El duderino_
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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February 06, 2019, 05:28:36 PM |
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I'm a merit source BTW. I'm sure we could work something out ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) You see, that's the problem; I initiated a public feud with JJG so as to not be seen to be sucking up to the sources. I have even had to restrain my normal impulse to stroke Bob's...um...ego for the same reason. Now I have to distance myself from our moderator, self destructive, I know...I have always been like this. Suck suck suck aaaaaah
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Kylapoiss
Sr. Member
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Activity: 616
Merit: 292
I don't know where I'm going, but I'm going.
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February 06, 2019, 05:48:03 PM |
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![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Falternative.me%2Fimages%2Ffng%2Fcrypto-fear-and-greed-index-2019-2-5.png&t=665&c=sVcOv56-nq8mAQ) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.upload.ee%2Fimage%2F9531552%2Ffeargreed123.jpg&t=665&c=tiDOEUVuQPy-kA) For some who are new at this: Data Sources We are gathering data from the five following sources. Each data point is valued the same as the day before in order to visualize a meaningful progress in sentiment change of the crypto market.
First of all, the current index is for bitcoin only (we offer separate indices for large alt coins soon), because a big part of it is the volatility of the coin price.
But let’s list all the different factors we’re including in the current index:
Volatility (25 %) We’re measuring the current volatility and max. drawdowns of bitcoin and compare it with the corresponding average values of the last 30 days and 90 days. We argue that an unusual rise in volatility is a sign of a fearful market.
Market Momentum/Volume (25%) Also, we’re measuring the current volume and market momentum (again in comparison with the last 30/90 day average values) and put those two values together. Generally, when we see high buying volumes in a positive market on a daily basis, we conclude that the market acts overly greedy / too bullish.
Social Media (15%) While our reddit sentiment analysis is still not in the live index (we’re still experimenting some market-related key words in the text processing algorithm), our twitter analysis is running. There, we gather and count posts on various hashtags for each coin (publicly, we show only those for Bitcoin) and check how fast and how many interactions they receive in certain time frames). A unusual high interaction rate results in a grown public interest in the coin and in our eyes, corresponds to a greedy market behaviour.
Surveys (15%) Together with strawpoll.com (disclaimer: we own this site, too), quite a large public polling platform, we’re conducting weekly crypto polls and ask people how they see the market. Usually, we’re seeing 2,000 - 3,000 votes on each poll, so we do get a picture of the sentiment of a group of crypto investors. We don’t give those results too much attention, but it was quite useful in the beginning of our studies. You can see some recent results here.
Dominance (10%) The dominance of a coin resembles the market cap share of the whole crypto market. Especially for Bitcoin, we think that a rise in Bitcoin dominance is caused by a fear of (and thus a reduction of) too speculative alt-coin investments, since Bitcoin is becoming more and more the safe haven of crypto. On the other side, when Bitcoin dominance shrinks, people are getting more greedy by investing in more risky alt-coins, dreaming of their chance in next big bull run. Anyhow, analyzing the dominance for a coin other than Bitcoin, you could argue the other way round, since more interest in an alt-coin may conclude a bullish/greedy behaviour for that specific coin.
Trends (10%) We pull Google Trends data for various Bitcoin related search queries and crunch those numbers, especially the change of search volumes as well as recommended other currently popular searches. For example, if you check Google Trends for "Bitcoin", you can’t get much information from the search volume. But currently, you can see that there is currently a +1,550% rise of the query „bitcoin price manipulation“ in the box of related search queries (as of 05/29/2018). This is clearly a sign of fear in the market, and we use that for our index.
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gentlemand
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Activity: 2590
Merit: 3014
Welt Am Draht
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February 06, 2019, 05:56:50 PM |
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Give this guy some merits already so he could wear the hat, he has well deserved it ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) I'll take your word for it.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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Activity: 3654
Merit: 10145
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
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February 06, 2019, 05:57:58 PM |
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What thread do you have to post in to whore yourself out to these guys?
I'm gonna drop off the first page if I don't start sucking some serious dick soon.
I’m a Merit Source ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia0.giphy.com%2Fmedia%2FLPPFDnKdb7zUc%2Fgiphy.gif%3Fcid%3D19f5b51a5c5b1fdb636275626b4c5f6c&t=665&c=8AGu0DzWJ6CLYw)
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jbreher
Legendary
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Activity: 3038
Merit: 1660
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
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February 06, 2019, 06:00:27 PM |
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cAPSLOCK
Legendary
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Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Whimsical Pants
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February 06, 2019, 06:00:52 PM Merited by JayJuanGee (1) |
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Talk like this from murad is what irks others: 11/ Inb4 "the bottom is in". It's not. 2:43 PM - 3 Feb 2019
He's clearly a coward then, just like Tone Vays and other so-called "Crypto Gurus". Because actually calling a bottom puts one's reputation WAY more on the line than saying "the bottom is NOT in". For the latter, there is no repercussion to one's rep for being wrong because your followers didn't really lose anything for taking your advice. This is why I despise all these type of guys. They are all snake oil selling phonies who truly have no clue. Though I agree with you mostly... Murad has had some very intelligent and prescient things to say about Bitcoin. The technicals for Bitcoin currently look awful. The fundamentals look GREAT. Still very early... but GREAT. I just keep holding relatively still and playing with lightning.
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33bitcoin
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February 06, 2019, 06:04:06 PM Last edit: February 06, 2019, 06:17:44 PM by 33bitcoin |
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stupid sexy flanders. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FGNRx6H0.gif&t=665&c=peZBuWRPL8EhxA)
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Kylapoiss
Sr. Member
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Activity: 616
Merit: 292
I don't know where I'm going, but I'm going.
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February 06, 2019, 06:04:54 PM |
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Give this guy some merits already so he could wear the hat, he has well deserved it ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) I'll take your word for it. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.kym-cdn.com%2Fphotos%2Fimages%2Foriginal%2F001%2F259%2F121%2F809.png&t=665&c=Gb14Q8-d2y5zqg)
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Kylapoiss
Sr. Member
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Offline
Activity: 616
Merit: 292
I don't know where I'm going, but I'm going.
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February 06, 2019, 06:05:40 PM |
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stupid sexy flanders.
Just one question. Why do you share the avatar with JJG?
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goldkingcoiner
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Activity: 2170
Merit: 1925
Verified Bitcoin Hodler
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February 06, 2019, 06:11:39 PM |
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stupid sexy flanders.
HEY WTF NO HAT STEALING I WILL FIND YOU
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El duderino_
Legendary
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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February 06, 2019, 06:13:45 PM Merited by gentlemand (1) |
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I have to say gentlemand is a true gentleman.... just curious what i have to do ... to unleash a single merit of his back ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) But he does bring HAT’s to this Nice community
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El duderino_
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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February 06, 2019, 06:15:35 PM |
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^ Perhaps a MEGASUPERgreen DILDO??
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33bitcoin
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February 06, 2019, 06:16:00 PM |
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idk just thought it looked cool, no1 made me one
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gentlemand
Legendary
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Activity: 2590
Merit: 3014
Welt Am Draht
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February 06, 2019, 06:17:03 PM |
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I have to say gentlemand is a true gentleman.... just curious what i have to do ... to unleash a single merit of his back ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) But he does bring HAT’s to this Nice community For this thread it is primarily used to induct nubiles into the inner sanctum. Out in the wild it's a free for all. But have a symbolic one.
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Kylapoiss
Sr. Member
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Activity: 616
Merit: 292
I don't know where I'm going, but I'm going.
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February 06, 2019, 06:18:41 PM |
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idk just thought it looked cool, no1 made me one
You have to ask homer (xhomerx10) for one, he will gladly make it. You can even PM him (just don't spam please).
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El duderino_
Legendary
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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February 06, 2019, 06:24:04 PM |
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I have even had to restrain my normal impulse to stroke Bob's...um...ego for the same reason.
Dude. I totally get it. To be completely honest, I'm afraid I'm coming off a bit "gay for mic", and have had to temper my merit activity in that regard, if you catch my meaning. If you’re main MAN Rick isn’t bothered by it..... Then don’t mind it, its probably just my dudeness thats a bit of attractive, or the bad english or I don’t know what ..... but there is not to much gayness bro, its all good humor Keep doing you’re sheeeeit!! As long price is F***ed up we all dreaming of Some gay big green dildo’s ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif) 3357 pfffffffffffffffffffff HODLffffffffffffff!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Cryptotourist
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February 06, 2019, 06:25:27 PM |
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WTF? ![Embarrassed](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/embarrassed.gif) Thanks guys. You are making me feel very welcome here. Are you sure? ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif) I don't feel I deserve it in any way, but I've learned to accept things if they come my way, only so that I can try to give back more. @gentelemand, now that we are closely related, can I have a glimpse of your porn dungeon please? Seriously, whenever I see you post, it's the first thing that comes into my mind. That and your Grin named toys. It's haunting me. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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DeathAngel
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Activity: 3234
Merit: 1613
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
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February 06, 2019, 06:27:23 PM |
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^ Perhaps a MEGASUPERgreen DILDO??
Would love to see one, the bigger the better ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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JayJuanGee
Legendary
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Activity: 3836
Merit: 10819
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
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February 06, 2019, 06:27:47 PM |
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Theymos says 3 grand. I'm betting on 3 grand. Sad but true.
$3k is not impossible, but that was not my prediction. I think that: - The most recent crash was artificial, driven by very few whales. - The market has wanted badly to stabilize for a while, but keeps choosing what turns out to be a too-high price. So I predict that the price will rise somewhat, maybe a bit above 7k, and then it will either stabilize (in BTC terms...) or *slowly* continue a downward trend. I feel that we are not too far from a sustainable longer-term price: I'd guess 5500 at the lowest. IMO 3k *could* be reached by widespread panic selling, and 1k could be reached if some shit *really* hits the fan, but I consider neither likely. Theymos did nothing wrong. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) He warned us all. *I just took a quick look at the old pages of the topic and found some gems. There are no sorcerers in this price direction matter, even there are a lot of curious folks about the topic, and even if the wannabe sorcerer are otherwise either bitcoin/market smart or have a lot of status.
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