing is any inspiring volume.  But it is also Sunday.  If the markets like this for another bull flag forming I think we see another push into tomorrow, and then range in that above area to paint the flag part...

1436  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 05:55:54 PM

VERY proud of my state in this regard.  Still a lot of "crypto" talk but I like where we are headed.  Sad that we are under attack from the southern border, and this sort of administration might not continue.  I know some of the lefties on this thread would disagree, but I do not think your political side of the spectrum are going to really be in favor of bitcoin.
1437  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 05:48:19 PM
Good morn Bitcoinland.
Forty-eight thousand dollars
(Bitcoinaverage).

Happy October.
Fourth quarter is upon us.
Let the good times roll.

I never had an Ampeg, but I do have a Roland Micro Cube Bass RX and a GK MBS III. No big box at the moment, though I'd like to get something that projects a bit more for my project studio/rehearsal room.

The Micro Cube Bass RX is exactly what I use with my little 23" scale Gold Tone Microbass:



It adds just enough bottom-end thump to make it sound like a stand-up bull fiddle. Sometimes I play with 3 acoustic guitars and maybe a banjo or mandolin and it gives me enough volume to be heard without drowning out the treble players.

Big box? Haven't used one since I got my first B-15. We were our own roadies back then and the Portaflex made life a lot easier. Not only that, it sounded much better than the big box monstrosities from Traynor, Fender, Marshall, Vox, etc.

My little GK is all I need now. Any larger venues and I simply DI.

Huh... I am sitting about 100 yards from a B-15.  Great bass player that goes to my church (2 doors from my house) has one there he uses.  It's temperamental in it's old age, but still sounds dreamy and humongous.
1438  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 04:56:50 PM
cAPSLOCK - Drone strike all of the things for <reasons> !

Should drone strike all McDonalds locations nationwide, if you ask me...

 Wink

So unfair.  But I am also glad. Wink  Well, I mean... sort of.  I am not much interesting on there...  But I am a fan of that dude and his ... what are they?  Parody news org?
1439  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 03, 2021, 06:04:02 AM
Greta is a little girl that had a school project about climate change and she got some attention so she went with it.

Her life has been hijacked by exploiting adults in the same way that Macaulay Culkin, Michael Jackson, Miley Cirus had their childhoods stolen from them for some big publicity moves by their parents. Not to say they didn't want it but parents should protect their kids from such fame at such a young age.

Now she's talking about all the world needs now is friends. This is a plea from child Greta saying she wants a normal life with regular friends and all the things she was sheltered from. I do not doubt that she will end up like Miley Cirus when she wants to have sex and goes to the extreme ala Madonna to go to the extreme on that as well.

She's a mentally challenged little girl that should not be carted around to international meetings with people asking her opinion on things she does not have the extensive background in other than parrotting the talking points she's being given.

Her speech at the UN should have been the end of it, go to college and grow up and maybe take up the lucrative climate change career afterwards.

I have no hostility for her, just feel bad for her.

She could also be doing all this because she want a future and not global warming, just a thought. Sometimes the simplest explanation is the correct one.

No.  Elwar is right.  His description is dead on i my opinion.

Everyone wants a future, and no one wants warming to damage the globe.  The thoughts about the importance of these things, and the amount to which man has influence are topics that the scientific community has disagreements on.
1440  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 30, 2021, 12:38:18 AM
All usa people, have fun with your 1099s and whatever form number exists, automatic reporting for aggregate transactions over 600$ to the IRS hahahahahahahahahaahahahahahaaha
literally every person in the USA that has a bank account has that.

I don't think the $600 thing will stick. But I do know that the govt is desperate for money to pay for all the stimmies and unemployment $$$, and so the IRS has been combing through past tax receipts, turning over every rock, sniffing for more money.

Don't ask me how I know.  Wink



This is so loony.  They have proven they can print exactly as much as they need.  Why do they also need to take it away from (some of) us?
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