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901  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 29, 2020, 09:55:28 AM
I read this name mindrust a lot, can someone remind me who that was ??

JJG perhaps??

There once was a coiner, whose name was mindrust,
He posted in WO, and gained our trust.
But little did he know,
He would suffer a blow,
When he did the unthinkable, and sold all his stash!

Even r0ach would agree that this move was quite baffling,
It's Bitcoin 101, you just don't sell pre-Halving.
But his mind was all rusted,
It was Masterluc he trusted,
So he blindly followed his all-bearish rumbling!

He blames COVID-19 for his panic reaction,
"Armageddon is coming, I just had to take action."
Now his Bitcoins are sold,
He is turning to gold,
In a desperate attempt to get some satisfaction.

Many WO'ers advised him to buy back some corn,
But he just couldn't live with the thought of being wrong.
Now he hears of Bitcoin,
And gets a pain in his groin,
Because deep down he knows, that his chance is now gone!

I know that those limericks are shitty as hell,
And I know that Jimbo's shit, as everyone's, smell.
I just hope that they serve,
To help us all keep our nerve,
And never ever give in to the pressure to sell!

And if all of the above hasn't made you, mindrust,
Reconsider, and quickly get some corn in your stash,
It won't be r0aches or ants,
At the seat of your pants,
But the boot of a HoDLer kicking your stubborn fat ass!

Some great poetry man. Gave you all my remaining merits... Cool

Man, it sucks to me nomeriter like me. Still it's better than nocoiner. #nofiater
902  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 27, 2020, 10:33:55 AM
Eeeeew! Back on track. Choo-choo!
903  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2020, 03:45:10 PM


Whales playing with weak hands again. Those poor little mice caught in the daily dump traps are losing, losing, aaaand losing again. Cul loss after cut loss, they can't see the forest because of the tree in front of their eyes. Even if they rebuy with the next pump, they will definitely sell with a loss at the dump that follows. But as the founder of the HODL said once: guess who the whales won't trick? The hodlers, because they are already in when the pump starts.  Grin And the pump is coming soon and it will be vicious. One of the most glorious in the history of Bitcoin. To da moon!
904  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2020, 08:05:44 AM
Got this amazing feeling that where going back to the 10k areas in not to long of a time period....

I do love this feeling...

Maximum NON-investment #dyor


The next few days are critical  Wink It will show whether we are building a floor of a bull ladder before the next climb above 10K, or the decline will continue until some solid support is found. These dead cat bounces were typical for the last 2 years. But the odds are now in favour of the bulls IMO. I mean both the halving and the big volume of bitcoins withdrawn from exchanges since March 12th are good premises for the price to increase.
905  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2020, 08:47:11 PM
The joy of the 'clever' trader for his successful 10% cut loss from his initial stash was somewhat marred when he realized it was the 10th in a row.  Roll Eyes

Let's say starting with 1 BTC.. that would NOT be a 100% loss in the value from the initial stash. 

Rather the final amount of the stash would be a bit more than a 65% loss from the initial stash. 

Cut and pasted from my creation of a quickie Excel spreadsheet causes the pyramid of devaluation of the stash to look like this:

   1 BTC
1   0.9
2   0.81
3   0.729
4   0.6561
5   0.59049
6   0.531441
7   0.4782969
8   0.43046721
9   0.387420489
10   0.34867844 BTC

Surely, I would not be advocating any practice that results in continuous losses, so let's turn the scenario into a positive rather than a negative... let's say that instead of losing 10% on each trade, you are not greedy and you figure out a way to gain .1% on each trade.. after taxes and trading fees.   Of course, figuring out ways to profit are structural and depend upon how you value the wealth - whether you are stacking sats or stacking dollars and surely in bitcoin whenever you sell any BTC you have to be willing to let that BTC go.. because they price might never come back to that sales price... which means overstacking in BTC so that you are actually willing to sell it at prices that are lower than future prices.

Anyhow, because of the modesty in any plan, it takes a long time to gain value.. and if you stack for .1% profits in each trade, then after 10 trades you gain just a bit more than 1% on your trading stash...

   1 BTC
1   1.001
2   1.002001
3   1.003003001
4   1.004006004
5   1.00501001
6   1.00601502
7   1.007021035
8   1.008028056
9   1.009036084
10   1.01004512  BTC

Losses are not guaranteed and gains are not guaranteed, and personally I consider the trading of BTC to be insurance rather than measurable and meaningful gains, so on a personal level, I am not really pursuing the gains.. the gains are very modest in the whole scheme of things and are a kind of side benefit... and of course, there tend to be several third party risks that come with any kind of trading, too... so surely, no walk in the park for anyone to be playing around with trading.
Either you didn't read carefully, or I didn't explain it clearer. What I mean't is that with each trade he lost 10% of the initial fiat stash, not of the last balance.  10x10%=100% or 20x5%, it doesn't matter. Trading by simple following the trend is always disastrous especially using leverage. I think someone posted here a link to a similar sad story.
906  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2020, 01:01:36 PM
The joy of the 'clever' trader for his successful 10% cut loss from his initial stash was somewhat marred when he realized it was the 10th in a row.  Roll Eyes
907  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2020, 04:45:12 PM
Fake dump. Next week->10K!
908  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 23, 2020, 10:15:16 AM
909  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 22, 2020, 04:10:39 PM
10,000BTC Roll Eyes

2010 May - 10,000BTC= $40
2020 May - 0,01001BTC= $96


2030 May - 1 sat= $0.01

910  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 22, 2020, 08:38:50 AM
Sweden now has the worlds highest per capita death toll from coronavirus

Quote
But over the last seven days, Sweden had an average of 6.08 deaths per million inhabitants - more than any other country in the world.

This is in comparison to 5.57 in the UK, 4.28 in Belgium, 4.11 in the US, 2.62 in Spain, 2.29 in Italy, and 2.26 in France.

Many of these other countries saw far more virus deaths earlier in the pandemic, but managed to bring down the numbers with strict lockdown measures.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/20/sweden-becomes-country-highest-coronavirus-death-rate-per-capita/



So pathetic to watch you do this, real shame.

Stay locked up, stay safe.

I really don't get why you insist insulting everyone in this thread. Perhaps you think you are the smartest here. Yeah, sure you are. Just another #covidiot. 
911  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 20, 2020, 04:08:03 PM
News: some non-satoshi old coins moved. The traders:

912  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 20, 2020, 01:39:13 PM
My mind is telling me not to expect much of the price in the coming days, but I have a gut feeling that there's something brewing. A calm before the storm? The price is stabilizing around $9700 refusing to go up or down. May be this is a sign that the bulls are preparing to charge the $10K resistance like a red flag and level up 1K and more?



And I wonder what the $4.5 billion tethers printed since March 30th and May 14th are waiting for? If only 1/3 of this amount is used for bitcoins, a price above $14K is definitely possible this year.

913  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 18, 2020, 02:07:50 PM
Kind of surprised this didn't happen sooner.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitmex-faces-lawsuit-for-alleged-racketeering-and-extensive-illicit-activities
Quote
The lawsuit notes that BitMEX provides traders with extremely high trading leverage (100x) for highly liquid derivatives, which are purportedly calculated based on prices of “two or three illiquid spot exchanges.”

The exchange allegedly enables manipulators and money launderers to operate illicitly by allowing them to open an unlimited number of anonymous and unverified accounts, without trading or withdrawal limits.

The document claims that BitMEX weaponizes deliberate server freezes and uses fraudulent “system overload” events to accept or reject specific trading orders during volatile market conditions in order to exacerbate price fluctuations and trigger maximum liquidations.

Yeah, like the last "accidental" freeze on 12th March, when the shorter manipulators weren't allow to take profits. The day Bitmex is closed will be the best day ever for Bitcoin.

Quote
The lawsuit further points to the defendants’ own admission, after multiple denials, that the exchange operates its own for-profit trading desk, which purportedly trades against BitMEX’s own customers on the platform and uses inside information about its customers’ existing trading positions.

It is just like a casino - the players vs the house. Most of the people addicted to gambling lose at the end more than they gained, because the odds are in favour of the casino. Only if someone is extremely good and manage to control his  greed, he will have a chance of winning. In this case it is even worse: the house knows the cards of the players, so it ALWAYS wins. Just a word of warning to those greedy bastards that are confident their plan of shorting and dumping will make them insanely rich. Simply said: No! The only check you will get out of Bitmex is reality check!
914  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 17, 2020, 12:17:29 PM
Sunday pump?
915  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2020, 10:31:46 PM
I am not reading this topic as I used to do because It is not fun for me anymore since I don't have any horses in the race but...

Image deleted
I am not going to lie, I was jealous about the price rise... till I saw this.

You'll probably see this as FUD but hey, I am not good at holding back from saying what I think.

I can feel bitterness here...  Cool  This is happening... the transformation has started: mindrust ----> the next roach  Grin  let's see what will happen after we'll reach a new ATH....

In March coinmarketcap showed 1.7 bil increase of the market cap and now 2.5 bil. It is unusual. This may lead to a new ATH sooner than expected. I think everyone knows it but just in case I'll remind that the jumps of tether's cap in certain days do not mean necessarily someone bought such huge sums instantly or fake tethers were 'printed'. In an official response to questions about these jumps, coinmarketcap explained that tether's data has some lags. There is one article that mentions the problems with the various blockchain tether uses: https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-climbs-as-tether-gets-500m-injection-in-5-minutes
("..However, archived versions of the page show similar readings over the past few days, suggesting CoinMarketCap's data did not capture the full supply previously. USDT runs on several different blockchain networks, including Omni, ethereum, Tron and Liquid....)

Regarding mindrust. I'll try to summarize his in my view very controversial explanations (if not contradictory with the sound mind). He sold at $4Kish, because:

1. He was shocked in the middle of the night and the fear made him sell.
2. He was overinvested, which in his case meant $40K in bitcoins and $80K fiat reserves.  Shocked Many of us are 100% in Bitcoin regarding fiat savings, including myself. In his case mindrust had the luxury to defend his positons by buying more at lower prices. Or just wait for the recovery, which is only a matter of when, not if.
3. He felt betrayed because holders decided to sell and abandon ship. In reality not many holders sold everything. Rather many sold small portions of their stash at the same time in preparation for the next weeks without income.
4. He bought one whole bitcoin just before the crash and having 10 bitcoins turned into a heavy dissapointment. I also bought a greater amount than usual just before the crash. So what?
5. Tether is scam and when it dies, Bitcoin will die too. I can remember 2017 when tether almost died and logically people bought bitcoins with it, so the price increased 3x.
6. Bitcoin is too volatile, while the fiat and other assets are more stable. Yeah, sure. Crude oil, ahem. Fiat printers brrrr causing international financial crisis and inflations, ahem.
7. Covid-19 is so scary, so no point in keeping his bitcoins. Seriously? I can understand this only if someone is sick of some nasty illness requiring a lot of money for the treatment. Although, many of us would prefer another way of finding the money for that.
8. It is better to trade shitcoins because they are more volatile than Bitcoin?!?!?!?. For his bad luck shitcoins are doing really bad. As always.
9. It is better to trade USD vs EUR, since there was a lot of volatility recently. For his bad luck the exchange rate is almost frozen in the last weeks.

I think the only reason for mindrust sell was No. 1. The next reasons he made up as excuses not to buy again at $4500, as he claimed.  I'm really sorry for him because these two decisions obviously made him unhappy. And it is all about hope and happiness, which Bitcoin brings to the true holders. He may not realize it but he is becoming slowly into the next r0ach.
916  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2020, 10:07:41 AM
9900! What was the purpose of the Sunday's dump to 8100? 4 days recovery as in the good old 2017!
917  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2020, 09:09:28 AM
Good morning everyone! 9700! What next? 10700? Grin
918  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 13, 2020, 09:30:55 AM
Tether, i.e. Bitfinex was the main driving force of the bull run in 2017 until Q4. Let's not forget that the most important run from $800 to $2900 was caused by the inability to withdraw fiat in Bitfinex. People were buying bitcoins and tranferring them to other exchanges. On the day the withdrawals were permitted again, the price fell by 40%. However, since Q4 2017 Bitfinex gradually lost its leading role. Now the daily volume is 2.5x less than Bitstamp's. All of the recent pumps/dumps did not start on Bitfinex. A curious thing though is that the order books of Bitfinex are much fatter than on Bitstamp. For example 1500BTC are put up to 10K in Bitstamp, compared to 4000BTC on Bitfinex. This thing hasn't changed since 2017. It shows the difference of the traders culture. Nowadays, there are many n00b traders on Bitstamp and especially Coinbase, who do not put limit sells. They just press the sell button if there is 1-2% increase, which often results in actual selling 5-10% below the current price, because of the overload of the exchange when multiple market sells are executed at once. There are millions chinese still solving captchas for cents and at the same time trading on exchanges. They jump to the ceiling if they can manage to get 1$ profit per day.
919  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2020, 08:49:00 PM
Happy Halving Everyone! Now even the newest hardware is mining at a loss if the electricity is above $0.06. Today we had a peak around 136.05 Exahashes/s. Let's see how the situation will develope in the next weeks. I guess half of the equipment will be turned off until the price doubles.

In an ideal world this should happen very soon. But with all these shorter manipulators around here I am not so confident about it. The effect of the halving might not be felt immediately and those who had urealistic expectations might be dissapointed. We need patience. Everyone is saying by 2023 we will be rich. Well, that is if the greedy shorter sharks are overcome by the demand and influx of new holders. And that is not  a 100% sure thing. 90% may be. But not 100%. My hope and prayer is that all of them to be burned like the famous Joe007 and stop doing that. This hope of course is naiive. I mean for a multi millionaire how hard is to buy 300 BTC, place 100x leverage shorts on various derivative exchanges and then sell at the weakest exchange which somehow is the most respected - Bitstamp? I am not saying Joe007 was doing it, nor that someone is doing it regularly, but this is certainly a suspicion which has very solid arguments. However, unlike other who quit because of that, we should stay firm in our belief in Bitcoin - the only decentralized and delflatory asset that will overcome all other assets in the future as it was in the past. Even if it takes more than 4 years for that!
920  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2020, 01:31:26 PM
Come on daily traders, a last chance to sell below 9K. Hurry up, don't miss it! 5 hours until the halving!  Grin
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