[Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics

[Timelord2067]

How did your betting go in the end Timelord?

Six from eight - the Dolphin's emphatic win and the cowboys one point extra time wins messed up my parlays, but I got my money back which is always a bonus.

This week I'm going against the grain betting on the Broncos ($3.80) to win against the Panthers ($1.27) in a game which starts in around eight hours from now.

My other pics are Canberra ($3.00) over The Warriors ($1.20)
Roosters ($1.62) over Souths ($2.30)
Bulldogs ($1.80) over Titans ($2.00)
Cowboys ($1.47) St George (who got slaughtered by the Dolphins) ($2.70)
Sharks ($1.27) over the Wests Tigers ($3.80)
Sea Eagles (1.90) Parramatta ($1.90)
Storm ($2.05) Newcastle ($1.77)

I'm basing my Broncos bet on this screen grab from the 2024 NRL ladder after week 2 of game play.



The Broncos leed the Panthers for and against.   At this early stage, Saint George are playing a stronger game than the Panthers.

Similarly, West Tigers have only played once, but the Titans have played twice and lost once - yet their for and against is worse than the Tigers who lost their one game.

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[Timelord2o67]

The less said about the Broncos thumping defeated, the better.

A two point penalty very early in the game should have boid the Broncos after one of their players suffered a broken cheek bone in a careless collision. However, the Broncos then conceded 34 points in as many minutes before adding two late tries which was nowhere near enough to recover.

[aoluain]

The less said about the Broncos thumping defeated, the better.

A two point penalty very early in the game should have boid the Broncos after one of their players suffered a broken cheek bone in a careless collision. However, the Broncos then conceded 34 points in as many minutes before adding two late tries which was nowhere near enough to recover.

I wonder if that game is a precursor for how the season will go for both teams,
The Panthers to win all their matches and end up with a 3 in a row championship
wins and the Broncos to return to the bottom end of the table?

I would like to see the Broncos up at the top again this year. I'm holding off betting
for a bit longer. I wonder what a weekly parlay on two teams would be like? lets
say Panthers and Broncos to win. Last year they both won 18 of 24 matches!

[darbitmobilerecovery]

Funny you should mention William Brown darxiaomi, it is only today our minister of State
visited his grave!



On Quesada, I think it will only be a matter of time that he could get the job of head
coach of Argentina. Your current coach Contepomi has a very good Rugby History
and I guess he is still building the team into what he would like.

The Autumn internationals 2024 were announced last week, and Ireland play Argentina!!
and in the last match Ireland play Australia!!

Ey man , no idea about it, what a coincidence!.


Yeah you know is a human thing to always want what we dont have.

[Timelord2o67]

Might want to hold off for a week or two. The Warriors won in the early game last night after loosing in the last minute the week before while the Roosters had plenty to crow about with their emphatic win that was over by half time.

Over in the Super Pacific Rugby, the Brumbies ($1.15) won with something like sixty points against Moana while Fijian Drua ($1.48) beat the Warritahs.

In the UK, Bristol ($2.62) beat Northampton.

[aoluain]

That was a bit of a mad weekend in the NRL, top teams losing out to teams they should
be beating or matches that should be close affairs ending up white washes. . .

Roosters 48 - 6 Rabbitohs - This should have been closer
Warriors 32 - 0 Titans - For the Titans not to score is crazy,  any team not to score really.
Dragons 24 - 46 Cowboys - 70 point match, the crowd got their moneys worth there.
Wests Tigers 32 - 6 Sharks - Thats a strange result, a lot of bets had to have been lost.


I totally missed out on the URC at the weekend, didnt do ant bets and didnt see any matches,
Round 13 coming up this weekend. I'll post about that later when I see whats happening.

[Timelord2067]

Just a bit insane. Only four from eight picks. There are numerous injuries from the weekend. Hopefully, thinks will settle down.

My pics for the NRL 2024 week four are:

Roosters 🐔
Bulldogs 🐩
Townsville 🐮
Manly 🦅
Dolphins 🐬
Auckland 🛶
Canberra 📯💨
Parramatta 🐍

[aoluain]

I thought you were going to hold off for a week or two?

For the first match I dont think I would bet against the Panthers

Broncos against the Cowboys is an interesting fixture, the Cowboys ^{the only unbeaten side so far}
against the Broncos who should be making moves to get back up to the top, the odds suggest it
could be a close one - 2.12 v 1.81

Rabbitohs v Bulldogs - Rabbitohs are favourite to win this and to try and lift themselves off the bottom
of the ladder. If they dont it will be a shocking start to the season for them. 1.51 v 2.90

[Timelord2067]

Sorry - I was meaning the Parlays.  I saw the first half of the game last night.  The Roosters were favourites to win last night, but after two quick converted tries in four minutes by the Panthers, the Roosters suffered a disallowed try (ball landed just short of the try-line then skidded over the try line with the player doing a full headstand roll over).  In the end, the Roosters caught up (almost) in the last ten minutes to go down 16 - 22 (that disallowed try - plus the missed conversion at full time would have leveled the scores).

Very shortly, the Bulldogs are going to chase down the Bunnies, then in about four hours, the Cowboys are going to ride the Broncos for all they are worth (the broncos have multiple players off with injury this weekend)

[aoluain]

Ah ok I'm with you now!

Yea I have a feeling the Panthers are making their way up to the number 1 position.

I didnt know the Broncos had players out so yea could be a tough round for them.


URC Round 13

First match up tonight is Leinster v Bulls, the clash if the top 2 teams. Leinster at
hone are still favourites at @1.28, thats probably the vest price they would be all season?

Another very interesting match tomorrow Benetton v Connacht, two teams
positioned 10th and 9th on the table, Connacht have had a mixed season and
Benetton have improved this season and are favourites at 1.27, Connacht at 4.0 -
that just might warrant a small bet on the visitors

[Timelord2067]

Not much luck this round.  Both the Bulldogs and Cowboys played strong, but were beaten by even stronger opponents.

Tonight, as with last night, the Bulldogs "declined to convert the try" hoping to score in the last 90 seconds.  I never knew that was a thing, and like last night, it didn't work.  Both the Roosters and Bulldogs lost.  (they were going to loose anyway).

At best I'll have five from eight this round.

[aoluain]

Not much luck this round.  Both the Bulldogs and Cowboys played strong, but were beaten by even stronger opponents.

Tonight, as with last night, the Bulldogs "declined to convert the try" hoping to score in the last 90 seconds.  I never knew that was a thing, and like last night, it didn't work.  Both the Roosters and Bulldogs lost.  (they were going to loose anyway).

At best I'll have five from eight this round.

Thats unreal, I've never heard of that either, what is the thinking? is it a gamble to
save the time in converting the try which I guess is about 2 minutes all in all to then
use that saved time as game play to try score another try? Declining 2 points to hope
to score 4 instead.

Its a big risk and an interesting one at the same time but if you are behind its probably
a good tactic, if it doesnt work out you only drop 2 points difference.

I dont think I have ever seen that tactic taken in the Union game....

[aoluain]

Ah ok I'm with you now!

Yea I have a feeling the Panthers are making their way up to the number 1 position.

I didnt know the Broncos had players out so yea could be a tough round for them.


URC Round 13

First match up tonight is Leinster v Bulls, the clash if the top 2 teams. Leinster at
hone are still favourites at @1.28, thats probably the vest price they would be all season?

Another very interesting match tomorrow Benetton v Connacht, two teams
positioned 10th and 9th on the table, Connacht have had a mixed season and
Benetton have improved this season and are favourites at 1.27, Connacht at 4.0 -
that just might warrant a small bet on the visitors

And Leinster win quite easily 47-14, their dominance continues.

Benetton 18 - 14 Connacht - that was a close match with Benetton scoring a try on
the 79th minute, a sucker punch to Connacht who had only scored in the 74th
minute to take the lead.

Only 5 more rounds left.

Very shortly, the Bulldogs are going to chase down the Bunnies, then in about four hours, the Cowboys are going to ride the Broncos for all they are worth (the broncos have multiple players off with injury this weekend)

Wow from the Broncos! 38 - 12 massive win for them, hopefully they can continue
to rise to the top.

Rabbitohs win too! as do the Warriors, hopefully they are moving up too.

Dolphins in top spot ATM just like this stage last year but they sank slowly. The ladder
is beginning to take shape now, Green arrows beside the teams we would expect based
on last years performances.

[Timelord2067]

I watched a Super Pacific Rugby game while the Dolphins were cruising into first place on the NRL ladder. (Fiji also had their sixth straight win - seemingly easy money) 😁

On Monday 47,000 fans packed into the Eels home stadium to witness the Eels miss a field goal two minutes from full time when the scores were locked at 16-16 then moments later, the Tigers kicked a one point field goal to win.

Even the commentators were lost for words when describing how the majority of spectators were chearing the Tigers to victory.

It's still early in the season, but I think the Dolphins, Panthers, Tigers, Warriors, Bulldogs and Broncos will be in the top eight with the Knights, Sea Eagles and probably Canberra and one or two others viewing for the top ten spots.

I'll post a screenshot of the top eight tomorrow before this weekends games.

[aoluain]

Whao Timelord, thats a big call listing the Tigers in with the Panthers. It would be great
for something different, just as it was with the Broncos and Warriors last year

But

Why do you think the Tigers will at least be in the top half of the ladder?


European champions cup is back on this weekend with the "Round of 16" matches
and the Quarter finals are on next weekend.

I'm looking at the table toppers for wins, Bordeaux Begeles, Toulouse, Northampton
and Leinster.

[Timelord2067]

I'll post the screen grabs after I get home tonight. After three games in four rounds (plus two points for the bye), the tigers are ahead of the Broncos who have played four weeks straight

The media have been talking up the Tigers for a couple of months, so it's possible their fortunes are changing.

(I've picked up $25 on the tigers winning the 2025 Grand final)

[aoluain]

European Champions Cup [Heineken Cup][Investec Champions Cup]

Starting tomorrow, these are my picks, hopefully they play out, I'm mostly picking group toppers
of each group for wins this weekend:

Bordeaux Begles v Saracens - Table toppers from Pool 1 with 1 of 4 matches lost, Saracens in
4th spot on the table. Bordeaux are priced at 1.29

Stade Toulousain v Racing 92 - Again Pool 2 toppers Toulouse who are unbeaten against Racing 92
who ended in 4th spot priced at 6.2 Racing are a quality side but their price suggest they are big
long shots for a win so I'm not risking it, they have only won 1 of 4 matches. Toulouse @ 1.14 [not great]

Northampton v Munster - this is a tricky one, I would like to go with Munster for the win @ 3.35 but
there is a question over the availability of Nash and Snyman if they are fit to play I will back them.

Leinster v Leicester - Unbeaten Leinster are favourites @ 1.07, I think I'll do a parlay double with Toulouse
for a bit of value.

[Timelord2067]

I was just looking at those games. - I got my bets in just before game one of this week's NRL matches.

Melbourne and Brisbane are neck and neck at the start of the second half - Adam Reynolds has just limped off and the games dynamics have completely changed. 18 - 16 to the Broncos after 50 minutes.

Other pics this week are

Roosters (only just)
Knights,
Warriors
Sea Eagles over the Panthers (I think earlier I said the Panthers - am a little bit undecided)
Dolphins (only just overcoming the Tigers)
Cowboys
Raiders.

[aoluain]

I was just looking at those games. - I got my bets in just before game one of this week's NRL matches.

Melbourne and Brisbane are neck and neck at the start of the second half - Adam Reynolds has just limped off and the games dynamics have completely changed. 18 - 16 to the Broncos after 50 minutes.

Other pics this week are

Roosters (only just)
Knights,
Warriors
Sea Eagles over the Panthers (I think earlier I said the Panthers - am a little bit undecided)
Dolphins (only just overcoming the Tigers)
Cowboys
Raiders.

That match between Melbourne and Brisbane was something else, a total of 66 points scored
between the two of them! the highlights were literally action packed, some class scoring.
Adam Reynolds will be a massive loss to the Broncos, its looking like a "Serious knee injury"

It will be interesting to see how the Dolphins v Wests Tigers go, particularly for the Tigers,
after years and years of being at the bottom of the ladder there might be a chance of something
different for them this season. I think this game is crucial for them.

Odds are Dolphins 1.56 v 2.60 Wests Tigers - You think its going to be a close match?

[aoluain]

Sea Eagles over the Panthers (I think earlier I said the Panthers - am a little bit undecided)

Wow, how did you pick that one? it happened! 32 - 18 !

In the European Rugby Championship I am 1.5 from 2 so far, the favourites have won
yesterday Bordeaux Begeles and Leinster. I need Toulouse to beat Racing 92 today for
my parlay.

Leinster play old rivals La Rochelle in the quarter finals next! these two have contested
the last 2 finals with la Rochelle winning both, Leinster will be looking to break that streak!