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Question: When will bitcoin reach the top of this bull market (i.e. when will it moon)?
Topped at $13,880 in June - 12 (7.7%)
H2 2019 - 16 (10.3%)
H1 2020 - 29 (18.6%)
H2 2020 - 28 (17.9%)
H1 2021 - 12 (7.7%)
H2 2021 - 31 (19.9%)
H1 2022 - 6 (3.8%)
H2 2022 - 4 (2.6%)
H1 2023 - 0 (0%)
H2 2023 - 3 (1.9%)
2024 or Later - 15 (9.6%)
Total Voters: 156

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21291569 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (102 posts by 19 users deleted.)
infofront
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February 03, 2019, 08:26:05 PM

How is your morning, Gentlemen ?

All is well from 30km east of Carolina.



Only worry today is finding a sports bar where the wife can watch the super bowl. We'll watch it again when we get back home. For accordingly experience hath shewn that the super bowl in PR is accompanied by local commercials, rather than the creativity fest shown back on the mainland.

Imagine that... watching TV for the ads. Whatta life.

Jbreher, are you scouting it out for residency?
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February 03, 2019, 08:27:02 PM
Merited by Dabs (1), JayJuanGee (1)

The problem with altcoin staking is that it is a sugar hit.

Staking reduces circulating supply which props up the price.  Stakers get "interest" payments, so it feels like a perpetual money machine.

But really what is happening is the interest payments are inflation, chipping away at the coin's value.  When the stakers realise that their stake is falling in value faster than they are getting interest payments, they dump their stake.  

All that locked up liquidity comes flooding back onto the market, and it cycles downwards.  
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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February 03, 2019, 08:27:42 PM
Merited by 600watt (1)

[edited out]

you had 50 btc but gambled it away buying shitcoins?  and you still want to keep the shitcoins? imho hodl refers to bitcoin, not to shitcoins.

Four points here:

1) Dabs I appreciate that you are being frank about your situation, and likely you realize that revealing some of your situation would have likely resulted in various kinds of attacks in regards to your own reasonableness in dealing with such situation.

2) regarding the substantive point about HODL only applies to bitcoin.  Yes.  Exactly correct, 600watt.  I have made this comment in this thread, in real life and also in other bitcoin/crypto threads.  Any of the prudent trading practices that apply to bitcoin, such as HODL, incremental accumulation, dollar cost averaging, buying on dips, etc do not apply to alt coins... Maybe, perhaps, you might get lucky and find one or two of the thousands of altcoins in which there is actual fundamental long term value, but generally speaking you should not be concluding either that they have fundamental value nor engaging in such long term fundamental investing into any of that pump and dump shit.

3) If you have already taken a position in any shit coins, then you should be ready, willing and able to reconsider your position, but if you already devolved into investing more than 20% of your crypto value into such shit, then you may have become too attached to both your position and hoping that at least some portion of your various shit investments pump

4) this point relates to point 3, and really you should not be investing more than 10% or so of your total crypto value into alt coins.  Of course, I recognize that younger people might be ready, willing and able to take more risks, but even then, you gotta remain somewhat measured in how much you are allocating to risk.  Bitcoin, by itself, is already risky, and many of the alt coins track BTC's performance anyhow, so there is no real advantage to investing in shit coins, unless you merely want to make some real short term plays based on some kind of insider information that is hopefully reliable and you can get out of such alt position in a timely manner of your own choosing.
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February 03, 2019, 08:28:06 PM
Merited by Dabs (2)

shitcoins... by the way who is selling Merits? I nearly running out of sMerits.
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February 03, 2019, 08:34:20 PM
Merited by 600watt (1)

Okay I like that one.
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February 03, 2019, 08:39:10 PM

every time i tried to invest some btc into any alt it felt so wrong

There's no such thing as an "altcoin".  It's a propaganda term used by people like Luke Jr to attempt to hide the fact bitcoin has no valid Schelling point.  Every single thing about bitcoin is completely arbitrary.  There is no variable or aspect of it that has to be a certain way.  Trying to pretend the date should be changed from 2019 AD to 10 AB (after bitcoin) is the most ludicrous bullshit scam ever perpetrated.  

Even the creators of bitcoin say the design of it has a large chance of failure, so how is it possible to claim bitcoin is inherently better than anything someone else creates?  It's not.  This is one reason cryptocurrency is complete garbage.  No Schelling point.  It's not possible for something to be the unit of account of anything if it's completely arbitrary and can just be discarded at whim for something else.  That and if you corner every shitcoin on the planet, no matter which coin it is, you have no power over anyone because nobody actually needs your tokens and they can just use a different one instead where the distribution favors themselves.

That's why a fake commodity like bitcoin is useless.  If I corner all the silver in the world, people actually need them so I can just sit in my castle and gouge the market for whatever it can bear.  That is real power.  Digital shitcoins give you zero power over anything.  I can ignore you like you don't even exist no matter how many you hoard.
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February 03, 2019, 08:40:46 PM

Good or bad for a 10 years old currency like Bitcoin?


https://twitter.com/ShehabAgencyEn/status/1091636980654448640/photo/1

Edit: Looking at the address, we can say that they are getting good response.
Check: https://www.blockchain.com/btc/address/17QAWGVpFV4gZ25NQug46e5mBho4uDP6MD

An Israeli "startup" is monitoring Bitcoin donations to Hamas.

Quote
After Hamas's military wing published a bitcoin address on Telegram on Thursday identified by Whitestream as the wallet address of Coinbase, the same Telegram channel published a second bitcoin address for collecting donations on Saturday, this time a digital wallet apparently unrelated to Coinbase. Levy explained to "Globes" today that according to a check by Whitestream, within two days of the publication of the first bitcoin address, two relatively small bitcoin donations addresses were published amounting to only $2,500.

Whitestream discovered that one of the bitcoin donations transferred to Hamas's Coinbase wallet was sent on Thursday from a "Buy Cash" bitcoin trader in Khan Yunis in the Gaza Strip. Other bitcoin donations were sent to the Palestinian organization from wallets connected to Chinese cryptocurrencies exchange Binance and Russian cryptocurrencies exchange Vilkov, and from a wallet of another Coinbase account. Whitestream's check also revealed that bitcoin donations were sent late last week from Hamas's coinbase wallet to two bitcoin wallets: one belonging to CoinPayments, a company registered in the Cayman Islands, and one belonging to Binance.

The second Hamas bitcoin address has so far received donations from wallets of US trading platforms Bittrex and Coinbase, from Binance and Vilkov wallets, and from the coinMixer.io mixing service. Mixing technology mixes different addresses of digital currencies, thereby making it difficult to identify their users. Levy told "Globes" that the Hamas Coinbase wallet may have been blocked, and another wallet opened for collecting donations. The Whitestream team will continue monitoring incoming and outgoing transactions on Hamas's bitcoin addresses in the near future.
.

https://en.globes.co.il/en/article-hamas-raises-bitcoin-donations-via-us-crypto-exchange-1001271661
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February 03, 2019, 08:41:39 PM
Merited by mindrust (1)

you had 50 btc but gambled it away buying shitcoins?  and you still want to keep the shitcoins? imho hodl refers to bitcoin, not to shitcoins.

Actually, no, I "earned" 50 BTC worth of shitcoins (well, I don't consider them shitcoins, but whatever) ... my mistake was not cashing them out to BTC when I had the chance, and in hindsight, cashing out those BTC to fiat (maybe some, not all) so that I can live comfortably for a couple years, and then find a normie job without worrying about the future. (50 BTC was $1m USD back in Jan 2018? Something like that.)

And continue to earn or hodl everything.

But hey, no one's perfect. Either learn from your mistakes, or learn from other's mistakes. Still think they were pretty good bets.

A bitcoin would help so much, I'm not going homeless, and I've got a family to keep warm.
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February 03, 2019, 08:54:12 PM
Merited by Dabs (1)

you had 50 btc but gambled it away buying shitcoins?  and you still want to keep the shitcoins? imho hodl refers to bitcoin, not to shitcoins.

Actually, no, I "earned" 50 BTC worth of shitcoins (well, I don't consider them shitcoins, but whatever) ... my mistake was not cashing them out to BTC when I had the chance, and in hindsight, cashing out those BTC to fiat (maybe some, not all) so that I can live comfortably for a couple years, and then find a normie job without worrying about the future. (50 BTC was $1m USD back in Jan 2018? Something like that.)

And continue to earn or hodl everything.

But hey, no one's perfect. Either learn from your mistakes, or learn from other's mistakes. Still think they were pretty good bets.

A bitcoin would help so much, I'm not going homeless, and I've got a family to keep warm.

pm sent.
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February 03, 2019, 09:01:06 PM

Okay I like that one.
Thank you.

Here's an unconnected thing

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1092117554766716931
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February 03, 2019, 09:02:13 PM

Currently, I am think that it is going to be pretty likely that I will be taking some BTC with me when I die, but ideally would be to spend every last satoshi by the time I take my last breath, and second best scenario would be to be able to bequeath anything that I happen to have by then (hopefully not too much, by then.. hahahaha).

First dibs on the dead man's bitcoins.
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BTFD, on to 15K a coin !!!!


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February 03, 2019, 09:04:06 PM
Merited by Dabs (1)

and back under that nasty ass 3.4K
micgoossens
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BTFD, on to 15K a coin !!!!


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February 03, 2019, 09:04:33 PM

^that's what's making me feel cold
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February 03, 2019, 09:04:34 PM
Merited by Globb0 (4), jojo69 (1)


Or on an exchange!

 
micgoossens
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BTFD, on to 15K a coin !!!!


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February 03, 2019, 09:09:14 PM

^^


reminded me @bean movie  Roll Eyes
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February 03, 2019, 09:11:08 PM

Right I happen to mostly support Peterson (and be skeptical of Taleb), got a link to the chat in question?
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February 03, 2019, 09:17:11 PM

Peter Vessenes is such an incredible a..ho.e .  claiming 25% of btc marketcap, what a shitshow.

It's almost like he's trying to be openly obtuse. The Japanese court ought to instantly reject these claims, but the incredibly bureaucratic nature of things probably means claimants will be waiting years now.
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February 03, 2019, 09:18:17 PM

Right I happen to mostly support Peterson (and be skeptical of Taleb), got a link to the chat in question?
no that shill guy seems full of it, never any sources

edit barely intelligible https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ilw2RCrGkDI and eg https://newfoodeconomy.org/monsanto-jordan-peterson-farm-bureau/
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February 03, 2019, 09:25:14 PM

you had 50 btc but gambled it away buying shitcoins?  and you still want to keep the shitcoins? imho hodl refers to bitcoin, not to shitcoins.

Hodl refers to what you believe in.

BTC was seen as a dubious innovation some years ago. A shitcoin now can become a very useful tool in the future.

Hodl is a state of mind about you believing in a tech rather than trading for more fiat. That's all.
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February 03, 2019, 09:28:25 PM

you had 50 btc but gambled it away buying shitcoins?  and you still want to keep the shitcoins? imho hodl refers to bitcoin, not to shitcoins.

Hodl refers to what you believe in.

BTC was seen as a dubious innovation some years ago. A shitcoin now can become a very useful tool in the future.

Hodl is a state of mind about you believing in a tech rather than trading for more fiat. That's all.

Anything new is always doubted and ridiculed. Only those with a sharp foresight can see that there is more to it.
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