[Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics

[aoluain]

Rugby League Australia

Here are my picks for round 5 over 2 platforms:

Nitrogensports

Gold Coast Titans - Parramatta Eels   ML  Parramatta Eels @ 1.46   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.09 mBTC

Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm   ML Melbourne Storm @ 1.28   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.08 mBTC

Canterbury Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers   ML  Penrith Panthers @ 1.12   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

Rollbit

Brisbane Broncos - Sydney Roosters  ML  Sydney Roosters @ 1.30  Taken Amount: $2  Possible Payout: $2.60

South Sydney Rabbitohs - St George/Illawarra Dragons   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.35 Taken Amount: $2.00   Possible Payout: $2.70

Rollbit dont have this game^ listed yet but I will be going with the Rabbitohs

I'm also going with the Roosters over the Broncos.

Re: The Broncos - yea face palm allright, I had The Roosters to win but I was
thinking it wasnt going to be as close as it was, especially at HT. My thinking was/is that
The Broncos are not going too overtake last years finalists in the space of 1 or two seasons.
The same goes for last years finalists, I cant see them falling short this year. OK there
might be a bit of swapping around the 7, 8, 9 and 10th spots.

The Sea Eagles had a great game, I didnt expect that either but didnt feel confident
betting with or against them.

[aoluain]

Rugby League Australia

Here are my picks for round 5 over 2 platforms:

Nitrogensports

Gold Coast Titans - Parramatta Eels   ML  Parramatta Eels @ 1.46   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.09 mBTC

Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm   ML Melbourne Storm @ 1.28   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.08 mBTC

Canterbury Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers   ML  Penrith Panthers @ 1.12   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

Rollbit

Brisbane Broncos - Sydney Roosters  ML  Sydney Roosters @ 1.30  Taken Amount: $2  Possible Payout: $2.60

[size=7pt]South Sydney Rabbitohs - St George/Illawarra Dragons   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.35 Taken Amount: $2.00   Possible Payout: $2.70[/size]

Rollbit dont have this game^ listed yet but I will be going with the Rabbitohs

I'm also going with the Roosters over the Broncos.

Half time in the NRL game between The Bulldogs and The Panthers, scoreline 6-20.
The Panthers will win this unless something drastic happens which I will be
5 from 5, really happy with that.

Rugby Union

The United Rugby Championship is taking a break for 2 weeks but no break for the
teams involved in the European Rugby Championship or Heineken Champions Cup
because that takes over this coming weekend with the first round of 16. I'll be making
a few bets but not sure on who yet.

I'm thinking:
Leinster to beat Connacht
Racing 92 to beat Stade Francais
La Rochelle to beat Bordeaux Begles

Exeter Chiefs to beat Munster

I'm happy enough with my picks from the weekends first leg of the final round of 16
in the European Rugby Championship, All 4 won so Its a very Green weekend for my
rugby bets.

[Timelord2067]

Rugby League Australia.

I had a few wins in round five.  (Six wins from eight games)

Brisbane Broncos - Sydney Roosters Money Line Brisbane Broncos @ 2.66 Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.16 mBTC
Newcastle Knights - Manly Sea Eagles Money Line Newcastle Knights @ 2.37 Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.14 mBTC
New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys   Money Line   New Zealand Warriors @ 1.88   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC
Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm   Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.28   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.08 mBTC
South Sydney Rabbitohs - St George/Illawarra Dragons   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.36   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.08 mBTC
Gold Coast Titans - Parramatta Eels   Money Line   Parramatta Eels @ 1.46   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.09 mBTC
Cronulla Sharks - Wests Tigers   Money Line   Cronulla Sharks @ 1.14   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC
Canterbury Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers   Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.12   Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

For round six, I'm going with the following:

Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys   Money Line   North Queensland Cowboys @ 2.41   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury Bulldogs   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.25   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.13 mBTC
Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos      Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.09      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC
Manly Sea Eagles - Gold Coast Titans      Money Line   Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.15 mBTC
Melbourne Storm - Cronulla Sharks      Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.36      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.14 mBTC
Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors      Money Line   Sydney Roosters @ 1.16      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.12 mBTC
St George/Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights   Money Line   Newcastle Knights @ 2.41   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC
Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers         Money Line   Parramatta Eels @ 1.07      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

Although the Raiders are building from week to week, I feel the Cowboys may just pull something out of the bag to keep them in contention.  The Bulldogs will chase the Rabbitohs around, but they won't be able to catch them.  The Broncos did their dough last round and I'd be surprised if they were to beat the top placed Panthers.  Similarly, the Sea Eagles are starting to soar all the while the Titans are proving they are anything but.  The Sharks won't be able to ride out the Storm while the Roosters will have something to crow about (should be a close game).

The Knights will slay the Dragons (never gets old saying that) while the Paramatta Ells will fax their game play to the Wests' Tigers who will then languish on seven losses this season in the first six rounds.

 

[aoluain]

Rugby League Australia

6 from 8 is fine, its + Satoshis in the wallet. I'm not confident betting on the
lower placed teams, I'm concentrating on those inside the top 8.

Couple of close ones I recon coming up in R6, Storm v Sharks, Sea Eagles v Titans
and Roosters v Warriors. I'll check the odds later and place my bets.

Good speil above and those with the "Knights will slay the Dragons" never gets old, brings
a smile to my face!

[aoluain]

Rugby League Australia

These are my bets for Week 6 spread over Rollbit and Nitrogensports.


Rollbit

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury Bulldogs   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.24   Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $2.48

Manly Sea Eagles - Gold Coast Titans      Money Line   Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52      Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $3.04

Melbourne Storm - Cronulla Sharks      Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.39      Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $2.78

Nitrogensports

Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos      Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.06      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors      Money Line   Sydney Roosters @ 1.14      Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers         Money Line   Parramatta Eels @ 1.06      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

Potentially Storm v The Sharks as well as The Sea Eagles v The Titans could be
close enough games. The Rabbitohs need to win to keep climbing after a bad
start to the season.

[Timelord2067]

The Canberra Raiders led the NQ Cowboys 12 - 0 at half time then sat back and conceded three unanswered, converted tries in the second half which gave me my first win of the week:

Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys   Money Line   North Queensland Cowboys @ 2.41   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC

 

[aoluain]

^
Nice! I dont understand how that works, for a team to be able to score points in
the first half of a game and fail to do so in the second half. Anyway that was a hard
lesson for the raiders.


Rugby Union

The second leg of the Round of 16 games in the European Champions Cup, its the
same fixtures as last week so these are the teams I'll run with on Rollbit.

La Rochelle^home to beat Bordeaux Begles @1.13

Ulster^home to beat Toulouse @2.44. I'm not sure why Toulouse are favourites away
to Ulster after Ulster beating them in the first leg?

The rest of the odds are not worth taking.

Actually I put a $1 bet on Connacht to beat Leinster^home @13.0. Connacht
obviously are massive under dogs but they have beaten Leinster a few time now, so lets see.

[Timelord2067]

^
Nice! I dont understand how that works, for a team to be able to score points in
the first half of a game and fail to do so in the second half. Anyway that was a hard
lesson for the raiders.

This has been happening quite a lot of the time over the last couple of years - My wager was based more on the Raiders previous game plays and the Cowboys sure after an awkward start to the year.

[aoluain]

^
Nice! I dont understand how that works, for a team to be able to score points in
the first half of a game and fail to do so in the second half. Anyway that was a hard
lesson for the raiders.

This has been happening quite a lot of the time over the last couple of years - My wager was based more on the Raiders previous game plays and the Cowboys sure after an awkward start to the year.

On reflection similar events in a lot of other sports too like Tennis, a player can
win the first set 6-2 and be beaten 2-6 in the second set.

Looking back at round 4, the Raiders failed to score in the second half against
the Sea Eagles and being in close contention at half time. Same thing happened
in Round 2 against the Cowboys, 8-6 down at half time and failed to score in
after the break.

[Timelord2o67]

Four from four this round already with the Sea Eagles winning 26 - 18 over the Titans just now!

Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys   Money Line   North Queensland Cowboys @ 2.41   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury Bulldogs   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.25   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.13 mBTC
Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos      Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.09      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC
Manly Sea Eagles - Gold Coast Titans      Money Line   Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.15 mBTC

I haven't been able to look at today's game plays, but it's becoming pretty clear the higher rung teams are just picking off the lower rung teams on the ladder.

*edit*

Make that five from five with the Storm with a winning margin double the Sharks score 34 - 18

Melbourne Storm - Cronulla Sharks      Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.36      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.14 mBTC

[aoluain]

Rugby League Australia


Rollbit

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury Bulldogs   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.24   Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $2.48

Manly Sea Eagles - Gold Coast Titans      Money Line   Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52      Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $3.04

Melbourne Storm - Cronulla Sharks      Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.39      Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $2.78

Nitrogensports

Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos      Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.06      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors      Money Line   Sydney Roosters @ 1.14      Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers         Money Line   Parramatta Eels @ 1.06      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

Potentially Storm v The Sharks as well as The Sea Eagles v The Titans could be
close enough games. The Rabbitohs need to win to keep climbing after a bad
start to the season.

I'm 4 from 4 with two more matches tomorrow, with a big divide between the top
6 or so teams and the others its becoming easy enough to back the winners.

I thought the game between The Sharks and Storm would be closer and the game
betwen The Sea Eagles and Titans seemed t me to be close enough, I was following
the score on and off during the match.

[Timelord2067]

Six from seven so far this round with one more game to go - Will the West's Tigers manage to loose yet again?

Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys   Money Line   North Queensland Cowboys @ 2.41   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury Bulldogs   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.25   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.13 mBTC
Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos      Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.09      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC
Manly Sea Eagles - Gold Coast Titans      Money Line   Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.15 mBTC
Melbourne Storm - Cronulla Sharks      Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.36      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.14 mBTC
Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors      Money Line   Sydney Roosters @ 1.16      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.12 mBTC
St George/Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights   Money Line   Newcastle Knights @ 2.41   Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.24 mBTC
Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers         Money Line   Parramatta Eels @ 1.07      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

[aoluain]

Rugby Union

La Rochelle^home to beat Bordeaux Begles @1.13

Ulster^home to beat Toulouse @2.44. I'm not sure why Toulouse are favourites away
to Ulster after Ulster beating them in the first leg?

The rest of the odds are not worth taking.

Actually I put a $1 bet on Connacht to beat Leinster^home @13.0. Connacht
obviously are massive under dogs but they have beaten Leinster a few time now, so lets see.

1 from 3 with my bets on the European Rugby Championship. My bets on
Ulster to win at home and Connacht to win against the odds away to powerhouse
Leinster didnt materialise.

The quarter finals are set with 2 Irish sides through, Ulster missed out by 2 points to get
to the QF's, that would have 3 Irish sides, anyway here are the games ahead set for 6, 7
and 8th of May.

La Rochelle v Montpellier
Leicester v Leinster
Racing 92 v Sale (I think)
Munster v Toulouse

Rugby League Australia


Rollbit

South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canterbury Bulldogs   Money Line   South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 1.24   Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $2.48

Manly Sea Eagles - Gold Coast Titans      Money Line   Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52      Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $3.04

Melbourne Storm - Cronulla Sharks      Money Line   Melbourne Storm @ 1.39      Taken Amount: $2   Possible Payout: $2.78

Nitrogensports

Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos      Money Line   Penrith Panthers @ 1.06      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

]Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors      Money Line   Sydney Roosters @ 1.14      Taken Amount: 0.06 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.07 mBTC

Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers         Money Line   Parramatta Eels @ 1.06      Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC   Possible Payout: 0.11 mBTC

5 from 5 or 5 from 6 with the Eels looking to win tomorrow to potentially go 2nd on the table.

[Timelord2067]

5 from 5 or 5 from 6 with the Eels looking to win tomorrow to potentially go 2nd on the table.

If I'm looking at the NRL Ladder stats page correctly, the Eels would climb to 3rd spot on stats behind the Storm who also have ten points leaving the Tigers languishing in 16th spot.

To my way of thinking there should be a relegation system similar to the UK Football model where if you are at the bottom of the table at the end of the season, then you go down a division.  In the case of the Wests' Tigers, they would return to the State Based (New South Wales) competition with the winning team advancing to the National Game.

As it stands, the Wests' Tigers don't care about languishing for a few seasons at the bottom of the table as they are guaranteed to play next season at the national level.

[aoluain]

^
3rd is correct Timelord apologies, I didnt look at the ladder instead I thought I was remembering
it correctly.

A relegation system would be fairer. Yes someone has to fill the last place. It was The Bulldogs
last year who only won 3 games in last place, thats a very poor return.

If the last place or last 3 placed teams got relegated are they good enough that they would
qualify for the national tournament the following year though?

Its the same in the Six Nations here, Italy this season beat Wales, their first win in 7 years, there
have been calls for a relegation system here also and give the likes of Georgia a shot in the Six Nations.


Rugby League

On 42 minutes the Wests Tigers lead The Eels 14-10, the odds on The Eels has gone to 1.26
so I put on an extra 0.1mBTC

Face Palm moment!!

The Wests Tigers win with a long range field goal 20-21

[Timelord2067]

If the last place or last 3 placed teams got relegated are they good enough that they would
qualify for the national tournament the following year though?

Hard to say - I think (from time to time) about how that might be arranged - without a doubt the last placed overall gets relegated and is replaced by the Grand Champion of the State based competition.  The team that was relegated would then have to win the Grand Final the following year to replace the relegated team for their State from the National competition.  In that way NRL relegation would be different from e.g. English Football where there are various divisions tiered across the entire country.

In differing scenarios I'd either have 16, 20 or about 24 teams at the moment with 16 teams I'd retain the convoluted finals system but if it were to expand to 24 teams, I'd just have every team play every other team the once then either first and second play for the grand final, or the top four play each other again - the top two out of the top four then play in a grand final.

The Wests Tigers win with a long range field goal 20-21

I managed to see nearly half of the game - The Wests Tigers played a very ordinary game, with fumbles, but they did play an impressive scrum at one point.

At half time, the Tigers led 20 - 10 then did nothing to build on that score in the second half.  Both teams tried for field goals in the dying minutes of the game but it was the Tiger's field goal that went over to score the winning one point.  

Six from eight for round six of the 2022 NRL Series.

I've put a parlay on early yesterday - I won't say what it is, but fingers crossed for next week ...

[aoluain]

^
Timelord, it was 10-14 at half time!

The Eels have had a shaky start to the season, losing 2 games and a few narrow wins.
The loss to The Wests Tigers will send a bit of a message to their next opponents The Knights
who are mid ladder that they are very much beatable even at home.

I'll be backing the Eels though!

As regards the finals in the NRL, i agree that is really is unnecessarily drawn out.

[Kakmakr]

United Rugby Championship

It is just unlucky that the Stormers had those two draws, because they deserve a spot in the top 4, but they are playing the Glasgow Warriors in their next match on the 22 of April, so they can push for a top 4 position on the log.. if they can win that one.  

The Bulls and the Sharks are not having a bad season either, so I will not be amazed if they end up somewhere in one of the top 4 spots at the end of the championship.

Just great to see that the South African teams are doing better in this years championship.... so far.  

[aoluain]

Rugby Union

United Rugby Championship

It is just unlucky that the Stormers had those two draws, because they deserve a spot in the top 4, but they are playing the Glasgow Warriors in their next match on the 22 of April, so they can push for a top 4 position on the log.. if they can win that one.  

The Bulls and the Sharks are not having a bad season either, so I will not be amazed if they end up somewhere in one of the top 4 spots at the end of the championship.

Just great to see that the South African teams are doing better in this years championship.... so far.  

They have a great chance to beat the visiting Glasgow Warriors, there is very
little between the two sides going by the stats on the table, the two drawn games
didnt help with their points. Dont forget there are 3 rounds left and the top8 go to
the QF's.



All of the South African sides are at home for this round, The Bulls should beat Benetton,
The Lions could have a tough one against Connacht who will be desperately looking to
get into the QF's and The Sharks will have a tough day against leaders Leinster.

[Timelord2067]

Super Rugby Pacific

The Rugby game between Moana Pasifika and the Western Force originally scheduled for tomorrow has been postponed due to four of the Force's team contracting Covid and replacement players being unable to be sourced at short notice.

Western Force-Moana Pasifika postponed due to COVID

Wed, 20/04/2022, 6:23 am Nathan Williamson by Nathan Williamson

https://www.rugby.com.au/news/western-forcemoana-pasifika-postponed-due-to-covid-2022420

The Western Force's clash with Moana Pasifika has been postponed after a number of COVID cases in the Force camp.

The WA-based club were without coach Tim Sampson, Izack Rodda and Issak Fines Leleiwasa for last week's defeat to the Waratahs, forced into isolation.

However, further cases have emerged, leaving SANZAAR with little option but to postpone the match for a later date.

"The Super Rugby Pacific Round 10 match between Moana Pasifika and the Western Force has been postponed due to COVID-19 impacts on the Western Force squad," they said in a statement.