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October 05, 2024, 06:46:05 PM *
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501  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: June 15, 2024, 06:44:50 PM
Scotland has 5 points right now and England has 3 points. but  England has a better run rate compared to Scotland. England is going to play the next match against Namibia. On the other hand, Scotland is going to play the next match against Australia. So this is a very big chance for England to actually go through to the Super 8  stage of the competition. England will have to win the match like they did against Oman. Now, they will also have to pray that Australia is able to beat Scotland. But of course that should not be a big problem for Australia. So I actually think that England will manage to get to the next stage of the competition. But remember, Scotland has not actually lost a single match in this World Cup so far.  they had also started very well against England and scored 90 from 10 overs but after that the match was not played and the points were shared between England and Scotland. So I think probably there is a chance of a surprise. but still, Australia shouldn't have any problems in the end beating Scotland.
502  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin has higher market cap than the three biggest banks in the world on: June 15, 2024, 03:42:53 PM
Not to burst the bubble though, every bull run that we have, Bitcoin will suddenly goes up in terms of market cap and then compete not only with banks but top tier companies in the world and everyone thinks that it's a good measurement.

However, when we go on a bear market, numbers are going to go down hard as well and then we are out of the top 10 or top 20. So for me, this numbers are not worth to look at, most valuable companies are consistent as compare to Bitcoin, just saying.

But you need to admit with me that the value and capitalization of bitcoin is still increasing over time and it will not stop at the current capitalization of 1.32 trillion USD. When bitcoin was first born, it only had a capitalization of a few thousand, tens of thousands of dollars...and in just 14 years it has increased to 1.32 trillion, and no asset or organization has done this great.

I remember there was a time when we were even above silver's cap but I just checked again that we are below but the gap is not huge and bitcoin will easily overtake silver in the near term. If compared, I like to compare bitcoin with the capitalization of other assets instead of comparing with companies, and I believe we will soon climb to the top position in the future.
https://companiesmarketcap.com/assets-by-market-cap/
503  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Are cold wallets safer than online exchanges? on: June 15, 2024, 03:22:27 PM
If you had a large amount of cryptocurrency would you prefer to keep it on an offline cold wallet or an online cryptocurrency exchange?

Both have pros and cons.

I'm interested to hear the thoughts of others.

Undoubtedly, exchange wallets are much more risky than cold wallets. In particular, the access to the cold wallet can only be taken by the owner of the wallet, no other third party can take access to the cold wallet. So there is no risk in keeping Cryptocurrency in cold wallet. But if you keep cryptocurrency in the exchange wallet, the exchange authority can take access to that wallet apart from the user, so the cryptocurrency remains at risk for the user. So I am currently more interested in using cold wallets than exchange wallets.
Cold wallets also have risks. Your cryptocurrency can still be attacked by hackers if you don't know how to preserve your cold wallet's private key/seed phrase. If your seed phrase is leaked, someone will also have access to your cold wallet, or worse, you will lose access to your assets if you lose your seed phrase. Everything has its own risks and the safety of your assets is up to you, not just using a cold wallet means your assets become inviolable.

But using cold wallets will be a more perfect choice because we have full control over our assets, whereas if we store them on centralized exchanges, we will lose some authority over our assets making it unsafe.
504  Economy / Economics / Re: Things to avoid when you earn a lot or become rich on: June 15, 2024, 03:02:54 PM

I think there is nothing wrong with what they do by posting their success or success on social media where there are likely to be many people who see it, because after all what is shown can motivate others or raise the spirits of others who may at that time there are people who are experiencing failure and downturn. And for me the risk that will be felt by people who show their success is nothing more than social risk, or the point is that maybe in the next few days or months there will be many people who come like asking for help such as borrowing money or wanting to ask for directions or ways to be successful like him, and for that problem I think it is not a risk, because after all the name risk is when someone does something that tends to lead to mistakes that can threaten or endanger him such as taking a decision or doing something excessively, but if not then I think posting success on social media is a common thing that many people often do.

I don't know what the lifestyle is like in your country, but in my country, poor people can hang out with rich people, but rich people will rarely work with poor people, and most rich people usually just cooperate and do business with rich people. Therefore, whether someone brags about their success or wants to prove that they have become rich has its own purpose. Some may want to assert themselves as talented people and want to set themselves as an example for others to make efforts as you said. But there are also some people who do it because they are looking for ways to expand better relationships to increase wealth.
In addition, perhaps the security situation in each country is different, and I don't see any risk in someone wanting to brag on social networks when they become rich in my country.

In my country most of them are people who managed to achieve wealth in their lives and then post it I don't know about how and what exactly their purpose is, whether it's for bragging rights or for promotional purposes so that many people or companies want to work with him or her or for something else, but usually I hear that the idea they often say is that they are nothing more than motivating other people who are in the process of struggling to keep their spirits up and prove that the process will never betray the results, and I think it is an idea and action that does make sense to raise the spirits of other people who see it. As I said above, I don't really know the actual purpose but yes, it may be true as you said that indirectly their actions can also be a way to find or open doors for new business opportunities such as building new relationships with other people to plan new businesses. For me the real risk that can happen when someone posts or brags about their wealth is that there might be some people who see it who have bad intentions such as cheating, robbing or whatever.

As for bragging, I think we don't need to post pictures of ourselves holding a bunch of money, or showing off our bank account balance for everyone to see, or ridiculous pictures. We just need to post a little simpler photos to let everyone know that our lives are changing for the better after many hard days without having to brag too much. I think we won't face any risks, people are just exaggerating things more than necessary.
There is nothing wrong with us being proud and wanting everyone to know that our efforts have paid off, our choice was the right one.

In addition, our success is also the pride and honor of our parents, so it is not bad when our parents proudly talk about how successful we have been. Just like in the future, if our children are successful, we will show them off to our friends and be proud of them, which is a great joy for any parent.
505  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Parents on childs savings bank accounts are waste of time if not saving on BTC on: June 15, 2024, 02:42:16 PM
Not all parents understand about bitcoin, they are more likely to be afraid because the value that can fluctuate at any time is what parents want, especially lower middle class people have no experience with any investment, so the way they choose is to save money in the bank or make deposits with the APY they know.

That's a safe way for parents to save assets for their children even if they ignore the rising inflation.

Whereas we, the easy generation, understand enough about bitcoin to choose this path instead of saving money in the bank because we have learned a lot about bitcoin the meaning of financial freedom.
Bitcoin will be much better for children's funds for future education or pension funds prepared from now on.

Parents must not only understand about bitcoin, or saving, or investing in general, but they must educate their kids about finances as well. What is the point of running a child savings account, if the kid withdraws and spends all of them when he turns 18. Also parents must be very confident in banks. For example my grandmother during Soviet times was saving money on "passbook" for many years, and with time redenomination has happened and 1000 turned into 1. Banks can go bankrupt. People must be very cautions with savings.

To be fair, banks could fail and our savings could become worthless if inflation gets too high in the future. But bitcoin is not safer because there is also no guarantee that bitcoin can exist by then and people will still need it. It can be said that everything has risks and anything can happen whether it is banking or bitcoin.

I am married with children and am also thinking of using bitcoin as an alternative to banks to save for my children. But I realize everything has risk so I think diversification is the best thing instead of just using bitcoin or banks. No one forbids us to diversify our assets, why do we stubbornly choose just one of them?
Well said and I am so thrilled that you are at the virtue of storing saving for the future of your kids in Bitcoin and I hope you would always find it appreciable in as much Bitcoin still exists while you hold on for their savings on a long term goal until they grows and decides what to do with the fund on further planning for their future by themselves.

Actually it could be risky having just one source for savings or storage of values but if we can digress on this, we are most interested on the resource reputations and their potentials so, having saving funds for your kids in the bank could lead to devaluation via economy inflation even without that, it can not multiply for increments while Bitcoin fo have its down of volatility which the funds value is reciprocating to but considering the profitability potentials of Bitcoin, there is no possibilities to count lost as long you engaged on a long term savings for your kids as that.

Hence, it does not just seem a savings for your kids but has become an investment because it could provide profits.


It's not just me, I believe anyone who invests in bitcoin and has children has thought about this, but because current life may not allow everyone to do that. Maybe in the future when the economy is more stable and people's lives are more comfortable, they will think about using bitcoin to save for their children's future instead of banks. As investors, I believe we all cannot ignore the potential and benefits that bitcoin brings. But like I said, I won't just focus on bitcoin, I will diversify into different assets to secure my children's future.

Frankly, bitcoin's volatility makes it suitable as an investment and not as a place to save money, I've never considered bitcoin as a place to save money, it's an investment. That means I'm investing for my children, not just saving money for them.
506  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: June 14, 2024, 07:36:36 PM
Bayern Munich's management of course has a clear vision to build the Bayern Munich team especially after last season they were unable to defend the Bundesliga title. Of course for next season Bayern Munich's management will make the team much stronger and recruit Vincent Kompany as their new coach of course. There is a strong reason for Bayern management to do this despite Vincent Kompany's experience and also the bad statistics in his previous team, but I believe there is one side that makes Bayern management interested in recruiting Vincent Kompany as the team's new coach next season.

Vincent Kompany must be fully supported in recruiting players, I think all coaches have different characteristics and the same goes for selecting the players that each coach wants.

I don't know why Bayern Munich management appointed Vincent Kompany as coach. The Munich management could have hired a more experienced coach than Vincent Kompany. A team like Bayern Munich needs an experienced coach.

However, perhaps the Munich management wants to run an experiment with Vincent Kompany. Since Vincent Kompany has less experience. So he will try his best to make the Bayern Munich team more stable. And if he can succeed, Munich will once again be able to dominate the Bundesliga next season.

Bayern Munich will certainly want to solve all the problems within the squad next season. This is why Vincent Kompany is trying to strengthen Munich's defense first. Hopefully we will see more consistent and strong gameplay from Munich next season.

The question is, will it be enough?

Kompany being fully supported to bring in young players or whatever players he wants is probably going to be done by Bayern Munich. But will he still be able to bring in results? Or is it just going to be another mediocre result from them? And let me be clear, not winning the Bundesliga title is definitely a mediocre result for a club like Bayern Munich. This decision is not popular. The decision of bringing in Kompany as the new coach of Bayern Munich. And I hope the authorities understand that. There is also going to be a big backlash if the results are not good enough.

But on the brighter side, if he is able to bring in good results consistently, he is going to be glorified and almost compared at the same level as Alonso.
507  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Parents on childs savings bank accounts are waste of time if not saving on BTC on: June 14, 2024, 09:15:48 AM
Not all parents understand about bitcoin, they are more likely to be afraid because the value that can fluctuate at any time is what parents want, especially lower middle class people have no experience with any investment, so the way they choose is to save money in the bank or make deposits with the APY they know.

That's a safe way for parents to save assets for their children even if they ignore the rising inflation.

Whereas we, the easy generation, understand enough about bitcoin to choose this path instead of saving money in the bank because we have learned a lot about bitcoin the meaning of financial freedom.
Bitcoin will be much better for children's funds for future education or pension funds prepared from now on.

Parents must not only understand about bitcoin, or saving, or investing in general, but they must educate their kids about finances as well. What is the point of running a child savings account, if the kid withdraws and spends all of them when he turns 18. Also parents must be very confident in banks. For example my grandmother during Soviet times was saving money on "passbook" for many years, and with time redenomination has happened and 1000 turned into 1. Banks can go bankrupt. People must be very cautions with savings.

To be fair, banks could fail and our savings could become worthless if inflation gets too high in the future. But bitcoin is not safer because there is also no guarantee that bitcoin can exist by then and people will still need it. It can be said that everything has risks and anything can happen whether it is banking or bitcoin.

I am married with children and am also thinking of using bitcoin as an alternative to banks to save for my children. But I realize everything has risk so I think diversification is the best thing instead of just using bitcoin or banks. No one forbids us to diversify our assets, why do we stubbornly choose just one of them?
508  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: how much do you love bitcoins? on: June 14, 2024, 09:05:10 AM


Of course I would skip my Dollar Cost Average to help my family.  I am sure there are others who would not, but not because it is Bitcoin.  But because this is how they are, they would not give up things and plans for family.

I would even sell all my bitcoins if one of my relatives was in mortal danger, not just ignore the dollar cost average to help the family. People who compare and make a choice between bitcoin and home are people who have forgotten what the purpose of investing in bitcoin is. We invest in bitcoin so we can help our families and ourselves have a better life, not to worship it and never use it. So, when our loved ones need (urgent) help, there is no reason for us to hesitate in choosing family or bitcoin.

I also agree with some others, bitcoin is just an asset and using the word love is not appropriate for it. After all, bitcoin, fiat, gold...are all just to serve our lives, we don't serve them.
509  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin not coin memecoin on: June 14, 2024, 08:53:29 AM
Will btc continue rising or will drop and fuk everything up
Nobody knows for sure. We have predictions of every kinds on the internet regards Bitcoin next movements, but it's fairly safe to say that nowadays there are much less pessimism over Bitcoin than we had in previous years. Nowadays most news and predictions are optimistic about Bitcoin's future, especially right now that we are in a bullish market, which has potential to drive Bitcoin to a new ATH in the upcoming months.

Indeed, no one knows exactly what will happen next, it is also possible that bitcoin will continue to rise and history will repeat itself, but it is also possible that the bull season is over and 73k$ is the ATH of this season as some people are thinking about this scenario.

Personally, I think it is important when investing in bitcoin that we must always prepare ourselves with a plan B for both bad and good scenarios because there are no guarantees in this market. We need to be optimistic with our investments but not subjective, so preparing a backup plan is never bad.

Does bitcoin effect memecoins on solana or base
Yes, Bitcoin rules crypto market in every directions. If Bitcoin loses demand, the whole crypto market suffers, and when Bitcoin pumps, crypto market pumps as well. There isn't profit in crypto market when investing in altcoins if Bitcoin isn't doing well on the present time. The whole market relies on Bitcoin to thrive and survive. Without Bitcoin, this market wouldn't have the same reputation and confidence from investors.

Since the market was born, not much has changed, everything still revolves around the movement of bitcoin. Once bitcoin is not good, the rest are not good either, so when we want to invest in any project we should observe the movement of bitcoin.
510  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How many Bitcoins do you own or have you collected until now? on: June 14, 2024, 08:36:55 AM
I'm not going to reveal how many BTC I have right now. Grin It's not that much, so there's no reason for me to brag about it.
I had 1.25 BTC back in the summer of 2015, but I sold it because I was expecting the price to drop from 300 USD down to 100 USD. Grin
I remember having around 0.33 BTC back in 201-2017 and I sold most of it before the big bull run. Yeah, I know I wasn't a good trader back then. I don't know how many BTC I have earned from sig campaigns in the last 8 years. The amount must be decent, but honestly I don't care about this information.
Just saying, see back then the investors are delighted to share how much Bitcoin they own, them owning hundreds of Bitcoin but yet are open on their portfolio but we who do not own even 1 Bitcoin are secretive on how much Bitcoin we own  Cheesy. I would also do the same, I would not aswell give a concrete answer, but I own some fractions of Bitcoin that is worth more than some cups of coffee  Cheesy.

Simply because things have changed a lot, at that time the value of bitcoin was still not high and I guess most people just wanted to speculate in bitcoin and would sell them when profitable so they did not hesitate to share their bitcoins hold. But currently, each bitcoin costs nearly $70k and not to mention people are gradually appreciating their privacy, so it's not difficult to understand why there aren't many people who own more than 1 BTC but don't want to make it public. Revealing the amount of bitcoin we hold is not only a matter of privacy but can also be a matter of face because we fear having too little bitcoin compared to others, I guess so.  Wink Wink Wink
511  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Trump vs. Biden is almost like Bitcoin vs Fiat on: June 14, 2024, 08:09:46 AM
I support Mr. Trump's election, but not because he spoke out in favor of bitcoin and cryptocurrency. Everything he says about crypto is more political than he actually cares about it. We all know politicians can do anything to achieve their goals, especially American politics is notoriously messy and there is no trick they don't dare to do.

I disagree when you call Trump is bitcoin and Biden is fiat, because whoever becomes president will represent and have the task of making the USD stronger. Therefore, Trump's support for bitcoin during his campaign does not mean he is representing bitcoin.

We can see who of the two supports cryptocurrency or Bitcoin more, and that is none other than Trump, not Biden. Biden only supported Bitcoin because there would be an election and his term would end.

So if it's just for me, even if I'm not a resident of the US, I'll vote for Trump because I saw how he supported the field of bitcoin and cryptocurrency, to be honest., and I hope he wins this time without fraud happening.

As I said, I do not support Trump just because he promised to support cryptocurrencies if elected, the words of politicians have nothing for us to trust. Don't forget that when he was president in the 2016-2020 term, he also declared no interest in cryptocurrencies, although many years have passed and his views may have changed. But the election is approaching and both are just trying to achieve their goals, so what they say is not trustworthy.

If you want to support Trump just because he said he would support cryptocurrencies, it's too early for you to make a final decision. As a news report I just read, Biden's re-election team is discussing accepting cryptocurrency donations. That means they will also be making crypto-related promises in the near future.
https://www.theblock.co/post/299851/biden-campaign-in-talks-to-accept-crypto-donations-through-coinbase-commerce-sources
512  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: June 13, 2024, 05:29:15 PM
Bangladesh vs Netherlands in match 27 of ICC Men's T20 World Cup. In today's match, the Bangladesh team batted at the beginning of the game and gave the Netherlands team a target of 160 runs after finishing the game of 20 overs. I think in today's match the Bangladesh team has managed to give a fairly good target to the Netherlands team. But there is some doubt about winning the match on this 160 run target. Because the Netherlands team also has many strong players, it is not very difficult for them to reach the target of 160 runs. Now in the second innings game if the Bangladesh team bowlers can seriously strengthen their bowling line then Bangladesh team will have a chance to win this match today. Let's see at the end of the game which team can win today's match.

Bangladesh has given a target of 160 to the Netherlands. Bangladesh should actually be OK defending this target. After all, Bangladesh does have a decent bowling lineup. I know it is hard to trust Bangladesh in recent times. But I think they should be able to defend it successfully.

By the way, the top order of Bangladesh again did not do well enough. And how long is the captain of Bangladesh going to stay out of form? At this point he does not even deserve to be the captain of Bangladesh in one format, let alone three format. I hope Bangladesh is actually going to think about it again and appoint someone as the captain who actually deserves to be the captain.

Right now Netherlands needs 81 from 58.
513  Economy / Economics / Re: Things to avoid when you earn a lot or become rich on: June 13, 2024, 02:56:28 PM
If you’re lucky enough to become rich you should avoid excessive materialism, flaunting your wealth & surrounding yourself with money focused individuals. It's important to prioritise financial responsibility, seek genuine relationships & make informed investment decisions. You should avoid neglecting your personal well being & prioritise mental & physical health. By avoiding these pitfalls you can maintain a balanced & fulfilling life as a wealthy person.
That is actually the most common way most individuals from rags to riches do. I can even see people posting something they achieved in life on social media and I personally do not have any problem with that because it's their life not mine but yeah it all comes with risks we all know that.

Most people who normally post there success on the social media always fail to realize the risk it will bring to there life because on a normal they will feel that they are actually helping or motivating people on the things he go through before arriving were he is and there is nothing wrong with it but in other words he is actually telling people how wealthy and rich he is and possibly he could endanger himself by doing that, though is mostly common for those people who started with nothing and become rich later.

I think there is nothing wrong with what they do by posting their success or success on social media where there are likely to be many people who see it, because after all what is shown can motivate others or raise the spirits of others who may at that time there are people who are experiencing failure and downturn. And for me the risk that will be felt by people who show their success is nothing more than social risk, or the point is that maybe in the next few days or months there will be many people who come like asking for help such as borrowing money or wanting to ask for directions or ways to be successful like him, and for that problem I think it is not a risk, because after all the name risk is when someone does something that tends to lead to mistakes that can threaten or endanger him such as taking a decision or doing something excessively, but if not then I think posting success on social media is a common thing that many people often do.

I don't know what the lifestyle is like in your country, but in my country, poor people can hang out with rich people, but rich people will rarely work with poor people, and most rich people usually just cooperate and do business with rich people. Therefore, whether someone brags about their success or wants to prove that they have become rich has its own purpose. Some may want to assert themselves as talented people and want to set themselves as an example for others to make efforts as you said. But there are also some people who do it because they are looking for ways to expand better relationships to increase wealth.
In addition, perhaps the security situation in each country is different, and I don't see any risk in someone wanting to brag on social networks when they become rich in my country.
514  Economy / Speculation / Re: When will the bears take advantage? This bull run lasts so long on: June 13, 2024, 02:41:25 PM
That's still a question mark, and if what you say is true it means we won't see a bear market anymore, bitcoin won't drop 50%-70% like before and that means that we will no longer have bull season. I mean we won't have a bull run like everyone expecting, a market where bitcoin will increase 2x, 3x from current price, many altcoins will increase x5-x10? And the market gradually start moving like the stock market?

Bitcoin gradually becomes more stable and profits from bitcoin will gradually become smaller. I don't want this to happen and I believe many people don't want this to happen either.

I think the bull and bear markets still exist but the scale is smaller and does not have a significant decline like the previous year or cycle, because the competition for accumulation is getting bigger because of the ETF the bitcoin market can also be touched by more investors, so many assume that the decline in bitcoin will not be as deep as in previous cycles, most of which used to be retail investors but now institutions that have greater financial fundamentals are also competing, regarding the possible increase I think it is far more likely that today's prices are still relatively cheap than what should get the attention of many investors.

The biggest reason is that we are not competing with retailers anymore in accumulating bitcoin.

If volatility decreases it will also make the cryptocurrency market less attractive because most of us choose bitcoin and cryptocurrencies because of their high volatility, and think the stock market is boring.

Personally, I am thinking of a scenario where bitcoin will gradually stabilize and will be the game of Wall Street, but with the altcoin market nothing will change. I mean bitcoin will gradually become an asset with stable growth like gold and no longer be as volatile as before, but the alts market will still have pump and dump cycles because that is necessary if the market makers want to retain and attract players. The volatile nature is what makes cryptocurrencies different from other markets, if it disappears people will lose interest.

If you pay attention to the bitcoin rainbow chart, you must have seen that bitcoin fluctuations have indeed decreased, but if compared to S&P or the wall street game that you made, bitcoin will be an asset that has higher fluctuations among assets such as stocks and others.

If talking about stable gold I don't think so, it's too far away, because bitcoin is the riskiest asset compared to gold if seen from my perspective, bitcoin will have a Dump and Pump cycle too but relatively lower, unless retail bitcoin investors have very massive growth it might have a much bigger impact on its fluctuations, because retail must be easily consumed by fomo and also panic sell.

Talking about altcoins is definitely crazier especially on coins or tokens that don't have many fundamentals.

Currently, you're right because bitcoin is still a more volatile asset and still one that offers higher returns than the stock market. But over the next few years, there's no guarantee that bitcoin will continue to maintain its volatility or become as boring as the stock market. Like I said, I don't want that to happen either because once bitcoin's volatility decreases that means our profits will also decrease. But I don't rule it out, Wall Street can do whatever they want.
But if that happens, I think we still have the altcoin market, a risky and volatile market  Grin.
515  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Breakout Alert! 🚀 on: June 13, 2024, 02:08:56 PM
I heard many technical analysts say this a few months ago and before the halving but so far nothing has happened, bitcoin has not been able to make a new ATH and pull the entire market into a bullish period price.

Personally, I think all indicators are for reference only and there are no guarantees, bitcoin is unpredictable. That's why using the DCA strategy is always the best strategy when investing in bitcoin and always take a long-term view when investing in bitcoin. If we could determine the movement of bitcoin using charts and indicators, this market would not have become so harsh and there would not be so many losers.
Bitcoin is still sideways there is also some other technical analysis that they draw that there is a little bit of real confidence it's just that we don't know when the rally will start? Sometimes we get tired of seeing the market still mediocre after reaching $70K but I will still wait until the bullish period comes.

I don't attach much importance to any indicator even though there is actually a little doubt or other belief in the indicator but make no mistake this can help you analyze bitcoin in the future.
Now the DCA focus will be better bitcoin corrected again to $67K take advantage of the moment because after this bitcoin breakout will not be controlled anymore.

There is still no positive movement from bitcoin after hundreds of predictions, thousands of analyzes from analysts based on indices, and charts...and even bitcoin wants to correct to lower areas.

I still maintain the view that bitcoin is unpredictable in the short to medium term no matter what method you use. In the long term, bitcoin has only one trend: up and up, and everyone knows it without relying on any analysis. Bitcoin always increases in the long term and it is almost inevitable.

To me, as long as people continue to make bullish predictions, bitcoin will not increase anytime soon. Bitcoin always creates surprises and often goes against the crowd rather than pleasing the crowd. So my prediction, we won't see bitcoin rally and break its ATH anytime soon  Grin.
516  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Bitcoin become better on: June 13, 2024, 01:52:44 PM
Even if bitcoin solves the transaction fee problem and becomes stable, it will never replace fiat for day-to-day payments. The government will never let that happen until they find a way to control it. But if governments find a way to control bitcoin and it becomes centralized, will it still be attractive? So I don't believe that bitcoin will replace fiat currency, and I also don't want bitcoin to become centralized.

I'm happy with how things are going, bitcoin is a highly volatile investment because I can take advantage of that to make a profit. In particular, bitcoin's decentralization will partly help me avoid too strict control from the government.

Of course governments won't let that happen. Otherwise, they would be giving the power back to the people. It has always been about control from the very beginning. Why do you think Fiat was created in the first place? With central banks in play, governments will be able to do whatever they want with the economy. And no one will be able to stop them. BTC by itself can't be stopped either, so it will co-exist with CBDCs for generations. That's assuming Bitcoin stays decentralized forever.

I sure hope developers improve Bitcoin's on-chain transaction capacity to help keep fees at the minimum. The Ordinals craze will stifle its ability to be used as digital cash. The future is unpredictable, so we can only hope for the best. Cheesy

We need the reality that bitcoin replacing fiat currency is absolutely impossible, governments will never let that happen. Yes, I prefer the scenario where bitcoin will exist side by side with CBDC or fiat currencies rather than compete with each other and make governments hate bitcoin more.

Regarding transaction fees, I really feel like there is no hope because so far, the developers have remained silent and there is no solution to that problem. Many people think that sooner or later, ORDI or RUNE will disappear and everything will soon return to normal. But I don't believe in that because when BRC20 dies there will also be another version created and they will never stop, transaction fees will never be fixed.
517  Economy / Speculation / Re: Could 72K USD be the peak for this bull run? on: June 13, 2024, 01:41:11 PM
$76k can not be price peak of Bitcoin for the bull season. In the past months, there have been many predictions that Bitcoin will get to $80k+ before the end of this year which we are not certain of the price but definitely Bitcoin will go above $80k before the bear market will start. The price peak for Bitcoin will likely be reached by next year and the price might even reach $100k. But I doubt that Bitcoin's price peak will only end at $76k. If it does, that means during the bear season, the price will drop to $30k.

Many people predict and expect, that doesn't mean bitcoin will move and reach that price to please everyone. After all, it's all just investors' predictions and expectations, we can't know how bitcoin will behave in the future. Maybe there will be no bull season and $73k could also be the ATH of this bull season, or things are just starting, no one knows what will happen next.

Well, I didn't say that whatever price investors speculate about Bitcoin, it must definitely come through. If you read my statement, I said that no one can certainly tell the price that Bitcoin will reach. We are only speculative about price but don't know what the future can turn out to be. 

I know you also have your opinion and expectations for the Bitcoin price, but I really doubt that the all-time high for the season is going to be the $73k that you said. Don't forget that the bull season is not yet over and we still have long months to cover.
Because I saw you firmly stating that bitcoin will hit $80k before the bear season comes so I thought that way.

As a bitcoin investor, you and I, everyone, hope that the bull season hasn't even arrived let alone that it's over and we're in the distribution phase. But anything can happen and we shouldn't rule out that scenario because we don't know what's going on. Besides expectation and hope which is the only thing we have, we have no evidence that guarantees that history will repeat itself. And what I want to say is that we should always prepare ourselves with backup plans, don't be too subjective that history will always repeat itself without a plan B. We all know that bitcoin is unpredictable and the market is extremely harsh, so always be a proactive investor.
518  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: June 13, 2024, 05:21:56 AM
~Snip
Guys, any opinion about the performance of Roma?

I clearly do not see any improvement in their performance. but maybe I am just speaking a little too early. Maybe there is a chance that they will be able to bring in better results in the next season. it has not been even a whole season that they have brought in Daniele De Rossi. maybe with time, De Rossi will be able to improve the results. But at this moment I highly doubt that. 

You know, De Rossi is going to need a lot of money to actually bring in good results and compete for the title. at this moment I do not see a huge stream of money coming into the Roma club. do I think that it was a very big mistake that they have actually fired Jose Mourinho? probably not a very big mistake.  but at the same time do I think that they should have gotten a better coach? yes absolutely.  unless they actually finish in the top four positions in the next season I am not going to call another European League position finish "an improvement".
De Rossi was appointed as Roma coach in the middle of this season. Since then, Roma has developed much better than when Mourinho was still coaching. So with this quite good development, there is no need to doubt De Rossi. The reason is that even though he has only trained Roma for a short time, the results Roma has obtained can be said to have exceeded expectations. So for next season I am sure De Rossi will definitely make Roma an even better team. Because of course next season De Rossi will really be total in developing his strategy and also his players. Maybe in this season's transfer market De Rossi will bring in several players to make Roma a team that is strong in defense and also sharp in attack. Because the players that Roma currently has are definitely the players chosen by Mourinho, so it is certain that De Rossi will have a little difficulty in creating a strategy that suits his own style.

Although it is true that currently Roma does not have large enough finances to be able to bring in players who really have big names. But this is not an obstacle, because De Rossi can bring in young players to be the solution. Because I believe De Rossi is a typical coach who can make the team develop in various ways. So basically there is no need to doubt De Rossi, because if for example Roma forces Mourinho to remain in the coaching chair, I am sure Roma will not get results as good as they are now. Being able to finish in 5th place in Serie A, which was previously in the middle of the standings, could be said to be quite a good and significant development. So if you look at these developments, I am sure that next season Roma will definitely be a very prominent Serie A title challenger.

This is a time when we are witnessing a genuine shortage of good coaches. That's why I thought the decision to fire Jose Mourinho was not a very good decision. But that decision has already been taken, De Rossi started well. However, after the initial success, he was unable to bring in good results consistently. I always have criticized this decision. To me, it always felt like a downgrade. And now Roma does not have any other options other than giving him more time.


What I have in mind is that De Rossi was appointed as a coach or replacement because it is clear that De Rossi was appointed as Morinho's replacement, not as a coach. The context is different if it is said as a coach because De Rossi's experience is still in question next season. To be honest, since De Rossi was appointed as Morinho's replacement and continues the existing players and the game is not much different from when Morinho handled it, obviously I still have doubts about De Rossi's performance this season and next season we also don't know whether De Rossi will be able to. bring As Roma Champions or be in the top 4 in the race for Champions League tickets.

Building a squad with young players is always going to be something that might not bring in the result that you want. Building a squad with good experienced players makes with some young talent is always going to have a better chance of bringing in good results. There is a reason why it is hard for a lot of teams to compete with having young players in the whole squad against the experienced and good squad. There is a chance that De Rossi will be able to bring good results with a young squad. But that is going to take time. Roma will have to be patient. And even after that, there is no certainty that the young squad will be able to bring in good results consistently if he is able to build one in the first place.
519  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: June 12, 2024, 09:09:35 AM
In fact, there is nothing impossible in every match or if the match before 90 minutes is called, the match could possibly have a team that is superior or not, it all depends on who luck favors, Barcelona could win Laliga next season, although  Real Madrid having just brought in Mbappe does not guarantee that a star-studded club will always dominate the league or game, in fact a non-top club could conquer the king of the league.
Barcelona should not be taken lightly even though they are currently having financial problems. The Blaugrana remain strong candidates and they also have players who have the mentality to win. Yes, Real Madrid is always the favorite because next season their strength will also increase. I have quite a lot of respect for the La Liga contestants, every team that works hard will definitely get maximum results too. Who would have thought that Giron would be able to compete so hard at the top that they had the right to qualify for the Champions League? Football sometimes has a lot of mystery and is difficult to predict.
The two strongest clubs in La Liga are Real Madrid and Barcelona. So there is no way to take Barcelona lightly. The players who are still in their club can do well enough for the club. But if we consider the difference between Real Madrid and Barcelona, then we can easily find those differences. Real Madrid currently have strong players in every position and have signed two players this season to further strengthen their club's attacking line-up. The Brazilian star was previously signed by Real Madrid but he could not play for Real Madrid until now due to his not being of suitable age but the Brazilian young superstar will come to Real Madrid from next season. All in all you have to accept that Real Madrid are a much stronger team than Barcelona and the way Real Madrid beat Barcelona out of the league title this season could repeat itself next season.

There is literally no doubt that right now Real Madrid is a far better team compared to Barcelona.  it is also pretty understandable why Barcelona is not going to perform very well in almost all the competitions that they are going to participate in. Barcelona is not going to perform well in the Champions League at all.  they just do not have any chance. 

if we talk about the La Liga,  Real Madrid obviously has the biggest chance to win the La Liga title again. Just look at the players that Real Madrid has right now and compare them to the Barcelona squad.  there is not even a comparison. Real Madrid is way better compared to Barcelona. Right now Barcelona is also facing a lot of problems with their finances. so they are also unable to bring in good players. Right now Barcelona does have a decent squad. but you cannot beat this Real Madrid squad with just a decent squad. you need one of the best to beat the best. and  Barcelona is just not the best right now
520  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: June 12, 2024, 09:02:10 AM
You people might not agree with me but I think that's fair. This is definitely a good decision taken by Chelsea. The most important point that they have made is about his injury. Keep remembering that the English Premier League is a very highly competitive league. You know, the football is also very physical in this league.

So if he is getting injured in the Italian league so much, how much is he going to be injured in the English Premier League? That is something which Chelsea has kept in mind. They have also talked about his fee but I think all the players that have the same level of talent as him are actually going to cost like that. The cost of players have gone up a lot. style of play and injuries should be the main concern.

I don't think his injury can be an excuse because there are many players who play in Italy who are also successful in England. The cause of player injuries is that the coach forces himself to play too much so that fatigue and injury are prone to occur.
The Premier League is competitive and the tough style of play will make it difficult for some players to adapt, but I am sure Osimhen can overcome that when he plays in England.
Salary issues can be negotiated and perhaps decisions can be made after an agreement has been reached with both parties.

If Osimhem fails to play in England then I want him to play at PSG because maybe there it will be a much better fit.
Any decision will affect Osimhen's future and if he stays at Napoli I'm not sure he will thrive again.

I really do not think that the English Premier League would have been the best choice for him. Because first of all, I start thinking about the last few players who have gone to the English Premier League from the Italian League. The recent record has not been great. Injury concerns definitely played a part. The biggest concern is probably him not being worthy of 100 million.

If he goes to PSG, it is probably not going to be much better from where he is right now. But it is worth a shot.


If both Arsenal and Chelsea can afford what Leipzig's ask, it's better for Sesko to join Chelsea than Arsenal because Arsenal has a curse that makes them can't win prestigious trophy lol. Chelsea might not be very strong right now, but they can improve and compete against other top teams. Sesko can get a spotlight too if he's successful, but if he joined Arsenal, many people set the standard too high and it might affect his performance.

I don't understand. Why would a player go to Chelsea if he has the option to go to Arsenal right now?
you were saying that Chelsea has a better chance in recent future to win something instead of Arsenal when Arsenal is finishing in the second position and Pretty much showing consistent results but Chelsea is unable to show consistency and also not finishing in a position from where they can participate in the Europa league competition, let alone the champions league?

By that logic, every good player should have joined Leverkusen in the last season. The thing is, nobody knows how a team is going to perform in the next season for sure. We can only speculate by looking at the recent performance and the recent performance of Arsenal is far better.
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