buwaytress
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March 05, 2019, 03:42:57 PM |
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@toke: Yeah, I have always done parlays, all the way back to early 2000s when they had e-gold bookies (anyone here ever used that btw?) and I would do quite well, but I never actually took proper count of what I'd win. The only time I actually could verifiably see profit in hand was the 2016 season, because I opened 3 new accounts with UK fiat bookies with 10 pounds each, made Liverpool bets in Europa League on enhanced odds and ended up with a lot of money left over (would have been more if I didn't blow half of it on the final which we lost to Sevilla hahaha).
I do seem to be doing well on longshot single bets but I suppose 7 months of keeping tabs isn't nearly enough.
@Trofo, no worries, I appreciate you taking the time to explain. At one point, I tried picking 4 or 5 games and bet on different combinations for about 10 combinations of high odds. I'd regularly hit, and it seemed profitable until the favourites kept winning haha. I basically have 2 styles of parlays: either I back all the teams I'm very confident of, and this is usually after watching all of them recently and bearing in mind form, or I feel like I've researched enough to back an underdog, and then I parlay it with 2 or 3 "sure wins". It's interesting as a past time I guess, but it seems to bleed me, though probably not as quickly as if I bet big on singles.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 05, 2019, 05:20:32 PM |
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I’m a sucker for a parlay (we call it an accumulator in the UK). I’ve always done them, I know it’s a suckers bet & I probably lose more than I win but it’s fun & great odds when I win. I won a few bets last week but this was the best one (with Paddy Power)
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buwaytress
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I do love them accas, LFC and that was a really nice hit;) I guess I know I'm a sucker but it feels lovely to win big and you kinda don't expect to win anyway so it's always a nice bonus. My current acca actually starts with Palace so to see them lose to BRIGHTON haha, reminds me this is why accas are sucker bets.
Watford's very interesting... they had a really good run before they got smacked by Liverpool, so they might play with a bit more caution against City, but I hope they won't. City struggled in the last two games and had to salvage a win against Schalke in CL... so it's very clear that they don't have the best defence in the world, and all their losses have been against technically inferior sides. Not that Watford isn't technically good at all.
It's tomorrow I'm really worried about though.
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Trofo
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March 09, 2019, 05:06:54 PM |
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Just watched second half of Spurs match and they were totally & utterly outperformed by Southampton. From what I gathered from reply of chances and statistic for first half, it looks almost like it wasn't same teams after the break. Congrats to Southampton, they fought bravely and deserved these important 3 points, which should help them with relegation battle.
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BitcoinSupremo
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March 09, 2019, 10:08:01 PM |
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We are coming to the end of premier league, not many weeks left, I was 18th on the beginning, now I am in top ten with 10 points difference to 5th place, I was about 17 a week ago, so anything is still possible in this fight although I don't expect to win anything this year.
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buwaytress
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We are coming to the end of premier league, not many weeks left, I was 18th on the beginning, now I am in top ten with 10 points difference to 5th place, I was about 17 a week ago, so anything is still possible in this fight although I don't expect to win anything this year.
I have been really struggling the entire season, I'd clamber out of last spot but I'm still rooted to the bottom in a practical sense (20th but I think 22 and below gave up predictions a few weeks ago). Only playing for the weekly bonus now, to be honest. 8 more games to go but the trends are showing. Exact scores don't really get you up the table, as BitSat has one of the lowest Exact Point scores but is in top 5. The highest exacts are in top 5 but 1 is in No. 13. Slam points are almost what you'd expect, the more you have, the higher up the table. So it seems to me, regularly predicting with the flow is worth more long-term than trying for upsets all the time like I did earlier on. Get the results, the close results and aim for high slam points.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 11, 2019, 06:22:45 PM |
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I just can’t shake o_e_l_e_o & panjul atm, I think it’s just between the three of us for the top 3 spaces this season. Going to have a think about my predictions for this weekend in a bit & fill them in.
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Trofo
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I think it’s just between the three of us for the top 3 spaces this season.
Challenge accepted!! I hope you guys know the reference Now I will double my efforts to dethrone you Should have written this before last bunch of games since I had good week (also cool 98 points in PL Fantasy). Now after writing this I can already see rubber duck next to my nickname.
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crwth
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March 12, 2019, 06:09:12 AM |
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Lucky for you guys! It's going to be hard to still come up or have a comeback. I missed putting my predictions and wasting a lot of possible points in it. Maybe I could still make it if my predictions are going to be exact. But fewer games. Oh man.
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leea-1334
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March 12, 2019, 09:35:58 AM |
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Lucky for you guys! It's going to be hard to still come up or have a comeback. I missed putting my predictions and wasting a lot of possible points in it. Maybe I could still make it if my predictions are going to be exact. But fewer games. Oh man. This week and last week I missed predictions for more than half of the games, but I counted that I only lost 5 points including 2 slam points. I think only a few weeks left, so there is no hope except to get high score for the week,,, but LFCBitcoin is doing so good every round. He is like Manchester City, cannot be caught. I am like Huddersfield. I will be relegated;)
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crwth
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March 12, 2019, 09:50:17 AM |
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Lucky for you guys! It's going to be hard to still come up or have a comeback. I missed putting my predictions and wasting a lot of possible points in it. Maybe I could still make it if my predictions are going to be exact. But fewer games. Oh man. This week and last week I missed predictions for more than half of the games, but I counted that I only lost 5 points including 2 slam points. I think only a few weeks left, so there is no hope except to get high score for the week,,, but LFCBitcoin is doing so good every round. He is like Manchester City, cannot be caught. I am like Huddersfield. I will be relegated;) I know that Superbru emails you that you haven't gotten your picks yet but I still forgot and when I remembered it was too late. Damn, oh well. Right now I'm placed at 9 just because of the low points from the previous weeks. LFC_Bitcoin is definitely on top and it would be hard for others to catch up. Maybe if we're really lucky.
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buwaytress
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I can't get a prize position and I'm rooting for my buddy LFC but don't give up guys! 8 more match weeks. If you gain just 5 points more in all those weeks that's a 40 point catch up heh.
Me, I'll do my best to get weekly top score. But as long as my beloved Reds win the remaining games.
Bonus? Salah and Mane joint golden boot. Alisson Golden golves. CL double. Fairplay award. Heh.
Early kickoff so don't forget picks guys. A few games postponed thanks to FA Cup so need to make the picks when the options show up.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 17, 2019, 10:08:42 AM |
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I didn’t do too well yesterday, o_e_l_e_o is only 2.5 points behind me now....SHIT !!!!!
Hopefully I can get an exact score or two today - Fulham vs Liverpool & Everton vs Chelsea.
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Trofo
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March 17, 2019, 11:49:07 AM |
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I can't get a prize position and I'm rooting for my buddy LFC but don't give up guys!
Never give up until the final whistle of the final game in week 38. There is always hope. Yesterday I had the best day in betting as far as I can remember and it didn't look very good until last seconds of the game. I had West Ham to win on nice high stake treble, when they were 1:3 down I wrote that as lost and played the other two games + one more for double stake. That is a big NO in betting but yesterday it paid off. Anyway I ended up waiting for Wolves - Man Utd both to score on both my tickets and that one passed in 94th minute. Now I will probably jinxs Liverpool today because I am betting big on them and good luck usually don't last very long. Don't say i didn't warn you guys.
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buwaytress
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I didn’t do too well yesterday, o_e_l_e_o is only 2.5 points behind me now....SHIT !!!!!
Hopefully I can get an exact score or two today - Fulham vs Liverpool & Everton vs Chelsea.
Good luck, LFC for the win everywhere:P Match already on! @Trofo you crazy guy why did you do that:P I got a 4-legged parlay so no other results matter anymore, Juventus scraped through earlier so I'm already out 1/4th the way there. I'd be really surprised if Liverpool don't win this comfortably. No disrespect to Fulham but their form and rating have really been disappointing, especially with what they'd been doing last season and in pre-season. I think it was a mistake to fire Ranieri though. It's not like he had a chance. P.S. Last night's FA Cup broke my heart. Swansea up 2-0? Wolves gave me the result I wanted but I was dumb to parlay it with Atletico who crashed to Bilbao.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 25, 2019, 10:04:59 PM Merited by buwaytress (1) |
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**Bump** for my favourite thread in the gambling section. The crappy international break is nearly over & it’ll soon be time for the proper football o_e_l_e_o & panjul, are you ready for war this weekend
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o_e_l_e_o
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March 26, 2019, 01:11:47 PM |
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o_e_l_e_o & panjul, are you ready for war this weekend Putting on my war face!
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 26, 2019, 01:45:35 PM |
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Haha
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buwaytress
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March 26, 2019, 03:29:16 PM Last edit: November 16, 2023, 09:56:06 PM by buwaytress |
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Yeah, even with the Germany win to hit my biggest Euro parlay, it's still nothing compared to club football, where allegiance has nothing to do with the genetic lottery and everything to do with random circumstance. I may be out of the prize spot race, but bonus prize week awaits. Or should I say: You guys may have (almost) won the war, but I may yet win this weekend's battle!
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crwth
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March 26, 2019, 04:00:24 PM |
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I am just aiming for the top 5. Hopefully, correct predictions Let's fight!
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