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121  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin just became the national currency of the tiny island Pontinha on: March 19, 2016, 04:34:25 AM
And so it begins!
122  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: March 15, 2016, 08:02:04 AM
I favor Chile.  Good personal liberty, climate, education levels, and some nice natural resources (copper, lithium, &c).  Very long flights however.
I've been living in Buenos Aires since October. Lovely summer here which is now slowly coming to an end. Chile and Uruguay were my 2nd and 3rd choices. The Southern Cone is highly livable and free compared to the rest of the continent.

Article 19 of the Argentinian (I only use Argentine as the demonym) constitution : "The private actions of men that in no way offend public order or morality, nor injure a third party, are reserved only to God, and are exempt from the authority of the magistrates. No inhabitant of the Nation shall be compelled to do what the law does not order, or be deprived of what it does not forbid."

Of course theory and practice have often differed, but it feels free here.

Quote
I do like the survivability of the Southern Hemisphere.  And fascist Australia is no option.
Certain simulations show a nuclear war in the Northern Hemisphere would result in much lower levels of fallout down here thanks to the equatorial doldrums. The Southern Hemisphere is entirely nuclear weapon free by treaty except for remote territories of countries such as the UK (e.g. Ascension Island which hosts an NSA SIGINT base).
123  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: We missed the ETH train. on: March 12, 2016, 04:38:36 PM
Fantasy.
124  Economy / Speculation / Re: Full blocks are .. on: March 09, 2016, 02:40:28 AM
And what % of these transactions are long chains going back to the sender?

Blocks are only 75% full on 7 day average : https://blockchain.info/charts/avg-block-size?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0&address=
125  Economy / Speculation / Re: update: 3/5/2016 on: March 08, 2016, 08:46:18 PM
Yes!
I am still bearish. The recent news is just fuel to the fire that I have seen as possible for over a year now. It may make my C-wave chart come to fruition sooner than I recently thought, even a couple of weeks ago. If the market takes it as a severe enough situation, then 352.50 will be broken, the triangle wasn't actually a triangle and we be doomin'. ETH goes up more and extends the pump.

If the 352.50 level holds (preferably higher if it's going to) then we get triangle completion, a thrust wave as high as 700 +/- a bit, and completion of the bear market counter trend (suckers rally) for wave-B (or X) and we see continuation of the bear trend (not necessarily breaking 100$, but it is possible). I don't see ATH's this year.
Thanks for your thoughts. What is your long term view going out over the next several years? When do you expect the next ATH? I think it will be some time yet, not least because great expectations for the halving should bring great disappointment in this ruthless market.

I think the blocksize issue is holding down price not because blocks are full (the 7 day average is only at 75.66% at the moment) but because of the uncertainties of governance and protocol development. Also the halving brings further uncertainty because of fears of decreased hash rate causing miners to drop out resulting in difficulty adjustment issues. In that way this halving does not exactly parallel the previous one, as at that time hash rate was very likely set to increase due to the switch to ASICs.

We also should see ETH either succeed or fail very publicly. I bet on the latter.
126  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: They want to delete the Wikipedia article on: March 08, 2016, 08:49:51 AM
Times have changed. Wink Sorry for the bump.
127  Economy / Speculation / Re: update: 3/5/2016 on: March 06, 2016, 06:57:49 PM
imo, anything below $400 is a buy and above 352.50 (C wave low). Right now, I have my sights set on 375ish as a bottom which may trigger some more stops. Bullish case, as long as 352 holds, is potentially above 600. A break below 352.50 is very bearish.
Your signature says still bearish. That reflects your medium term view?
128  Economy / Speculation / Re: bottem is in.. on: March 06, 2016, 06:54:15 PM
 Roll Eyes
129  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 25, 2016, 04:34:28 AM
15000 or 15001? w00t w00t.
130  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Ethereum Pump & Dump Scam on: February 18, 2016, 04:38:18 AM
Goodbye ETH. Smiley
131  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: February 12, 2016, 10:48:29 AM
An example of the latter negative effect:  ~20 Manhattanites get killed by stray voltage each year when touching signal poles or street lamps, but this is definitely not news, just a consequence of stratified layers of decaying transmission circuitry dating back to the era of Edison and Tesla.

Source? I see dogs get electrocuted frequently and parts of Sixth Ave. were shut down once : http://gothamist.com/2014/02/19/sixth_avenue_electrified.php
132  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Diff thread Jan 13 to Jan 27 picks are closed. on: January 14, 2016, 12:34:03 PM
I agree they just keep the change at 0%. I'm also thinking it will happen the first two weeks of July or late June.

26,713 blocks left, 2016 blocks per cycle, so 13.25 cycles left. The halving occurs 1/3 into a difficulty adjustment cycle. Last time it happened 1/6 of the way in.
133  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Diff thread Jan 13 to Jan 27 picks are closed. on: January 14, 2016, 03:27:28 AM
Jul   27  current ½ ing  guess
Why 27? bitcoinclock has it at the 17th now.
134  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Dec 31 to Jan 12 Diff thread picks closed. on: January 13, 2016, 02:51:40 PM
Congrats to the winner! Exahash in no time... nuts.
135  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Diff thread Jan 13 to Jan 27 picks are closed. on: January 13, 2016, 02:49:37 PM
Hey Philip, when do you think the halving will be based on the current difficulty increases and hardware sales forecasts? Looks like we are about to pull it forward to July 16th.
136  Economy / Speculation / Re: Kwuckduck? Did your analysis team not predict this? on: January 13, 2016, 01:08:12 AM
Fair enough but must you create so many empty threads to communicate these ideas?
137  Economy / Speculation / Re: Kwuckduck? Did your analysis team not predict this? on: January 13, 2016, 12:54:09 AM
Sorry for asking again kwukduck, I had posted this in another thread but then I forgot about it, but why are you so against bitcoin given that you registered in 2010? Is it because you sold all your coins for $1? If so, you are welcome to come live on visit the island once it is ready.
138  Other / Archival / Re: Why bitcoin will never die in two words on: January 09, 2016, 12:52:50 PM
The masterplan
139  Economy / Speculation / Market cap vs. bitcoin price on: January 09, 2016, 12:02:11 PM
Market cap in blue, bitcoin price in red, starting on the same zero point at the left and diverging as inflation takes away from the price of each coin.

Peak market cap is 2.06x current market cap compared to peak btc price which is 2.59x, a 26% difference.

The slope of the trend lines are interesting as well.

ref: blockchain.info
peak 13900051500, 1151.0
current 6751214190, 448.2



140  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will never reach $2000 again on: January 09, 2016, 08:05:56 AM
Technically it did reach $2200 on Gemini due to a fat finger mistake by a dumb buyer. The twins decided to stopp trading, then rolled back all the trades afterwards.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/3sqjrf/gemini_2200_per_bitcoin_are_they_out_of_bitcoin/


It managed $9700 on Campbx and I don't think it was rolled back either. All we need for untold riches is chronically thin order books and zero desire to sell, ever.

It reached $1.3 million or so at the end of July 2011...it was one of Gox's many hackings/blunders. Mark blamed it on someone starting their DB before he was ready lol

edit: found the old link
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=33185

and yes some of us had orders sell at that price, but it was rolled back
Nice to see a post from an unknown old schooler here. Wink
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