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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26966149 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
HarmonLi
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August 11, 2014, 11:54:56 AM

What can I do to ease my mind a bit? Cheesy

Remember that btc prices rise an average of 0.59% per day.  This ranging is abnormal, and will eventually end.

That actually is a very good thing to keep reminding yourself, thanks. What numbers is this based on, if I may ask, though? If this is true, you'd get more in 2 days than you'd get with any traditional savings plan.
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August 11, 2014, 11:59:45 AM


Explanation
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August 11, 2014, 12:00:32 PM

Everyone needs to get bearish so we can liftoff again.

So you think we need to shake out some longs first, or do you think we simply need to get the movement going again? I try to understand why people feel the need for another crash before a new rallye can emerge!

need real despair. i mean REAL. almost to the point where you will think the game is over and that bitcoin failed. Wink

Wow, yeah.. That would surely spark a decision I guess.. But I don't know if I could handle that, I'd be freaking out completely. But I want to stay in Bitcoin, I don't want to play it safe or try to daytrade the market (because I'd fail Wink) What can I do to ease my mind a bit? Cheesy

Despair only helps existing bears, useless.
We need new people to get in, that's all.

But that sounds like the logic on which a pyramid scheme is based on! Aren't we trying to shed that clichee off of Bitcoin? Although I guess it is kind of true, because more people have to come in (or funds, to be precise) than there are new BTC mined every day!

Fresh money is needed if we want the price to rise, If the majority of people who see a future in bitcoin are already invested the only direction to go is down.
Not saying that everyone is 100% in bitcoin but a larger supply of fiat in the exchanges would be very beneficial.
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August 11, 2014, 12:03:03 PM

Everyone needs to get bearish so we can liftoff again.

So you think we need to shake out some longs first, or do you think we simply need to get the movement going again? I try to understand why people feel the need for another crash before a new rallye can emerge!

need real despair. i mean REAL. almost to the point where you will think the game is over and that bitcoin failed. Wink

Wow, yeah.. That would surely spark a decision I guess.. But I don't know if I could handle that, I'd be freaking out completely. But I want to stay in Bitcoin, I don't want to play it safe or try to daytrade the market (because I'd fail Wink) What can I do to ease my mind a bit? Cheesy

Despair only helps existing bears, useless.
We need new people to get in, that's all.

But that sounds like the logic on which a pyramid scheme is based on! Aren't we trying to shed that clichee off of Bitcoin? Although I guess it is kind of true, because more people have to come in (or funds, to be precise) than there are new BTC mined every day!

Fresh money is needed if we want the price to rise, If the majority of people who see a future in bitcoin are already invested the only direction to go is down.
Not saying that everyone is 100% in bitcoin but a larger supply of fiat in the exchanges would be very beneficial.
This is where institutional investors come in.

Bitcoin is making fiat look so volatile recently.  I am glad to have my money in a safe currency  Tongue
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August 11, 2014, 12:13:55 PM


Ive mentioned it a couple of times on the forum already today, but I have it through very good sources that the majority of large miner coins that are being sold are being sold off exchange for a point or two premium by hedge funds.

A large miner recently confirmed that he had had several calls put into him by hedge funds looking to buy every coin he had. If they are tracking him down, their tracking others down as well. I think this is one of the reason selling has practically dried up relative to what it used to be. Big money is desperate not to have the price run up.

I have been dwelling on this analysis from Windic and of course it makes sense.

If the miners go to market with the current volume, then they won't get the price they might from off exchange sales.

But with these sellers and the corresponding buyers both off-market, then volume dries up.  It also means the price is far more easy to manipulate by dumping a few every time it looks like creeping up and buying them back once the rise has been stopped.

This will only change if off-market demand exceeds supply.

But at first miners will just have more bidders and may just auction at higher rates, but still off-market.

The only way this situation changes will be if the large off-market buyers see the premium asked by miners as excessive and break ranks.

And these large buyers are not so stupid.   So right now we stay in this equilibrium - large miners will not change it, they get guaranteed sales at market or slightly over and predictable, optimised cashflow.

Miners not selling off-market are supplying about what the market wants right now, hence (relative) stability.

So...  what needs to change?  Probably the point where it becomes inevitable that it WILL change.

At this point miners may hold and ask a premium - large buyers see the cosy arrangement is not going to last and then they start to break ranks and just land grab on-market.

So breakouts are being stamped on - it is inevitable it MUST be what is happening.  

Once it looks like this amazing accumulation 'party' is over, the shit will hit the fan.  

The longer it lasts the faster it will turn.  And events, of course 'events' can be the calalyst for someone to blink.

And so it will begin - we will have our choo choos again.
Speaking of pool operators selling coins off-market, I wonder how many of them are robbing their members?

I believe Eligius is the only pool that gives participants their payouts via the generation transaction, and all the rest of the pool holds the earnings of individual miners in off-chain accounts.

Surely with miners, just like with speculators, there are probably a lot of them content to let the pool hold on to their coins for them. They don't understand that the number they see listed as their balance isn't the same as actually having bitcoins.

Surely there must be pool operators who look at accumulating idle balances and are tempted to sell those coins off to the hedge funds who want them so badly.

What's the real downside to going fractional on their deposits? When they get caught they can just claim to have been hacked.

I hadn't considered that, but with the record of exchanges being so bad, it must be more than a possibility.

Perhaps the only difference between an honest man and a thief is an obvious opportunity.

Watching a permanent positive balance sitting there is a strong temptation for anyone but those of perfect integrity.

Of course we cannot assume all miners are run by people of such standards. That would be foolish.
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August 11, 2014, 12:24:50 PM

This is where institutional investors come in.

Bitcoin is making fiat look so volatile recently.  I am glad to have my money in a safe currency  Tongue

Naaah, those are just some nice words flying around the forums for a week or two recently... Bitcoin is still the most volatile currency we currently have (apart from altcoins, maybe), and it still has a rather shallow market cap or order books.
But yeah, we need institutional money or money from big risky investors. I think Bitcoin may not even be big enough for that Cheesy
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August 11, 2014, 12:38:24 PM

Is it time for today's pump and dump? Looks like it.
Make sure to buy at 595 and dump at 588.
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August 11, 2014, 12:52:29 PM

Everyone needs to get bearish so we can liftoff again.

So you think we need to shake out some longs first, or do you think we simply need to get the movement going again? I try to understand why people feel the need for another crash before a new rallye can emerge!

need real despair. i mean REAL. almost to the point where you will think the game is over and that bitcoin failed. Wink

Wow, yeah.. That would surely spark a decision I guess.. But I don't know if I could handle that, I'd be freaking out completely. But I want to stay in Bitcoin, I don't want to play it safe or try to daytrade the market (because I'd fail Wink) What can I do to ease my mind a bit? Cheesy

Despair only helps existing bears, useless.
We need new people to get in, that's all.

But that sounds like the logic on which a pyramid scheme is based on! Aren't we trying to shed that clichee off of Bitcoin? Although I guess it is kind of true, because more people have to come in (or funds, to be precise) than there are new BTC mined every day!

What do you think is the difference to the stock market? For a rising value you need new buyers or existing investors accumulating more.

Higher demand != fraudulent pyramid scheme

But I agree so far, that a lot of people are trying to let Bitcoin look like a pyramid scheme (Price is always cheap, no matter what price you buy, there's only one direction: up, etc.)
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August 11, 2014, 12:59:46 PM


Explanation
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August 11, 2014, 01:04:44 PM

Everyone needs to get bearish so we can liftoff again.

So you think we need to shake out some longs first, or do you think we simply need to get the movement going again? I try to understand why people feel the need for another crash before a new rallye can emerge!

need real despair. i mean REAL. almost to the point where you will think the game is over and that bitcoin failed. Wink

Wow, yeah.. That would surely spark a decision I guess.. But I don't know if I could handle that, I'd be freaking out completely. But I want to stay in Bitcoin, I don't want to play it safe or try to daytrade the market (because I'd fail Wink) What can I do to ease my mind a bit? Cheesy

Despair only helps existing bears, useless.
We need new people to get in, that's all.

But that sounds like the logic on which a pyramid scheme is based on! Aren't we trying to shed that clichee off of Bitcoin? Although I guess it is kind of true, because more people have to come in (or funds, to be precise) than there are new BTC mined every day!

Pyramid scheme's need new people to stay afloat. Bitcoin only needs it for a price rise to occur.
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August 11, 2014, 01:14:17 PM

Blockchain 2 million wallet downloads- having added roughly one million over the last six months alone.
http://www.coindesk.com/blockchain-passes-2-million-bitcoin-wallets/
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August 11, 2014, 01:15:46 PM
Last edit: August 11, 2014, 01:31:28 PM by empowering

Less than a month after it first began accepting bitcoin, Dell has received a 85 BTC (over $50,000) order for a PowerEdge server order.

http://www.coindesk.com/dell-receives-50k-server-order-bitcoin/
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August 11, 2014, 01:19:23 PM



http://cointelegraph.com/news/112248/new-places-accepting-btc-avalancha-shavecom-and-more
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August 11, 2014, 01:22:09 PM

Had your say yet ? if not... please do...

http://cointelegraph.com/news/112246/new-york-promises-btc-foundation-more-information-on-bitlicenses-proposal
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August 11, 2014, 01:28:03 PM

HALF WAY!!

http://bitcoinclock.com/


Reward-Drop ETA: 2016-08-09 02:02:03 UTC (104 weeks, 16 hours, 30 minutes)
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August 11, 2014, 01:44:35 PM

Is it time for today's pump and dump? Looks like it.
Make sure to buy at 595 and dump at 588.

I've got this feeling, I'm the only one who hasn't ignored you yet...

But why would anyone follow your flawed trading technique?
HarmonLi
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August 11, 2014, 01:47:04 PM

Is it time for today's pump and dump? Looks like it.
Make sure to buy at 595 and dump at 588.

Maybe you should start daytrading those fluctuations in order profit form them if you are so sure that we'll be stuck in this channel forever Smiley
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August 11, 2014, 01:54:18 PM

Is it time for today's pump and dump? Looks like it.
Make sure to buy at 595 and dump at 588.

Maybe you should start daytrading those fluctuations in order profit form them if you are so sure that we'll be stuck in this channel forever Smiley

I was so bored last week that I did that (correctly, though).  Made $100 in 5 trades, over 5 days, bought a piece of a btc.  The exchange made more than I did.

Boredom makes me do stupid things.
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August 11, 2014, 01:59:46 PM


Explanation
empowering
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August 11, 2014, 02:04:00 PM
Last edit: August 11, 2014, 02:17:16 PM by empowering

I send regular messages to companies that I use, that I would like to add Bitcoin (did so with Dell, Expedia, along with quite a few other people it seems...) asking them when (not if) they will start to accept BTC as a payment method..  I also have sent messages to countless other companies, inc BMW, Virgin Atlantic,Tesco online, Easy jet, E-bay, and on and on... but also Amazon.... sent them several messages from 3 different accounts... and not ever had a reply from Amazon until today....- a fob off really, nothing to write home about I know... but... maybe a few more people should give them a nudge..

"so that they can make arrangements to add Bitcoin as payment option soon."  oh you tease!!


Reply =

Hello,

Thanks for contacting us with your concern.

Currently, We don't accept Bitcoin as a payment method on our website at this time.

We accept credit cards, debit cards, payment from U.S. checking accounts, Amazon.com Gift Cards, Amazon Payments Stored Balance, and the Amazon.com Store Card. Here are the credit cards we accept:

-- American Express
-- Diner's Club (U.S. billing addresses only)
-- Discover
-- MasterCard
-- Visa, Visa Electron, and Visa Check Cards
-- Eurocard
-- JCB
-- NYCE
-- STAR
-- China UnionPay (credit card only)

You can learn more about these payment methods on our Help pages:

http://www.amazon.com/gp/help/customer/display.html/?nodeId=513058

I will be sure to pass your message on to the appropriate department in our company for consideration so that they can make arrangements to add Bitcoin as payment option soon.

Customer feedback like yours is very important in helping us continue to improve the selection and service we provide.

We look forward to seeing you again soon.

Best regards,

SO

It is only a tiny action, but maybe if thousands and thousands of people ask... then..... they will add BTC all the sooner .... and yes I realise they have their own in house system and I realise they may not be properly incentivised as of yet... however... if you have not done so already...do it anyway...get in touch... e-mail them, call them, tweet them.

I personally buy a lot of stuff from Amazon... and would love to see them accept BTC.


e-mail them, call them, tweet them, write them.

Get on it!

: )


and yes it is but a drop in the ocean.... but still does not mean that we could make a wave...
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