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7741  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:14:08 AM
No announcement yet.
7742  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:11:01 AM
Like predicted. Hard crash, after that back up.

The panic sellers have left the building. For now.

Gox back to 201.  The spike ups are just small market orders being triggered on an empty order book.
7743  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:06:07 AM
201 bounce to 203.

Yeah those bitcoin builders at 0.7 are a steal.
7744  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:05:17 AM
205 Gox.
7745  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:58:53 AM
Gox 214. 
7746  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:57:29 AM
At 221 on the magical Gox video game.  Will we hit 100s?  

Dumbasses on stamp trying to follow.
7747  Economy / Speculation / Re: The 261.22390 Wall on: February 20, 2014, 03:45:35 AM
Well BTC China does this all day every day but thats maker taker rules.
7748  Economy / Speculation / Re: Winkdex... on: February 20, 2014, 03:25:57 AM
Looks like they split the difference between Bitstamp and BtC E.  

Glad they patented that.  


*On a serious note this is the right decision.  The media needs to be weaned off quoting Gox and this is how to achieve it.

** the index has a hidden weakness in not referencing Huobi or OkCoin.
7749  Economy / Speculation / Re: Its Thursday In Japan - Withdrawal Update Coming Within Next 12 Hours on: February 19, 2014, 09:44:49 PM
Meanwhile fiat continues to pour into Gox as speculators chase arbitrage. Dumb asses don't realise they won't be able to get more than a trickle out when withdrawals are re-enabled.
7750  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: why you do not trade in BTCchina.com on: February 19, 2014, 07:38:01 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=404875.0

You need to understand the fee structure to understand the trading patterns.
7751  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: why you do not trade in BTCchina.com on: February 19, 2014, 07:22:32 PM
I trade on BTC China.  Deposit in BTC and withdraw in BTC.  They have significantly more security than any other exchange I have seen.

But learn about the maker taker rules first.
7752  Economy / Speculation / Re: Time travelers are still speculators. on: February 19, 2014, 10:56:34 AM
https://www.slow-watches.com
7753  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 19, 2014, 08:20:21 AM
Wow price actually did not move at all overnight. Maybe market is frozen till another Goxing

+1

Hold tight for another round of "we have almost completed testing of our new system and will work hard on it over the weekend and will provide a further update on Monday."

Then on Monday they will announce limited withdrawals commencing the following week.    

The following week withdrawals will be open but everyone will be required to re-verify including photos of their grandmother.
7754  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 19, 2014, 07:23:18 AM
I'll have to try that next time I am at a party.   Jorge is obviously hodling.  

Did he mention the bit where one guy throws the $50 bill in the air and someone in Slovenia catches it.
7755  Economy / Speculation / Re: Poll: What will be the bottom price for current downturn? on: February 19, 2014, 07:19:29 AM
Past Performance is no Guarantee of Future Results.  Your mileage may vary.  Serving suggestion.  Contains traces of tree nuts.  Do not shine your laser at an aircraft. Never leave a child unattended.  Piracy. It's a crime. Caution:  hot beverage.
7756  Economy / Speculation / Re: Time travelers are still speculators. on: February 19, 2014, 02:24:54 AM
Yes I am suggesting that the Bitcoin market is random (within certain parameters).

Perhaps more accurately described as a random walk subject to biases (such as the Gox antics).  The trick is separating the Brownian motion (market noise) from the real market moving biases.  I consider the dip on Mt Gox this morning to 248 to be market noise / Brownian motion.  The fact that the swings are big in % terms is irrelevant - you get that with any volatile market.

And beware of fat tailed probability.
7757  Economy / Speculation / Re: Time travelers are still speculators. on: February 19, 2014, 01:37:40 AM
There is no butterfly effect.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brownian_motion
7758  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2014, 11:12:22 PM
Now here is an interesting one. Blue line Dow Jones Index from 1928-1930, red one is now. Will it follow ?

No. Not unless the Fed engages in contractionary monetary policy. And I'm not talking about backing off quantitive easing.
7759  Economy / Speculation / Re: Question about bots... on: February 18, 2014, 11:02:00 PM
Tired of people complaining about bots. There are people running them, and real money behind it. They are part of a free market.

Having watched a whale rape a market momentum bot on BTC China I can assure it does not all go the bots way.
7760  Economy / Speculation / Re: Not all traders are on this forum... on: February 18, 2014, 10:57:57 PM
TL:DR. 

People that don't do any research lose their money.
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