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1481  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: MINI-RAFFLE! Win 1BTC for 0.105 BTC Ticket, ONLY 3/10 LEFT TO SELL! on: August 31, 2012, 07:17:08 PM

Prize determination:
The price will go to the person purchasing the ticket # corresponding to the last # of the total number of shares it took to solve a block on OzCoin.net:
http://ozcoin.net/content/block-history-bitcoin

After all tickets are sold, the next day the first block solved will be the block to decide via the number of shares it took to solve.

Tickets are numbered 0-9

I suggest you specify a exactly period of time, e.g. "after 31/08/2012 23:59". Once you do it, publish here and I will hash your terms to settle the winner.
1482  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 31, 2012, 05:57:34 PM

Trust me the cycle of investor emotions always applies;)

Maybe this picture is more intuitive:

Also quite entertaining:


Indeed, it applies, but not for the entire Bitcoin network, including the exchange markets. Artificial intelligence is not influenced by emotional cycles.

E.g.

Quote
What is Trader Bots?
Trader Bots makes it easy for you to use technical analysis in your current trading decisions.

Our team trains various neural networks that analyze the stock market and over 700 individual stocks. These neural networks compete and evolve in order to maximize profits and reduce risk.

http://www.traderbots.com/
1483  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: LibertyReserve mass account blocking on: August 30, 2012, 08:06:47 PM
still down


Hit Reload.  It's up.


Incidentally, ...  LR comes back and BTC/USD jumps 7% in a matter of hours?

Coincidence?

Wink we opened the faucet! I guess a lot of people were waiting to unload LR and load BTC.

This is very interesting. Your exchange service must be part of what caused a high volume of transactions in the last hours:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=82626.msg1144449#msg1144449

Aug 30, 2012 00:03:45 (UTC)



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1484  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 30, 2012, 03:53:44 AM
[image]

Two red doji after a shooting star is a strong sign for a bearish reversal. At least, that shows persistent resistance for the bulls. Just as I write this message, another correction at Mt.Gox throw the price to $10.6. The bears are pushing the bulls down, bit by bit.


1485  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 30, 2012, 03:36:40 AM
btw
last time when the transaction volume exploded, we were exactely at the bottom at 2 USD...

so why should this now be an indicator for negative market reaction?

You are comparing oranges and apples.



No, I think you are jumping to wild conclusions.

It is not exactly conclusions, but speculation.

Grin

Quote
Definition of speculation
noun
1. the forming of a theory or conjecture without firm evidence


http://oxforddictionaries.com/definition/american_english/speculation?region=us&q=speculation
1486  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 29, 2012, 11:06:28 PM
btw
last time when the transaction volume exploded, we were exactely at the bottom at 2 USD...

so why should this now be an indicator for negative market reaction?

You are comparing oranges and apples.

1487  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 29, 2012, 09:21:41 PM
DO NOT QUOTE THIS POST. POSSIBLE LATER UPDATE.

Extremely high valued massive amounts of Bitcoin transactions occurred in the last 24 hours, which could foreshadow a major crash in the exchange markets.

Aug 30, 2012 00:03:45 (UTC)

Code:
Expected Bitcoins		21000000

Produced Bitcoins 9816150
Transactions last 24h 34220
Transactions avg. per hour 1425.83
Bitcoins sent last 24h 14725115.15
Bitcoins sent avg. per hour 613546.46

Bitcoin reserve 11183850


http://bitcoincharts.com/bitcoin/



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Output Voulme

http://blockchain.info/charts/output-volume?timespan=30days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=



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1488  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 29, 2012, 12:55:41 AM
DO NOT QUOTE THIS POST. POSSIBLE LATER UPDATE.

BTC/USD Mt.Gox - 29/08/2012.

US$ 10.52 intraday typical price.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg2zig15-minzczsg2012-08-29zeg2012-08-30ztgSza1gTMAzm1g10zm2g25zi1gVolzi2gAccDistzcv

1.


2.


3.


4.


5.


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1489  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Circle of Trust [Game/experiment] on: August 28, 2012, 09:12:36 PM
Anyone would mind making this keep running?  Tongue

Yes!

161gEQewAVp6CFnoY5198vHchrbWLQytG7

Sent: http://blockchain.info/address/161gEQewAVp6CFnoY5198vHchrbWLQytG7
Tx ID: 00bb19afd7386d8bca78c17c226283531a190a50c1b800e70c16b10e6785a15e

Received and awaiting the next participant.
1490  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Circle of Trust [Game/experiment] on: August 28, 2012, 05:05:13 PM
Anyone would mind making this keep running?  Tongue

Yes!

161gEQewAVp6CFnoY5198vHchrbWLQytG7

Edit: Received.


1491  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 28, 2012, 04:27:45 PM

Do you think this address is plausible?
https://blockchain.info/charts/balance?address=1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM

It's cashed out about 220,000BTC since the collapse.

NO!

The user controlling that address is not pirate40!


Angry



1492  Economy / Speculation / Re: Consider Pirate does not pay and does not sell on: August 28, 2012, 01:06:41 AM
I think it is very likely that pirate will just keep his bitcoins for the time being, at least over the course of this year.

Do you think that is a bullish or bearish influence?

Things I can come up with:
Pirates BTC essentially are withheld from the market, thus shortening supply (bullish)
People who lost their bitcoins might be frustrated and leave, not buying perhaps selling the rest if they weren't going all in (bearish)


None.

Pirate40 is not the Bitcoin network.

 Angry
1493  Economy / Speculation / Re: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) on: August 27, 2012, 08:43:19 PM

time to hit 7 again ?

I speculate on your item B!

All exchange markets today are very unstable.
1494  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 08:24:56 PM
The funds started to split. Now the game begins:

http://blockchain.info/address/1Hcs1e7iaMp1gvm5mypZsqVa6ncpcfiCcm



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1495  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 07:37:53 PM
i don't think you're understanding what i'm saying.
I'm not claiming the player who did this 15k selloff is the owner of that wallet.

Sorry, you are right, I misread your post.

 Grin

In this case your hypothesis is quite valid.
1496  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 07:32:40 PM
My theory is the player already had at least 15k btc in mt. gox.   And the transfer of 100k btc from that address made him think it was a good time to spark a panic.

Funds sent to market exchange accounts are split in smaller amounts.

The amount transferred is still intact.

http://blockchain.info/address/1Hcs1e7iaMp1gvm5mypZsqVa6ncpcfiCcm
1497  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 07:23:21 PM
My theory is this player was someone attempting to cause a panic with 15k coins (12642 + 2358).  The attempt failed and now hes screwed.  

If in your theory the player is the owner of the 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM address, then you are wrong.

His funds did not reach the market, yet...
1498  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 07:19:07 PM
AMAZING!

WOW!

You think Pirate40 is causing every move in the market! I am sorry, but this is funny and stupid!

 Grin

There are countless users trading in the market, mainly outside Mt.Gox BTC/USD scope.






1499  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 07:04:35 PM

I haven't seen any panic yet.

I did.



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1500  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: August 27, 2012, 06:54:37 PM
lol this thread just caused a big player to panic. gj

Wrong.

The user behind the address panic the market, not himself.
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