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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368593 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Gachapin
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August 24, 2022, 01:17:22 AM

since buddy doesn't go up, I fear we might see another leg down

(hope I'm wrong ofc)
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AnotherAlt
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https://bitcoincleanup.com #EndTheFUD


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August 24, 2022, 01:42:21 AM

Hey Guys. I hope you guys hear of Midjourney AI Discord server. This can art your imagination from your text. Just go to their server and type /image your imagination here. Last night I tried some interesting commands. According to Midjourney AI, This is what Satoshi Nakamoto looks like. The Command Was
Code:
 /imagine Satoshi Nakamoto founder of Bitcoin

cAPSLOCK
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August 24, 2022, 01:50:06 AM

JayJuanGee
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August 24, 2022, 01:54:12 AM
Last edit: August 24, 2022, 02:12:07 AM by JayJuanGee

since buddy doesn't go up, I fear we might see another leg down

(hope I'm wrong ofc)

What do you mean by down?

Down lower than our current price, which is $21,200-ish? or down below $17,593?  or some other kind of down?

By the way, our price slope from June 18 (when we reached $17,593) to present appears to be gradually sloping up.. so you are thinking that the sloping up is not making u feel good enough..? or the slope up is not sufficiently breaking above certain price points -  accordingly, the highest of which was $25,212 - 9 days ago.. then you are maybe saying that a fear of the BTC price going down starts to form rather than any possibility that the price might continue to slope UPpity?

Edited: fixed some ambiguous wording..
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August 24, 2022, 01:57:39 AM
Merited by NotATether (2), vapourminer (1)



Bitcoin is a Darwinian filter that rewards open minded and determined realists with economic power
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August 24, 2022, 02:02:38 AM


Explanation
Gachapin
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bitcoin retard


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August 24, 2022, 02:05:25 AM

since buddy doesn't go up, I fear we might see another leg down

(hope I'm wrong ofc)

What do you mean by down?

Down lower than our current price, which is $21,200-ish? or down below $17,593?  or some other kind of down?

By the way, our price slope from June 18 (when we reached $17,593) to present appears to be gradually sloping up.. so it the sloping up is no to enough.. or not breaking above certain price points- the highest of which was $25,212 - 9 days ago.. then a fear of the BTC price going down starts to form rather than any possibility that the price might continue to slope up?

It's make or brake for the slope rn

I hope it holds and that people are clever enough to buy at these prices and these inflation numbers. But you never know what the big boys have in their playbook for us
In the silence
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August 24, 2022, 02:25:47 AM
Last edit: August 24, 2022, 02:40:57 AM by In the silence



Expecting to make new high and leaving the range.[1H]
will take profit from target and observe the new range for potential reversal to the downside.


What is special about $22.3k (besides maybe that you have some sell orders placed there?)?
Im DCAing.  Smiley
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August 24, 2022, 02:48:10 AM
Last edit: August 24, 2022, 03:18:45 AM by JayJuanGee



Expecting to make new high and leaving the range.[1H]
will take profit from target and observe the new range for potential reversal to the downside.


What is special about $22.3k (besides maybe that you have some sell orders placed there?)?
Im DCAing.  Smiley

Trading and DCAing are not the same thing.. even though there are ways to supplement a DCA strategy with trading...you can buy on dips, and you can lump sum buy, and you can sell on the way up.. but I don't recommend selling in order to accumulate more BTC until you are sufficiently overly invested into it, and determining the extent to which you are "over invested" remains an individual discretionary matter in which reasonable persons (guys and gals) can vary in their thinkenings on the topic.

Maybe go give us a wee bit more bones to chew upon, why don't you describe what you are doing a wee bit more better In the silence?  

For example, how long have you been in BTC and what kind of timeline and/or accumulation strategy do you have in terms of DCAing and how much are you supplementing with trading?   Do you have accumulation targets in terms of your level of cashflow or in terms of the percentage of your investment portfolio, or are you engaged more in gambling techniques rather than investment techniques?

Furthermore, to answer any or all of my questions, don't feel that you need to give away specifics about your portfolio size.. just general ideas regarding overall what you are trying to accomplish without having to necessarily discloser personal privacy matters... unless you want to, but it is kind of against our ideas of "best practices" in this thread to be sharing too many personal details, but there are still ways that you can describe what you are doing and what you are trying to achieve without necessarily getting into disclosures about yourself, exactly.. and you can also use hypotheticals to attempt to describe what you are doing.. generally speaking.
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August 24, 2022, 03:09:25 AM
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I understand the message but the paper that US money is printed on is a special blend of cotton and linen (flax fiber) so the notes are not derived from the wood fiber of trees.  It is a fact that money doesn't grown on trees but only on domesticated plants; the same ones we use to make our undergarments.

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August 24, 2022, 03:20:11 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)


I understand the message but the paper that US money is printed on is a special blend of cotton and linen (flax fiber) so the notes are not derived from the wood fiber of trees.  It is a fact that money doesn't grown on trees but only on domesticated plants; the same ones we use to make our undergarments.

technically speaking You are amongst the BIGGEST of nerds homer, that I never did meet (even though I feel as if I know you.. what irony, no?).

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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August 24, 2022, 03:24:07 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)



Expecting to make new high and leaving the range.[1H]
will take profit from target and observe the new range for potential reversal to the downside.


What is special about $22.3k (besides maybe that you have some sell orders placed there?)?
Im DCAing.  Smiley

Trading and DCAing are not the same thing.. even though there are ways to supplement DCA strategy with trading.

Why don't you describe what you are doing?  How long have you been in BTC and what kind of timeline and/or accumulation strategy do you have in terms of DCAing and how much are you supplementing with trading?

Furthermore, to answer my questions, don't feel that you need to give away specifics about your portfolio size.. just general ideas  regarding overall what you are trying to do without having to necessarily discloser personal privacy matters.
Yes, trading and DCAing, though primarily DCA. Since I'm still learning how to trade, I buy spot when I feel satisfied with the dip. I've been using bitcoin for almost 7 years, but not as OG you guys. I faced adversities before that hindrance my storing, but given the current state of the economy, I'm making a new start by storing sats. I only trade with paper money or demo account.

Thank you for your interest mate!
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August 24, 2022, 03:38:04 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Been dca’ing a good bit from ath all the way down to current low. I adjusted by dca over the last few months where 50% would go to purchase on the day and 50% added to ladders down. Worked out well in these last few months have accumulated a nice amount. I set a target for myself with a duration of 3 yrs and I’m about 35% of that accumulation target, but I’m unsure as whether to continue splitting or just shift more into 100% buy on the day. What say you savy WO folks?
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August 24, 2022, 04:01:17 AM


Explanation
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August 24, 2022, 04:46:36 AM

Most people expect some student loan cancellation tomorrow.
Imho, almost everyone would get mad. Some because they don't want anything cancelled, some because they still have a ton after subtracting $10K.
$10K is probably a small part of a typical private (or even public) university student loan situation.
Unfair!?
See what monkeys do in this situation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KSryJXDpZo
TL;DV: they get upset

Perhaps, DXY would drop and bitcoin would rally, though...at least this is what I would expect, but markets lately do crazy moves.
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August 24, 2022, 05:01:17 AM


Explanation
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August 24, 2022, 05:42:19 AM
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Every couple of months or so, with a few mouse clicks, I convert all my accumulated rewards points on my daily use PayPal credit card into bitcoin.
I use the card for all my purchases and is paid off automatically every month with no interest.
Free bitcoin.
Pretty much a no brainer really.
It looks amazing and impressive. But I still don't have a PayPal credit card or the like right now so I can only rely on certain exchanges to exchange all kinds of coins to Bitcoin which I then keep in my wallet.

There is another bit of news posted by @BTC_Archive where the US FED says that Cryptocurrencies Present Opportunities to the Whole Financial System.
The Federal Reserve has urged Wall Street to prepare to handle digital assets as the market prepares for the “floodgates” to open for institutional investors, noting there are also associated with the sector.

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August 24, 2022, 06:48:32 AM
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https://bitcoinist.com/over-9000-crypto-mining-farms-seized-in-iran-to-combat-electricity-crisis/
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August 24, 2022, 07:48:35 AM


These probably didn't happen over night. But, this kind of historical moment news will be looked down upon in the future by the people of those countries. They will blame the stupidity of their ape primitive government leadership that supported this war against BTCiTcoin.  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes
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August 24, 2022, 07:55:54 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), In the silence (1), Greyhats (1)

[edited out]
Yes, trading and DCAing, though primarily DCA.

Between the time of my first post and that you responded to my post, I had edited my post and I had added some further questions and attempts at explanation.. which I will try to go over again here.

It seems to me that if your primary goal is to accumulate BTC, then the best ways to do that are through various forms of buying and attempting to strategize your buying in order to attempt to maximize your buying aggressiveness without getting overexposed.. so of course, you have to make sure that you balance finances and psychology in such a way that your regular expenses are all accounted for, and you have a sufficient cushion in your budget to deal with emergency expenses as well (including a likely need to have resources that you would draw from first as an emergency fund before you would touch your BTC).  

The three main ways of accumulating BTC is DCA, lump sum investing and buying on dips.. and I would consider selling (which is involved in trading) to be a more advance technique that would ONLY come into play after you have reached your BTC accumulation goals which would also likely include criteria such as either being over-invested and/or making sure that your BTC portfolio is sufficiently in profits... and you are also ONLY selling amounts that are small enough that you would not be bothered if the BTC price continues to go up and you are never able to buy back with the amounts that you had sold.

Of course, guys here have variations of their own ways of employing these kinds of various strategies and what kinds of formulas that they might have created, and some of us don't agree about what might be considered better practices - and in the end, you are completely responsible for your own choices regarding what balances to reach - and of course, you are going to be responsible for various extra risks that you might take or the degree to which you might end up being overly aggressive or overly whimpy in your approach to BTC.. including if you end up getting involved in shitcoins and/or gambling and if so how much...

some guys fuck up their whole long term investing approach because they start to believe some of the shitcoin talking points in regards to believing that some of the longer term accumulation principles apply to that too.. rather than getting in and out if you are going to get involved in that crap at all.

Since I'm still learning how to trade, I buy spot when I feel satisfied with the dip.

I have been in bitcoin for nearly 9 years, and I feel that I did not really sell any BTC for about my first two years because largely if I did sell any it was sell and then buy and replace, and when I finally did implement a trading strategy of selling on the way up and buying on the way down it was ONLY a very small amount of my portfolio and only a small portion of my profits.. so for example, back when BTC was $300, if I had 10 BTC, then if the BTC price went up $10, then that would be $100 in profits so long the price was higher than my purchase price, but I would ONLY authorize the maximum of selling 50% of the profits in the worse case scenario, and many times, I would be selling less than 20% of the profits, and another part of the formula would be that I could sell up to 10% at most of the value of my holdings for every 100% that the BTC price went up.. and frequently the amount sold was way less than the 10% - and these days it is probably less than 5%. of course, with buy back built in, too.. and expectations that I don't necessarily expect to even be able to buy back at whatever I sell.

There can be formulas for attempting to insure your BTC holding for the downside.. just in case it happens, but it may well not be necessarily considered as wanting to profit but a kind of hedge of downside risk, and I have never really considered myself a trader and I have tried to increase the intervals of sales and the spreads to end up gravitating more into falling into a kind of swing trader which would mean the the sell and buy orders are triggered less frequently .. even though for sure it can get tempting to narrow the intervals and the spreads in order to profit from the inevitable BTC volatility - even though I still like to consider my practice as primarily a hedge against downside like a kind of an insurance rather than trying to make any profits, even though the profits do end up playing out as kinds of side benefits - not the primary focus.

I've been using bitcoin for almost 7 years, but not as OG you guys.

In the whole scheme of things 7 years is a decently long period of time, and I ONLY will reach 9 years if I am able to live long enough to be alive by late November and to still be into bitcoin at that time..

So you have a decent amount of time into bitcoin, but sure maybe you had been distracted into other things and got into shitcoins or even were not sufficiently aggressive enough in your approach to bitcoin.

On a personal level, I consider my lil selfie to have had been sufficiently aggressive right out of the gate.  I started in November 2013, and I largely created a 6 month budget that involved some level of attempting to front load my investment into BTC which was largely a DCA approach with some lump sum investments injected in there too... I pretty much extended my investment into BTC plan an additional 6 months of budget and by the end of the first year (which would have been late 2014), I had figured out that I had reached my BTC accumulation goals of having 10% of my quasi-liquid investment portfolio into BTC.. but then I ended up over-accumulating and getting up to about 13.5%-ish of my quasi-liquid investment portfolio into BTC by the end of 2015..

so it seemed to have had been sufficiently aggressive for me right from the get go, even though I was trying to budget and to hold back some of my investment into BTC because anyone could look at the BTC price charts and see that by the time I got into BTC, it had already gone up about 100x during that year (2013).  

I can surely appreciate that there were a sufficient number of folks who were way less enthusiastic about BTC as compared with me during those times, and increasingly so through 2014 and 2015 when the bitcoin downity and slum seem to be never ending.. it was difficult to remain enthusiastic about BTC during those times, especially when I had quite a bit of time during 2015 in which the value of my BTC holdings were quite a bit less than 50% of the amount that I had put in.. and also there were several times that it dipped into the mid 30%.. so it was not easy for any of the then HODLers and BTC accumulators to be excited about their BTC holdings unless they had been holding cash and ready, willing and able to inject cash in the low $200s or even when the BTC price had dipped below $200 a couple of times.. and maybe the dip in August 2015 did not go below $200 but there was not much if any space between the BTC price and $200 either.. which just did not seem right for anyone believing that BTC had fundamentals, but the price would not go up. and seems like the whole market cap (all then existing 15 million coins) could have been bought for less than $3 billion... .

I faced adversities before that hindrance my storing,

Many of us likely made mistakes in regards to our bitcoin security, especially the longer that we been in bitcoin, and then also if there have been various ways that any of us have tried to get involved in various aspects of bitcoin's ecosystem... sometimes we may well end up being more exposed than we should be and we might not even take adequate safeguards.. and it can be especially grueling in some ways if the BTC price goes shooting up from $250 to nearly $20k in a matter of less than 2 years, and then some of the value of the coins that we had been holding (that we might have considered as dust) end up having a lot of value. and maybe even inadequately secured accounting for the amount of value contained therein.

but given the current state of the economy, I'm making a new start by storing sats. I only trade with paper money or demo account.

Hopefully we learn ways to take additional safeguards over the years, and even the safeguards and best practices can become a moving target in terms of both what might be discovered weaknesses, and also if we might not have been paying enough attention to how values might have gone up too.. even going from less than $10k per coin to $64k (6.4x) and then later in the year to $69k (6.9x) may well have contributed to values of holdings to become in need of greater attention regarding how much value was held in what kinds of potentially insecure locations.

Thank you for your interest mate!

Seems like we try to learn from each other, so sometimes getting into the nitty gritty can be helpful to a variety of members here, including part of the reasons that we are posting in public ways.. besides talking about various injustices in the world and looking at pictures of what some guys at or are thinking about eating (such as McD vs Burger King fetishes.. who would have thunk?)..
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