MrTeal
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1004
|
|
January 26, 2014, 11:43:06 PM |
|
For just the 55nm chips, I'm spitballing numbers that look something like, $500 a wafer, 200 chips a wafer, 2gh a chip, 10c a chip for balling and packaging. So about a buck thirty a gigahash in chips, say a buck 50 with NRE amortized over a crap load. Probably $2 a Gh our cost by the time they are on boards...
If the numbers come close to that ballpark, it's making sense.
Those numbers seem way off. For example, Bitfury chips get around 2GH/s and they probably get ~4k dies out of a single wafer. Your cost for a fully processed wafer is also low, though not enough to even out with being possibly 20x on the number of chips. Cost should be a lot lower than $2/GH/s at the board level to have chance of being competitive though. Cointerra is selling May delivery units in a chassis with cooling, controller and power supplies for $3/GH/s, and that's including markup to cover overhead. Cost for a 55nm product with chips shipping even in Q2 will have to be way below $1GH/s at the board level to be sensible.
|
|
|
|
wasubii
|
|
January 26, 2014, 11:50:33 PM |
|
@minerpart
The question is for Ken to answer. One would hope he knows the costs...
|
|
|
|
Vigil
|
|
January 27, 2014, 12:00:06 AM |
|
Bloody 'el, calm your jets!
I have re-read the last couple of pages and agree I was mistaken to assume that Vigil was having a go. He was saying what he believed to be factual and if I'd not missed the crucial coma in his sentence perhaps I wouldn't have jumped to the wrong conclusion. My judgement was clouded by Vigil's recent turn from pro-ActM to calling it a scam and having cheap digs at such things like the volume on CT after Vigils theory that we were already mining was shown to be wrong.
I apologise sincerely for making this rash judgement, for the unfortunate language I used and for upsetting anyone who I may have offended.
Your turn..
How is citing CT's volume a cheap dig? Also, my theory was never actually shown to be wrong. People just claimed it was wrong. We don't have enough information to prove anything. Its still a possibility in my book, regardless, until the owner of that operation steps forward and says otherwise. Did I ever acknowledge that it was incorrect?
|
|
|
|
zumzero
|
|
January 27, 2014, 12:00:48 AM |
|
@minerpart
The question is for Ken to answer. One would hope he knows the costs...
Talking of which, Ken got back to me to say he would address the questions I posted earlier in the weekly update. I have taken no action regarding your subsequent questions.
|
|
|
|
Flashman
|
|
January 27, 2014, 12:07:48 AM |
|
Those numbers seem way off. For example, Bitfury chips get around 2GH/s and they probably get ~4k dies out of a single wafer. Your cost for a fully processed wafer is also low, though not enough to even out with being possibly 20x on the number of chips. Cost should be a lot lower than $2/GH/s at the board level to have chance of being competitive though. Cointerra is selling May delivery units in a chassis with cooling, controller and power supplies for $3/GH/s, and that's including markup to cover overhead. Cost for a 55nm product with chips shipping even in Q2 will have to be way below $1GH/s at the board level to be sensible.
Right, should have thought longer about that. I don't have any access to the latest reports behind paywalls, or needing industry membership, I was seeing 2 year old projections showing 55nm dropping below $1000 a wafer and figuring UMC being the cheapest in the business. Also, yah, should have thought twice about number per wafer, think it was GPU cores, which can be massive, BFL got 1000 per wafer didn't they on 65, for 4gh chips so don't know what I was thinking there.
|
TL;DR See Spot run. Run Spot run. .... .... Freelance interweb comedian, for teh lulz >>> 1MqAAR4XkJWfDt367hVTv5SstPZ54Fwse6
Bitcoin Custodian: Keeping BTC away from weak heads since Feb '13, adopter of homeless bitcoins.
|
|
|
wasubii
|
|
January 27, 2014, 12:12:49 AM |
|
@zum
I have PM'd Ken with my three questions
|
|
|
|
zumzero
|
|
January 27, 2014, 12:17:24 AM |
|
Nice one. Let's hope for the detailed responses we'd like. I do think that minerpart has a point in that Ken may or may not be in a position to give full answers to everything even if he were willing, but we'll see.
|
|
|
|
Bitdust
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
|
|
January 27, 2014, 12:31:29 AM |
|
Those numbers seem way off. For example, Bitfury chips get around 2GH/s and they probably get ~4k dies out of a single wafer. Your cost for a fully processed wafer is also low, though not enough to even out with being possibly 20x on the number of chips. Cost should be a lot lower than $2/GH/s at the board level to have chance of being competitive though. Cointerra is selling May delivery units in a chassis with cooling, controller and power supplies for $3/GH/s, and that's including markup to cover overhead. Cost for a 55nm product with chips shipping even in Q2 will have to be way below $1GH/s at the board level to be sensible.
Right, should have thought longer about that. [excuses] Also, yah, should have thought twice about [not sure what] so don't know what I was thinking there. ^^Typical ActM prognosticator fail^^
|
|
|
|
shrodes
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 54
Merit: 0
|
|
January 27, 2014, 01:01:44 AM |
|
How long after CT setup will the accrued dividends be payed out? And how much is it per share at the moment?
|
|
|
|
keepinithamsta
Member
Offline
Activity: 85
Merit: 10
|
|
January 27, 2014, 01:11:03 AM |
|
How long after CT setup will the accrued dividends be payed out? And how much is it per share at the moment?
Currently publicly known balance is roughly 55 BTC, or 0.0000055 per share. These have been accruing since the last week of October. Current rate is less than 5BTC a month to be split between 10M shares, or less than 0.0000005 per share per month. We're not that many retargets away from making less than a Satoshi per week, per share.
|
|
|
|
pedrog
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2786
Merit: 1031
|
|
January 27, 2014, 01:39:50 AM |
|
How long after CT setup will the accrued dividends be payed out? And how much is it per share at the moment?
Currently publicly known balance is roughly 55 BTC, or 0.0000055 per share. These have been accruing since the last week of October. Current rate is less than 5BTC a month to be split between 10M shares, or less than 0.0000005 per share per month. We're not that many retargets away from making less than a Satoshi per week, per share. I had better return from Labcoin...
|
|
|
|
keepinithamsta
Member
Offline
Activity: 85
Merit: 10
|
|
January 27, 2014, 03:05:12 AM |
|
How long after CT setup will the accrued dividends be payed out? And how much is it per share at the moment?
Currently publicly known balance is roughly 55 BTC, or 0.0000055 per share. These have been accruing since the last week of October. Current rate is less than 5BTC a month to be split between 10M shares, or less than 0.0000005 per share per month. We're not that many retargets away from making less than a Satoshi per week, per share. I had better return from Labcoin... So did I. I figured we would have had a turn-on of at least 24TH/s by now if the project ended up being successful. At this point, February looks like a wash for launch and March launch turns into a mining failure unless Intellihash is a time machine that is able to hash at a difficulty several months in the past.
|
|
|
|
Vigil
|
|
January 27, 2014, 03:34:59 AM |
|
How long after CT setup will the accrued dividends be payed out? And how much is it per share at the moment?
Currently publicly known balance is roughly 55 BTC, or 0.0000055 per share. These have been accruing since the last week of October. Current rate is less than 5BTC a month to be split between 10M shares, or less than 0.0000005 per share per month. We're not that many retargets away from making less than a Satoshi per week, per share. I had better return from Labcoin... So did I. I figured we would have had a turn-on of at least 24TH/s by now if the project ended up being successful. At this point, February looks like a wash for launch and March launch turns into a mining failure unless Intellihash is a time machine that is able to hash at a difficulty several months in the past. The good thing is that it looks like difficulty should be "leveling-off" by the end of this year.
|
|
|
|
mainline
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
|
|
January 27, 2014, 04:48:12 AM |
|
How long after CT setup will the accrued dividends be payed out? And how much is it per share at the moment?
Currently publicly known balance is roughly 55 BTC, or 0.0000055 per share. These have been accruing since the last week of October. Current rate is less than 5BTC a month to be split between 10M shares, or less than 0.0000005 per share per month. We're not that many retargets away from making less than a Satoshi per week, per share. I had better return from Labcoin... So did I. I figured we would have had a turn-on of at least 24TH/s by now if the project ended up being successful. At this point, February looks like a wash for launch and March launch turns into a mining failure unless Intellihash is a time machine that is able to hash at a difficulty several months in the past. The good thing is that it looks like difficulty should be "leveling-off" by the end of this year. The difficulty will level off when it becomes unprofitable for the best ASIC manufacturers to sell chips. This won't change as long as basic economic laws hold. Rising tide floats all boats yadda yadda yadda.
|
|
|
|
smiley35
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
|
|
January 27, 2014, 06:45:56 AM |
|
I have registered an account with crypto trade with the same email as bitfunder. How do I claim my shares now? I see that shares are being traded.
|
|
|
|
tslimx
Member
Offline
Activity: 68
Merit: 10
|
|
January 27, 2014, 07:15:02 AM |
|
Those would be Uykos seized shares for the whole weex/bitfunder fiasco.
|
|
|
|
MilkyLep
|
|
January 27, 2014, 07:23:20 AM |
|
TLDR; You still cant claim nor trade your shares.
|
|
|
|
electerium
|
|
January 27, 2014, 08:20:28 AM |
|
I want to invest into this company, but all i see is complete vaporware.
No proof tapeout exists or occurred no proof of ownership of this new IP no proof of ANYTHING
How can I invest into this thing when the press release is 3 sentences, that's backed up by nothing but hot air?
kslaughter would have a lot more people on his side, a lot less complaining, and certainly a lot less wild accusations thrown around if he'd spend a little more time showing proof that whatever he says, is actually real and happening.
then i'd invest. until then i cannot believe anyone would be a part of this venture.
|
|
|
|
nookfoo
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
|
|
January 27, 2014, 09:05:31 AM |
|
I want to invest into this company, but all i see is complete vaporware.
Then why do you want to invest?
|
|
|
|
iSnow
Member
Offline
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
|
|
January 27, 2014, 09:54:09 AM |
|
I want to invest into this company, but all i see is complete vaporware. [...] until then i cannot believe anyone would be a part of this venture.
Yeah, this makes complete sense.
|
|
|
|
|