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1861  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2014, 11:06:27 AM
My prediction:

sideways until 20th June (+/- 2 days)


And then up or down

then up

then  a minor correction

then moon

exact numbers later in the summer   Cool Cool

I feel a huge increase up in value in overdue and good news are going to rain on the community

Prepare to have the following problems : tax of gains, sell some of your bitcoins to buy a house by the beach, secure your bitcoins ect.
1862  Local / Produits et services / Re: just-dice.com on: June 07, 2014, 08:03:55 PM
C'est déjà plus intéressant que mon LEP (sans parler de l'arnaque mcxnow). On pourra rétorquer avec raison que le LEP est doublement garantie (taux plus 100 000 € de remboursement par l'état en cas de défaut de paiement de la banque).

Ton sample est pour l'instant beaucoup trop petit pour en tirer une quelconque conclusion.
Par exemple, j'ai investi y a 2 semaines, et je suis down  Grin

L'espérance de gain doit pouvoir se calculer sans grande difficulté (mais qd meme trop grande pr moi Smiley)


Sinon David, tu trouves où les données du tableau que t'as posté? Thx

Tu ne dois plus être down maintenant; un joueur a perdu 565BTC hier sur JD!

Faites attention, je ne pense pas que ce soit legal d'investir dans JD pour un résident français, c'est pour ça que j'ai choisi de ne pas investir
1863  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Play or Invest : 1% House Edge : Banter++ on: June 07, 2014, 08:00:53 PM
Not sure if it's been asked before but will there ever be an autobet on this site?

I don't think it's a good idea.

Why would you want a program to bet for you on a site where there's no winning strategy?

If you dislike playing enough that you do want to actually do it, perhaps you should stop playing.

You can just send your coins directly to my donation address in the FAQ if you want to get rid of them quickly.  Smiley

Some players love to autobet, it is actually fun and casinos are about giving fun to their clients

BTW I have been re-reading the first pages of this thread, it is fun, it brings us back
1864  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.99% Edge - Instant Cashout - Invest - Referral - Mobile - Fair on: June 07, 2014, 07:54:53 PM
So what has been up with this site lately?

If you go on the site address you will see that the last message is from May 28 2014 and people who had money tied up with the website are writing it off as a loss

Do you mean the site are down now ?

The site has been down for like 2 weeks, and OP hasn't made any communication here since May 25, even if he has logged in his account from time to time.

Someone won huge, he asked to withdraw, ED said it will review the winner's bets before clearing the withdraws and suspended the bets

Look at ED start page to know more, members are not optimistic about ED future to say the least
1865  Economy / Gambling / Re: What is the best bitcoin casino? on: June 07, 2014, 07:53:24 PM
Someone who calls himself Theymos lost 500BTC on JD an hour ago, he must think JD is the best

Both JD and PD have 1% edge and able 200BTC bets

PD have maxbet+profit=40btc. So that big high rollers go to jd for that.

40BTC is a lot, you can lose hundreds of BTC easily

It is very hard to find the info on the website or the bitcointalk thread, can you link me to the page that states the PD max bet please?

Yeah i dont think u can find official info on that. But im a mod on PD so trust me on that. Smiley . Its bet+profit=40btc max

So a high roller would just notice that its bet is refused if he tries to win more than 40BTC? It seems weird, you would think the info was public
1866  Economy / Gambling / Re: Primedice.com | 600M+ Bets | 350k+ BTC Wagered | Free BTC | 1% Edge | Instant on: June 07, 2014, 07:50:45 PM
So you have lost 150 "10% bets" consecutively?
That seems very very unlikely (prob = 0.9^150 = 0.00001368914%)

So, if you make a million of rolls, you would come quite close to that. Though this doesn't in the least mean that it will happen to everyone making millions of rolls! Roll Eyes

BTW, there are only 650,390,470 bets at PrimeDice so far... Cool
I think most of us have come to discover that when it comes to provably fair dice games, the theoretical probability means nothing Roll Eyes
The experimental probably is very off. Tongue

Well said. Dice doesnt remember previous roll , every roll is independent. So any calculation will be very off. It gives u some kind of perception but in realyty doesnt mean much.

But when you come to think of that, it turns out very strange. If, say, the given outcome of five rolls has one possibility, but each one of them is independent from the others and has another (mildly speaking), the reason tells you (well, me) that the possibility of several rolls makes no sense at all! Cool

When events are independent you can calculate the probably of all the events to occur, that is basic probability

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability
1867  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 07, 2014, 07:49:17 PM
here we go
bitstamp starts rising...

No ? 653..

656$ atm

I feel there is way more chance of having +50$ in a month than -50$, let's bid up
1868  Economy / Gambling / Re: Listing Betting Sites Total # Of Bets on: June 07, 2014, 07:47:48 PM
How about vote and another column showing number of vote? (maybe like WOT?)

Good idea actually and a few lines on each website : date of creation, owner's name or nickname, reputation
1869  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: X-Value.com - About 80% Monthly Income on: June 07, 2014, 05:09:56 PM
X-value.com Super Shares price already reached 772.46% of its original value and growing.

+1%...+5% Daily!

Super Shares are backed 100% by money (Bitcoins) at all times, so there is absolutely no risk of losing your investment.

What are you waiting for? Can you see how much money you can make with x-value? Invest and rest! Smiley



WOW that is so deceiving! "absolutely no risk of losing your investment"!! Of course there is a huge risk
1870  Economy / Gambling / Re: What is the best bitcoin casino? on: June 07, 2014, 05:07:34 PM
Someone who calls himself Theymos lost 500BTC on JD an hour ago, he must think JD is the best

Both JD and PD have 1% edge and able 200BTC bets

PD have maxbet+profit=40btc. So that big high rollers go to jd for that.

40BTC is a lot, you can lose hundreds of BTC easily

It is very hard to find the info on the website or the bitcointalk thread, can you link me to the page that states the PD max bet please?
1871  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will plummet to $10 by first half of 2014 on: June 07, 2014, 05:04:20 PM
oooh professor bitcorns time is running out!  Cheesy

8days before being able to definitely say he was wrong, it is utterly unlikely that he won't be right

BTC @ 2300$ within a year Smiley
1872  Local / Actualité et News / Re: Monoprix et le BTC on: June 07, 2014, 05:03:12 PM
Grin tu as raison ... on devrait voir passer "avant nous" l'Italie et l'UK sur le feu ...  Roll Eyes

Ils sont plus mal partis mais vont peut-être moins vite dans la mauvaise direction que nous

On a beaucoup de capital en France mais il a été crée il y a longtemps; le climat est anxiogène pour les créateurs d'entreprise et les jeunes
1873  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.99% Edge - Instant Cashout - Invest - Referral - Mobile - Fair on: June 07, 2014, 05:00:16 PM
So what has been up with this site lately?

If you go on the site address you will see that the last message is from May 28 2014 and people who had money tied up with the website are writing it off as a loss
1874  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 07, 2014, 04:59:07 PM
IMO we are at a point where we have a lot of high net worth, major corps, and invesent funds investing in Bitcoin. The days of huge swings, massive outbreaks, and downward spirals are over. I think we will see peaks and valleys in the range of 2-3% possibly at a faster pace than traditional stocks rise and fall but like I said to many major players now have too much to lose not to control the price. Not only that but if more retailers are to enter the "accepting" bitcoin game then the price has to show signs of long term stability and I think that's what we are seeing here. Long term investment growth, price stability for retailers to enter bitcoin, wider acceptance by the general public who don't have the knowledge or skills to enter a highly volatile market.

That's just my guess, he'll we could be at $1,000 on Monday. Who the hell knows.

When major corps and investment funds will massively invest in Bitcoin, the price will be well into 4digits or possibly 5digits
1875  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: June 07, 2014, 04:57:26 PM
Basically unless you have infinite money supply, you will lose.

However the chances of getting 10-15 consecutive losses is rare.

So basically the less you play the better are your odds.


Basically get in and get out asap.


Not exactly.

a) You will probably ruin casino if you have more capital than casino on start(almost sure if you have significantly more than casino); no need for infinity (of course infinity money supply means 100% chance)
b) 10-15 losses in rows are NOT rare. It depends on point of view. During 15 rounds it is really rare to have 15 losses, but when you do like trilion rounds 15 in rows are actually very common.

You'll break the casino, you will not lose.
i don't see how anyone with infinite supply could lose. that would simply be a disgrace to all gamblers out there.

Infinite supply doesn't suffice since all casinos implement max bet
1876  Economy / Services / Re: WE PAY FOR SIGNATURE EVEN MORE. UP TO 0.0016 BTCs PER POST. WEEKLY PAYOUTS. on: June 07, 2014, 04:55:53 PM
Can I join?

Post count: 198
Bitcoin address: 13VZNWDGD67mMToazDniaQG15XupxcRpqG
Be careful, read through the last posts. People haven't been confirmed and paid when trying to enter recently. You might be wasting your time.

When the price paid is too good to be true, beware!

Investing in ED compared to invest in JD or advertise the newcomer instead of PD are risky
1877  Economy / Securities / Re: [dicenow.com] btc/ltc casino - 10,000 rolls per click - play/invest - multi edge on: June 06, 2014, 07:56:27 PM
What does "10,000 rolls per click mean?"

I guess the computer simulates 10,000rolls and gives u the result instantly

You can ask to bet 1satoshi and x2 if you lose but return to 1 if you win; it will do i t 10,000times in an instant and gives you the result : +5000 or you don't have enough to make the last bet



XD

nice
1878  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will plummet to $10 by first half of 2014 on: June 06, 2014, 07:54:29 PM
Idiotic prediction that didn't come true.

I predict bticoin value will be at between 0 and infinity from now till the end of time.


Looking stupid is the risk they take when talking about stuff they haven't taken the time to understand.

That prediction of $10/btc in my opinion was only a poor attempt to let the price drop to buy more bitcoins.

Who knows?

Predicting such a low price on a Bitcoin forum seems pointless
1879  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: June 06, 2014, 07:53:00 PM
I tried so many strategy but nothing work in longer run.

Mathematics don't fail, you can alway get lucky and win though; the important thing is to have fun playing and gamble responsably Wink
1880  Economy / Gambling / Re: EveryDice.com | 0.99% Edge - Instant Cashout - Invest - Referral - Mobile - Fair on: June 06, 2014, 07:52:39 PM
LiKaShing? Is there really how the owner of that site called himself? lol Cheesy

He was on Just-Dice today.

He deposited 20 BTC to an account, and it was withdrawn shortly afterwards.

He says he didn't withdraw it, and that there's no possible way his machine has malware on it, so it must be a Just-Dice bug.

Quote
22:39:45 (696742) <tasha> this website sucks balls
22:41:25 (696742) <tasha> the problem is this website, not my computer, trust me
22:55:08 (696742) <tasha> this website is a joke
22:56:17 (696742) <tasha> You know what ? this website is a joke.
22:56:43 (696742) <tasha> i am likashing
23:01:04 (696742) <tasha> i am a mac and linux user, i have many machines
23:01:31 (696742) <tasha> all macbooks and an imac
23:09:22 (1337) <LiKaShing> dooglus, absolutely this is not a slander attempt
23:10:49 (1337) <LiKaShing> for sure i am not trying to fuck you

I understand he has a dice site of his own.

Lol rly he also turned to scammer? Damn more and more guys that i know ware nice highrollers once then busted and then turned to scammers. One more lesson, dont loan/invest in gambler. Cheesy

It seems to happen often

Someone lost 500BTC on JD today, let's hope he doesn't turn sc.ammer soon
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