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1221  Economy / Speculation / MOVED: Litecoin Price to hit $25? on: July 23, 2013, 08:51:58 PM
This topic has been moved to Alternate cryptocurrencies.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=261393.0
1222  Economy / Speculation / MOVED: Buying Btc on: July 23, 2013, 06:58:04 AM
This topic has been moved to Currency exchange.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=260995.0
1223  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 23, 2013, 05:52:42 AM
The spread between MtGox and Bitstamp is going crazy again. Even though they have about the same volume as of recent, their prices differ by over 8% right now.

▲ mtgoxUSD    93.7900    
▲ bitstampUSD    86.5400    
▲ btceUSD    84.5380    
1224  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 22, 2013, 02:43:05 AM
Naturally they are lagging indicators, no question there. They only confirm what the charts say, that we are in a deflating bubble. Just different ways of looking at the same thing.

Regarding "you shouldn't be so certain in your predictions, you're setting yourself up for a big fall". If you had 100% certainty and perfect timing, obviously you would go short on maximum leverage. I don't have 100% confidence, and I don't have perfect timing. Therefore, I don't short, and particularly not on high leverage (well, aside from not trusting Bitfinex). No falls to be had, merely heights to be missed.
1225  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL: when will we see $100/BTC again? on: July 22, 2013, 02:30:30 AM
There was no fear, uncertainty or doubt; sentiment has been neutral ever since the $50 panic. This is also evidenced in the low volumes. The entire market is on hold until what every sane person knows will happen: the kick-off for capitulation.
1226  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 22, 2013, 02:20:26 AM
Burst bubbles slowly deflate. We were discussing evidence besides the price chart for the ongoing deflation of the bubble. I don't know why you refuse to understand that we have had a bubble and that it's deflating.

Perhaps it is this: Date Registered:    14-03-2013, 03:59:40 I see a lot of bubble deluded who signed up during the bubble and have seen no other face of Bitcoin.

Interest is fading all across the board. Simple.
1227  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 22, 2013, 01:58:43 AM
Blitz, you are a long term bear, aren't you?
If long-term is 3 years and there is capitulation selling on high volume leading to <50, accompanied by extremely bearish sentiment ie the bubble has finally (mostly) deflated, then yes. I'm a long-term bull.
1228  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 22, 2013, 12:43:52 AM
Personally, what I find pathetic and ridiculous is not being able to acknowledge the realities of bursting and deflating bubbles and ignoring the evidence staring at your face. Suit yourself. Cheesy
1229  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 22, 2013, 12:25:16 AM
Thanks for this great archive btw, Voktar, though I wish we had the stats for April, specifically mid April.

Interestingly, even though all those indicators are pointing to Bitcoin losing users, losing publicity, you will not hear this story told on any Bitcoin medium, or upvoted on r/Bitcoin. Instead, you will be served post-bubble delusions of Africa, Argentina, Turkey, Cyprus. We can guess why that is.
1230  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 22, 2013, 12:12:44 AM
Hype is dying, interest is dying, people are leaving. Such is the long, drawn out process of deflating a bubble.

It's visible in all indicators, USD leaving the market, google trends, your node stats, r/bitcoin, even bitcointalk.
1231  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL: when will we see $100/BTC again? on: July 21, 2013, 11:39:04 PM
[X] not until after 2014
1232  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 21, 2013, 07:26:36 PM
No more triple digits means that 90s is expensive, and therefore we have much further to go down. Reptilia, this point in time is August 2011, not November 2011.
1233  Economy / Speculation / Re: i dont get it, almost put this in the noob section cus its kinda a noob question on: July 20, 2013, 10:25:00 PM
Bids:

100 BTC for $100
0.01 BTC for $99

Sell 100 BTC into it, the price won't move. Sell 0.01 more and it will go to $99.

Maybe you should have a look at an order book to understand how it works: http://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/

It boils down to the fact that there are larger and smaller orders, and their concentration isn't even.
1234  Economy / Speculation / MOVED: Commodity prices & self sufficient living on: July 19, 2013, 10:45:24 PM
This topic has been moved to Economics.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=259195.0
1235  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 19, 2013, 07:31:44 PM
▲ mtgoxUSD    93.5000    
▲ bitstampUSD    86.5100    
▲ btceUSD    84.7000    

The divergence continues. Only MtGox is in denial about the 80s.
1236  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 19, 2013, 07:27:28 PM
This would be the third attempt.

Third times's the charm.
1237  Economy / Speculation / Re: Where we are. on: July 19, 2013, 07:25:27 PM
Right now the magic threshold is really just about $100.

In the one week time frame I place $100 in the center of the negative feedback range. That means, the farther away from $100 we go on either side the greater probability we will go into positive feedback. There is still much greater sensitivity to positive feedback above $100.
Good observation, I see it the same.

99 = expensive
101 = cheap
1238  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 19, 2013, 07:24:49 PM
Some apparently think we will go triple digit again in 2013. Too funny. Cheesy
1239  Economy / Speculation / Re: any news driving this drop on: July 18, 2013, 10:02:17 PM
You really think it won't hit $100 again one day? Of course it will!
I really don't. Triple digits is a thing of a distant bubble mania past.
Even bearish over the long term now?  Cheesy
No, I'm sure we can have triple digits again sometime 2014-2016.

And I'd rather not lock up my Bitcoin funds in escrow bets since I'll need them to buy the capitulation bottom. Smiley

Edit: Damn, my reading comprehension sucks. I understood it as "in one day", not "one day". Of course it will probably hit 100 again one day.
1240  Economy / Speculation / Re: any news driving this drop on: July 18, 2013, 09:29:44 PM
You really think it won't hit $100 again one day? Of course it will!
I really don't. Triple digits is a thing of a distant bubble mania past.
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