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Author Topic: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia?  (Read 14173 times)
LoyceV
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June 13, 2023, 10:17:20 AM
 #1021

I noticed a flaw in the energy policy in several European countries: last year, they set limits on the use of air conditioning, for instance 27oC. Yesterday, I was in an uncomfortably warm shop, but at that moment, energy prices were negative. That means solar and wind power produced more energy than could be used, which would be a very good moment to turn the air conditioning in shops to sub zero temperatures. By doing so, they'll need less cooling later on, when it comes from gas fired power plants.
As far as I know, this isn't even allowed, while instead it should be required.
LOL.. so this is what is going on in the European Union. The federal government will decide thermostat reading of your air-conditioner.
Yes, governments are deciding far too much for my liking. But no, there's no need to take it out of context. There's no federal government deciding this, it comes from national governments. In the Netherlands shops are nice and cool, in Germany they're very warm.

Quote
And then some of the posters here claim that everything is well in the EU. Europeans deserve every bit of this. Their aversion to the cleanest and lest-polluting type of energy available (nuclear) is illogical.
Germany shuts down nuclear power plants, the Netherlands wants to build new ones. None of this is based on logic.

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June 13, 2023, 10:40:18 AM
 #1022

Germany Warns of Industry Shutdown If Russian Gas Stops Flowing

Quote
Germany may be forced to wind down or even switch off industrial capacity if Ukraine’s gas transit agreement with Russia isn’t extended after it expires at the end of next year, according to Economy Minister Robert Habeck.

What a twist. Grin


Really great article. Only you read the headline, oh didn't read the article Smiley

The point of the article:
- Russia is a terrorist state, and in order to achieve its idiotic goals it can cut off the supply through the Ukrainian GTS. There have been examples, terrorist attacks are normal for Russia - from its citizens being blown up, to blowing up its own gas pipeline, Nord Stream.
- Such a scenario has to be considered because Germany, which has replaced 95+% of Russian gas supplies, will help other countries with OWN gas under current EU law.
- Therefore, those countries that are still dependent on Russian gas should worry in advance about solving the potential problem

By the way, such countries include "the Kremlin's lapdog" Hungary, which is led into the abyss of cooperation with a terrorist country, Orban. It is the Hungarian economy that will be the first to suffer from the economic terror of russia Smiley Orban - keep licking the boots of the Kremlin's neo-Furrer Smiley

PS. By the way a great piece of news came out the other day: Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the 7 countries of the European Union called for a shift away from the principle of unilateralism in decision-making in the European Union's joint foreign and security policy and for a wider use of voting by a qualified majority. And this means that Hungarian sabotage will now do nothing Smiley I hope that Hungary will be kicked out of the EU as well!

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June 13, 2023, 11:13:16 AM
Last edit: June 13, 2023, 01:29:54 PM by be.open
 #1023

Germany Warns of Industry Shutdown If Russian Gas Stops Flowing

Quote
Germany may be forced to wind down or even switch off industrial capacity if Ukraine’s gas transit agreement with Russia isn’t extended after it expires at the end of next year, according to Economy Minister Robert Habeck.

What a twist. Grin


Really great article. Only you read the headline, oh didn't read the article Smiley

The point of the article:
- Russia is a terrorist state, and in order to achieve its idiotic goals it can cut off the supply through the Ukrainian GTS. There have been examples, terrorist attacks are normal for Russia - from its citizens being blown up, to blowing up its own gas pipeline, Nord Stream.
- Such a scenario has to be considered because Germany, which has replaced 95+% of Russian gas supplies, will help other countries with OWN gas under current EU law.
- Therefore, those countries that are still dependent on Russian gas should worry in advance about solving the potential problem

By the way, such countries include "the Kremlin's lapdog" Hungary, which is led into the abyss of cooperation with a terrorist country, Orban. It is the Hungarian economy that will be the first to suffer from the economic terror of russia Smiley Orban - keep licking the boots of the Kremlin's neo-Furrer Smiley

PS. By the way a great piece of news came out the other day: Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the 7 countries of the European Union called for a shift away from the principle of unilateralism in decision-making in the European Union's joint foreign and security policy and for a wider use of voting by a qualified majority. And this means that Hungarian sabotage will now do nothing Smiley I hope that Hungary will be kicked out of the EU as well!
I'm surprised how wild and inflamed your imagination is. Of course, I read the article, since it is only two screens small, and I know the technique of speed reading. And there is absolutely nothing of what you present as "the point of the article." It’s just that at the end of next year the contract for the supply of gas through Ukraine ends and Khabek is worried that it needs to be extended, which means that Russia and Ukraine will have to sit down at the negotiating table and begin to negotiate at least on this matter. I think this is a fat hint from Germany about the approximate deadline for the end of the conflict as a whole. If the sanctions against Russia do not end in a year and a half, Germany will be completely without pants. Grin

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June 13, 2023, 01:20:36 PM
 #1024

Germany shuts down nuclear power plants, the Netherlands wants to build new ones. None of this is based on logic.
From the perspective of independent countries with independent rulers, it is of course illogical. But when you think of what countries you are talking about there is a very different picture.
In this case Germany is the loser of WWII and is basically an occupied country with the most number of US military personal and bases "keeping an eye on the country". In fact if we ignore the "hot zones" where US is inciting proxy wars like South Korea (28k troops) the Axis Powers (aka the losers of WWII) are occupied with the largest number of US troops and bases: 35k in Germany (with 0 plants), 25k in Japan (5 plants under full control of US), 13k in Italy (0 plants).

In simple terms in the old unipolar world where US ruled, they'd never allow Germany to have any nuclear program including nuclear energy (power plants), god forbid they have any enriched uranium!!!

This is why Germans have to endure €3 to €8 billion in social costs annually which is primarily due to increased mortality thanks to exposure of the population to pollution produced from dirty fossil fuels that the country burns instead of using the much cleaner nuclear energy.
https://academic.oup.com/jeea/article-abstract/20/3/1311/6520438

Funny nobody else is worried about "incidents" (the reason they claim Germany phased out nuclear energy) and there are no protests against nuclear energy (the social pressure by brainwashed masses to force the German decision makers to phase it out) in any other countries like France where 75% of the energy comes from nuclear energy. Or UK where they are building even more plants or US itself with the largest number of plants and nukes Grin

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June 13, 2023, 04:18:07 PM
 #1025

Germany Warns of Industry Shutdown If Russian Gas Stops Flowing

Quote
Germany may be forced to wind down or even switch off industrial capacity if Ukraine’s gas transit agreement with Russia isn’t extended after it expires at the end of next year, according to Economy Minister Robert Habeck.

What a twist. Grin


Really great article. Only you read the headline, oh didn't read the article Smiley

The point of the article:
- Russia is a terrorist state, and in order to achieve its idiotic goals it can cut off the supply through the Ukrainian GTS.

Muahahaha.... I love this guy. Delusional? Brainwashed? Just a paid shill? Who knows, but it's hilarious!  Grin Grin Grin

Quote from: DrBeer
There have been examples, terrorist attacks are normal for Russia - from its citizens being blown up, to blowing up its own gas pipeline, Nord Stream.

I thought it has been proved that the Western "three letter agencies" blew up the pipes. There were no Russian vessels and/or submarines around. Even without knowing this fact, why would Russia destroy it's own property worth billions of $$$ and preventing it from earning billions more in gas exports.

Quote from: DrBeer
PS. By the way a great piece of news came out the other day: Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the 7 countries of the European Union called for a shift away from the principle of unilateralism in decision-making in the European Union's joint foreign and security policy and for a wider use of voting by a qualified majority. And this means that Hungarian sabotage will now do nothing Smiley I hope that Hungary will be kicked out of the EU as well!

Haha do they need the full consensus to accept these changes?  Grin Grin Grin
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June 14, 2023, 04:10:27 AM
 #1026

Yes, governments are deciding far too much for my liking. But no, there's no need to take it out of context. There's no federal government deciding this, it comes from national governments. In the Netherlands shops are nice and cool, in Germany they're very warm.
~~~~

OK.. my mistake. I thought that the directive to reduce gas usage came from the European Union. And good to hear that Netherlands doesn't have any aversion towards nuclear energy. It is outright retarded not to use modern technology, when it is available. It surprises me that the so called "Greens" want to burn coal and lignite to generate electricity, when it can be done at a fraction of the cost using Uranium-235. France is the only country in the EU who refused to bow down to this stupidity and now they are supplying electricity to other EU member nations.

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June 14, 2023, 06:47:02 AM
 #1027

OK.. my mistake. I thought that the directive to reduce gas usage came from the European Union.
EU wouldn't be EU if there wouldn't be a gazillion exceptions, leaving it up to the member states.

Quote
And good to hear that Netherlands doesn't have any aversion towards nuclear energy.
For many years, I mean decades, there was a strong opposition against nuclear energy. That only changed since they started caring (a lot) about CO2-emissions.

Quote
It is outright retarded not to use modern technology, when it is available. It surprises me that the so called "Greens" want to burn coal and lignite to generate electricity, when it can be done at a fraction of the cost using Uranium-235.
I doubt nuclear power is cheaper than coal. If "the greens" get their way, we'd be back in the dark ages: no gas, no coal, no nuclear, no wind turbines (because they pollute the horizon and kill birds), and probably no electric cars and solar panels too because they're polluting during production.

Quote
France is the only country in the EU who refused to bow down to this stupidity and now they are supplying electricity to other EU member nations.
It's historically grown this way: France is a nuclear power and has a lot of experience with it. The Netherlands had large natural gas reserves, and Germany has large coal (lignite) deposits that can "easily" be surface mined.

The one thing that's always been lacking in Europe, is giving priority to energy security. "We" became too comfortable for too long, and if shit hits the fan, we can't be on our own.

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June 14, 2023, 09:04:33 AM
 #1028

Germany Warns of Industry Shutdown If Russian Gas Stops Flowing

Quote
Germany may be forced to wind down or even switch off industrial capacity if Ukraine’s gas transit agreement with Russia isn’t extended after it expires at the end of next year, according to Economy Minister Robert Habeck.

What a twist. Grin


Really great article. Only you read the headline, oh didn't read the article Smiley

The point of the article:
- Russia is a terrorist state, and in order to achieve its idiotic goals it can cut off the supply through the Ukrainian GTS.

Muahahaha.... I love this guy. Delusional? Brainwashed? Just a paid shill? Who knows, but it's hilarious!  Grin Grin Grin

Quote from: DrBeer
There have been examples, terrorist attacks are normal for Russia - from its citizens being blown up, to blowing up its own gas pipeline, Nord Stream.

I thought it has been proved that the Western "three letter agencies" blew up the pipes. There were no Russian vessels and/or submarines around. Even without knowing this fact, why would Russia destroy it's own property worth billions of $$$ and preventing it from earning billions more in gas exports.

Quote from: DrBeer
PS. By the way a great piece of news came out the other day: Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the 7 countries of the European Union called for a shift away from the principle of unilateralism in decision-making in the European Union's joint foreign and security policy and for a wider use of voting by a qualified majority. And this means that Hungarian sabotage will now do nothing Smiley I hope that Hungary will be kicked out of the EU as well!

Haha do they need the full consensus to accept these changes?  Grin Grin Grin


1. To clarify who is delusional and who is not, let's start by publicly explaining what terrorism is and what a terrorist state is? Smiley Just do not run away as usual with the words "I have already answered this 100500 times, no more". ! Smiley

2. you can think any nonsense and even "russia is a great country with the second army in the world, and without russian gas everyone will die of hypothermia". Your mental problems are exclusively your problems ! Although from the outside it looks funny Smiley
PS This is on the topic of propaganda and brainwashed Smiley

You're thinking with your skull instead of your brain again? Smiley
The EU previously had regulations that required unanimous approval by all EU members, any changes. Given that recently one member of the EU began to behave almost like you, they decided that the voice of such a member can be ignored - but what to take from Orban, brainwashed by Moscow's propaganda? Although objectively speaking - no. not brainwashed... He just sold his country to the Kremlin. Well, a kind of Kremlin bedfellow and he is trying to do Hungary too Smiley
And now he can piss, jump, squeal, bang his head against the wall - but he won't be able to carry the Kremlin narrative and defend the interests of the Kremlin in the EU any more.

Don't thank me for another lecture, I hope it will be useful and developmental for you Smiley

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June 14, 2023, 09:10:08 AM
 #1029

1. To clarify who is delusional and who is not, let's start by publicly explaining what terrorism is and what a terrorist state is? Smiley Just do not run away as usual with the words "I have already answered this 100500 times, no more". ! Smiley
You seem to be following the news agenda badly. According to the new fashion, it is now customary to blame not Russia, but Ukraine and personally the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny, who developed and directed the implementation of this terrorist act, for sabotage on the Nord Streams. Oops. Grin

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June 15, 2023, 03:05:46 PM
 #1030

As far as I can see, the Ukrainian offensive (or, as it is sometimes called, the counter-offensive) is stalling. 

It is likely that Ukraine will not be able to defeat the Russian army (even taking into account the fact that Russia did not conduct a general military mobilization of the male population). 

This means that the war will be fought to the point of exhaustion on both sides.  This means that there are years of positional battles ahead (analogous to the 1st World War).  It is more than likely that in this military confrontation, Russia and Ukraine will lose many of their citizens, and the infrastructure of both countries will be destroyed (degraded). 

And even worse, more and more people will be drawn into the militaristic madness.  War greatly changes people's minds. 

I don't know what this will lead to in the end, but the prospects for both countries, in my opinion, are very negative.  Compared with this circumstance, economic issues - the export of hydrocarbons, etc.  - fade into the background.

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June 15, 2023, 04:09:37 PM
 #1031

Meanwhile, Netherlands Set to Close Europe’s Biggest Gas Field in 2023

They were going to close the Groningen field next year, but it looks like it will have to be closed as early as October 1, 2023. Gas prices immediately reacted with a 30% increase. It is even surprising how thin and volatile the gas market in Europe has become after the abandonment of long-term contracts and the transition to a market pricing mechanism.

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June 15, 2023, 04:31:27 PM
 #1032

Germany shuts down nuclear power plants, the Netherlands wants to build new ones. None of this is based on logic.
From the perspective of independent countries with independent rulers, it is of course illogical. But when you think of what countries you are talking about there is a very different picture.
In this case Germany is the loser of WWII and is basically an occupied country with the most number of US military personal and bases "keeping an eye on the country". In fact if we ignore the "hot zones" where US is inciting proxy wars like South Korea (28k troops) the Axis Powers (aka the losers of WWII) are occupied with the largest number of US troops and bases: 35k in Germany (with 0 plants), 25k in Japan (5 plants under full control of US), 13k in Italy (0 plants).

In simple terms in the old unipolar world where US ruled, they'd never allow Germany to have any nuclear program including nuclear energy (power plants), god forbid they have any enriched uranium!!!

This is why Germans have to endure €3 to €8 billion in social costs annually which is primarily due to increased mortality thanks to exposure of the population to pollution produced from dirty fossil fuels that the country burns instead of using the much cleaner nuclear energy.
https://academic.oup.com/jeea/article-abstract/20/3/1311/6520438

Funny nobody else is worried about "incidents" (the reason they claim Germany phased out nuclear energy) and there are no protests against nuclear energy (the social pressure by brainwashed masses to force the German decision makers to phase it out) in any other countries like France where 75% of the energy comes from nuclear energy. Or UK where they are building even more plants or US itself with the largest number of plants and nukes Grin
Germany is implementing a plan to phase out nuclear energy, adopted back in 2011. The last three nuclear power plants in the country were due to close at the end of 2022. But the situation was changed by Russia's full-scale military invasion of Ukraine. Russian gas deliveries to Germany stopped, and there was a danger of an energy crisis. As a result, Chancellor Olaf Scholz ordered to extend the life of the nuclear power plant until mid-April 2023.

The decision to phase out nuclear power was significantly affected by the disaster at the Fukushima-1 nuclear power plant in Japan in 2011. Therefore, such a decision of the government was made taking into account security and combating the consequences of global climate change in favor of the transition to "green" energy.
However, as the survey showed, about 65 percent of Germans are against the complete cessation of all nuclear power plants.

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June 16, 2023, 07:24:32 AM
 #1033

1. To clarify who is delusional and who is not, let's start by publicly explaining what terrorism is and what a terrorist state is? Smiley Just do not run away as usual with the words "I have already answered this 100500 times, no more". ! Smiley
You seem to be following the news agenda badly. According to the new fashion, it is now customary to blame not Russia, but Ukraine and personally the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny, who developed and directed the implementation of this terrorist act, for sabotage on the Nord Streams. Oops. Grin

It seems that you, in the usual manner of denying reality, take the opinion of some "scribbler" NICOLAS CAMUT, and pass it off as REALITY Smiley With such attitudes - you might as well go on to reposting "news" written on the fence or walls of your building Smiley Although... You do not surprise me, for an adept of the Russian world, and such news, from the fence, will be "reality", if that position suits you Smiley

And in reality - the international recognition of russia as an aggressor country, the Kremlin's underfuhrer is a criminal offender, the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant is a terrorist act organized by the hands of russia. These statuses are official approval at the level of states and governments. Compare the level of quality of information ? Smiley


But back to gas and other "joys of the Russian world". I highly recommend listening to this interview. You will probably ask a question - who is Mikhail Krutikhin?
I will answer in advance: Mikhail Krutikhin is a Russian economic analyst, oil and gas market analyst, translator, journalist, historian and orientalist. He is a former editor-in-chief of the American magazine Russian Petroleum Investor. Yes, this is a well-known specialist, not an empty-nester like Nicholas Kamuth Smiley

By the way - and I recommend everyone to watch this interview. You can switch the credits to your language, believe me - you will learn a lot of interesting things.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lyT-po4qyM&list=PL0X6M583SFO5aQsHjCI5PhozEQLSd3C5F&index=2

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June 16, 2023, 07:48:00 AM
Last edit: June 16, 2023, 08:08:10 AM by be.open
 #1034

1. To clarify who is delusional and who is not, let's start by publicly explaining what terrorism is and what a terrorist state is? Smiley Just do not run away as usual with the words "I have already answered this 100500 times, no more". ! Smiley
You seem to be following the news agenda badly. According to the new fashion, it is now customary to blame not Russia, but Ukraine and personally the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny, who developed and directed the implementation of this terrorist act, for sabotage on the Nord Streams. Oops. Grin

It seems that you, in the usual manner of denying reality, take the opinion of some "scribbler" NICOLAS CAMUT, and pass it off as REALITY Smiley With such attitudes - you might as well go on to reposting "news" written on the fence or walls of your building Smiley Although... You do not surprise me, for an adept of the Russian world, and such news, from the fence, will be "reality", if that position suits you Smiley
Well, maybe a recent Washington Post article gives you more confidence? Or is this also an insufficiently reliable pro-Russian source? Grin

Personally, I do not really believe that Ukraine could implement such an operation - it is too difficult. But under pressure from China, they failed to put a brake on the story of undermining the northern streams, and apparently there is no evidence against Russia - and they decided to make Ukraine guilty. Otherwise, the investigation could reach Western special services, and this does not climb into any gates.

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June 16, 2023, 08:40:11 AM
 #1035

As far as I can see, the Ukrainian offensive (or, as it is sometimes called, the counter-offensive) is stalling.  

It is likely that Ukraine will not be able to defeat the Russian army (even taking into account the fact that Russia did not conduct a general military mobilization of the male population).  

This means that the war will be fought to the point of exhaustion on both sides.  This means that there are years of positional battles ahead (analogous to the 1st World War).  It is more than likely that in this military confrontation, Russia and Ukraine will lose many of their citizens, and the infrastructure of both countries will be destroyed (degraded).  

And even worse, more and more people will be drawn into the militaristic madness.  War greatly changes people's minds.  

I don't know what this will lead to in the end, but the prospects for both countries, in my opinion, are very negative.  Compared with this circumstance, economic issues - the export of hydrocarbons, etc.  - fade into the background.

A little bit about the situation. I'll probably start with the main thing:
We can give the example of Nazi Germany, almost half of the world was involved in the war, but the goal was unambiguously correct - this bastard regime and the world danger in its face, should be DESTROYED. to give Nazism a second chance - it would be suicide. Therefore, all members of the coalition did their best, and the German army and their allies were DESTROYED everywhere from the west coast of Africa to Japan. Rashism is an even nastier, even more inhumane, even more dangerous, regime than Nazism. If you watch their news - at the level of top politicians and official propaganda, they warm up the "public" by pushing the narrative that "the Western (civilized) world MUST be COMPLETELY DESTROYED". that "war is peace", and that more, more often and preferably with nuclear weapons should be killed ! No, they are not idiots on the bench. These are representatives of the Federation Council. This is carried to the masses - by ALL government channels.
Therefore, just as in 1945 and now, half-measures and freezing the conflict will NOT do anything to stop the international aggressor/terrorist. And yes, the price will be high! But if this evil is not stopped - the price will go "to the moon" ...

The second is about the "stalling offensive". A quick offensive is possible only when the enemy is noticeably weaker. In our case, let's be realistic - Russia has advantages in both manpower and quantity (not quality) of weapons. And the option "checkers on holo, and chased the enemy for 100500 kilometers a day". - there will be no such offensive. It is a slow, "broad" operation, subject to the strong resistance of the russian terrorist army.
You can track changes and the real picture on this resource, which is, by the way, very informative, there is a chronology, and you can watch it in action!
https://deepstatemap.live/#6/49.438/32.053


Yes, and if we go back to the economic theme - the conduct of hostilities, and confrontation - is a huge expense. And I'm not hiding it, without the help of our friends and partners in the West, we would most likely already be conducting an all-out guerrilla war, rather than a powerful, systemic confrontation by the AFU forces.  

Although for the west, this is "pennies". And at the same time, I will probably say cynically - it is a profitable investment for the West! Especially when they realized that Russia is a terrorist, but the "second army of the world" is a fake. Yes a lot of "meat attacks", yes a lot of old tanks, but clearly not the "second army of the world"

Right now the eastern borders of the EU, from the direct terror of russia, are protected by Ukraine. And if the war comes to the EU territory - the costs and losses of the EU and NATO bloc, would be disproportionately high.

PS. A bit of interesting information: "the second army of the world", pulled up to the borders of Ukraine X35. Everything would be OK, but... These are anti-ship complexes! That is, designed to combat surface targets. What does it mean? It means that the standard ground/ground or air/ground systems are designed to terrorize civilians, and the shelling in recent months from the Russian side has been limited to civilian objects and residential areas. Kryvyi Rig is an example of "strikes on military targets", as the Russian channels constantly lie.

PS I'm writing back now: Kiev is again under rocket fire from a country of international terrorism. The missiles are flying not at the location of units, but at a simple, peaceful city, at civilians. The air defense system is actively working - thank you for the help of the civilized world in the fight against savages and terrorists!

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June 16, 2023, 09:24:00 AM
 #1036

PS I'm writing back now: Kiev is again under rocket fire from a country of international terrorism. The missiles are flying not at the location of units, but at a simple, peaceful city, at civilians. The air defense system is actively working - thank you for the help of the civilized world in the fight against savages and terrorists!
Russian missiles and drones usually arrive in Kyiv at night. If an air raid alarm sounds during the day, it means that some important foreign guest has arrived in Kyiv and you need to make the right impression on him. Today, such a foreign guest is the President of South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa. So don't worry, South Africa is Russia's BRICS partner, so there will be no missile attacks on Kyiv today and tomorrow.

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June 16, 2023, 10:15:39 AM
 #1037

.....
Well, maybe a recent Washington Post article gives you more confidence? Or is this also an insufficiently reliable pro-Russian source? Grin

Personally, I do not really believe that Ukraine could implement such an operation - it is too difficult. But under pressure from China, they failed to put a brake on the story of undermining the northern streams, and apparently there is no evidence against Russia - and they decided to make Ukraine guilty. Otherwise, the investigation could reach Western special services, and this does not climb into any gates.


Dear be.open !
I find you more and more disappointing as you slide down to the utterly primitive and obtuse level of dialogue. No offence - I have a feeling that you live surrounded by idiots, and they can tell any fairy tales and manipulate words, even without much effort!
Another suggestion - you either read only the headlines or do not speak English to understand what is written. Thirdly, WashingtonPost is a society of journalists, including people like Shane Harrisey Souad Mehennet - about whom nothing is known, and who can write whatever they want.
And most importantly: a direct excerpt from the article you cited:

The intelligence report was based on information received from a person in Ukraine. The source's information could not be immediately confirmed, but the CIA shared the report with Germany and other European countries last June, according to several officials familiar with the matter, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss covert intelligence operations and diplomatic discussions.

Question: proof that Ukriana did this, where ?  Grin Grin Grin

And question 2: Who benefited from it ? Apart from the real benefit for russia, which out of habit wanted to cut off the gas, but simply stopping the gas supply would have led to multi-billion dollar payments for breach of contract?  Give me some arguments, but not from the fence, about the benefit to ukraine? We can not increase the flow through the Ukrainian GTS - there are technical limitations, plus we would have screwed our European friends - but Ukraine is not Russia, it has never done such things!

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June 16, 2023, 10:47:25 AM
Last edit: June 16, 2023, 11:05:57 AM by be.open
 #1038

Question: proof that Ukriana did this, where ?  Grin Grin Grin
Well, the lack of evidence does not stop you from blaming Russia. Here it is indicative that such articles with accusations of Ukraine began to appear in general in the leading and authoritative Western media. A year ago this was unthinkable. I think the Western audience is being gradually prepared for the fact that support for Ukraine is not endless, and Ukraine itself is not at all sinless.

And question 2: Who benefited from it ? Apart from the real benefit for russia, which out of habit wanted to cut off the gas, but simply stopping the gas supply would have led to multi-billion dollar payments for breach of contract?  Give me some arguments, but not from the fence, about the benefit to ukraine? We can not increase the flow through the Ukrainian GTS - there are technical limitations, plus we would have screwed our European friends - but Ukraine is not Russia, it has never done such things!
Oh yes, you are finally starting to ask the right questions. Who benefits is generally the first and often the only question that should be asked in such incidents. Of course, there is no benefit to Russia in destroying its costly infrastructure beyond repair. And of course, it is beneficial for Ukraine to remain the only supplier of Russian pipeline gas to Europe. However, there are other beneficiaries of this attack, such as Norway, Poland, the US and the UK.

By the way, to be objective, I must admit that Russia had a motive to destroy the dam at the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station - this helped to drastically reduce the number of options for a Ukrainian counteroffensive. Of course, the presence of a motive does not automatically mean that Russia actually did it, although I do not exclude such a possibility. But to accuse Russia of blowing up its own gas pipelines, of course, borders on schizophrenia.

Your version of fines for non-performance of contracts does not stand up to scrutiny. Russia has supplied and continues to supply as much gas to Europe as it physically can and as Europe is willing to buy. Including LNG and through pipelines through the territory of Ukraine, as well as through the southern branches through Turkey. By the way, if the grain deal cannot last in a month due to the failure of agreements by Europe and the undermining of the ammonia pipeline by Ukraine, Gazprom's payment for gas transit to Naftogaz will become the only reliable source of dollar revenues to the budget of Ukraine, except for direct Western subsidies. Ironic.

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June 16, 2023, 12:11:47 PM
 #1039

It is likely that Ukraine will not be able to defeat the Russian army
That's what I said from day one of this conflict and the reason is not that they can't or don't have the means, the reason is simply because the Armed Forces of Ukraine is now a multinational army with troops with little to no training and no coordination and no love for Ukraine (since many of them aren't even from Ukraine) and most importantly they are obeying United States and are fighting for US (part of Nixon's Doctrine).

Take the recent failure of the counter attack. It failed because they waited too long (or rather ordered to wait too long by US). That wait gave Russia more than enough time to solidify its position in the occupied regions, transfer equipment, spread mines in routes leading to their positions, increase the firepower (shells, etc.) that could bomb any progressing forces in the flatlands of Ukraine.
What they should have done was to blow up the Kakhovka (?) dam a lot sooner and started the offensive from the northern river bank to cut off supply routes and even gain access to Crimea.
Blowing it up now is not helping since there is a long way to go and the progress is met with constant shelling and mass casualties!

Quote
I don't know what this will lead to in the end, but the prospects for both countries, in my opinion, are very negative.  Compared with this circumstance, economic issues - the export of hydrocarbons, etc.  - fade into the background.
There is a good chance that we are going to see another wave of food crisis soon considering how the exports of grains have dropped and most importantly the fertilizer shortage of the past year is going to show its effects this year...

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June 16, 2023, 03:31:51 PM
 #1040

1. To clarify who is delusional and who is not, let's start by publicly explaining what terrorism is and what a terrorist state is? Smiley Just do not run away as usual with the words "I have already answered this 100500 times, no more". ! Smiley
You seem to be following the news agenda badly. According to the new fashion, it is now customary to blame not Russia, but Ukraine and personally the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny, who developed and directed the implementation of this terrorist act, for sabotage on the Nord Streams. Oops. Grin

It seems that you, in the usual manner of denying reality, take the opinion of some "scribbler" NICOLAS CAMUT, and pass it off as REALITY Smiley With such attitudes - you might as well go on to reposting "news" written on the fence or walls of your building Smiley Although... You do not surprise me, for an adept of the Russian world, and such news, from the fence, will be "reality", if that position suits you Smiley

And in reality - the international recognition of russia as an aggressor country, the Kremlin's underfuhrer is a criminal offender, the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant is a terrorist act organized by the hands of russia. These statuses are official approval at the level of states and governments. Compare the level of quality of information ? Smiley


But back to gas and other "joys of the Russian world". I highly recommend listening to this interview. You will probably ask a question - who is Mikhail Krutikhin?
I will answer in advance: Mikhail Krutikhin is a Russian economic analyst, oil and gas market analyst, translator, journalist, historian and orientalist. He is a former editor-in-chief of the American magazine Russian Petroleum Investor. Yes, this is a well-known specialist, not an empty-nester like Nicholas Kamuth Smiley

By the way - and I recommend everyone to watch this interview. You can switch the credits to your language, believe me - you will learn a lot of interesting things.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lyT-po4qyM&list=PL0X6M583SFO5aQsHjCI5PhozEQLSd3C5F&index=2

Muahaha just check out the related/suggested videos on YouTube when you open this video and everything will become clear:
"Ukraine will win the war before the end of the year"
"Putin will be shot down"
"Russia is running out of oil"
"Mutiny in Kremlin"

Does someone actually believe these "facts"? They look exactly like your posts. Zero credibility.  Grin

The guy in the video can be seen in pro-western shows and interviews pretty frequently. I bet he's being paid to say that or has some reason to hate Russia? He's not a "specialist" he's just a paid shill.

Regarding the article, I also don't believe Ukraine did this (blew up the pipes). They don't have resources for such a mission. It was a CIA/MI6 operation with some support from Nordic (Danish/Norwegian?) military/special services. 
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