ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)

[rand1919]

Until we wait for the next #TI12 series on Friday, here is my League Of Legends #Worlds2023 pick:

Cloud9 🆚 Fnatic: Over 2.5, 1.85 @ Leetbit.io
It's a high-stakes match as the loser is going out of this Swiss stage, and out of the whole tournament. Both teams have 2 losses and only 1 win, and this series is crucial for them. A classic series between EU and NA. Historically, those two teams faced 5 times. Fnatic has 3 wins, while Cloud9 2 wins. Usually, EU vs NA is very interesting, as there is a high rivalry, especially since the EU has been named a powerhouse compared to NA. However, this time, I would give a slight advantage to Cloud9 in this best of 3 series. This is high high-stakes match, as both teams will have their own chances. Over 2.5 maps is a good bet here, as I think 3 maps are highly possible in this kind of even series.

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[rand1919]

Additional League Of Legends Worlds 2023 pick:

Weibo🆚MAD Lions: MAD Lions +1.5 @ 2.90
EU vs China. Weibo is huge favorites, but they are on a 2 match-losing streak. 0-1 vs KT Rolster and 0-1 vs G2. MAD Lions are not in the greatest shape, but I'm trying to hit a value bet here in this best of 3 series. MAD Lions seems weak in this tournament, so let's go small bet on this.

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[rand1919]

✅Cloud9 🆚 Fnatic: Over 2.5  1.85
❌Weibo🆚MAD Lions: MAD Lions +1.5  2.90

[rand1919]

💰#Dota2 #TI12 Playoffs Day 4 (October 27th) picks, predictions, analysis:

nouns🆚Gaimin Gladiators: Gamin Gladiators -1.5, 1.55 @ Leetbit.io
This is a high-risk series. Lower bracket round 3, where one more team will be eliminated. GG is facing nouns, a team that is on the rise. Both teams are still waiting for their first best of 2 or best of 3 loss in this tournament. In the last 3 matches, both teams have 2 wins and 1 loss, while Gaimin Gladiators did slightly better. In the last round, they beat 9Pandas convincingly 2-0, while nouns crushed TSM with the same result. Their last series in the group stage ended up in a draw, 1-1. This means this will be a very open match, where all cards will be on the table. GG are heavy favorites, but a -1.5 handicap as I'm suggesting is a high-risk bet, which you should avoid if you are having second thoughts. This can be a 3-map series for sure, or 2-0 for Gaimin Gladiators, but surely it's almost impossible to predict that right now. Chances for that are 60-40 in my opinion for 2-0.

BetBoom Team🆚VirtusPro: BetBoom ML, 1.52 @ Leetbit
A pure CIS clash. BetBoom is the most dominant CIS team right now, but VirtusPro is climbing to the top for sure. VP had a surprisingly good performance here at The International so far. Those two teams didn't face each other in the last 6 months, and both of them had an amazing TI run so far. VP and BB are still without a loss, but BetBoom has a slightly better win ratio in the last 5 matches and in this tournament so far. They were more dominant and aggressive, and they beat stronger teams like Talon, Azure Ray, and Shopify Rebellion. However, the unexpected loss vs 9Pandas brought them into the lower bracket of the tournament. On the other side, VP has just 2 wins in this tourney, vs Entity and TSM, while all their other matches ended up in a draw. On paper, BetBoom is a big favorite and odds on their overall win are justified, and I would even say pretty high. I want to use that and make a higher bet on BetBoom ML because I'm pretty confident that they are a much better team at this stage compared to VirtusPro.

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[boltz]

I've already locked in my picks for today with : BB to win , NOUNS to take 1 map and Liquid to win.

I still believe that Nouns can take one map away from GG because they already did it in Group stages so I think Gunnar will find to put his team in a decent spot to take 1 map. Then , I think Liquid has the best idea of how to approach Dota draft right now but Spirit will put up a fight for sure and I do see this series going to 3 maps.

[rand1919]

✅nouns🆚Gaimin Gladiators: Gamin Gladiators -1.5, 1.55

I've already locked in my picks for today with : BB to win , NOUNS to take 1 map and Liquid to win.

I still believe that Nouns can take one map away from GG because they already did it in Group stages so I think Gunnar will find to put his team in a decent spot to take 1 map. Then , I think Liquid has the best idea of how to approach Dota draft right now but Spirit will put up a fight for sure and I do see this series going to 3 maps.

nouns are out of TI. GG crushed them basically 2-0, very easy and fast. I think BetBoom is almost a sure win and Liquid vs Spirit will surely be interesting. I'll write my predictions about next 2 matches soon!

[passwordnow]

NOUNS to take 1 map and Liquid to win.

I still believe that Nouns can take one map away from GG because they already did it in Group stages so I think Gunnar will find to put his team in a decent spot to take 1 map.

I had bet for nouns to win the entire series and that's because of the odds. I just did an actual gamble on them because I was impressed with their run and I am not expecting a lot on them against Gaimin Gladiators. Well, a bet is a bet and they just lost against them on a straight two games. Still, that's a nice try for them and not all teams have got that privilege to play on the main stage but they just did. Now the battle of the best teams on EEU is happening now, VP and BetBoom. People are with BetBoom on this one and recently, if you haven't seen it guys that yatoro has expressed his thoughts why Torontotokyo was out of the Team Spirit is not because TT wants himself out of the team. But it's a mutual decision of the entire team because they've got a lot of misunderstanding and disagreement every time they play. I guess it's a good decision for both of them as TT managed to have a good squad, while Team Spirit also made their run on this TI on their peak.

Then , I think Liquid has the best idea of how to approach Dota draft right now but Spirit will put up a fight for sure and I do see this series going to 3 maps.

While I am a fan now of Team Spirit, I think that I don't want to add some loss for now as it seems the bets I've made because I literally gamble because of the odds even if I know how to analyze, most of it lost. But I don't regret it because it's fun.

[boyptc]

nouns are out of TI. GG crushed them basically 2-0, very easy and fast.

Very easy.

Is GG back on their form it is that nouns just can't handle them and they're too weak against them? But whatever it is, a 2-0 is a lower bracket looks easy for them.

I think BetBoom is almost a sure win and Liquid vs Spirit will surely be interesting. I'll write my predictions about next 2 matches soon!

Virtus Pro, I can say that they're still a good team despite that BetBoom is also almost sure win on this one. But let's see because we haven't seen the end yet.

[Fatunad]

✅nouns🆚Gaimin Gladiators: Gamin Gladiators -1.5, 1.55

I've already locked in my picks for today with : BB to win , NOUNS to take 1 map and Liquid to win.

I still believe that Nouns can take one map away from GG because they already did it in Group stages so I think Gunnar will find to put his team in a decent spot to take 1 map. Then , I think Liquid has the best idea of how to approach Dota draft right now but Spirit will put up a fight for sure and I do see this series going to 3 maps.

nouns are out of TI. GG crushed them basically 2-0, very easy and fast. I think BetBoom is almost a sure win and Liquid vs Spirit will surely be interesting. I'll write my predictions about next 2 matches soon!

Expected of GG, but honestly i have mad out bets on that TI winner of "dark horse" nouns which it ended up on 1st day of this main event.  
Totally one sided, as for this moment which BB vs VP then i do also see for it to be one sided two on which being dominated by BB, if we do tend to look at the history
which BB is always 2-0 against VP(BB ahead) on which it would really be the same as of this moment.  

[rand1919]

Gaimin Gladiators 2-0 nouns (nouns are out of TI)
BetBoom 1-0 VirtusPro (after game 1)

BB opened their series in a pretty dominant way, as they've dominated the whole game 1, as expected. Quality and aggression are just on their side. I would be very surprised if VirtusPro manages to take a map here if BetBoom keeps playing like on map 1. Seems like a good opportunity for a -1.5 handicap, as I think BetBoom has this, most likely on a map 2. We will see drafts now for map 2.

[rand1919]

My 2nd batch of Dota 2 bets today. Upper bracket semifinal predictions:

Team Spirit🆚Team Liquid: Team Liquid +1.5 1.42 @ Leetbit.io
This will surely be the match of the day for all Western Dota 2 lovers. CIS vs EU. One of the most hyped matches at The International so far. 2 out of 3 teams with the best results so far in the competition, battling it out. Team Spirit is a big favorite, according to the odds, but I wouldn't count Liquid out. They have a good chance too, and if you ask me, this series will be much closer than the odds are showing. Odds are favoring Spirit by a mile, but I think Liquid +1.5 handicap could be a good direction too, if you can find a good 1.40+ odds on this. It's a safer bet. Spirit this TI is on 6 match winning streak, while Liquid is on 5. Both teams just lost 1 map in the whole competition, and this is crazy. I hope we can watch all 3 maps, but I think Nisha can carry Liquid and they can surely be a real threat to very good Spirit.

LGD🆚Azure Ray: LGD Gaming ML @ 1.58 @ Leetbit
The top two Chinese teams battling it out. LGD is a Chinese powerhouse, and Azure Ray was built mostly from the ex-Royal Never Give Up players. LGD's only "fail" in this competition was 1-1 vs VirtusPro, while Azure Ray lost to BetBoom and played a draw vs Shopify Rebellion and Liquid. Their lash clash was more than 3 months ago in The Bali major, where LGD took a 2-1 victory. On paper, LGD is a much stronger and scarier team, but the situation with Chinese Dota is always hard. You never know what could go in the other direction. I believe this can be a pure 3 map series, but in the end LGD looks like a better team and they are playing a better tournament.

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[rand1919]

It was a good Dota 2 The International day yesterday. 4/4 🤑🤑🤑🤑

✅nouns🆚Gaimin Gladiators: Gamin -1.5 @ 1.55
✅BetBoom🆚VirtusPro: BetBoom ML @ 1.52
✅Team Spirit🆚Team Liquid: Team Liquid +1.5 1.42
✅LGD🆚Azure Ray: LGD Gaming ML @ 1.58

Gamin Gladiators expectedly won against nouns with easy 2-0, crashing their dreams and kicking them from the tournament. BetBoom, played amazing 2 map series against their CIS brothers VirtusPro. 2nd map was one of the best matches so far in the tournament, full of action. Almost 90 min long game had everything, from crazy action and moves to turnaround plays.
Spirit showed how big favourites they are for this tournament, taking down Liquid with 2-1. Close 3 map series did achieve all expectations. Even tho Spirit were favourites, Liquid managed to take a map off them, as expected. I'm sad that Liquid didn't won, but they will have a chance in the lower bracket still. LGD showed that they are number #1 Chinese team right now, beating their Chinese brothers Azure Ray 2-0.

[rand1919]

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💰💰💰💰 The International betting

[rand1919]

My first Dota The International bets for today + analysis:

Team Liquid🆚Gaimin Gladiators: Team Liquid ML, 2.15 @ Leetbit.io
Team Liquid is facing Gaimin Gladiators in a lower bracket of the tournament. Lower bracket quarter-finals are set as one of those teams will be out from the tournament today. Hard to say, as both teams were in the top 5 favourites for the whole event, just before the tournament started. Gaimin Gladiators are favourites here, according to the sportsbooks, but I'm not so sure. Liquid is a very strong team, and with Nisha playing the right heroes in the amazing laning phase, they can surely take a map off Gaimin Gladiators, if not the whole series. Their last head-to-head clash was in July at Riyadh Masters, where Liquid beat GG 2-1. Both teams are having an amazing tournament, but Liquid's last series was a loss vs Spirit, while GG is on a 3-map series. I would say this is more like a 50-50 match, than favouring GG so much. I'm picking Liquid here as underdogs for sure, with amazing odds.

Azure Ray🆚BetBoom Team: Azure Ray +1.5, 1.42 @ Leetbit
BetBoom is on fire. 3 match winning streak, while Azure Ray has 2 losses in the last 4 series. One of those losses was against BetBoom (0-2). However, this is a series on all or nothing, as a loser is going home. It's a high-risk match, where BetBoom is a big favorite, but I would never count China off. Azure has an amazing lineup of Chinese players, and at the right moment, they can shock us. If you want to go with a winner, maybe BetBoom ML is a good way to go, but I would love to try with Azure Ray +1.5 handicap. The odds are slightly lower, but I want to minimize the risk of a surprise here.

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[rand1919]

Liquid didn't make it. They are out of #TI12 after a 3-map series vs Gaimin Gladiators.

They've opened the series with 1-0, but on map 3 GG closed Zai, and Liquid fell apart.

It was a good try. GG! 💰

[rand1919]

3rd Dota bet for today:

Team Spirit vs LGD Gaming: LGD Gaming ML, 2.35 @ Leetbit.io
Two best teams of the playoff upper bracket battling it out. China vs CIS. Team Spirit is the only team with all wins in the tournament, even not a single draw. On the other side, LGD has a draw vs VirtusPro. Spirit are huge favorite, but if there is some team that can take a win out of Spirit is LGD. LGD +1.5 handicap is a good bet here if you manage to find good odds here, but I will risk it here. I believe the Chinese can surprise bookies and take a win here. Odds are crazy, so I'm going with this value bet, even tho Spirit are playing in their life form, once again. However, LGD will be the scariest opponent yet for them. 60-40 for Spirit at this point. Make your choice. Over 2.5 or LGD +1.5 handicap are the other 2 bets, if you don't want to risk so much.

[boyptc]

Liquid didn't make it. They are out of #TI12 after a 3-map series vs Gaimin Gladiators.

They've opened the series with 1-0, but on map 3 GG closed Zai, and Liquid fell apart.

It was a good try. GG! 💰

I thought that by this time, Liquid will be able to eliminate GG but just as usual GG has been like the kryptonite of Team Liquid. What an ending for Team Liquid, IIRC last time they have ended 2nd against Team Secret and this time they have ended 5th-6th place.

Still a good game for both of them and GG seems to be composed this time and it's like that they're not going to allow anyone to take their place. And for BetBoom and Azure Ray, Azure Ray managed to get the first game.

It's a good match up and the 2nd map is coming shortly.

3rd Dota bet for today:

Team Spirit vs LGD Gaming: LGD Gaming ML, 2.35 @ Leetbit.io
Two best teams of the playoff upper bracket battling it out. China vs CIS. Team Spirit is the only team with all wins in the tournament, even not a single draw. On the other side, LGD has a draw vs VirtusPro. Spirit are huge favorite, but if there is some team that can take a win out of Spirit is LGD. LGD +1.5 handicap is a good bet here if you manage to find good odds here, but I will risk it here. I believe the Chinese can surprise bookies and take a win here. Odds are crazy, so I'm going with this value bet, even tho Spirit are playing in their life form, once again. However, LGD will be the scariest opponent yet for them. 60-40 for Spirit at this point. Make your choice. Over 2.5 or LGD +1.5 handicap are the other 2 bets, if you don't want to risk so much.

On this one, it seems that it's good to take LGD just for betting since it's semi finals. But Team Spirit is also likely to get the 2nd title. Anyway good luck, this is going to be the last match for this day.

[Latviand]

3rd Dota bet for today:

Team Spirit vs LGD Gaming: LGD Gaming ML, 2.35 @ Leetbit.io
Two best teams of the playoff upper bracket battling it out. China vs CIS. Team Spirit is the only team with all wins in the tournament, even not a single draw. On the other side, LGD has a draw vs VirtusPro. Spirit are huge favorite, but if there is some team that can take a win out of Spirit is LGD. LGD +1.5 handicap is a good bet here if you manage to find good odds here, but I will risk it here. I believe the Chinese can surprise bookies and take a win here. Odds are crazy, so I'm going with this value bet, even tho Spirit are playing in their life form, once again. However, LGD will be the scariest opponent yet for them. 60-40 for Spirit at this point. Make your choice. Over 2.5 or LGD +1.5 handicap are the other 2 bets, if you don't want to risk so much.

Team Spirit took the Gane 1 and it was a game that anyone could've won but Collapse's Magnus is just too strong for the late stages of the game, that Harpoon Skewer combo combined with the long range upgrade of Magnus was the Team Spirit's saving grace in the later team fights, LGD's Grimstroke was so strong, that Soul Bind Dark Portrait combo was a threat to be reckoned with and TS was able to do it in the end. Purge's analysis about the Game 1 was on point, LGD should've considered picking an aggressive line up that can also push towers. 2nd game, they took away Magnus from Collapse, let's see if LGD can get the win in Game 2.

Edit: Just saw that LGD picked Doom, there's a high possibility they can get this win with that hero, especially if Doom gets that Aghanim's upgrade on his ultimate.

[Latviand]

~

I spoke too soon with that Doom Pick, Team Spirit taught LGD how to play the aggressive way in Game 2 with that Yatoro Morphling pick and Collapse Chaos Knight pick. Knew that there's something wrong when at the 31 minute mark, the Networth is dominated by Morphling and the Spectre that was supposed to be fighting that Morphling is at the 4th place. Congratulations to Team Spirit though for securing the Grand Finals, if they continue this momentum we're definitely going to see Team Spirit taking the Aegis of Champions.

[rand1919]

Well, it was a nice try. I thought LGD had some chance vs Team Spirit, but Spirit is on such a positive streak. They are playing amazingly, and if they continue this rhythm in the grand finals (which is by the way best of 5), I don't think not LGD or GG can take 3 maps off them, no way.

However, the odds were too good, it was a nice try to go with LGD win vs Spirit, but it didn't work, not even close. 

LGD vs GG in a lower bracket will be an amazing series. I'll analyze those matches soon.