You are focusing on the stocks, but there are also funds and futures available.
The funds are just as much if not more of a joke. MPIF is less of an investment fund and more like mirceas gambling fund.
The only real benefit of the fund is that they will be betting on bitbet.us which, as a result of owning the site, they determine the outcome to their stacked bets (find some house created bets if you don't believe they are unfairly worded or stacked.)
It's also strange that TAT is involved considering he was partially responsible for one of the biggest bitcoin scams yet (neobee)
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Mircea Popescu seems very intent on increasing his bitcoin stash, but at least to me he seems to be doing so in an honest way. MPEx has history, they have been around longer than any other bitcoin stock market. While this does not ensure they will not run away with the money tomorrow, it at least shows they are thinking in the long term. If you believe that the future of global finance is going to work through bitcoins, then in the long run it is better to run a working exchange than to scam a few bitcoins now.
Havelock and mpex are both only ~2 years old which is not nearly long enough to establish trust/competence for either. Neither have been independently audited and neither are properly registered with a securities agency.
However I would have to disagree with the idea that mircea is earning his btc in an honest way. The biggest source of revenue for mpex was the option trading bot which was very efficient at ripping off noobs who are bad at gambling and the second biggest source (now the biggest) is the referral scheme. You pay 30BTC and get back 10 btc per refferal (5btc to referrer and 5btc to referred). Just like your affiliate link this gives people the motivation to perpetuate the scam.
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Do you have any proof that the exchange is manipulated?
Well there's this "S.MPIF liquidity. Obviously as a freely traded asset, S.MPIF may trade for values other than its calculated NAV. ThickAsThievesiii has a 50 BTC piggy bank on MPEx which he can’t withdraw, but will use to try and extract a profit out of providing liquidity" and "IV. As far as equity is concerned, I intend to slowly sell the remainder 40% of non-controlling S.MPOE interest that I currently own"
If you watch the order book for a while you will notice that it looks like very few people if any are trading and it mostly consists of a moving wall (most likely a bot) of ~10 bids/asks. It looks so unnatural is is a joke. I can't prove that all of the trading on mpex is fake but I'm pretty sure the majority of it is. Look at the volume of every other stock and compare it to s.mpoe. How do you explain the fact that s.mpoe ALWAYS has ~20,000 btc trading volume each month and every other stock/fund/future combined has ~10btc/month?
How can you explain the fact that s.mpoe share price never falls despite the lack of revenue? My theory is that mircea is trading with himself to keep the volume and share price high. He would have an incentive to do so because he owns 75% of the shares and 80% of mpex revenue is from recruiting new people to pay the 30btc fee. (last 3 months mpoe had 460btc profit total, 360 btc from new account fees alone)
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I won't go into my analysis of each stock right now, but I think there is value in each stock listed; perhaps not what they are currently trading at, but still non-zero.
I agree. They do have some value but not much.
S.nsa is an incompetent hardware manufacturer (Not even a prototype after a year?) and s.mg looks like a joke. You would think that with ~$5,000,000 in funding the game would look better than runescape classic.
Bitbet.us is somehow valued at 5000 btc even though they earned a staggering 200btc in the past 1.5 years, 75btc of which came from stealing late bets which were not confirmed before the bet was closed (which is illegal however you look at it). If bitbet was listed on any other exchange I'd guess it would be valued at ~500-1000btc.
S.mpoe is the worst of them all. Nearly no sources of revenue other than new accounts and the fees that mircea generates when he trades with himself (doesn't matter to him because he gets back 75% anyways)