Update. Nevertheless, I will tell you what I think about the Finnish question. The year of the special operation in Ukraine clearly showed that NATO suffers from impotence and does not have the potential to resolve the conflict by force in the confrontation with anyone more serious than the partisans from the banana republic. Would you say Russia hasn't been able to resolve the conflict with force either? Remember, the conflict is not resolved. And Russia has been using force, for over a year. It's also been more than a year since you said this: The active part of the operation is designed for at least three weeks, do not forget that Ukraine is the largest country in Europe, after Russia. Then, for several more months, it will be necessary to clear the area from gangs with rich historical traditions of Bandera. Do not confuse the desire to minimize civilian casualties with weakness.
And more than a year since you said this: In Kyiv on May 9 2022, a traditional parade will be held in honor of the victory of the USSR over Nazi Germany. It is naive and foolish to doubt it.
Seems like you got duped again.
You are probably right, the Russians fired six uninterceptable hypersonic missiles at a non-existent bunker. What a ridiculous and stupid show of force.  Perhaps the target was a bunker that wasn't a "Nato Command Center". Is that a possibility you considered or no? Maybe NATO doesn't even a command center with dozens of NATO officers in a non-NATO country that's been getting shelled for the past year since that would make them an incredibly valuable target for Russia. |
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Stormy Daniels is good at twitter.   |
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Sorry, I didn't realize this attack from 3 weeks ago is the one that supposedly hit the bunker.
Neither did he. One fake news site wrote an article based on another fake news sites article from weeks earlier. I bet they got a ton more clicks by making it look like it just happened recently. (From the article below) ProNews did indeed publish such an article, though references to it misleadingly suggest this was a recent development, whereas the article was in fact published earlier this month, on March 12. Do you think there were no missiles at all, and the CNN, citing Yuriy Ignat, a representative of the Ukrainian Air Force command, published a lie? Ok, so poor generals didn't get as many yachts as usual, but where is the 400ft crater? Surely there must be satellite pictures from the glorious Russian Aerospace Forces? Yep, we're talking about a massive missile attack three weeks ago. About the fact that as a result of the strike a buried bunker with NATO officers was hit, I learned from a message in a Greek source at the link above. Ukrainian and Russian sources limited themselves to reports that there was a missile strike, without much detail. Seems like you got duped again. Did Russian Kinzhal Missile Take Out 'NATO Command Center' in Ukraine?
"Greek media: dozens of NATO officers are buried in a secret bunker destroyed by "Daggers" in Ukraine. According to the Greek portal Pronews, received by the editors from "American sources," another post said.
Most of the posts on Twitter and Telegram appeared to base the claim on one of two sources: An obscure Greek news website ProNews and an outlet called "The Intel Drop." The trustworthiness of both sources is highly questionable, however.
TheIntelDrop describes itself as "an unaligned news source for the intelligence and financial community," but the awkward wording, basic grammar mistakes ("oversite") and strange terminology, such as "black propaganda", raise suspicions, indicating that it likely was not written by a native English speaker.
There is also no information about the news outlet's background or ownership. All of the website affiliation data has been "redacted for privacy," according to domain checker WhoIS.
It lists an American conspiracy theorist Gordon Duff among its board members; Duff was previously the chairman of "Veterans Today", a fringe conspiracy and anti-Semitic outlet. Duff himself said "about 30% of what's written on Veterans Today, is patently false."
TheIntelDrop's report cites a number of unverified Twitter accounts and the ProNews article as its source for the claim.
ProNews did indeed publish such an article, though references to it misleadingly suggest this was a recent development, whereas the article was in fact published earlier this month, on March 12.
Back then the article was picked up and shared by pro-Russian users, including one claiming "NATO command and control HQ in #Kiev was struck by Kinzhal hypersonic missiles, many #Pentagon top officials perish in this strike."
However, the Greek website, which has a history of publishing sensationalist and misleading material, such as one article claiming that Florida is seceding from the United States, offers very little in the way of evidence in the original story about the supposed strike.
"Dozens of dead NATO and Ukrainian officers," the article opens, translated from Greek. "Russian hypersonic Kinzhal missile with a target impact speed of Mach 12 (twelve times the speed of sound) managed to hit the Ukrainian-NATO joint command, control and communications center installed at a depth of 130 meters!"
The author simply states: "The Russians say they have pulled 40 dead from the wreckage of the underground headquarters so far, but most will never be recovered as they were buried by the debris."
No specific sources or outlets are mentioned anywhere in the story, which instead proceeds to quote Ukrainian officials, who make no mention of NATO casualties.
While it is unclear what "Russian" sources ProNews based its reporting on, a large-scale shelling of Ukraine did indeed take place on the night of March 9, 2023, as Newsweek reported at the time.
The attack, which Russia called retaliation for a reported sabotage incident that took place days earlier in Russia's border region of Bryanks, involved a wide array of Russian missiles, including the aforementioned Kinzhals.
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-nato-ukraine-command-center-strike-kinzhal-missile-1791805 |
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Coinplay, thank you for letting Askgamblers have a look at the case. Can you email me a screenshot (or post it here for even more transparency) of what request you have sent to Askgamblers? You don't need to include your "evidence" with it, only just show us the email you sent to Askgamblers with the request for them to review the case.
We meant to say that you should open a complaint on Askgamblers, where we both will provide the necessary details for them to review your case. You should explicitly confirm that you will honor AskGamblers decision and pay GekkeBelg his winnings if they rule in his favor. This is important if you hope to build any trust around here. |
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It seems like the entire case against Trump stems from someone breaking an air tight non-disclosure agreement. I don’t think this case goes anywhere but it’s pretty huge news. I think it also opens the door for more political war between the right and left. If you are an American and this makes you happy instead of embarrassed, you probably need to get tested for TDS.
It's not the fact that he paid off the porn star to keep quiet about their affair. There's nothing illegal about that. It's about Trump having his lawyer create a fake company to pay off the porn star and then being reimbursed through structured payments (with fraudulent business records) from Trump so that they could get away with violating Federal Election finance laws 11 days before the election. His personal lawyer already served time in prison for his involvement in this specific issue. Speaking of Michael Cohen, think about this situation from his perspective: - Trump has Cohen pay off the porn star with a shell company so he can hide it from the FEC.
- Trump has Cohen lie to congress about his business deals in Russia after winning the Republican nomination.
- Cohen goes to prison for paying the porn star and lying to congress.
- Cohen gets out of prison and is subpoenaed by grand jury about Porn Star payments.
- Team MAGA loses it's shit and says Cohen is lying and you can't trust anything Cohen says because he was convicted of lying to congress.
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Is it a coincidence that the US became a third world country the very moment Trump was indicted? I think not.  Yes, that's the actual ad showing beneath his "truth" on his site that's just overflowing with "truth". Must be a dream come true for the slimeball salesmen out there. Yes, he said he's been indicated.  No it's not the strongest case or that serious of a crime. But you don't want to fill yourself up on bread when the biggest ribeye you've ever seen is about to come off the grill and onto your plate. Just have a bite or two and prepare yourself for the main course. |
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Stake support says "Statistics" states the number of total bets made https://ibb.co/SQdVCF6TwitchySeal says "Statistics" states the number of total games played. Number of games played and number of bets made is not the same! Who is lying? I really don't care what you call it. Game, Round, Hand, Bet, you can literally use any of them to describe placing a black jack wager and making any required decisions until the outcome is determined. That's when you know the game,round,hand,bet is over - when all the cards are returned and the wagers are settled. And if you were arguing in good faith and actually interested in the truth instead of just wanting to play victim and trash stake because you lost, you'd simply figure it out for yourself. It's not rocket surgery. |
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As far as I get it, the problem here is that he is trying to calculate the house edge, disregarding the skill/decision making that comes with blackjack, isn't it?
The problem is he's being willfully ignorant because there's no evidence that he was cheated, but he really wants to convince people that he was (because he lost and I think his account was frozen for some reason). Stake provides very basic statistics in each players profile. Total bets, total number of bets won, total number of bets lost, and total amount wagered for each currency. It doesn't include total amount won - just the total number of bets wonBlackyJacky is trying to claim that the stats represent how many units he has wagered. For example, if he doubles and loses, that's two bets made, both considered lost bets. This is not how it works. The way it does work is each round counts as 1 bet and has a unique bet id with it's own bet history. If he profits overall for the round, that's 1 winning bet. It doesn't matter if you split, double down, win even money, or hit a blackjack for 3-2. One round counts as one bet in the stats. So he's trying to claim that his stats can be used to determine his ROI (which he calls "expected RTP"), which is not possible. To calculate your ROI, you need to know how much money you wagered, and how much money you won. The stats don't include how much money was won, so we can't make the calculation. Also worth mentioning, even if he was correct about everything above (he's not), his calculation would only be accurate if all ~181,000 bets made from his account were the exact same amount. Never increasing or decreasing his wager. And they would have to be all black jack, no other games. I believe he realized he was wrong a while ago and is just spreading lies out of a combination of spite and ego. Shameful really. |
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It's just easier for them to launch 100 missiles at a time from 500km away giving Ukraine enough time to intercept most of them.
They intercept most of them only in your dreams and in their PR You mean there aren't any reports coming out of the Russian media, which is controlled by Putin, who made it illegal to criticize the Russian military, about how many Russian missiles are being intercepted? I guess those billions of dollars worth of air defence systems Ukraine has are simply no match for Russias 50 year old missiles. (They just don't make them like they used to) |
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In a game where you can place only one bet per game and where you can lose or win only one bet per game, the statistic of how many games you won and lost is exactly your experienced house edge.
However, and as I explained to you earlier, in a game where you can place multiple bets within one game (double, split) and with a 1,5 payout in case of a won Black Jack, your experienced house edge is determined by how many bets you lost per 100 bets.
Your stats show the total number of games you idiot. This has already been explained to you and if you actually don't believe it all you have to do is go look in your bet archive. One bet id = 1 hand. They could call the stat "bets". "games", "rounds", it doesn't matter. It's obvious to any normal person with a few brain cells and if it weren't obvious all you have to do is check and see for yourself. To determine your ROI (which you use the idiotic term "experienced house edge" for) you need to calculate (total won/total wagered) * 100 = Return On Investment You can not make this calculation using only the stats Stake gives you under "statistics" since it doesn't include either of these numbers. |
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Hi GekkeBelg,
We understand your frustration, but please be assured that our Risk & Fraud Team does not ban players without a valid reason. We are unable to share specific details about the investigation, as it might inadvertently help potential cheaters.
We also noticed that you have posted a few similar topics on this forum, playing with various bookmakers. This pattern might raise concerns about the possibility of cheating.
While you're free to have your opinion, we stand by our team's decision. We returned your initial deposit and won't be providing further support on this issue.
Had a feeling this would be the response. If you think someone's a sharp bettor and don't want their action, that's fine. But you can't make that decision retroactively since being a sharp bettor that gets limited often doesn't make you a cheater. OP create a flag. |
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Sure, we are seeing planes flying over Kiev everyday because it is so obvious that the RF has control of the sky... Maybe you are mistaking the HARM radar seeking missile that has been very much used to kill RF radars all over. Nothing to worry, the Ukrainian air defence is not doing anything, the Ukrainian troops are just playing chees in the trenches waiting to be killed. Nothing to fear, nothing on the build.
Hint: try that you propaganda at least matches to a point reality. If not, even those who really want to believe it, will not be able to.
The likely reason that you are seeing no RF aircraft flying over the city of Kiev is that the Russians have no more reason to fly over it than I do. That would be zero. The likely reason why the RF aviation stopped 99% of its activity over Ukraine is because they simply cannot fly over. If you look at the numbers, you would think that the RF would create air supremacy in a week, but as usual, RF numbers are a thin as the paper they are written in. RF aircraft are pretty much irreplaceable and Ukraine has quite a good defence. If not, those IKEA Iranian drones would not be in use at all. It's just easier for them to launch 100 missiles at a time from 500km away giving Ukraine enough time to intercept most of them. |
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My calculation is 100% correct:
0,5% house edge means that I win 49.75% of all bets placed and lose 50.25% of all bets placed.
Yes that's just not the calculation for black jack. Here's the calculation for blackjack with very similar rules as stake, and an even lower house edge (.28%)  https://wizardofodds.com/ask-the-wizard/blackjack/probability/These numbers are from Michael Shackleford Who's that? Glad you asked. Michael Shackleford is an American mathematician and an actuary. He is best known for his professional analysis of the mathematics of the casino games. He is also an adjunct professor of actuarial science and mathematics at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.[2][3] He became interested in the mathematics of gambling at a young age after reading John Scarne's Guide to Casino Gambling.[1]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_ShacklefordIt must not feel good to realize how wrong you've been this whole time while lacking the character to admit you were wrong. |
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What kind of evidence do you have that this license is not suitable for casinos which wish to manage their gamblers' Bitcoin?
I am in possession of the 8048/JAZ license.  Well this is awkward, did BlackyJacky just by bragging accidentally admit a motive behind all this fud? Running your own casino would be quite obvious one but i didn't think any other casino fudding competition could be this transparent. Focusing on baseless fud must be working on some level, otherwise they wouldn't be using their time by fudding other casinos in here. But as we see they are struggling. Or maaybe they just don't have enough customers to keep them busy and got ton of free time. Who knows. I mean, I know that some businesses of all kind can opt to sow FUD onto the community against competitors, but I personally doubt this person actually owns a casino or has a high position in one. It would be more likely if he just managed to get some information in PDF about the license and feels he owns privileged information. There is also a chance this is a FUD campaign targeted against specific casinos, but it is not as likely as the former explanation. there have been people trying to explain to him several times how his calculations seem to be wrong and yet does not offer further mathematical counter-points...  He just lost a bunch of money and then got banned for doing something shady. He's just trying to get back at Stake, and just keeps making a fool of himself, which makes him more angry...it's a vicious circle. |
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Reminds me of 1xbit.
Can't think of any reasonable explanation aside from OP leaving out very important details, which seems unlikely after skimming his history.
I left feedback for coinplay and would support a flag at this point.
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Stake in-house Black Jack is rigged, complaints@stake.com ignores! 0,5% house edge means that I win 49.75% of all bets placed and lose 50.25% of all bets placed. 181,000 x 49.75% = 90,048 wins 181,000 x 50.25% = 90,953 losses The difference between wins and losses is 905 bets, means after 181,000 bets I will statistically lose 905 bets. But my Stake statistics states that I lost 8,327 bets!!! Bets: 180,904 | Wins: 78,285 | Losses: 86,612 = 8,327 more losses Proof: https://ibb.co/Hxf8NpR BlackyJacky thinks he plays optimal black jack and should be winning 49.75% of the hands he plays. Let's see what that would look like. In black jack, you are paid even money (1 -1) for winning a hand, except when you're first two cards equal 21, then you're paid 1.5-1, (also known as 3-2). So we need to figure out how often each of the two possible payouts happens in order to determine the rtp. 21 is either an Ace and a Ten card, or a Ten card and an Ace. With an infinite deck, odds of an Ace are 4/52, any Ten card is 16/52 Chances of Ten card first, then an Ace: 16/52 * 4/52 = 0.0236 And then the other way around, Ace first: 4/52 * 16/52 = 0.0236 Combined that gives us a 4.7% chance of being dealt a black jack and profiting 1.5x our bet. So, of the 49.75% of hands blackyjacky thinks he should be winning, he should expect to be paid even money on 45.02% of them, and 1.5x on 4.73% of them. Lets say 100,000: That would be 4,730 black jacks, 45,020 even money wins, and 50,250 losses. He will be paid $2.50 on each black jack and $2 on the other wins. 4,730 * $2.50 = $11,825 45,020 * $2 = $90,040 Total = $101,865 Result = +$1,865 (1.8% ROI) (note: I'm not calculating for when the dealer is also dealt black jack and the bet is pushed, which happens 0.22% of the time. so the profit is a couple hundred bucks too high in my calculation) Conclusion: Blackyjacky is pulling numbers out of his ass. |
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It's coming to a head, gradually, in Arizona. The Arizona Supreme Court is accepting to hear the case of election fraud in Arizona.
That's interesting. Reminds me of what you said almost 2 years ago, and so many times since then: Here we go, boys and girls. The Kraken is finally starting to lift off the bottom. Click the links, and go to the site to show the many other links.
Things in BADeckerville are much different than the real world. Want to see what the real world is like? I know you don't. I'll show you anyway  Here's the AZ Supreme Court ruling: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23720623-orderrepetitionforreview-4731530-0?responsive=1&title=1page 1 paragraph 1:  So they confirmed Kari Lake lost the election. Ok. page 2 paragraph 3:  So of the 7 claims Kari Lake has made, the court slammed the door on 6 of them for for being retarded. But then there's the 6th, the one that in BADeckerville the Supreme Court has agreed to hear. Let's see what's happening with that in the real world. Starting with page 2 paragraph 4:  So the SC says that count 6, which is about voter signature verification should not have been denied for laches (laches just means something was too late, it should have been done earlier if it were ever going to be done). And the resolution: Starting page 3 Paragraph 2  The trial court, is the same Maricopa court that previously heard Lakes cases. They previously gave several reasons, including lack of merit for rejecting Krybaby Kari's argument regarding signature verification issues resulting in the outcome of the election being changed. One of those reasons was lache. Since one of those reasons is not a good one, the Supreme Court kicked it back to them to make sure that this one reason did not change the whole case. So now Keri Lake gets to go back and make the same idiotic arguments that really make no sense and get denied for all the same reasons, except this time they won't include lache as one of them. |
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