Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker

[David M]

It's impossible to have all the information. But they do all have the same information and most will be able to draw the same conclusions.

I agree with the first sentence, but the second is what I am disputing. 
The primacy of this event is what I think will cause wildly diverging conclusions.

To add some speculation: 
The bull run towards the split has only just begun and I expect some epic trading action from October as the actors begin to fully grok the supply drop.

Game theory doesn't tell you what will happen just what is likely to happen given what is the best strategy out of all the available strategies in the game that is being being played, the players and the available information.

Thanks for that.

[adamstgBit]

its the end of the road SELL SELL SELL
 

Not....yet

no its over, this is the TOP, sell now and you can buy back MUCH MUCH lower

trust me, sell me all your bitcoins  

[hazek]

It's impossible to have all the information. But they do all have the same information and most will be able to draw the same conclusions.

I agree with the first sentence, but the second is what I am disputing. 
The primacy of this event is what I think will cause wildly diverging conclusions.

To add some speculation: 
The bull run towards the split has only just begun and I expect some epic trading action from October as the actors begin to fully grok the supply drop.

Game theory doesn't tell you what will happen just what is likely to happen given what is the best strategy out of all the available strategies in the game that is being being played, the players and the available information.

Thanks for that.

I think you misunderstood me. I don't believe the block reward halving is priced in already.. But I do believe it will get priced in before it actually happens.

[David M]

I think you misunderstood me. I don't believe the block reward halving is priced in already..

I did misunderstand you.  Thanks for clearing that up.

[hazek]

So how many fell for it?   

[Yuhfhrh]

So how many fell for it?  

I didn't fall for it, but this wall flipping is driving me crazy!

[ineededausername]

So how many fell for it?   

fell for what?

[lebing]

Wall gone and asks rising 

[Yuhfhrh]

Wall gone and asks rising 

Is our party ending this early? 

[adamstgBit]

people are dumping their coins... 

[Piper67]

people are person ius dumping their coins... 

FTFY

[Yuhfhrh]

$12.35, what happens next? 

[adamstgBit]

$12.35, what happens next? 

falling knife back to cheap bitcoins? 

[Piper67]

$12.35, what happens next? 

What happens next is that we're not buying  

[Yuhfhrh]

$12.35, what happens next?  

falling knife back to cheap bitcoins?  

You read my mind lol

I caught the knife at $12.40

[Rothgar]

$12.35, what happens next? 

Someone dumped around 10kBTC within 5 minutes.  The fact the price held at 12.35 is a very good sign. 

[Yuhfhrh]

$12.35, what happens next? 

Someone dumped around 10kBTC within 5 minutes.  The fact the price held at 12.35 is a very good sign. 

Agreed.

[adamstgBit]

$12.35, what happens next?  

falling knife back to cheap bitcoins?  

You read my mind lol

I caught the knife at $12.40

congratu-fucking-lations

you just cut yourself.

[Yuhfhrh]

$12.35, what happens next?  

falling knife back to cheap bitcoins?  

You read my mind lol

I caught the knife at $12.40

congratu-fucking-lations

you just cut yourself.

Not so sure yet, we'll see.

[Spekulatius]

geez, nobody could be bothered to post a picture, so the man's gotta do it all by himself..



Notice where orders were removed from 14$+, probably sold into the BIDs