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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26949292 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Ocham
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March 25, 2026, 05:21:50 PM

the first snowfall of spring has arrived. the squirrels are not happy.

It's a very sad things, but you have to adapt to the weather. The weather is changeable. In a few days the warmth of spring will arrive.

OgNasty
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March 25, 2026, 05:25:30 PM

If you plan to buy a Lambo, do it as soon as possible because otherwise you might have some problems - not with the price, but with how you get in and out of it Grin
https://x.com/PropositoyVida/status/2033374759896207629
Thats why I sell my BTC last year to buy a new car. I am still young enough to drive that.

Yes.

Hahahahaha

Keep telling yourself that buying the car was a good idea.

Trust my JJG. Whats the point of investing in Bitcoin, if we can't use it to make our life better.

Between I have already explained you many times the scenario in which I bought car and you agreed that it was fine. Should I narrate that scenario every time I talk about my new car purchase? 

Don't listen to him.  He complains anytime anyone else sells any BTC to improve their lives while at the same time he sells BTC every single year just to live and will sell another 4% of his stack in this down market while expecting to be praised for having such a genius retirement plan.  He doesn't do anything to support the market, even going as far as to criticize people who continue to stack sats...  A total hypocrite.
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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March 25, 2026, 05:30:49 PM

Lambo
Thats why I sell my BTC last year to buy a new car. I am still young enough to drive that.

Yes.
Hahahahaha
Keep telling yourself that buying the car was a good idea.

Trust my JJG. Whats the point of investing in Bitcoin, if we can't use it to make our life better.

Between I have already explained you many times the scenario in which I bought car and you agreed that it was fine. Should I narrate that scenario every time I talk about my new car purchase? 

JJGs just mad cuz hes gonna lose that bet
WatChe
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March 25, 2026, 05:41:27 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Don't listen to him.  He complains anytime anyone else sells any BTC to improve their lives while at the same time he sells BTC every single year just to live and will sell another 4% of his stack in this down market while expecting to be praised for having such a genius retirement plan.  He doesn't do anything to support the market, even going as far as to criticize people who continue to stack sats...  A total hypocrite.

That's totally fine to sell your Bitcoins to help yourself or to improve your standard of living.

I inherited a car from my father which he bough in 2008 and after 17 years I sell it to buy another new car (not a luxury car but a decent one). I am proud that Bitcoin helped me with that purchase and I don't have to ask anyone to lend me money for that matter.

I believe that money or investments should be for our benefit and not for hodling forever.

JJGs just mad cuz hes gonna lose that bet

Everyday is not Sunday and you can't win every time you bet.
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March 25, 2026, 05:57:49 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

well maybe spending corn and enjoying it is okay.


Todays F.u.d. may make some sell.

"https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iranian-military-mocks-trumps-claim-042851486.html

Iran rejects US ceasefire plan, issues its own demands as strikes land across the Mideast
JON GAMBRELL, MIKE CORDER, MUNIR AHMED and AAMER MADHANI
Updated Wed, March 25, 2026 at 12:28 AM EDT

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran on Wednesday dismissed an American plan to pause the war in the Middle East and launched more attacks on Israel and Gulf Arab countries, including an assault that sparked a huge fire at Kuwait International Airport.

Iran's defiance came as Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and as the United States deployed paratroopers and more Marines to the region.

Iranian state television’s English-language broadcaster quoted an anonymous official as saying Iran rejected America’s ceasefire proposal and has its own demands for an end to the fighting. “Iran will end the war when it decides to do so and when its own conditions are met,” the hardliner-controlled Press TV quoted the official as saying. ..."
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March 25, 2026, 06:01:18 PM


Explanation
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OutOfMemory
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March 25, 2026, 06:42:06 PM


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Richy, it may be a good idea for a ChartBuddy upgrade to send a Merit to a posting if a part of it qualifies as a haiku.

Oh yeah, this wont get abused at all!

one two three four five
one two three four five six... six
one two three four five



do i win?

That's what i call an argument  Grin
I'm not as dumb as trying to defend an impulsive idea which gets turned into shit at the blink of an eye  Tongue
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March 25, 2026, 07:01:15 PM


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WatChe
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March 25, 2026, 07:19:17 PM

well maybe spending corn and enjoying it is okay.


Todays F.u.d. may make some sell.

"https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iranian-military-mocks-trumps-claim-042851486.html

Iran rejects US ceasefire plan, issues its own demands as strikes land across the Mideast
JON GAMBRELL, MIKE CORDER, MUNIR AHMED and AAMER MADHANI
Updated Wed, March 25, 2026 at 12:28 AM EDT

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran on Wednesday dismissed an American plan to pause the war in the Middle East and launched more attacks on Israel and Gulf Arab countries, including an assault that sparked a huge fire at Kuwait International Airport.

Iran's defiance came as Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and as the United States deployed paratroopers and more Marines to the region.

Iranian state television’s English-language broadcaster quoted an anonymous official as saying Iran rejected America’s ceasefire proposal and has its own demands for an end to the fighting. “Iran will end the war when it decides to do so and when its own conditions are met,” the hardliner-controlled Press TV quoted the official as saying. ..."

Everything went up today:

Bitcoin
Gold
Stock Markets

I think world now understand how to move on during such conflicts.
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March 25, 2026, 08:01:14 PM


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Biodom
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March 25, 2026, 08:21:31 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

well maybe spending corn and enjoying it is okay.


Todays F.u.d. may make some sell.

"https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iranian-military-mocks-trumps-claim-042851486.html

Iran rejects US ceasefire plan, issues its own demands as strikes land across the Mideast
JON GAMBRELL, MIKE CORDER, MUNIR AHMED and AAMER MADHANI
Updated Wed, March 25, 2026 at 12:28 AM EDT

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran on Wednesday dismissed an American plan to pause the war in the Middle East and launched more attacks on Israel and Gulf Arab countries, including an assault that sparked a huge fire at Kuwait International Airport.

Iran's defiance came as Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and as the United States deployed paratroopers and more Marines to the region.

Iranian state television’s English-language broadcaster quoted an anonymous official as saying Iran rejected America’s ceasefire proposal and has its own demands for an end to the fighting. “Iran will end the war when it decides to do so and when its own conditions are met,” the hardliner-controlled Press TV quoted the official as saying. ..."

Everything went up today:

Bitcoin
Gold
Stock Markets

I think world now understand how to move on during such conflicts.


It's most certainly not the case.
That said, I consider all declarations on how one or another asset class or a stock is currently "winning" as being false or very myopic.

We don't know much, especially about the future (to paraphrase Yogi Berra) .
I guess that if we had something like the "Foundation"'s Phychohistory, then we might have been able to make such predictions, but nothing like this has been developed yet.

Or, perhaps:
"The future ain’t what it used to be." (also per Yogi Berra).

I would be certainly hope that it is not, though.
OgNasty
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March 25, 2026, 08:41:16 PM

Everything went up today:

Bitcoin
Gold
Stock Markets

I think world now understand how to move on during such conflicts.

I think the world knows the printing press is about to go wild. There’s a good chance we could get another Covid style inflation wave out of all this. Meanwhile housing prices are declining and rates are on the rise so people are being priced out of being able to refinance. If job losses creep up we could have a full blown recession on our hands.

It’s a scary time to be an investor with both cost inflation and a recession on the way. I guess that is why gold went crazy and Bitcoin is still above $70K. With the Fed now eyeballing rate increases, things could get bad. You can see the argument for Universal Basic Income being created.
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March 25, 2026, 09:01:17 PM


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March 25, 2026, 09:54:40 PM

If you plan to buy a Lambo, do it as soon as possible because otherwise you might have some problems - not with the price, but with how you get in and out of it Grin

https://x.com/PropositoyVida/status/2033374759896207629



It's almost as though the car is giving birth.

This dude almost had a stroke doing that.
Note to myself...maybe a bit too late for a lambo, albeit he has quite a few years on me, most likely.

Hahaha, I thought the same. What a sad way to go... Death by Lambo...

Seriously though, I wouldn't have this car even if you paid me (OK, maybe I would, but to sell it for BTC). Not my style. Too close to the ground. I like to have some distance from the road. Also, the shape of a Lambo doesn't appeal to me. Shape feels odd. Maybe it's a generation thing (I'm Gen X). All this is subjective of course, just saying...
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March 25, 2026, 10:01:14 PM


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March 25, 2026, 10:25:55 PM
Merited by AlcoHoDL (1)

last year I sold under 0.05 btc
I added over 0.6 btc it was a good year for stacking

This year I added over 0.15 btc
Hoping for more than 2 btc by Dec 2026

over 1.6 btc now
my ladder sales start at 127k
and go to 222k

and I only have 0.2 btc listed

For sure, I have been torn about executing sales prior to reaching overaccumulation status, even though on the face of it, your intended structure does not seem bad... even though if you were to not accumulate anymore bitcoin and if the BTC price were to shoot up to $222k, you would end up selling 12.5% of your stash within the span of about a 3x increase from our current about $71k BTC price.  It is not unreasonable, even though presumptively the sales would be within various intervals.. and of course, you are saying that they would be starting around $127k.

It seems that if you were able to accumulate more BTC (presuming that you are still accumulating bitcoin up to a certain prices - perhaps up until $110k or something like that? - I am not sure if your accumulation of BTC is intended to be ongoing)... but anyhow, if you were able to accumulate up to 2 bitcoin, then you would end up selling 10% of your stash with such 3x-ish rise in the price... Again, a little messy, but not seeming to be unreasonable on its face.

By the way, personally, I would prefer to consider these as hypothetical numbers, even though you seem to like to throw out a lot of specifics that might not be necessary... even though specifics can also be helpful for guys to attempt to learn from, even though many times it would be better for guys to stick with hypotheticals.. .. one the hypotheticals that many of us like to bring up is the guy with 20 bitcoin (which I used to refer to as the whimpy investor, even though relatively speaking, he is not seeming too whimpy in recent times if he were to have such a stash), and the other hypothetical guy is the one who seeks at least an $80k per year withdrawal rate.

It likely seems to many of us that the guy with 1-2 BTC is going to surely become one that is harder and harder to reach, and even the guy with more than 0.63 bitcoin is becoming difficult to reach, too.. even though they can still serve a good examples, to consider bitcoin accumulation targets and/or various ways to consider attempting to manage the bitcoin stash.

If you plan to buy a Lambo, do it as soon as possible because otherwise you might have some problems - not with the price, but with how you get in and out of it Grin
https://x.com/PropositoyVida/status/2033374759896207629

It's almost as though the car is giving birth.
This dude almost had a stroke doing that.
Note to myself...maybe a bit too late for a lambo, albeit he has quite a few years on me, most likely.

Surely guys age differently, yet I would consider that maybe the guy is in his mid-ish 70s.  Perhaps?

If you plan to buy a Lambo, do it as soon as possible because otherwise you might have some problems - not with the price, but with how you get in and out of it Grin
https://x.com/PropositoyVida/status/2033374759896207629
Thats why I sell my BTC last year to buy a new car. I am still young enough to drive that.
Yes.
Hahahahaha

Keep telling yourself that buying the car was a good idea.
Trust my JJG. Whats the point of investing in Bitcoin, if we can't use it to make our life better.

Between I have already explained you many times the scenario in which I bought car and you agreed that it was fine. Should I narrate that scenario every time I talk about my new car purchase? 

You don't need to repeat.  More or less, I remember... and I know I can be a bit of a pain in the ass from time to time... not completely on purpose, since I have talking points that differ from yours  in terms of how to balance bitcoin accumulation - and at the same time, how we balance ends up having some personal preference components.. .that may well relate to differing perceptions of investment versus consumption versus utility.. and so the formulas are not completely objective.. I will give you that.. but I won't agree to stop responding to it, if you mention it.

Don't listen to him.  He complains anytime anyone else sells any BTC to improve their lives while at the same time he sells BTC every single year just to live and will sell another 4% of his stack in this down market while expecting to be praised for having such a genius retirement plan.  He doesn't do anything to support the market, even going as far as to criticize people who continue to stack sats...  A total hypocrite.

Of course, you have everything figured out in your own ways of "not listening to me".. hahahaha...

I will agree that some guys have better ideas in relation to bitcoin (or might it be bitcoin investment management?) than other guys, so we still have to figure out our own balances in regards our bitcoin versus our cash versus other places that we might choose to put our value, whether we might consider ourselves to be still accumulating bitcoin and surely some guys want to shave off some "profits" along the way in their bitcoin investment journey, to the extent that they might or might not end up selling too much of their corn too soon, is not always easy to determine in the moment....

Your own arguments seem a bit strange and a bit of a straw-man, even though at some point I did mention some accounts that I have that are authorized to pretty much sell 4% of bitcoin (annualized) no matter the BTC price, in alignment with my time-based sustainable withdraw ideas, including abilities to use the sustainable withdrawal tool as a reference.  I would be able to carry out that level (or even up to 10% based on the 200-WMA valuations) for the remainder of my bitcoin holdings if I were to choose to do so.. and so I suppose in that respect, I have not even been acting within my own abilities to consume, if I were to want to ramp up my consumption levels.

So thinking about the guy who currently would like to withdraw $80k per year with a likely ability to increase his dollar withdrawal amount  by 7% each year, the tool currently shows that it would be best for such a guy to have at least a BTC stash that is 15.1 BTC, and surely if he were to have more than 15.1 BTC, then he has extra cushion for the pushing within the size of the BTC stash. It surely seems like a sustainable way for a guy to live off of his BTC in circumstances that he is able to accumulate the minimum quantity of BTC (or more) for his targeted income level.

[edited out]
JJGs just mad cuz hes gonna lose that bet

Sucks... right?

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March 25, 2026, 11:01:14 PM


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Today at 12:07:30 AM

Watching the Yankees on Netflix.

At JJG at a minimum I will continue the stacking for at least 10 months via mining.

So 1.6+0.4= 2.0 coins.

If price goes up to 222 I would ladder sell 0.2 and on Jan 1 I would be

2-.2= 1.8 only if we reach 222k price.

If we never reach 127-222k

No sales at all so  2.0btc and knowing  me some dip buy. So 2.22 btc unlikely could my number
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