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2141  Other / Off-topic / Re: hero member membership on: October 10, 2013, 11:47:02 AM
Congratulations. You join the ranks of some of the forum's most notorious scammers!  Tongue

why Hero members are notorious scammers please explain I was going to congrats him but after reading this first asking this question to you then give him congrats  Cheesy
Pirate, Shakaru, Nefario, zhoutong (contested), Matthew N. Wright (contested, though I think he still has the SCAMMER tag), terrytibbs (SCAMMER tag eventually revoked), PatrickHarnett (I'd contest this, though he's tagged), probably more I can't remember.
2142  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Next difficulty ~215,000,000 ? on: October 10, 2013, 11:28:53 AM
Kludgey method: Difficulty can be roughly determined by hashpower at the mid-way point of the difficulty change window (7D in a stagnant mining network) IF it isn't an anomaly (that is, hashpower increase remains fairly linear). We're roughly 4.85 days in and if this were the halfway point, the difficulty could be projected @ 240M. 7/4.85=~1.4433 (estimated %increase from current point to 7D point). 1.4433*(240-189.28[<-Cur. diff.])= 73.204 (estimated difficulty increase).

Projected difficulty: 262.484M


ETA: Nope, all wrong. Forgot to factor in that this isn't a stagnant network, and diff change window <14D. Hrm. Without maffing it out, assuming 11.5D window... 5.75D ends up being the halfway point. 5.75/4.85=~1.185567. 1.185567*(240-189.28)=60.13195824.

Projected difficulty: ~249.412M. In reality, because hashpower increases exponentially, not linearly (right now), an adjusted projection would be ~251-253M. There's a lot of corner-cutting going on here, though. Cheesy
2143  Other / Off-topic / Re: hero member membership on: October 10, 2013, 09:54:28 AM
Congratulations. You join the ranks of some of the forum's most notorious scammers!  Tongue
2144  Economy / Services / Seeking woodworker (displayable small-scale boat) on: October 10, 2013, 06:06:17 AM
Looking for someone to build a model of a longship. It shouldn't be ridiculously intricate like those pieces fellows work on for years, but attention to detail would obviously be appreciated since impact of the vessel is exceptionally important. It needs to be sturdy enough to have a 99%+ chance of surviving international mailing intact (one solid piece of carved wood would be preferable - the possible exception being the mast). As far as scale and dimensions - I'm no nautical expert, but the longship should be large enough to carry roughly 2 "gallons" of loot (~500 cu. in., ~.08 cu. m.).

The longship is for the project listed @ https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=307001

At this time, I can't offer much more than materials + ~$10/hr, payable in cash or coin. Should the first project have an excellent result, though, I'd ask for donations to pay closer to market rate, and a woodworker would likely be useful in all future projects. If interested or know someone who may be interested, please PM me.
2145  Other / Off-topic / Re: Where is the best place to find jobs in bitcoin startups? on: October 10, 2013, 04:20:03 AM
Try angel.co
2146  Economy / Speculation / Re: [poll] Imagine the biggest dump of all time. on: October 10, 2013, 03:01:49 AM
We'd obviously go down real low, but we'd most likely instantly recover to $50+ I'm thinking... It doesn't take a genius to realise that's not much more than 5% of the current Bitcoins in circulation, and those being dumped shouldn't cause a drop to anything too severe.

i guess the poll isn't clear, of course we would bounce back above 50. ( i think we'd bounce back to 70-105 range no matter how many coins are dumped )

what's not so clear is how low would the bottom be ( even if we are their for a 1/10th of a second )

Well there's no where near enough buy orders to fill this. So if all coins were sold instantly they'd hit 0.00001 (Or whatever the lowest unit of price is on Gox/Stamp)? lol


i think bots & super fast humans can place bid while orders are being filled, i think this is true for Gox anyway.
Oh. I think we all forgot to factor in the exchanges crapping out, too.  Cheesy
2147  Economy / Speculation / Re: [poll] Imagine the biggest dump of all time. on: October 10, 2013, 02:04:26 AM
$1xx in the case where it's the FBI (though they currently don't control the coins as far as we know), since it would be known, and bids would already be up in anticipation of the dump.

I'd guess it'd instead be auctioned if they were to end up controlling DPR's (rather, SR users') coins, where the buyer probably wouldn't do a full-retard dump.
2148  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Operation: Corporate Bitcoin Funvangelism [help wanted] on: October 09, 2013, 11:32:32 AM
I am not exactly sure what you are looking for but I may be able to help you given my experience in technology business development and sales.
I'm currently only looking for the design of a Nordic-themed Bitcoin logo to have painted on a sail, and personal letters of encouragement (for Paradox's Wester) from users of both Paradox products and Bitcoin. Looking for a woodworker to build a small-scale longship, too. There is likely still plenty of additional space in the undesigned longship for additional advertisers/gift-givers, though I think it's reasonable to hold off engaging them until the longship is constructed. Finding someone to carve out a longship will likely cause the greatest delay, since it'll probably be impossible to find a BTC-passionate woodworker interested in the job near-cost for BTC, where costs can probably be significantly lowered due to the charitable nature and potential for advertising. Delay is really in me giving up on that pipe dream and paying cash at retail for it to be built.

Sorry thread is so incoherent. Idunno what's wrong with my brain the past week or so, but everything I've typed lately comes out a disorganized mess, missing details, and rife with errors. Probably just syphilis. I'll go back and try fixing some of it soon. ETA: Cleaned up the thread as best I could. ETA2: Deleted too much. Cheesy Fixed (hopefully).
2149  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Interest Check] $2.99 (~.0241BTC) per GH/s, January delivery on: October 09, 2013, 09:03:59 AM
But that does not factor in discount does it ?  Wink
I'm interested in discounts too.
Theoretically:
$2.90 for $2K+
$2.80 for $5K+
$2.60 for $10K+
$2.50 for $25K+
Negotiable for orders in volume beyond.
2150  Other / Politics & Society / Re: What are your thoughts for the US government temp. closing? on: October 09, 2013, 08:59:51 AM
Worst part about all this may end up being widespread shutdowns in the private sector (from the auto to pharma industry, and plenty in between). Regulatory agencies have funds to continue critical certification services. They had time to come up with plans to deal with funding deferment, but many didn't (instead opting to "go on strike"). Private companies required to go through certification processes the government refuses to provide will eventually have to start furloughs of their own if a solution isn't found fairly soon. Car companies are going to be sitting on piled-up 2014 inventory if it keeps on, since they need EPA certifications. The execs of JIT factories must be jumping up and down while screaming in panic. Cheesy
2151  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Is Bitcoin really anonymous? on: October 09, 2013, 06:21:48 AM
If someone told you Bitcoin is anonymous, please punch them in the teeth for us. Bitcoin is, at best, pseudonymous. Analysis software, however, won't help a snoop if the Bitcoins are laundered properly. In proper laundering you get many other peoples' coins sent to fresh addresses presumably not linked to your legal identity. Someone could probably tell it was laundered, but have great difficulty trying to figure out where "your" coins went (if even possible).
2152  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How HARD is it to trace someone on bitcointalk? on: October 09, 2013, 05:28:41 AM
Assuming it's theft rather than a "misleading scam," there are a good few companies which will give you information, too, if you provide them details, and especially if you're a customer wanting information on people accessing your account. For example - maybe you want as much information as possible on someone who accessed your email account without authorization. A good few companies will provide this without a LEO demand backing it up (which you pretty much need for online crimes, where the police are about as useful as a dirty sock unless the loss is for $millions), though I found Gmail is a painful exception (they may be reversing this policy some time in the future, though). Amazon EC2 was also largely uncooperative, though the provided me some registration details of the person who used the service to compromise my account. However, simply by asking, you may be rewarded with the information which leads to the big break in info you need. -but again, that assumes it's theft rather than a contract violation.
2153  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: We got trust issues... on: October 09, 2013, 04:45:23 AM
He does have a point though; bitcoin would be more popular if people felt more confident putting their money into it.
Well - you have two options. You can use Bitcoin as probably intended, as your own bank - or you can use one of the increasingly-prevelant off-chain "banks." As example, the company paying me for sig-space does this, where you have people you can talk to directly about your account. It isn't really "Bitcoin," but instead a kind of exchange system where you get BTC-redeemable IIO-BTC, but get a good many advantages along with it (in effect, this is quite similar to Ripple, except Ripple is stupid-complicated and cumbersome for what it does). There is no reason you can't go a step further and have banks actually deal with BTC in their own accounts (similar to how you can have mixed fiat accounts, maybe a JPY and USD account), keeping in mind that currency in a bank is not the same currency, and you're instead issued a new redeemable currency in effect (for example, in the US, you deposit USD, but are not guaranteed access to that USD -- you're basically given an interest-bearing certificate of deposit you can slowly withdraw from on-demand, or in other ways as agreed to with the financial institution). -But, going that route, converting BTC to redeemable BTC, you lose a lot of what makes Bitcoin "Bitcoin," from increased security to certain cryptographic capabilities which stem from controlling individual Bitcoin addresses. If you want to use Bitcoin as if it were fiat and have the option to use Bitcoin as a p2p currency, you can put them in online wallets (later, I'd guess - actual banks).

I mean - if you want Bitcoin to be the equivalent of PaypalBTC, you can use it that way. There's nothing stopping you except all the benefits of Bitcoin you lose by doing so. You can also use it both ways, with some coins owned by you, and some coins converted to redeemable notes with online wallets.
2154  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How HARD is it to trace someone on bitcointalk? on: October 09, 2013, 04:04:33 AM
(^Great Britain, I imagine)
Say... Roll Eyes some one Scams YOU and you want to file a Lawsuit against them Huh I haven’t had this happen to me but just in case.  Wink  Grin

Thanks

If a person starts out intending to scam, your chances of catching them are slim to none since they will have uses anonymous tools from the start.

I've been thinking this less and less lately. People keep getting caught by being shockingly lazy. Ulbricht and Shavers being the two examples most deeply burned in my mind... Experimentally, the level of laziness and arrogance is usually only matched by scam victims who the scammer must be very hard-working and smart to've scammed them.
2155  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Interest Check] $2.99 (~.0241BTC) per GH/s, January delivery on: October 08, 2013, 10:47:52 AM
can u post more details , what mining hardware you plan to use , have you placed orders already e.t.c. 

Post more details man  Huh


Haven't ordered - no reason to move forward if market couldn't absorb it (I'm not the one selling, either - just gathering information). It'd all be through Cointerra IV hardware which is already scheduled for production. I wasn't thinking company and related are very important - a GH/s is a GH/s, and if insured, it doesn't really matter who's making it or what the hardware is, so long as it's meeting specs. CT is semi-publicly taking bids on ~1/4 of end-of-year production which hasn't yet been snagged by a big player (though they're receiving a good few bids).

Someone could load up Skype, PM Ravi and just say "here's the money, I want it all," and figure out what smaller customers want after the fact, or equilibrium could be established, which I'd think is best both for consumer and middlemen.
A GH of BFL and a GH of KNC are two examples of differences.

BFL - Order today get eventually if your lucky (12months+)
KNC - Order today get November (December if a problem happens)
Yeah - but not relevant to a "mathematical" mining bond (rather, one where all the worry and risk is for the bond-issuer, or group buyer if he guarantees delivery date with something like escrowed funds - it's easy enough to write in guarantees for buyers so long as the issuer/group-buyer trusts the ASIC manufacturer). I think I may've poisoned the well by posting this in Group Buys (and my writing is particularly unclear today).

Maybe rephrasing the question would help -- Okay, so let's say that on January 18th, a fellow is going door-to-door selling hashpower in some magical accounting form which just credits your Bitcoin account with dividends based on the hashpower you purchase. He's from - Idunno, AMD, and this is an official AMD service, with specs and consistent dividends fully guaranteed by some mythical, trustworthy insurance firm. Knowing only what you know right now, how much would you pay per GH/s on that January 18th date?

What if the date were instead December 12th?
2156  Other / Meta / Re: Since attack on bitcointalk, email trouble. Anyone else? on: October 08, 2013, 05:25:38 AM
o.O My email address has been public for years, and I still only get ~50 per day. No change since BTCTalk compromise exploited.
2157  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Interest Check] $2.99 (~.0241BTC) per GH/s, January delivery on: October 08, 2013, 05:13:15 AM
can u post more details , what mining hardware you plan to use , have you placed orders already e.t.c. 

Post more details man  Huh


Haven't ordered - no reason to move forward if market couldn't absorb it (I'm not the one selling, either - just gathering information). It'd all be through Cointerra IV hardware which is already scheduled for production. I wasn't thinking company and related are very important - a GH/s is a GH/s, and if insured, it doesn't really matter who's making it or what the hardware is, so long as it's meeting specs. CT is semi-publicly taking bids on ~1/4 of end-of-year production which hasn't yet been snagged by a big player (though they're receiving a good few bids).

Someone could load up Skype, PM Ravi and just say "here's the money, I want it all," and figure out what smaller customers want after the fact, or equilibrium could be established, which I'd think is best both for consumer and middlemen.
2158  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: 8 Kw/Hr in one room? Possible? on: October 08, 2013, 03:11:36 AM
(sorry for first reply - I misread)

Your biggest issue will probably be that the physical lines carrying electricity to the ASICs aren't rated for 25A+ each, which'd probably require a good chunk of change to replace. Especially because you're running them 24/7, anything which may disallow the line from adequately dissipating heat could be dangerous.

You'll probably need extension cords to split the load up among four different lines.

Gocha. I have 5 wall outlets (plus 1 in the bathroom, in my room), each of course with 2 sockets each.

So if I'm getting this right, I can save on just getting an electrician to upgrade the breaker, then split the power between the lines?

Instead of splitting the load on 2 lines that would have to be upgraded.
Well - that assumes every outlet is actually on a unique line, which often isn't the case. How many outlets are supported by one line is generally determined by building code, which means it's usually determined by when the house was built. Best (tedious) way to check is to just flip breakers on and off until you figure out exactly which lines support which outlets.
2159  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: 8 Kw/Hr in one room? Possible? on: October 08, 2013, 02:58:55 AM
(sorry for first reply - I misread)

Your biggest issue will probably be that the physical lines carrying electricity to the ASICs aren't rated for 25A+ each, which'd probably require a good chunk of change to replace. Especially because you're running them 24/7, anything which may disallow the line from adequately dissipating heat could be dangerous.

You'll probably need extension cords to split the load up among four different lines.
2160  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Interest Check] $2.99 (~.0241BTC) per GH/s, January delivery on: October 08, 2013, 01:13:27 AM
Has my ignore bar turned dark brown? $6-7 GH/s for Jan-Jun Monarch units - no interest in hosted $3 per Jan GH/s from CT?

Need more details - bad offer - "too good to be true"? Any feedback would be much appreciated!
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