Bitcoin Forum
January 16, 2026, 07:18:07 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 30.2 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

Pages: « 1 ... 34970 34971 34972 34973 34974 34975 34976 34977 34978 34979 34980 34981 34982 34983 34984 34985 34986 34987 34988 34989 34990 34991 34992 34993 34994 34995 34996 34997 34998 34999 35000 35001 35002 35003 35004 35005 35006 35007 35008 35009 35010 35011 35012 35013 35014 35015 35016 35017 35018 35019 [35020] 35021 35022 35023 35024 35025 35026 35027 35028 35029 35030 35031 35032 35033 35034 35035 35036 35037 35038 35039 35040 35041 35042 35043 35044 35045 35046 35047 35048 35049 35050 35051 35052 35053 35054 35055 35056 35057 35058 35059 35060 35061 35062 35063 35064 35065 35066 35067 35068 35069 35070 ... 35389 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26913155 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2786
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 07:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Dictator69
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 154
Merit: 91


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 07:08:03 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Confusing! Who lost it all in a boating accident?  
probably everyone



wanna borrow my boat? just patched they say its fine.
I kind of understand what is happening here now. I am a bit late picking up, but hey, don't forget to keep the life jackets this time. The last accident cost a fortune. Wink
xhomerx10
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 4452
Merit: 10688



View Profile
October 12, 2025, 07:28:57 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Weekend is over and market is going up. That panic was just for weekend?

114k right now.

Trump softened his stance, pulled a bit of a TACO.



Price looks a little better but we are still $12,000 down from the ATH. Hoping we eat some of that up in the coming week. Would be great to get back to $120,000 quickly.


I feel like crying right...how does this sound? manipulation by my president? Maybe a coincidence!
Bitcoin was doing fine and suddenly president Donald Trump tweeted about sanctioning China with a big tarrif if they tried to compromise his decision and suddenly the market falls. The insiders had already short the market and made huge profits.

We are not bothered about that because smart holders don't care if the market falls or rise. Emotion is for the newbies or traders trying to snitch the market and do away with profits. But unfortunately, the market don't listen to anyone's opinion.
Thank you President Trump for sending the financial market into a green season continuation.

 Don't cry.  Tomorrow will be bright because we are young, young, young...
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 4326
Merit: 13867


Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 07:56:50 PM

You likely did not feel stress free with your bitcoin in your first whole cycle buying bitcoin, even though we came to find  out that we could have invested a whole cycle in the past and then we could stop investing.  Now days, there are likely needs for most folks to invest into bitcoin 2-3 cycles or even more to really get to a point in which their bitcoin investment might start to feel less stressful, and not even that is guaranteed.
thats true. my 1st crash (~70%) was like, holy shit wtf haha does it do this all the time?
answer: yes

i guess you literally just get used to it?

for a long time i was playing with "house money" i guess youd say (ie front loaded via mining) so by the time btc was getting more notice (like around 2013 maybe?) and i had seen the crazy volatility before my btc stacks fiat value was really noticeable.

If you go from being in profits or maybe around break even prices, and then at some later point, you only hold around 30% of the original value, then you might feel some stress about your then "in the negative" situation..

Yet, historically, if you just stuck it out for a few years (sometimes it had taken more than a couple of years to get out of the largely down period), then there ended up being decent odds that your holdings not only broke even, but went into multiples, if not magnitudes, of profits, so then if you had found yourself in multiples or even magnitudes of profits, then something like a 70% correction, would not take you out of profits. Instead if there were a 70% correction, maybe you would have had ONLY been in 2x, 3x or even 5x profits rather than having had been in 10x or even in the ballpark of 100x profits.

As you imply, there would still be some sense of loss, yet you would not feel as much like a failure when you had most of your networth in bitcoin.. and even when the price went shooting up 10x, 30x or even 100x, you might have decided to take 1x, 2x or 3x off of the table at some points that the BTC price was going up, so you end up feeling less loss aversion or even stress from the loss because you had largely taken most of your investment out of bitcoin.

Historically, I have liked to describe the situation of a friend of mine who got into bitcoin for less than $10k between late 2014 and 2016-ish...  which resulted in right around 20 BTC...  and then during the 2017 price run this friend cashed out around $35k worth. .. and then had a few more times cashing out $50k worth... and so maybe the person cashed out close to $200k, and then ended up with around 10 bitcoin before making some screw ups around the 2022 matters and some other screw ups that caused the stash to go from 10 BTC down to something like 1 BTC, which I think that the guy did not completely learn his lesson, but he had figured out some ways to continue to hang onto the 1 BTC, so right now he still has 1 BTC.. and did quite well even though he had also had some mismanagement issues (and too much risk-taking, and perhaps some dumbness?) in the mix.  Part of the positive of that guy was that he decided to take some chances to put some money in bitcoin and to mostly emphasize bitcoin, even though the investment was pretty whimpy in comparison to what he could have had invested, but the investment into bitcoin still did quite well, in spite of some subsequent screw-ups..

As a longterm holder who has no idea how margins and leverages etc. work, this small correction felt like any other to me. But the more I check crypto related forums and groups the more I realize how big this seems to be. I’ve seen posts now about suicides and 100% liquidations etc. it’s crazy. To me this felt like a small hiccup in comparison to the Covid, mtgox or FTX crashes. In moments like this I’m happy that I just hold and have no understanding of leverage and all that stuff.

I’ve taken some profits at 125k but not as much as planned. The plan was to sell 10% of my Btc in this bull market and sell 1% at each 10k+ level eg. 120k = 1% - 130k = 1% etc. was only able to sell 0.6% at 120k levels.

Mainly because I’m worried about Binance freezing my account if I sent too much Bitcoin at once there. So I send always 10% of what I want to sell in total. How common is the account freezing and proof of funds? My Binance account is 4-5 years old and is kyced. My Bitcoins were bought in 2013 from Mtgox mostly. And some from Bitstamp. I’ve used that Binance account for a lot of sells and trades. I wish to sell large amounts at once instead of small fractions.

I don't know the answer, either, since exchanges can be finicky, and at least you sound prepared to give them an answer if they ask for source of funds - but at the same time, you cannot really know if your answer is going to be good enough for them.

Perhaps guys have to develop relations on various exchanges, and surely try to find ways to spend bitcoin (or exchange coins) in the real world person to person or person to merchant kinds of interactions.  Even merchants might not want to get involved with bitcoin if they believe that they are going to be having troubles getting out of their coins, yet surely we likely realize that they might be better off if they are also able to interact with other merchants (or their suppliers and/or contractors) in bitcoin, too.

It sounds like what you are doing is good, and to potentially build up the quantity of BTC that you have going through them, and see if they say anything..  or ask any questions.

my copper sales and silver sales allow me to have powder for duy the dip and keep the mining going.
in fact i could say if we are going to dip lets see <100k

because of the copper and silver sales buying .1 or .2 btc is easy to do.

Why so greedy? You should be happy to get out of that crap, and get into something better, yet you are never guaranteed to be better off in the short term, which is frequently why any new BTC sales should expect to have at least a 4 year time horizon - otherwise you may well aiming towards trading rather than investing, even if you label what you are doing as investing.

But, yeah, maybe you have never been a BTC investor since you never seem to be committed to at least a 4 year time line. You have always been a bitcoin trader, even though since your 2018 or so supposed reform, you have started trying to consider yourself as a bitcoin investor, but you have never gotten to a timeline commitment in your head in regards to bitcoin that was at least 4 years or longer. 

Even if you are not exclusively a trader in regards to bitcoin, you haver been and likely are continuing to be mostly a trader, since you cannot even commit to a 4 year or greater timeline in regards to any new bitcoin purchase that you make.

By the way, we know that when a person becomes more elderly, an emergency could happen at any time in which expenses have gone up and/or income has gone down, so even if you had mentally committed to investing more than 4 years, some unexpected health/age related thing ended up causing you to have to break your 4 year commitment.  Surely, I am not saying that at least 4-year timeline commitments cannot be broken, yet there should still be some feasible chance that you believe that you would not need to break such at least 4-year timeline commitment.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2786
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 08:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
BTCETFInvestor
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 182
Merit: 53

Toodaloo! ..-. ..- -.-. -.- / -.-- --- ..-


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 08:09:10 PM
Last edit: October 12, 2025, 08:35:13 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Confusing! Who lost it all in a boating accident?  
probably everyone



wanna borrow my boat? just patched they say its fine.
I kind of understand what is happening here now. I am a bit late picking up, but hey, don't forget to keep the life jackets this time. The last accident cost a fortune. Wink

Smart, though Govts probably have deep water subs digging for the owners of that treasure lost in all those boating accidents!
d_eddie
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3108
Merit: 5229



View Profile
October 12, 2025, 08:31:31 PM

He lost it all in a boating accident, you need to keep up.

All except some, I seem to recall.

his claim of owning 0.63 btc is very likely an understatement.
1 - 1/e ≈ 0.63
If you know, you know.
I don't know Sad And it feels like I'm missing out on something good. What's with saying someone owns less than 1-1/e Bitcoins?

This should be interesting if e ~ [-0.01, -0.005]. If on the contrary, e = exp(1) (positive), then it's the same old boring 0.63 we've been reading about from way back.
ivomm
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1933
Merit: 3428


All good things to those who wait


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 08:37:01 PM


his claim of owning 0.63 btc is very likely an understatement.

hell i own more than that.

 The .63 that I may or may not have works just fine for all intents and purposes. As everything we post here is hypothetical, the crazy part is I can be more forthcoming here than I am in meatspace...  I definitely agree this drop was more of a WHEEEEE moment for me rather than a OHH SHITE type of moment. Even though the liquidations were massive, it doesn't matter if you are HODLing. I am, however, really leaning into time-based selling, and even then only if I think I need more fiat than I currently possess.  It's been nice to not stay glued to portfolios (no matter how small they may be!)
We do have over half of UPtober left...
K

Do you really think that JJG would spend so much time on this forum if he has <1BTC? I don't buy it. I think he had > 100BTC at some point. May be he sold some, but I doubt he has <90BTC now.
BTCETFInvestor
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 182
Merit: 53

Toodaloo! ..-. ..- -.-. -.- / -.-- --- ..-


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 08:43:29 PM

Recovering nicely!



LoyceV
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3920
Merit: 20959


Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021


View Profile WWW
October 12, 2025, 08:49:10 PM

his claim of owning 0.63 btc is very likely an understatement.
1 - 1/e ≈ 0.63
If you know, you know.
I don't know Sad And it feels like I'm missing out on something good. What's with saying someone owns less than 1-1/e Bitcoins?
This should be interesting if e ~ [-0.01, -0.005]. If on the contrary, e = exp(1) (positive), then it's the same old boring 0.63 we've been reading about from way back.
I'm still lost Tongue You're not supposed to use e as a variable with a different meaning in math. But I still have no idea what this is about. I thought it could be an inside thing, I'm just not seeing it.
OgNasty
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 5348
Merit: 6006


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile WWW
October 12, 2025, 08:50:14 PM
Merited by Gachapin (1)


his claim of owning 0.63 btc is very likely an understatement.

hell i own more than that.

 The .63 that I may or may not have works just fine for all intents and purposes. As everything we post here is hypothetical, the crazy part is I can be more forthcoming here than I am in meatspace...  I definitely agree this drop was more of a WHEEEEE moment for me rather than a OHH SHITE type of moment. Even though the liquidations were massive, it doesn't matter if you are HODLing. I am, however, really leaning into time-based selling, and even then only if I think I need more fiat than I currently possess.  It's been nice to not stay glued to portfolios (no matter how small they may be!)
We do have over half of UPtober left...
K

Do you really think that JJG would spend so much time on this forum if he has <1BTC? I don't buy it. I think he had > 100BTC at some point. May be he sold some, but I doubt he has <90BTC now.

We shouldn't worry how much people own.  The only reason to look at someone else's plate is to make sure they have enough to eat.  I've found that people like to sensationalize things, so most likely the coins you expect someone holds is an overestimation.  Most of us are still here and bullish because we've learned a hard lesson not to sell.  

All the work I've done on behalf of this forum and Bitcoin projects (which is tens of thousands of hours of my time and probably even more of my dollars) and I would've been better off had I fallen into a coma in December of 2011.  There is a real reason why deceased people are the single best investor class in existence.  All you have to do is buy good assets and hodl (but nobody does).  
d_eddie
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3108
Merit: 5229



View Profile
October 12, 2025, 08:52:06 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

I'm still lost Tongue You're not supposed to use e as a variable with a different meaning in math.
I suspect you are indeed not expected to. I was just muddying the waters a bit, because discussing with precise quantities is unbecoming to such fine gentlemen.

Quote
But I still have no idea what this is about. I thought it could be an inside thing, I'm just not seeing it.
Same here. Easy.  Grin
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2786
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 09:01:16 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Franklyn-wood
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 154
Merit: 102


TronZap.com - Reduce USDT transfer fees on TRON


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 09:09:24 PM

Recovering nicely!



Happy that the market is recovering! The recovery mode is going to be huge.

Zoom zoom zoom...oh yeah Bitcoin!
philipma1957
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 4732
Merit: 11250


'The right to privacy matters'


View Profile WWW
October 12, 2025, 09:16:25 PM

115k is better than 106k

maybe 125 by Thursday.
Franklyn-wood
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 154
Merit: 102


TronZap.com - Reduce USDT transfer fees on TRON


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 09:33:20 PM

115k is better than 106k

maybe 125 by Thursday.
That will be the greatest news of all time... investors can now smile again.

I can't wait to see the price of Bitcoin and copper jump off the chart to the greenish Savannah with high speed.

That will be a memorable day of all time. It pays to hold no matter the Stormy season.
BTCETFInvestor
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 182
Merit: 53

Toodaloo! ..-. ..- -.-. -.- / -.-- --- ..-


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 09:49:47 PM
Last edit: October 12, 2025, 10:32:48 PM by BTCETFInvestor

115k is better than 106k

maybe 125 by Thursday.

Well, Phil - It dipped to $104.6K and it's already back up $10k to $115k, so another quick $10k puts it right at your $125k mark on Thursday.

I hope it happens - I wouldn't bet against it happening...  Grin
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2786
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 10:01:13 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Searing
Copper Member
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3024
Merit: 1820


Clueless!


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 10:52:32 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (1)

dips are coming back.

get ready for a buy.

My view...if 'reality' finally hits the stock market and it dumps say 25% in the next month as a cluster....k and the recession hits (as it should with all

the chaos in the world imho) then BTC will go down probably more than that at least initially. A recession means everyone is over extended...on cc and the 2nd

lake cabin if you are rich...the kids teeth etc. The house is losing equity can't get emergency cash there. The cc are maxed out. OH...I have some btc I can

panic dump 24/7...I don't want to..but can't put the kids to work (except in AK) etc, etc. All other assets take at least days or time to get out of ...sell stuff...get

a loan....talk to your finance guy...whatever....

But in this turmoil of a few months btc/gold/land and any other hard assets will go up faster IMHO....so buy is my view...hell it might take a year of way sub

$100k btc...but remember EVERYONE of whatever income level in society is over extended in hard times or a recession...took them a couple years to get

in this mess as a company/corporation or individual etc...it will take a couple years to get out of...

but folks with likely 'dollar' rot on the us dollar/inflation maybe comes back with tariffs and all that ..people KNOW they should be buying stocks or

gold or btc or land or whatever on the cheap but they just can't....they are forced to get their economic spending under control...the rest of it...investments

etc are gonna be weak in not enough $$ to go around unless you have $$$ on hand.....

so my take on this ....it is gonna be a sh*tshow if we had a normal recession after all this inflated $$$ over the decades..with tariffs and world tensions

it is gonna be 'quite' the shit show..and again at the beginning of this btc/crytpo is gonna dump hard with 24/7 access to save your ass when your job

goes away and the cc people come after you. Just saying. As an aside I got the BTC Coinbase Card thru Amex....I plan to get the 2-4% in btc as rewards

for use...I also have the means to pay it off each month...the interest rate was like 21.23% a week ago.....so you take out $10k on a card and sit for 5

years it magically becomes $20k ...you take that same $10k over that time period and put it in BTC...it is unlikely in a recession to make 21.23% but I'm pretty

sure, imho, it is gonna beat US bonds as safe haven

perpare folks it is gonna be a sh*tshow society wise for everybody....just HODL....at least, even if futile it gives your some hope over, again, imho, this

shitsh*w....economically and socially for the next 3.5 years or more.

then again, always remember I know zip as I type on WO on bitcointalk....

ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2786
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 12, 2025, 11:01:13 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Pages: « 1 ... 34970 34971 34972 34973 34974 34975 34976 34977 34978 34979 34980 34981 34982 34983 34984 34985 34986 34987 34988 34989 34990 34991 34992 34993 34994 34995 34996 34997 34998 34999 35000 35001 35002 35003 35004 35005 35006 35007 35008 35009 35010 35011 35012 35013 35014 35015 35016 35017 35018 35019 [35020] 35021 35022 35023 35024 35025 35026 35027 35028 35029 35030 35031 35032 35033 35034 35035 35036 35037 35038 35039 35040 35041 35042 35043 35044 35045 35046 35047 35048 35049 35050 35051 35052 35053 35054 35055 35056 35057 35058 35059 35060 35061 35062 35063 35064 35065 35066 35067 35068 35069 35070 ... 35389 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!