In spite of the epic fails of the last two predictions, let me try again for tomorrow.
We now have two apparently reliable Slumber Points on Huobi's chart (feb/14 = 4008 CNY, feb/15 = 3961 CNY); let's call that a trend.
Extrapolating in a straight line gives ~3915 CNY for Huobi. Dividing by R = 6.12 we get ~640 USD for Bitstamp.
Therefore:
Prediction valid for: 2014-02-16 19:00 to 19:59 (not before, not after)
Huobi: 3885 -- 3945 CNY (3915 plus or minus 30)
Bitstamp: 630 -- 650 USD (640 plus or minus 10)
Defective predictions will be replaced or repaired, at our discrection, if mailed back to the factory in the original container.
Jorge
May I respectfully suggest your prediction will be right (but for the wrong reason).
The market is currently balanced and awaiting Monday's Mt Gox announcement which will likely occur at 7pm Japan time. Your prediction occurs before then accordingly it is reasonable to anticipate that the market will continue to walk the current tightrope until an announcement is made at which point it will go ballistic depending on how the market takes the announcement. Please note I do not refer to what the announcement says as its content and the market reaction are quite often two different things.
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