memory and attention decay
+2 WOsMerit
That was fast...as usual.
Abstract
Collective memory and attention are sustained by two channels: oral communication (communicative memory) and the physical recording of information (cultural memory). Here, we use data on the citation of academic articles and patents, and on the online attention received by songs, movies and biographies, to describe the temporal decay of the attention received by cultural products. We show that, once we isolate the temporal dimension of the decay, the attention received by cultural products decays following a universal biexponential function. We explain this universality by proposing a mathematical model based on communicative and cultural memory, which fits the data better than previously proposed log-normal and exponential models. Our results reveal that biographies remain in our communicative memory the longest (20–30 years) and music the shortest (about 5.6 years). These findings show that the average attention received by cultural products decays following a universal biexponential function.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-018-0474-5 Might be paywalled. :/
This graph lines up nicely with halvening's. It could very well indicate that 2020 will be the "goto" year for Bitcoin. Where as the communicative and cultural memory peak along with price to take us mainstream. Where bitcoin "entered" this plot line is open for much debate because interest really didn't peak within the first year of launch..hardly anyone knew about it then. I do however like the pulse's that occur every 2 to 4 years.
What I think is important here is that there might be a finite amount of time for something to stay in the focus of the general population. This is neither bullish or bearish, its purely speculation. It might not even be relevant until bitcoin reaches full adoption. Regardless it is filled with nice maths.
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