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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26489666 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Cconvert2G36
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December 18, 2015, 11:32:42 PM

They have the incentive but they are not configured accordingly. Not all of them. That's why dust/spam/no-fee and "stress test" txs get processed.

Have you used the network lately? No-fee transactions aren't getting included, and definitely won't be once priority is removed. Dust and spam should not be subjectively determined, fee per kb is all that matters. Miners have a very real incentive to keep their blocks to a reasonable size, it's called orphan risk.


I send a zero fee transaction yesterday. It was included in the first block.

I never pay a fee if I don't have to and still I'm in favor of rising fees, by limiting supply (of space).

Enjoy it while it lasts.

At some point there will have to be a fees market because of the halvenings, right? Has anyone crunched the numbers? Are there studies? What will it look like?

Everybody agrees that there will be a fee market. Some just want to force it now, before the drop to 12.5 btc per block, which I think is ridiculously early and would be using the wrong (artificial vs market determined) mechanism. In the future, miners will be much more sensitive to their fee pricing, and the fee load will be spread over many more network users.
TERA
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December 18, 2015, 11:37:39 PM

any trains coming? ccmf, or?
billyjoeallen
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December 18, 2015, 11:38:20 PM

A while ago I was sitting in front of a block explorer seeing the transactions as they happened in real time, in USD terms... there were many 0.03, 0.07$ transactions etc. This is bullshit.

Cry me a river. What is the line between not-bullshit and bullshit? I don't measure it in size of transaction, I measure it in number of transactions. Do you personally run a full node? I do. If you do not personally run a node, WTF do you care about number of transactions? If you do, then why are you so damned cheap to spend another $USD 10 on HDD space, and another $USD 0.50/mo on bandwidth - especially as you're so incensed about small-value transactions?

I do too. SwampNode is running BitcoinXT.  Cost me $118 bucks, so any crybabies whining about the node problem can stop wasting their time. 

That's not Bitcoin but GavinCoin.

Fuck off. I know Gavin from 2011. I trust him. It was gavincoin when I bought it and if it's not gavincoin now, then I don't want it anymore. I'll sell the whole way up and still have more coins than most here.

I hope people like you will sell. May be prices should stay depressed for a few more years to accomplish just that.

People that want a bigger block are just socialists that want their free transactions. Fees is what pays for the security of the network. The block subsidy is temporary. The total value of the fees correlates directly into a level of security. Fees will be lower overall with a larger block size (more supply) so security will be lower. The unique selling point of Bitcoin is security that no power on this planet can break. A payment network that works globally is nothing new and NOT the goal of Bitcoin. The payment network is to bootstrap the store of value. That's all.

No fee doesn't mean free transactions. I paid for those transactions when I bought my stash. I pay for it with every coin I buy now. I was subsidizing the miners so the network can grow. Then you assholes came around and thought Bitcoin could be more useful if fewer people can use it. This isn't the vision I signed up for. This isn't the reason I held on through three crashes.

Over four hundred is a nice profit for me. If you think you can handle it without me, just keep the price this high until I pull my coins out of storage.
Fatman3001
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December 18, 2015, 11:43:14 PM

any trains coming?

YEEEEEAAAAAAAAHHHHHH!!!!!!




Disclaimer: Haven't got a clue
wachtwoord
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December 18, 2015, 11:44:43 PM

A while ago I was sitting in front of a block explorer seeing the transactions as they happened in real time, in USD terms... there were many 0.03, 0.07$ transactions etc. This is bullshit.

Cry me a river. What is the line between not-bullshit and bullshit? I don't measure it in size of transaction, I measure it in number of transactions. Do you personally run a full node? I do. If you do not personally run a node, WTF do you care about number of transactions? If you do, then why are you so damned cheap to spend another $USD 10 on HDD space, and another $USD 0.50/mo on bandwidth - especially as you're so incensed about small-value transactions?

I do too. SwampNode is running BitcoinXT.  Cost me $118 bucks, so any crybabies whining about the node problem can stop wasting their time. 

That's not Bitcoin but GavinCoin.

Fuck off. I know Gavin from 2011. I trust him. It was gavincoin when I bought it and if it's not gavincoin now, then I don't want it anymore. I'll sell the whole way up and still have more coins than most here.

I hope people like you will sell. May be prices should stay depressed for a few more years to accomplish just that.

People that want a bigger block are just socialists that want their free transactions. Fees is what pays for the security of the network. The block subsidy is temporary. The total value of the fees correlates directly into a level of security. Fees will be lower overall with a larger block size (more supply) so security will be lower. The unique selling point of Bitcoin is security that no power on this planet can break. A payment network that works globally is nothing new and NOT the goal of Bitcoin. The payment network is to bootstrap the store of value. That's all.

No fee doesn't mean free transactions. I paid for those transactions when I bought my stash. I pay for it with every coin I buy now. I was subsidizing the miners so the network can grow. Then you assholes came around and thought Bitcoin could be more useful if fewer people can use it. This isn't the vision I signed up for. This isn't the reason I held on through three crashes.

Over four hundred is a nice profit for me. If you think you can handle it without me, just keep the price this high until I pull my coins out of storage.

These were the rules from when you bought in. Now you guys are trying to change it. Fork the chain and make your own altcoin. If you succeed power to you.
Fatman3001
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December 18, 2015, 11:45:31 PM

^What he said. Don't make me open up my Multibit!

Multibit, eh?

Hmmm....

You might wanna check it again in the morning.

MUAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAA!!!!!
JayJuanGee
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December 18, 2015, 11:45:53 PM

Couldn't they artificially pump up the price so all that mining hardware that must have cost fortunes,
can pay for itself as soon as possible?

If they could, why didn't they do it before their hardware became unprofitable, to simply boost their profits?
And why would anyone invest in a virtual asset which could be so easily manipulated?
Because the mining gear that accounts for the 220 mil GH/s network hash rate increase, came online only recently. Probably early
november.That investment needs to brake even fast. There is clearly demand out there, even at these prices but not to sustain it with out China's "help".
So what you're saying is until now, miners could afford to make less money, but now that they're stuck with all the new HW, they have to get serious? Is that the gist of it, or am I missing something?
Chinese exchanges are in business to make money. Miners going broke doesn't add any new tools to the exchanges' manipulation arsenal. If they could manipulate the price, they're already doing it.


You are coming off as a conspiratory-ridden troller, and really not someone who wants to engage in any kind of meaningful way regarding bitcoin.

If you really sold most of your coins at $450, like you said, and you do not believe in bitcoin, then get the fuck out of here and take your profits and invest in something more secure, in your opinion.

What are you talking about? What conspiracy? What $450? What's wrong with you?

Edit: OK, remember you now.
...
[4] Don't argue with JayJuanGee. I think he has Assburgers.


I don't understand the purpose of your lame attempt at an ad hominem attack.


Part of my earlier point was to attempt to get you to respond to your stupid ass internally contradictory position. 

On the one hand, you  seem to be saying that you wuv u sum bitcoin, and you want bitcoin to succeed.  On the other hand you are picking apart and emphasizing conspiracies suggesting that bitcoin is bound for failure due to Chinese manipulation  - and at the same time conceding that you sold nearly all your bitcoins at $450 because you be hopen dat bitcoin be goin down a bit so u can pik up a few moar.....

What da fug!!!!!!    you need to be a bit more consistent no?  you seem to wanna have your cake and eat it to, and you merely coming off as desperate, inconsistent and probably oversold.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes   Tongue




inca
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December 18, 2015, 11:47:52 PM

Newbie = welcome to ignore
MinermanNC
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December 18, 2015, 11:49:56 PM

Seriously guys, step back & look at what's going on:

Bitcoin is centralized, soon won't be cheap to use, requires middlemen/payment processors/trusted third parties, is getting regulated, number of full nodes has been falling over the past couple of years...
And it clearly doesn't scale Sad
What's left to salvage here (unless, of course, you're an early adopter)?
Wouldn't it be smarter to start from scratch?


Probably true Smiley

Wouldn't it be smarter to start from scratch?

Isn't that what alt coins are?  Wink even though many have some unique and more efficient algo's etc. none have been able to catch BTC...
BlindMayorBitcorn
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December 18, 2015, 11:50:09 PM

^What he said. Don't make me open up my Multibit!

Multibit, eh?

Hmmm....

You might wanna check it again in the morning.

MUAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAA!!!!!

JayJuanGee
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December 18, 2015, 11:53:19 PM

hitting that 465 resistance again and again, who the fuck is nutty enough to break and buy through it? we should head down.... can't paint TOO many bubbles   Grin
Do that thing where you tell everyone to sell again Smiley

Last time you did we rocketed from $380 to $475 Grin


Agreed....  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


Do it Adam!!!!!   Do it, do it, do it!!!!!     Wink Wink
Fatman3001
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December 18, 2015, 11:57:01 PM

^What he said. Don't make me open up my Multibit!

Multibit, eh?

Hmmm....

You might wanna check it again in the morning.

MUAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAA!!!!!



Just thinking about it is sort of like thinking back to when you've been kicked in the nuts.
BlindMayorBitcorn
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December 18, 2015, 11:59:15 PM

They have the incentive but they are not configured accordingly. Not all of them. That's why dust/spam/no-fee and "stress test" txs get processed.

Have you used the network lately? No-fee transactions aren't getting included, and definitely won't be once priority is removed. Dust and spam should not be subjectively determined, fee per kb is all that matters. Miners have a very real incentive to keep their blocks to a reasonable size, it's called orphan risk.


I send a zero fee transaction yesterday. It was included in the first block.

I never pay a fee if I don't have to and still I'm in favor of rising fees, by limiting supply (of space).

Enjoy it while it lasts.

At some point there will have to be a fees market because of the halvenings, right? Has anyone crunched the numbers? Are there studies? What will it look like?

Everybody agrees that there will be a fee market. Some just want to force it now, before the drop to 12.5 btc per block, which I think is ridiculously early and would be using the wrong (artificial vs market determined) mechanism. In the future, miners will be much more sensitive to their fee pricing, and the fee load will be spread over many more network users.

I just assume that technology will keep apace with increases. Is there any in principle reason that bigger and bigger blocks would necessarily lead to more centalization?




@Fatman Or that time I invested in RochambeauCoin on Cryptsy
ChartBuddy
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December 19, 2015, 12:00:35 AM

Coin



Explanation
billyjoeallen
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December 19, 2015, 12:03:15 AM


No fee doesn't mean free transactions. I paid for those transactions when I bought my stash. I pay for it with every coin I buy now. I was subsidizing the miners so the network can grow. Then you assholes came around and thought Bitcoin could be more useful if fewer people can use it. This isn't the vision I signed up for. This isn't the reason I held on through three crashes.

Over four hundred is a nice profit for me. If you think you can handle it without me, just keep the price this high until I pull my coins out of storage.

These were the rules from when you bought in. Now you guys are trying to change it. Fork the chain and make your own altcoin. If you succeed power to you.

You know damn well those were not the rules. The rules are 21 million coins peer-to-peer electronic cash system.  You're hanging your whole argument on a technicality that was just supposed to be a temporary kludge. 

We've been over and over this. Fuck you. You're the fucking attack vector. Good luck with your cripplecoin. We have the code to do it better now. It's only a matter of time before We Facebook your Myspace ass.
MinermanNC
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December 19, 2015, 12:05:02 AM

At the end of the day, miners will control bitcoins future in a very precarious way. Maybe not centralizing per' se, but will have the ultimate sway in fee's and the security they provide in processing and so forth.
billyjoeallen
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December 19, 2015, 12:05:08 AM

any trains coming? ccmf, or?

Now's your chance, TERA. You can buy and sell that giant stash of yours with little slippage either way. Oh, that's right. You're already margin long. Well double down I guess.
wachtwoord
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December 19, 2015, 12:11:39 AM


No fee doesn't mean free transactions. I paid for those transactions when I bought my stash. I pay for it with every coin I buy now. I was subsidizing the miners so the network can grow. Then you assholes came around and thought Bitcoin could be more useful if fewer people can use it. This isn't the vision I signed up for. This isn't the reason I held on through three crashes.

Over four hundred is a nice profit for me. If you think you can handle it without me, just keep the price this high until I pull my coins out of storage.

These were the rules from when you bought in. Now you guys are trying to change it. Fork the chain and make your own altcoin. If you succeed power to you.

You know damn well those were not the rules. The rules are 21 million coins peer-to-peer electronic cash system.  You're hanging your whole argument on a technicality that was just supposed to be a temporary kludge. 

We've been over and over this. Fuck you. You're the fucking attack vector. Good luck with your cripplecoin. We have the code to do it better now. It's only a matter of time before We Facebook your Myspace ass.

Game on! Smiley
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December 19, 2015, 12:28:34 AM
Last edit: December 19, 2015, 12:45:55 AM by jbreher

The bigger the blockchain, the more unusable and more centralized it becomes.

Baldly unsubstantiated assertion. Actually two of them. I disagree with both.
1) The bigger the blockchain the more transactions it has processed > the more it has been used > the more usable it is.
2) The smaller bigger the blockchain, the more transactions can be processed in given interval > the less need to deal with off-chain 'solutions' > the less need to deal with centralized off-chain 'solution' providers > the less centralization.

Quote
Economic considerations should also be given for developing countries where bandwidth costs are high,

By ensuring that they have no recourse to direct transactions upon the blockchain? Logical inconsistency duly noted.

edit: emphasized
Cconvert2G36
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December 19, 2015, 12:29:27 AM

Fatman, you mine. I wouldn't consider you a threat to decentralization. What size blocks do you figure would keep fees low and keep you running smoothly? If prices are higher, is there more competition for txn's? Or will small mines have a harder time solving blocks?

I doubt he's running a pool and solving blocks. Smaller miners are mostly worker bees communicating with the hive over stratum.
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