So, I think that the truth is somewhere in the middle. But in the context of my previous post, one truth remains.
If you want to generate wealth, then you have to either 1) work hard 2) be talented 3) deceive others
You miss out "get lucky" but more importantly "Use your resources wisely" (which dovetails a little with the "Be talented").
In truth, many here used their knowledge of the arts to recognize an idea (rightly or wrongly) as something with a huge potential and invested some of their capital, obtained through other means, to jump on board (in the process, rewarding those who had put in the 1) and 2) from above).
I think that "get lucky" applies more to obtaining wealth then to generating wealth. If you win the lottery or invest into an highly risky scheme with an unpredictable outcome and win, then you aren't exactly generating wealth, but obtaining the wealth of others who have entered the same game of luck.
"Use your resources wisely" applies more to "work hard". For using your resources wisely in business ,you have to study. You have to learn about all the details and specifics needed in understanding the resources at hand. You can only manage something skilfully if you understand that something in depth.
There is also talent in this skill and some people have better natural instincts, but work is still the main factor for success in managing resources.
I know that many like to flatter themselves by saying that they knew already in 2011 that btc will cost 1000$ in the coming years. I can't take these people very seriously if they don't have a long resume of successful investments in the field of finance or information technology. If it's about skill, then they could use that skill in a much bigger field then bitcoin, but most of those "seers" have bitcoin as their only hope for success and they aren't successful with investments in general.
Thats's the reason why they seem like the guy who made one successful centre court shot in basketball, and after that they started bragging ,how they belong to the NBA and how it was pure skill.
So, with this reasoning, you may understand why I don't believe in this "recognizing the idea" very much.