Have you confirmed the official group?
is there a response in that group? and what about the group's activities?
You have to be careful what you say, this includes FUD, and I think this can offend some people who might believe and even know more about you than the development of the coin,
I even wonder, how can you believe and conclude so quickly by just looking at the price?

I am not sure about what you mean arbitrage,
in my opinion only cryptocurrency has so far provided many good opportunities for me to have many assets for the future and provide multiple profits when the price rises.
and for arbitrage I'm still not sure,
or maybe you can give me a more detailed explanation about it.

I agree with you,
saving for now will only make us poor,
good is investment, investment is real and provides long-term benefits.
and non-gambling investments if we do not participate in outstanding FOMO or FUD, make observations so that we know the future of the project.

The emergence of Facebook news to create a new coin called Libra was enough to make the crypto world crowded, even after the news was delayed, it was proven that there were still many other people trying to cheat new users that Libra would launch in a few weeks,
for those who are just aware that Libra coins are still not officially launched, if you find a site or news about the launch of Libra or ICO, it's probably a scam.

sometimes trading volume is said to be the reason that buying and selling of coins increases,
but in practice, the indicator will increase or not the coin is not seen from the increase in volume, but from other factors, such as the chart showing bulldiv, or ma 21, or the cross at ma 50 and 100, this is just an example,
but the volume is only one reason, but it cannot be a definite reference, it needs another tool to support it.

in fact, scammers are still difficult to detect with regulation, scammers can only be pressed if each country has cybercrime officers and focuses on cryptocurrency, this is very necessary if the cryptocurrency has been adopted massively.
and the way that cryptocurrency can be adopted massively is by making clear regulations, this is the most important thing why regulation is really needed so that people believe and believe that cryptocurrency is safe.

I prefer the allocation that is certain and does not change, and also the stake that must be adjusted according to rank or followers of social media accounts,
but, in many cases allocations are sometimes even cut because those who participate in the campaign are very few, this is very detrimental to me,
because it wasn't as expected, and the bounty finally arrived very little and far from the initial allocation even though it gained a lot of stake.

the application sends anonymous messages and privacy?
Does that mean we don't know who the message is to us? in my opinion this is actually more dangerous if we don't know who sent the message, and it will also be difficult to know whether the sender is our friend or not.
I hope there is a clearer explanation about this, because if everything is privacy and clear, maybe it will be a new breakthrough.

stay calm, don't get sad, or feel guilty, trading is fun,
always learn from mistakes,
I will give a little key,
that trading repeats the previous chart, that trading has time to enter and exit,
that is to say, observe each chart, because basically the chart always repeats, observe also every market going in and out of trading,
in some cases, there is one coin that has its own time to enter and exit, you can try it to measure the movement of the chart on the coin, and you will smile yourself because trading is actually fun and easy. 

First, altcoin has its own time to go up, in many cases, altcoin will go up when BTC experiences a sideway.
second, why btc rises altcoin down, and even btc goes down altcoin also goes down, this is because the market is playing on BTC, so many people choose BTC at that time rather than altcoin,
so it's natural that altcoin goes down under any circumstances, this can be proven by the BTC dominance above 60%.

I am also sure about that, there will be a lot of mass adoption for ETH if you move to POS, because everyone can get free ETH without the need to mine it,
besides that POS also makes hacker attacks a little more difficult, this is also a special attraction for ETH if POS is already valid.

I suggest not borrowing crypto, because paying for it will be very heavy,
it's better to just borrow the fiat value,
because in the next few months the price of cryptocurrency can double the current price, this is only my suggestion to be more careful,
for the borrowing platform, so far what I believe is only Nexo. you can look for it on the website.

I am very optimistic about the current market conditions, bullish has been positive, moreover what are we waiting for?
even the losses that I have made when I trade will be average, so I can cover the previous losses when the price goes up.

don't blame trading friends, trading is never guilty,
You might lose because you don't have trading management, or maybe you don't understand how to read the chart, because trading without knowledge like you would burn your money,

I have never attended ICO, I prefer coins that are clear and have high prices, such as ethereum or litecoin,
but that doesn't mean I don't believe in ICO, just avoid scam projects, because I don't really understand how to investigate the project scam or not.

analysis is pretty good, I also agree with you, but not all exchangers,
I do not believe the IEO on an exchanger with a small volume or a reputation that is not good, but for exchangers such as huobi, kucoin and binance I am sure they will not arbitrarily choose projects for IEO there, because the stakes are the good name of their exchanger.

timeframe (TF) used for scalping between TF 5 minutes and TF 15 minutes,
most traders will see each TF when scalping alternately within a few minutes,
because each TF sometimes shows a different status, so as not to be complacent.

I really like HODL, without risk, provided we hold the right coins and not shitcoins.
because if we trade and ICO but don't have the knowledge, that is like gambling and it's not clear where the direction is going and often many get losses rather than profits.

in my opinion, the best time to promote bounties is when the market has been positively bullish, because if the market is bearish many bounty hunters leave the crypto market for some time, why is that? because many projects will come out and postpone the launch when the market is bearish, because they know investors are also very few, and this is why it also influences the bounty hunter and also the promote bounties.

I've played both, gambling and trading, in my opinion the best is only HODL,
trading and gambling requires good management, a lot of experience and good knowledge, because if one of the three doesn't exist then our emotions will be disturbed, such as easily anxious and others.