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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26370851 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
noobtrader
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October 28, 2014, 02:28:56 PM

one cant know if it is cheap or not, because the price is not included in the protocol

bitcoin production price is atm 131 and sold as 351... it seem fair price to me

I'm going to say this makes no sense. 170% is a nice profit margin. If this was the case we would not see the diff level off like it has in the last month.

I would also like to see where you got those numbers from... Smiley


here is my calculation :

http://www.coinwarz.com/miningprofitability/sha-256/?hr=1400.00&p=990.00&pc=0.1000&e=Bitstamp


the cost of one bitcoin is  (just electricity) :

we need 52 days x $2.38 for electricity -----> 52x2.38=123 usd  (more or less)

but this is without ROI cost, it only the electricity, and the operator work for free.

PS: @ 1.4 T we need about 52 days to create 1 bitcoin.
 





In other words, you took one of the costs, and calculated that cost, and then you thereafter concluded that the one cost was all the costs while conceding that you had failed and/or refused to account for any additional costs.


In other words, you have NOT provided a complete and/or accurate accounting for how much it costs to produce each bitcoin.  




hmmm... but what if the electricity was free Huh

What if?    If the electricity is free then there are more profits; and those are incentives for mining and incentives for dumping coins, but mining costs also are NOT a reflection of the totality of factors that affect current bitcoin prices.


thats why i was sayng the price above 300 was fair, i didnt said that the miner get 140% profit or anything... pls check again

Based on my fairly quick perusal, whatever point(s) your making, those points do NOT seem to be based on very complete cost calculations.... that's my main point in responding to your posts.

btw i want to add that at this usd price point (which btw is irrelevant to future price),  people have to sell 1/2 just to pay electricity versus the ideal price of 600 which ppl will just have to sell 1/3.  
which in turn increase the number of coin in circulation.

let us all pray that mass adoption happen tommorrow...

amen
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October 28, 2014, 02:38:00 PM



Yum. Delicious reptilians.

Dotto
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October 28, 2014, 02:46:13 PM

More satoshi anagrams:

Shamans Iota Took
Mania Toasts Hook
Sonata Hooka Smit
Astonish Oak Atom
Ankh Oasis Tomato
A Satanism Hook To
A Hooka Mason Tits
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October 28, 2014, 02:53:59 PM

More satoshi anagrams:

Shamans Iota Took
Mania Toasts Hook
Sonata Hooka Smit
Astonish Oak Atom
Ankh Oasis Tomato
A Satanism Hook To
A Hooka Mason Tits

Considering the amount of greed and fear involved in bitcoin trading, "A Hook To Satanism" seems appropriate. Roll Eyes
findftp
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October 28, 2014, 02:55:08 PM


 Shocked You mean $1/BTC?  Shocked

Cheap coins Grin
NotLambchop
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October 28, 2014, 02:56:19 PM

...
Yum. Delicious reptilians.
...

>old, stale human. past expiration date

You'll be fed to your young.



  ~Your Beneficent Reptilian Overlords.
ChartBuddy
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


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October 28, 2014, 03:00:34 PM


Explanation
noobtrader
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October 28, 2014, 03:04:39 PM



i mean

1 mbtc to 1 usd
noobtrader
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October 28, 2014, 03:05:22 PM

...
Yum. Delicious reptilians.
...

>old, stale human. past expiration date

You'll be fed to your young.



  ~Your Beneficent Reptilian Overlords.

y u mad, bro Huh 
oldm8
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October 28, 2014, 03:05:44 PM

one cant know if it is cheap or not, because the price is not included in the protocol

bitcoin production price is atm 131 and sold as 351... it seem fair price to me

I'm going to say this makes no sense. 170% is a nice profit margin. If this was the case we would not see the diff level off like it has in the last month.

I would also like to see where you got those numbers from... Smiley


here is my calculation :

http://www.coinwarz.com/miningprofitability/sha-256/?hr=1400.00&p=990.00&pc=0.1000&e=Bitstamp


the cost of one bitcoin is  (just electricity) :

we need 52 days x $2.38 for electricity -----> 52x2.38=123 usd  (more or less)

but this is without ROI cost, it only the electricity, and the operator work for free.

PS: @ 1.4 T we need about 52 days to create 1 bitcoin.
 





In other words, you took one of the costs, and calculated that cost, and then you thereafter concluded that the one cost was all the costs while conceding that you had failed and/or refused to account for any additional costs.


In other words, you have NOT provided a complete and/or accurate accounting for how much it costs to produce each bitcoin.  




hmmm... but what if the electricity was free Huh

What if?    If the electricity is free then there are more profits; and those are incentives for mining and incentives for dumping coins, but mining costs also are NOT a reflection of the totality of factors that affect current bitcoin prices.


thats why i was sayng the price above 300 was fair, i didnt said that the miner get 140% profit or anything... pls check again

Based on my fairly quick perusal, whatever point(s) your making, those points do NOT seem to be based on very complete cost calculations.... that's my main point in responding to your posts.

btw i want to add that at this usd price point (which btw is irrelevant to future price),  people have to sell 1/2 just to pay electricity versus the ideal price of 600 which ppl will just have to sell 1/3.  
which in turn increase the number of coin in circulation.

let us all pray that mass adoption happen tommorrow...

amen


I would like to see some figures from someone who is currently mining.
the average cost kwh in US is 13.01 cents
i did some back of cigarette packet calculations
5.5 tH/s rig cost $4000
rig consumes 3.5kw/Hr
electricity at 13 cents over 12 months $4000
total cost $8000
mining output including increased difficulty over 12 months yields 26 coins
taken as 2.55 coins in month 1 and 1.67 coins in month 12
at current price 26 coins $357 = $9300
that doesnt include labor, cost of housing rig, opportunity cost of the $8000 outlay etc
margins are very thin
even at electricity $0.08 in China and $0.10 in some States theres not a killing to be made.


ShroomsKit
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October 28, 2014, 03:13:59 PM

And how is our old, outdated, worthless pump and dump coin doing today? Did i miss anything?

Is it about to go up, Inca?
JimboToronto
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October 28, 2014, 03:18:03 PM


She's not mad, just trolling.

NotLambchop
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October 28, 2014, 03:19:09 PM

[The real cost of Bitcoin mining]

This is probably the closest thing to hard data on the state of commercial mining operations:

Quote
...Unlike most bitcoin companies, Digital CC Limited is a public company, trading on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as 'digitalBTC'. This makes it is the only major mining operation with an obligation to provide such information, giving outsiders a rare glimpse into the inner working of a bitcoin mining company.
http://www.coindesk.com/digitalbtc-downplays-negative-cashflow-q3-report/
TL;DR: Q3 losses.
janos666
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October 28, 2014, 03:19:20 PM

And how is our old, outdated, worthless pump and dump coin doing today? Did i miss anything?

Is it about to go up, Inca?

It seems to be failing to do so for the second time in the last few days, so I doubt that. I am not sure if it will fall or just drift away slowly. But if it falls... Oh my... that will be huge this time.
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October 28, 2014, 03:20:10 PM

hmmmm..... interesting
noobtrader
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October 28, 2014, 03:23:11 PM

one cant know if it is cheap or not, because the price is not included in the protocol

bitcoin production price is atm 131 and sold as 351... it seem fair price to me

I'm going to say this makes no sense. 170% is a nice profit margin. If this was the case we would not see the diff level off like it has in the last month.

I would also like to see where you got those numbers from... Smiley


here is my calculation :

http://www.coinwarz.com/miningprofitability/sha-256/?hr=1400.00&p=990.00&pc=0.1000&e=Bitstamp


the cost of one bitcoin is  (just electricity) :

we need 52 days x $2.38 for electricity -----> 52x2.38=123 usd  (more or less)

but this is without ROI cost, it only the electricity, and the operator work for free.

PS: @ 1.4 T we need about 52 days to create 1 bitcoin.
 





In other words, you took one of the costs, and calculated that cost, and then you thereafter concluded that the one cost was all the costs while conceding that you had failed and/or refused to account for any additional costs.


In other words, you have NOT provided a complete and/or accurate accounting for how much it costs to produce each bitcoin.  




hmmm... but what if the electricity was free Huh

What if?    If the electricity is free then there are more profits; and those are incentives for mining and incentives for dumping coins, but mining costs also are NOT a reflection of the totality of factors that affect current bitcoin prices.


thats why i was sayng the price above 300 was fair, i didnt said that the miner get 140% profit or anything... pls check again

Based on my fairly quick perusal, whatever point(s) your making, those points do NOT seem to be based on very complete cost calculations.... that's my main point in responding to your posts.

btw i want to add that at this usd price point (which btw is irrelevant to future price),  people have to sell 1/2 just to pay electricity versus the ideal price of 600 which ppl will just have to sell 1/3.  
which in turn increase the number of coin in circulation.

let us all pray that mass adoption happen tommorrow...

amen


I would like to see some figures from someone who is currently mining.
the average cost kwh in US is 13.01 cents
i did some back of cigarette packet calculations
5.5 tH/s rig cost $4000
rig consumes 3.5kw/Hr
electricity at 13 cents over 12 months $4000
total cost $8000
mining output including increased difficulty over 12 months yields 26 coins
taken as 2.55 coins in month 1 and 1.67 coins in month 12
at current price 26 coins $357 = $9300
that doesnt include labor, cost of housing rig, opportunity cost of the $8000 outlay etc
margins are very thin
even at electricity $0.08 in China and $0.10 in some States theres not a killing to be made.




 Grin

mining bitcoin used to be ROI in 2 month thehehehehe...

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October 28, 2014, 03:24:21 PM

Fools.   

Good luck shutting down future decentralized marketplaces like OpenBazaar lol

Next they'd want to stop illegal online file sharing, oh wait...

Though not fully eradicated, both digital piracy and child pornography have been significantly curtailed.
If dark markets using Bitcoin become a significant problem (today, they're irrelevant), expect draconian Bitcoin regulations.

Taunting us also works.



  ~Your Beneficent Reptilian Overlords.

Who is the "us" to whom you refer?
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October 28, 2014, 03:27:56 PM

And how is our old, outdated, worthless pump and dump coin doing today? Did i miss anything?

Is it about to go up, Inca?

Don't be so crumpy all the time Shrooms. Sure it can still go down, like chessnut's ew analysis pretty much suggests, but don't you think the sentiment is changing? There have been many opportunities last few days for the bears to attack due to bad news, but for some reason the price hasn't dropped like a stone. I haven't been this excited for following the charts for a long time.
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October 28, 2014, 03:30:38 PM

[The real cost of Bitcoin mining]

This is probably the closest thing to hard data on the state of commercial mining operations:

Quote
...Unlike most bitcoin companies, Digital CC Limited is a public company, trading on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as 'digitalBTC'. This makes it is the only major mining operation with an obligation to provide such information, giving outsiders a rare glimpse into the inner working of a bitcoin mining company.
http://www.coindesk.com/digitalbtc-downplays-negative-cashflow-q3-report/
TL;DR: Q3 losses.

Thanks NotLambChop
Quite an interesting article
adaseb
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October 28, 2014, 03:40:02 PM

Yes it is getting pretty bad out there. The volume is drying up badly. Most likely it will trade sideways for a while.
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