Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Soon boys, soon!


@CryptoJelleNL
Bitcoin's weekly stoch RSI crossed & confirmed bullish.

Most people are not ready for what happens next. 👇


https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1976628449101160704

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Do you mind interpreting this for me in a simple style?

I seem not to get the clear comprehension even with bold key indicators.

Red line is the current 4 year cycle. Other lines are previous 4 year cycles. You can see in all of them, a peak in Q4 of the year after the halving year. It would indicate a likely top in the next 10 weeks followed by a bear market.

[Shishir99]

You're missing the point: you asked if you should sell now and buy back later. My point is: nobody can tell you that.

Well, it makes sense.
I was asking what OG people do in such a situation. I understand that I will have to make my own decision based on what I think. But opinions from others actually help me understand what I should avoid. I am not planning to sell all my Bitcoin at this moment since I hold a very tiny amount of Bitcoin. I just want to make sure I have some fiat to invest during the bear market, or at least when the market goes down.

I hope this cycle won't end before we reach 150K. So I am not afraid of bearish market at this moment.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[d_eddie]

A good head fake UP, quickly retracted, makes me think they want to take a sweep down. Hold fast guys and don't be shaken. It's just show.

Aha, now I'm reading about this monster short at 0.120678 M$. Maybe someone's setting up a shakeout in the weekend, when it's easier to pull off with the muted volume? The recent long wicked green candle on the daily, with outlier hefty volume, smells like bull bait. I hope they fail miserably, but even if they somehow manage to buy back near or below their entry point and avoid getting rekt, or even make some profit, they can't stop the tide with a barricade.

TL;DR: As I said, don't be shaken. Don't look at the price too much during the weekend  

EDIT Like clockwork, nosediving. I'm bracing for the weekend and looking forward.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BobLawblaw]

Well, fuck me.

The minute I move a bit of corn to Gemini, the price starts tanking.

Sorry guys. My fault.

Have a great weekend!

Love,

-Bob

EDIT: I MEAN COME ON! FFFFFFffffff...
EDIT2: And now BF6 claims it's not installed after waiting in a queue of 400,000 players. It's gunna be a bad day.

[LoyceV]

The minute I move a bit of corn to Gemini, the price starts tanking.

Quick, move it back!

[El duderino_]

Well, fuck me.

The minute I move a bit of corn to Gemini, the price starts tanking.

Sorry guys. My fault.

Have a great weekend!

Love,

-Bob

EDIT: I MEAN COME ON! FFFFFFffffff...

I only know @octobre I’m in Cyprus
Last year price was half of now…. So still good I guess

[El duderino_]

But
Btw
Uptober in the room with us?

[d_eddie]

It's not a random dump, apparently. It's a knee-jerk reaction to increased friction between the USA and China.

But
Btw
Uptober in the room with us?

 

[Paashaas]

Uptober was fun for few day's.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Getting ready for some dip.

[ivomm]

And the gold is up again. Recently the Bulgarian National Bank has bought 2 tons of gold in preparation for the transition from the national currency to euro from 1st Jan 2026. Another reason for this pump is that most of the bank apps in EU now offer various options for buying ETFs, gold, etc. And only revolut is offering Bitcoin  with a huge 1.5% fee. So, the retail interest unfortunately is shifted towards gold now. I am afraid that our expectations for an exponential Q4 might be dissapointed. I'm used to dissapointments, so I don't really care. What most people don't realize is that historically gold lost nearly 50% of its value for nearly 10 years. So, the stabiity of gold is pure illusion and can rug-pull you just like any other crapto.

[philipma1957]

jumped on some dip. due to my copper wire sales I have more dip money.

I also sold some silver giving me more dip money.

sold this

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5560427.0



and looking to sell more silver into the dip.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5561688.0

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5559917.0

still have more silver not listed.

https://silverprice.org/

silver is dancing around 50 an oz


with luck I can sell off more than 10k in copper and more than 10k in silver.

giving me dip money and mining fees money.

[Gachapin]

1.5x per year trend revisited:



Three highlighted ranges are [halving ... halving+76 weeks]

so 400k soon? 

[philipma1957]

Well a retreat to 118.6k and I grabbed some.

we are bouncing back to 119.1k

maybe I caught the bottom with the 118.6 buy

[Gachapin]

...

Weeks ago I would never have guessed that BTC at ~$122,200 (as I write) would be even MOAR undervalued vs. gold.  Gold is now at about $4045, up from about $3000 back in February 2025.

1 BTC only buys you 0.94 kg Au (bitbo.io).

BTC is undervalued.

We are still early, so Bitcoin was and will always undervalued until "analog people" die away and "digital people" rule the world