Found this blast from the past on an old laptop.
This guy never bought back in after the bottom. Just proves that day traders will never win; just buy and hodl for the long term.
As it happens I never shorted at $520 and I never shorted at $430 either just as I amn't going to short now. Whether my $200 range call comes good anytime soon I don't know, but Bitcoin testing $360 is looking very very likely. Infact, I would go as far as to say that it is already written on the wall
I am not saying sub $300 this weekend. I am saying next significant support level is $260. Sooner or later, Bitcoin is going to have to test the upper resistance or the lower support. It seems pretty obvious to me which is the more likely of the two scenarios to play out.
I will take a much longer break from Bitcoin than 6 months. I have been against Bitcoin philosophically for some time but was addicted to trading it cos I was winning. Now that I am losing, I have no further interest in it. I will be back here to indulge in some empty gloating when Bitcoin hits $200 range like I said it would....and it will.
Sorry Ibian old bean, but $200 range it will be. Bitcoin takes these near vertical counter trend price spikes, rises 40% within a few days and then we find time and time again that there is no demand for Bitcoin at these levels cos the only real demand for Bitcoin is speculative demand. If people can't make money from it then they don't buy it and start selling it.
My advice to n00bs coming to Bitcoin now is don't buy Bitcoin right now. 1 day MACD is about to cross to the downside and with the manipulated short squeezing pump up to $540 aside, there is absolutely not enough interest in Bitcoin at these prices, to sustain these prices. Bitcoin is going to $200 range. I would recommend an upper $200 buy-in order and even if Bitcoin drops a whole lot further than this, there will always be an opportunity for the n00b investor to break even if he enters at a $260-$300 range. Buy-in now at $450 and by the end of next week, you may never see the $450 Bitcoin again for a very long time. Perhaps such a long time that your tolerance for loss will break and you will cash out taking a substantial hair cut.
I would certainly look to buy in sub $300 territory with a belief that a strong reversal must surely be on the cards should Bitcoin touch into the $200 range. Failing that, whenever I see an opportunity for a bit of upside and I feel comfortable enough being long Bitcoin. I was long Bitcoin just a couple of days ago, but didn't feel comfortable with it so cashed right back out.
You are last person that I would take Bitcoin call from. I just want to let you know that.
And I never said $200, I said $200 range. If Bitcoin hits $299, then I am right.
I am bearish on Bitcoin because it has been going down overall and will continue to do so. With that said, I shall never short Bitcoin again as I have discovered that engaging in this activity opens a whole psychological can of worms that I am not good at dealing with. By the same token, I shall never use leverage in Bitcoin ever again. The next time I shall buy Bitcoins is when we are back down at the lower range of the trendline. Next stop mid $200 range.
Once $380 support fails, then this will instigate a massive psychological change in the market, turning formerly strong hands to weak hands. Then the Bitcoin market will get to know all about despair. I said before, I reckon the $200 range lies ahead in the not too distant future. Quote me for truth if you like.
I have (practically) no market position that is affecting my emotional state. I say Bitcoin is going back to $200 range. If I am proven wrong than I shall be ready to jump back on if/when Bitcoin takes out and holds above important resistances (first being $480-$490), but will of course drop the lot the minute things start to look a bit shaky, as for me, my better instincts tell me that the writing is on the wall for Bitcoin.
In fact, I can't and won't give you credit for being "right" unless we see 250. That's your call. So until then, why don't you go do something else or stop beating your chest for things most other people know too.
$250 wasn't my call!
$200 Range is my call! Maybe not tomorrow, nor the day or week after that....But Bitcoin will grind painfully down over the course of time, interspersed with the odd 'spirit rekindling' counter trend rally of course. My sentiment couldn't be more apathetic right now, but when I put my mind or energies into anything, I generally find myself ahead of the trend.
MatTheCat is calling $200 range Bitcoin! Before any further ATH can ever be seen, if indeed any ATHs are ever seen again.
If this doesn't transpire, then everyone can quote this statement for truth to eternity whenever I rear my head on this forum.
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