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1101  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: March 29, 2023, 01:13:39 PM
Hey guys I'm back! Missed some crazy surprising unexpected action in Miami! Many favorites are out but let's see what we're going to witness today (I can give you a hint: it's a betting nighmare  Grin):

All matches have explicit favorites but things are not that obvious I fear.  

ATP
Ruusuvuori v Sinner  Sinner has been playing flawlessly so far and his win over Rublev is a proof but.. Ruusuvuori is enjoying one of the best tournaments of his entire career (so far) in Miami. He has also managed to win Botic van de Zandschulp and Frances Tiafoe in the previous rounds. h2h is 4:0 Sinner and he's got plenty of talent so I'm saying Sinner.
Alcaraz v Fritz  The two haven't met before on tour.  We all know that Alcaraz if #1 in the World and has been playing awesome recently but Fritz is equally good! The American has managed to overcome opponents like Shapovalov and Rune on his way to the quarterfinal. My choice is still Alcaraz but it's a slippery bet guys...

WTA
Cirstea v Sabalenka Sabalenka is a monster, a train pushing everyone and everything out of her way. After she fixed her serve (most double-faults on tour in the previous season) she has become almost invincible. Against her today, Sorana Cirstea, an underdog, a Romanian veteran whose performance has been perfect in the US series of tournaments so far (winning players like Garcia). Both ladies haven't played each other, this will be their first meeting. My (conservative) bet is on Sabalenka.
Alexandrova v Kvitova Kvitova is approaching the end of her glorious career, every tournament can be the last for her. I can see how she's trying to enjoy these last seasons on tour. And I have to say she has played tremendously so far. Alexandrova has stunned many fans with her awesome wins against Bencic and Andreescu and she will give the Czech a good fight. Still, my bet is on Kvitova!

Let's get ready for another tennis show tonight!  Cool

1102  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 29, 2023, 06:51:43 AM
I very much doubt this. Their opinions on the subject are probably far more nuanced than anybody posting here. Unlike us, they are taking time to consider all the ramifications of potential coding adjustments to counter "blockchain spam," or if any adjustments are necessary at all.

They are carefully weighing the pros and the cons of any potential changes instead of just mindlessly repeating their first impression opinion for the 40th time.

if you say so but so far i haven't heard a peep out of them at least here on this forum so they must be doing this under heavy secrecy... Shocked i just thought they didn't care about the issue at all.

We disagree a lot of the time and that's fine, but one thing I like about you larry is you are willing to at least be reasonable. TBH I really don't know what they think about inscriptions, just seen a couple impartial murmurings from them about it on the mail list so far. But I do know our shadowy group of supercoders has been relatively successful in the past at shepherding Bitcoin development down a well-constructed path.

It will be really interesting to see what changes they propose/enact (if any) to combat inscription "spam."

This may surprise everybody but if they decide to somehow place new limitations on it, it wouldn't upset me.

In fact, placing new limitations now would be great for everyone: normies would enjoy fast low-fee transactions and NFT freaks would finally get rich as the price of already minted ordinals would skyrocket. It's a win-win situation.  Cool
1103  Economy / Economics / Re: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy on: March 28, 2023, 08:19:43 PM

Back in 2020, pipeline natural gas was trading at $100 to $150 per thousand cubic meters. Now it's trading at $500 to $600 per k.cu.m (at one point in 2022, prices had crossed $3,000 per k.cu.m, but then it came down). At current levels, producing Ammonia fertilizer from natural gas is unaffordable for most of the industrial units. On top of that, the price of potash fertilizer has also risen thanks to the Russo-Ukrainian war (most of the global production comes from Russia and Belarus). And as a final nail in the coffin, the freight rates have also increased by manytimes.
You can see positive things in everything. The reserves of oil and gas on our planet are rapidly depleted. Mankind still needs to switch to alternative energy sources, especially in the light of recent events related to drastic climate change just because of the massive use of these carbohydrates. The rise in oil and gas prices will accelerate the transition to other types of energy, and above all to "green" energy.

Yes but green energy has one significant drawback - it's expensive. And now, while the World economy hasn't recovered from covid blow and war blow swift migration to green energy is dangerous, because of huge expenses. Inflation, debt, layoffs etc etc and rapid shift to green energy is additional stress for common people. It should be done step-by-step and with some caution.
1104  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin mixing is NOT money laundering, per se on: March 28, 2023, 07:46:12 PM
Some clarification is needed to this board due to the recent incident with ChipMixer.

To all advocates of anti-anonymous Bitcoin and Internet tools: Bitcoin mixing is NOT money laundering, per se.

Definition of money laundering:
Money laundering is the process of illegally concealing the origin of money, obtained from illicit activities such as drug trafficking, corruption, embezzlement or gambling, by converting it into a legitimate source. It is a crime in many jurisdictions with varying definitions. It is usually a key operation of organized crime.

Definition of Bitcoin mixing:
A cryptocurrency tumbler or cryptocurrency mixing service[1] is a service that mixes potentially identifiable or "tainted" cryptocurrency funds with others, so as to obscure the trail back to the fund's original source.

Unless you think that every potentially identifiable coin is obtained illegally (which would be false), Bitcoin mixing does not equate with Bitcoin laundering. While it is possible to launder, hereby conceal the origins of money from an illegal activity, it is not a money laundering service, in the same manner that while it is possible to terrorize with the assistance of end-to-end encryption and peer-to-peer protocols, such a messenger is not a terrorism service.


Privacy is #1 enemy of the governments in the modern world. That's the reason why we are approaching a 100% digital fiat cashless society (and then who knows a chip in your head?). They hate privacy and that's why they will keep stalking privacy services like Bitcoin mixers.
1105  Economy / Economics / Re: Binance CZ sued on: March 27, 2023, 08:11:23 PM
Binance CEO Zhao and his COO got sued by CTFC ( commodity futures and trading commission ) , why won't these people just leave this man alone?  Angry also is this why the market is currently crashing? These people mean CZ and I hope this guy will move out of the US for good, those people are just still mad with what he did with FTX, many secrets came to the light and many aren't too happy about it.

Oh c'mon this is ridiculous: they're just looking for any pretext to get rid of CZ. I guess this is going to end with Binance eventually pulling out of the US or (hopefully not) a huge fine and Binance going bankrupt. Bitcoin is suffering now because of this FUD but it's going to fade in comparison to what is going to happen if Binance will go bust. Remember Covid dump down to $3k?  Sad
1106  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: March 27, 2023, 11:28:25 AM
Another disappointing result for Casper Ruud, in the third set he was already in the lead as he managed to break his opponent's serve but he was not good enough to maintain his advantage and Botic managed to take the final set to win it. Ruud hasn't shown anything good this year unlike last year where he was able to last quite a while in a tournament.
Today's match that will be interesting is Khachanov vs Jiří Lehečka, Lehečka beat Mussetti convincingly in the previous round, in the match against Khachanov it will be more difficult for him but he has a chance to beat this opponent and could be with a long match of 3 sets. Lehečka will probably beat the seed in this tournament again, he has been quite impressive in the previous rounds.

Yes, I agree, Khachanov - Lehecka will be one of the most interesting matches today. Here's an overview of today's order of play (provisionary winner in bold):

ATP
Garin v Tsitsipas  Easy win for the "Greek God", Garin is only somewhat good on clay but even there Stefanos is leading 2:0 H2H.
Khachanov v Lehecka It's gonna be along, exhausting 3 set match. Anybody's game really. My hunch says Lehecka.
Auger-Aliassime v Cerundolo Felix's time to shine today. H2H stats are with me on this: the Canadian leading 2:0.
Hurkacz v Mannarino  Easy 2 set match for the Pole.
Sonego v Tiafoe  Good performance in Indian Wells for Frances, he's good on home courts like most Americans. My bet is on him.

WTA
Trevisan v Ostapenko Easy match for Ostapenko if she will keep playing like she did in previous rounds.
Pegula v Linette  Pegula showing some spectacular performance lately. 
Zheng v Potapova  Potapova has been great so far: consistency, accuracy, power don't see how the Chinese can overcome this hurdle.
Rybakina v Mertens  Mertens is recovering from her series of 1st round losses and may play well today. Still Rybakina is my favorite, her level is too high for the Belgian.
Kvitova v Gracheva  One way traffic, this one. Kvitova to win in 2.
Andreescu v Alexandrova  Alexandrova showed some awesome skill by winning Bencic. Andreescu is showing her best tennis in Miami. Grand Slam level, too high for Alexandrova to beat.
Krejcikova v Sabalenka  Sabalenka is on the way to another final. So far she's been unstoppable and I don't believe Krejcikova can stop her today. Although, 3 sets possible.
Cirstea v Vondrousova Both girls are not top level tennis stars but average (can we say average about top50?). Hard match, this one, but my bet will be on Marketa. 3 sets highly possible.

Let's bet and watch some awesome matches tonight! Good luck!  Cool
1107  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 27, 2023, 05:57:12 AM
Guys, enough of this shitcoin talk here in this thread. There's a nice altcoin forum part where you can share opinions on your beloved shitcoins and discuss all the news, including NFTs on your blockchain etc. This thread is for Bitcoin and ordinals.  Cool
1108  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo mining .vs Pool (S19j Pro @ home) on: March 26, 2023, 10:42:21 PM
I just bought my 1st miner (brand new S19j Pro 100th).

I am earning about 30,000 satoshi's on NiceHash daily and that is not exactly life changing money. Especially when you factor in my cost of electricity ($0.10/kw)

I was thinking about solo mining and taking my chances to potentially finding a block (6.25 btc reward).

Where can I calculate my chances of that happening? Would be similar odds to winning the lottery?



Yeah, that sounds more like a lottery. You should also take into account the halvings, so for example in just a year you'll earn only 3.125BTC and in 4 years only 1.56BTC for finding a block so the longer you mine the smaller is the reward. And yes, there is a chance of not finding a block at all... Sad
1109  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 26, 2023, 10:27:29 PM
Talking about the issue is the first step. It's important! Discussion helps to clarify the issue and generate ideas. What you're saying now is: shut up and do something but real quiet so nobody would find out. No! We're going to talk about this nasty issue and we're going to do it LOUD!  Cool

That's not what I'm saying. I'm saying actually doing something to attempt to rectify what you consider to be a problem will go miles further than just sitting around here basically spamming the same complaints about it over and over.

And you're not even loud. Almost nobody will read this except for some sig campaigners and franky1. This place is a collapsing thought bubble, from which a little more air escapes each year.

i wouldn't call 10,000 bytes "super tiny". you can store alot of data in 10,000 bytes. that might be a good way to backup important data - encrypted of course. wonder how much it costs.  Shocked

Its tiny for image data. 10k is the theoretical maximum although I'm not sure anybody has actually done that yet. Most of them have a max size of 1.5k and look like this full-sized:



https://doginals.com/shibescription/9ca704a862eb1fea235212804e5dd951409a91dd93a62b4888788788b1625e76i0

1-10 persons is not loud, 100-1000 is louder, 1000-1000000 is loud enough. Everyone was having fun ridiculing Satoshi and his ideas in 2009-2010 but it's not funny anymore now?

I guess size isn't significant for retarded NFT buyers. Cryptodickbutts are also quite small. It's all about the hype.  Grin
1110  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What do you think about this? on: March 26, 2023, 09:59:11 PM
When some people ask questions about gambling, such as "Can someone can make a living through gambling? I don't like to engage in such conversations because those who doubt that gambling can change someone's life are usually those who have gambled and failed multiple times or those who don't really know gambling strategies.

Recently, a Uganda pastor who won 100million shillings decided to shut down his ministry. This left me with several questions in my head, such as ' Do religious leaders gamble? Is it right for religious leaders to gamble? Knowing fully well that most of them preach against gambling in their religious places. What is the ethical and moral implications of gambling, particularly in the context of religious practices and beliefs?

News source:
https://www.reubenabati.com.ng/news/pastor-shuts-down-church-after-winning-n100m-sports-bet

I'm an agnostic, so I don't see anything bad or strange in this situation. The clergy are just human beings as you or me so they sometimes gamble, buy luxury stuff, drive expensive cars (seduce little boys haha). Perhaps a religious person would think otherwise though. Just my 2c.
1111  Economy / Economics / Re: Is risky to invest this period on: March 26, 2023, 09:51:57 PM
From the look of things bitcoin price will not come up soon, I guess is better to hold on till when it will show strong signal before putting in money again to escape losses and people who their investment is long over due are already victims of the Price dropping. We should try to be careful this period that bitcoin has not direction. Imagine a friend investment $2000 but what is currently left in his wallet is $400, and the deep is still bearing down the nuds.

Hold on, but if you must buy now be wise to use spare income.

The new Bitcoin cycle/bullrun has started already. That's a fact now. I'm not sure what makes you think the price isn't going up soon. And now it's high time to invest, before we are going up. Halving is going to happen soon too, another driver which could help us skyrocket. Remember that $14k spike back in 2019 if I'm not mistaken? This time we're going to at least $50k and it should happen really soon (April-May-June arena). So go on and invest, before it's too late (you may simply miss the moment we're going parabolic and lose lots of money). Act now!  Cool
1112  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: March 26, 2023, 03:37:40 PM
Today's the first day of some serious matches in Miami:

ATP:

Davidovich Fokina v Paul  Hard one, but Paul looks more consistent. H2H is also 1:0 in his favor.

Fritz v Shapovalov  I'll bet on Taylor, despite him trailing 3:5 in h2h matches. Fritz is really good on home soil and Denis seems to be a bit out of form currently.

Schwartzman v Rune Both guys haven't been showing any top level tennis lately but Rune shows some signs of recovery and he's much younger than the Argentinian veteran.

Alcaraz v Lajovic  I guess no questions should arise: #1 ATP and the best playing player currently.

Sinner v Dimitrov  Sinner has been showing great tennis lately and he's much younger. Dimitrov's "golden years" are over and his career is a huge disappointment for his fans as "baby Fed" had failed to reach the top level (top 3-5). The only match they played was in 2020 on clay and Dimitrov won that one.

Ruud v Zandschulp Now this one is hard, 3 set match definitely, stats are in favor of the Dutch, but I have a hunch Ruud is going to win this time.

WTA:

Kenin v Andreescu  Andreescu is back even stronger, Kenin seems to have some psychological issues (pressure from her dad?)

Pliskova v Vondrousova H2H is 3:0 in favor of Karolina, but Pliskova hasn't been showing any decent results lately. The bookies seem to agree with me on this one.

Alexandrova v Bencic Dmitry Tursunov famous for his success with Anett Kontaveit can really make a change for Belinda. She has already showed it by winning in Guadalajara.

Cirstea v Muchova

Krejcikova v Keys

Bouzkova v Sabalenka The power of Sabalenka is hard to match. Perhaps we'll even see another Sabalenka - Rybakina final.

I've marked the winner of the match in my opinion in bold. Get ready for an exciting tennis night!  Cool
1113  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: March 26, 2023, 12:29:11 PM
The history of Transnistria is a very tragic story. Initially, there was a single country - the USSR.

The so-called Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic was then the place of compact residence of Moldavians. Ethnically and culturally, Moldovans are closest to Romanians. At the same time, Moldova is a purely agrarian country, Moldovans specialize in agriculture. At the same time, an industrial territorial entity (the so-called Transnistria) was artificially included in the Moldavian SSR, the majority of the population, which was predominantly not even Russians, but Ukrainians.

It was the Ukrainians who were the titular nation in this region. And from the point of view of common sense, Transnistria, of course, should have been part of Ukraine, and not Moldova.

Alternatively, this region could be included in Russia (the former RSFSR), since there are a lot of Russians in Transnistria (the second largest nationality after Ukrainians). But the problem was that Transnistria does not border Russia, for Russia it is an enclave.

Since no one planned the collapse of the USSR, Pridnestrovie was part of the Moldavian USSR. When the USSR collapsed, Moldovan troops attacked the peaceful cities of Transnistria (it was a national conflict). In particular, the city of Bendery was destroyed. It was a terrible disaster.

Fortunately, a smart, honest and determined Soviet general, an ethnic Ukrainian Alexander Lebed, was found. Thanks to his decisive actions, this war was stopped, and the killing of civilians was stopped.


I'm sorry - but I'll correct you, in some places you are mistaken.

In the beginning, there was no USSR Smiley Muscovy was in that place, more precisely in part of the territory.
And some territories, for example Moldova, were in 1940 .. stolen from Romania. Yes, yes, the theft of foreign lands, under various pretexts, is not an invention of modern Russia ... Look for historical facts using the phrase "Soviet occupation of Bessarabia and Northern Bukovina."

In the same way - and most of the other republics, since 1921 they were simply occupied by Muscovy / RSFSR.
Until 1921, for example, there was the Ukrainian Independent Republic, with territories including Taganrog, part of the Belgorod region, and the entire Kuban, which were then torn off and stolen by the RSFSR.

The second important misconception is that "there are a lot of Russians there." This is not true. Indeed, sometimes there may be an opinion that "there are many Russians in many republics of the USSR." But in fact, there are many Russians in the territories of the occupied independent states. And they appeared there after, from 1930 to 1954, the Kremlin ghouls destroyed the local population, culture, evicted hundreds of thousands of citizens of other "fraternal republics" to the wild north of Russia. And in their place they settled their own citizens from the depressive territories of the RSFSR. More precisely, and more correctly, from most of the territories of the RSFSR, since most of the RSFSR were indeed depressive territories, with a degraded population.

So there was a deliberate forced assimilation, or, correctly, the occupation and destruction of the local population and replacement by aliens. This is history, these are facts.

...and if we'll rewind some more, there was a similar sad story of Native Americans and their brutal slaughter by the "peaceful pilgrims". It was much bloodier if compared to the history of Russia. And btw, communists killed more Russians than representatives of other nationalities: from 1920s to 1950s around 4 million people got deported and ~700k executed.
1114  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 25, 2023, 08:32:04 PM
The irony of the thing is you telling people to go "custodial".

That's not irony. It was the solution to your problem. Just keep the tip in a custodial wallet until you are ready to open your own Lightning channel and then send it to yourself.

No, the solution is kick the spammers out, things simply worked fine before the public Feb exploit.

That's not a solution. How are you going to do that? Have you written a BIP regarding limiting Taproot script length and submitted it for consideration on GitHub? Have you attempted to contact anybody who can potentially do anything about it?

Talking about the issue is the first step. It's important! Discussion helps to clarify the issue and generate ideas. What you're saying now is: shut up and do something but real quiet so nobody would find out. No! We're going to talk about this nasty issue and we're going to do it LOUD!  Cool
1115  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 25, 2023, 11:34:14 AM
Yeah, I'm still waiting for the lightning channel; no tip for me today, thanks spammers.

If you were just trying to receive a tip, you could have opened up a custodial LN wallet and then transferred it to yourself later.

There's always solutions to problems caused by "high fees." Seems like people would just rather complain than consider them.

The weirdest is when people believe their complaints actually have some sort of effect on the situation.

Well it is obviously a solution but it is definitely not a practical solution if you just want to send a small tip to somebody. What would really solve this matter would be a bigger block size. If people forgot satoshi even specifically stated that the block size should be increased in the future!

Right now I feel like it's a flashback from 2017! Bitcoin Cash, big blocks does it ring a bell? Actually, why don't that ordinals guy just put his dickbutts on a Bitcoin Cash blockchain? It's probably empty anyway!  Grin
1116  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 24, 2023, 08:09:35 PM
It's funny how some somewhat established members of the Bitcoin community suddenly switched from "censorship-resistant transactions" to "we need to stop this spam / bloating" and "there has to be a valid reason to make transactions".  Roll Eyes

When the mempool is full, and you're forced to pay more, the last group of people you have to blame are those who make the transactions.

A censorship resistant,  borderless, permitionless and pseudo anonymous is still very cheap even when the mempool is full and the price is higher than 20/30 sat/vbyte.

Try to make a swift and wait for 4-5 business day after the bank authorization

Yeah, thanks god I'm free and no longer depend on a banker guy. Now I have to wait when a 15 yo acne-covered teen sitting in his parents basement gets tired of creating gazillions of monkey pics (or even worse, something like this: https://www.cryptodickbutts.com/) and lets me push my tx at only x10 the price I used to pay before this madness started! I guess I should be grateful! Grin
1117  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: March 24, 2023, 07:57:20 PM
Watched a great match today: Sakkari v Andreescu. Andreescu is back on top of her form, playing her best tennis. I feel quite confident betting on her. She won this one in three.

Other exciting matches to watch/bet on today:

ATP: Huesler v Paul - I wouldn't bet on this one should be very intense but also very interesting. Fucsovics v Rune will be another thriller match!
WTA: Kvitova v Noskova - also can't recommend for betting but it will be fun to watch! Also Fernandez v Bencic worth watching!

I don't normally watch/bet on doubles but this one is super-interesting: Fruhvirtova sisters v Pegula/Gauff!

I will make some "easy" bets today: Ruud v Ivashka, Sabalenka v Rogers, Alcarazv Bagnis, Sinnerv Djere easy money, maybe will even go for a combo!

Almost forgot this one: Zverev v Daniel - as easy as taking a cookie from a baby!
1118  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2023, 01:58:04 PM
Another minor sell off. This is probably an effort to just take out a few longs before more up move.

...

It seems that Binance froze. Is it planned or not, I don't know. Judging by the lil panic probably not.

If Binance is not coming back up soonish, we're screwed. Covid dump will seem small and insignificant compared to this...
1119  Economy / Economics / Binance down, reportedly a bug in spot trading but withdrawals not working on: March 24, 2023, 01:44:24 PM
Binance went down about 2 hours ago with all withdrawals blocked and funds frozen. According to them there is a bug in spot trading algo? Unfortunately my funds in the funding wallet are still frozen as well and the card is not working. Any news, gossip on this event?
1120  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 23, 2023, 05:30:47 PM
4 sat/b is currently the bottom for transactions and what used to take 1 now takes 10 just like the thread title says. And yeah there is a pool involved in the spam. Will others join the spam fest to make Bitcoin look bad and promote their tokens alt networks as the "solution"? Mine for spam?

I fear it's actually much more than that. I've sent ~$70 earlier today and paid ~$1.30 in fees (10 or 11 sat/b I don't remember precisely) and guess what? The transaction hasn't been confirmed yet! I paid 1 sat/b for similar tx before the ordinals were launched. I feel like I'm actually sponsoring some teen creating zillions of monkey pics hoping to get rich quick.  Grin

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