this board is not called "guessing board" for a reason!
My "Most Insane Prediction" is based on a few thesis: 1) Be a total contrarian to general assumption and expectation, and 2) Be totally beyond commonly accepted reason and logic, and yet remain rational.
that is where you are wrong. the "assumption and expectation" is what drives the market most of the times. when enough people expect price to fall they sell, and when enough people expect the price to rise they buy.
their buy and sells leads to rise and falls.
7. Bitcoin will fall from the top #1 position by end of 2018.
yeah. very logical.
millions of investors will suddenly decide "lets stop investing in bitcoin" and then a couple of hundreds of thousands of merchants will say "yeah lets stop accepting bitcoin" and everyone just dumps it for no reason at all.
8. Ethereum will surpass Bitcoin to be the #1 in the same time period.
why?
what does ETH do better than bitcoin?
the fees are high.
the scaling issue of ETH is horrible
it can not handle large number of transactions which has been proven multiple times when the network failed
it has lots of bugs and exploits like DAO waiting to happen again
it is not even a currency to want to compete with bitcoin
not to mention the huge supply and no cap!
You may disagree all you like, but as I said, this is "My Most Insane Prediction".
as i said this is not a "guessing board" and you are not predicting anything, you are clearly bag holding ethereum and think we can't see that
![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)